Jeffrey Ford
@jeffford99.bsky.social
Canadian/Irish who made a life in UK.
Reposted by Jeffrey Ford
On 13 June, @theguardian.com published a collective letter concerning Russia’s war & attacking Dr #FionaHill, the chancellor of Durham University & one of the principal authors of the UK’s strategic defence review. As UK-based or British-educated experts in matters pertaining to Russia, we disagree.
There is only one warmonger on the European stage: Vladimir Putin | Letter
Letter: Experts on Russia, Ukraine and international security respond to a letter that criticised Fiona Hill for her assessment of the Russian threat to Britain
www.theguardian.com
June 20, 2025 at 6:31 PM
On 13 June, @theguardian.com published a collective letter concerning Russia’s war & attacking Dr #FionaHill, the chancellor of Durham University & one of the principal authors of the UK’s strategic defence review. As UK-based or British-educated experts in matters pertaining to Russia, we disagree.
Apparently the answer is to elevate him to replace Walz in Nat Security
😯 Trump team dissatisfied with envoy Witkoff's approach to talks with Russia – The New York Post
Trump team dissatisfied with envoy Witkoff’s approach to talks with Russia – The New York Post
Steve Witkoff, Donald Trump’s special envoy to the Middle East, former real estate lawyer and investor, has raised concerns among US administration insiders over his approach to negotiations with two ...
www.pravda.com.ua
May 1, 2025 at 4:18 PM
Apparently the answer is to elevate him to replace Walz in Nat Security
Reposted by Jeffrey Ford
Worth noting how far right MAGA US intellectuals often now claim that Canadian national identity is fake and Mexicans are not capable of managing a state.
All reminiscent of the predominant narratives in Russia claiming that Ukrainian identity does not exist and Kazakhs are incapable of statehood
All reminiscent of the predominant narratives in Russia claiming that Ukrainian identity does not exist and Kazakhs are incapable of statehood
April 30, 2025 at 8:48 AM
Worth noting how far right MAGA US intellectuals often now claim that Canadian national identity is fake and Mexicans are not capable of managing a state.
All reminiscent of the predominant narratives in Russia claiming that Ukrainian identity does not exist and Kazakhs are incapable of statehood
All reminiscent of the predominant narratives in Russia claiming that Ukrainian identity does not exist and Kazakhs are incapable of statehood
Ok, who inserted the crickets?!
April 28, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Ok, who inserted the crickets?!
Reposted by Jeffrey Ford
A billboard by The Telegraph, reportedly in Kent, England.
April 24, 2025 at 7:39 PM
A billboard by The Telegraph, reportedly in Kent, England.
Reposted by Jeffrey Ford
"Trump seems to give Putin carrots he didn't ask for while also taking away the stick. I haven't read the Art of the Deal. Maybe that's how it's supposed to be."
Great to talk to @timsteno.bsky.social o and Carol Massar on @bloomberglp.bsky.social this afternoon.
Great to talk to @timsteno.bsky.social o and Carol Massar on @bloomberglp.bsky.social this afternoon.
April 24, 2025 at 7:04 PM
"Trump seems to give Putin carrots he didn't ask for while also taking away the stick. I haven't read the Art of the Deal. Maybe that's how it's supposed to be."
Great to talk to @timsteno.bsky.social o and Carol Massar on @bloomberglp.bsky.social this afternoon.
Great to talk to @timsteno.bsky.social o and Carol Massar on @bloomberglp.bsky.social this afternoon.
Reposted by Jeffrey Ford
‼️🇫🇷 President Emmanuel Macron accused Vladimir Putin of lying about Ukraine today but the real, and scarcely disguised target, of his comments was Donald Trump. “France’s position is unchanging,” Macron said. “We believe in the sovereignty of peoples & territorial integrity” 1/
April 24, 2025 at 2:49 PM
‼️🇫🇷 President Emmanuel Macron accused Vladimir Putin of lying about Ukraine today but the real, and scarcely disguised target, of his comments was Donald Trump. “France’s position is unchanging,” Macron said. “We believe in the sovereignty of peoples & territorial integrity” 1/
It’s time for UK and Europe to make clear to the Trump administration that this peace plan, including the abandonment of Crimea to Russia, is a load of utter bollocks.
www.wsj.com/opinion/russ...
www.wsj.com/opinion/russ...
Opinion | Trump’s Ukraine Ultimatum
The President puts pressure only on one side—not on Russia.
www.wsj.com
April 24, 2025 at 7:26 PM
It’s time for UK and Europe to make clear to the Trump administration that this peace plan, including the abandonment of Crimea to Russia, is a load of utter bollocks.
www.wsj.com/opinion/russ...
www.wsj.com/opinion/russ...
Reposted by Jeffrey Ford
"The EU is our largest trading partner and this government is determined to work to reduce barriers to trade across the economy to help drive growth." says Nick Thomas-Symonds in his oped. Note 'across' not just agrifood.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
A new deal with the EU is exactly what Britain needs. Here’s how Labour will achieve it | Nick Thomas-Symonds
This isn’t about politics – it’s about pragmatism. Working with our allies will make British people safer, more secure and more prosperous, says Nick Thomas-Symonds, minister for EU relations
www.theguardian.com
April 24, 2025 at 11:11 AM
"The EU is our largest trading partner and this government is determined to work to reduce barriers to trade across the economy to help drive growth." says Nick Thomas-Symonds in his oped. Note 'across' not just agrifood.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Slowly, slowly we will get back that which we had
Uk government reportedly drops opposition in principle to youth experience treaty with EU
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
UK edges towards post-Brexit youth visa deal with EU
An agreement has emerged as a key European demand in ongoing negotiations for a post-Brexit
www.bbc.co.uk
April 24, 2025 at 7:08 PM
Slowly, slowly we will get back that which we had
An epitaph for Trump: “You were given the choice between war and dishonour. You chose dishonour and you will have war.”
on.ft.com/3S3gkjR Trump’s shameful Crimea ultimatum to Ukraine
on.ft.com/3S3gkjR Trump’s shameful Crimea ultimatum to Ukraine
Trump’s shameful Crimea ultimatum to Ukraine
Washington is trying to force on Kyiv a peace deal on Russia’s terms
on.ft.com
April 24, 2025 at 6:59 PM
An epitaph for Trump: “You were given the choice between war and dishonour. You chose dishonour and you will have war.”
on.ft.com/3S3gkjR Trump’s shameful Crimea ultimatum to Ukraine
on.ft.com/3S3gkjR Trump’s shameful Crimea ultimatum to Ukraine
Little chance the CBP can keep up with and appropriately apply the constantly shifting landscape of tariffs and the likelihood of tariff arbitrage is high.
Trump's tariff announcements are performative in both the technical and popular understandings of the word.
April 11, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Little chance the CBP can keep up with and appropriately apply the constantly shifting landscape of tariffs and the likelihood of tariff arbitrage is high.
Excellent Unhedged, as always. Here’s hoping that “moron risk premium” makes it into finance lexicon.
@robarmstrong.bsky.social and i recorded the latest pod in that brief window yesterday when stocks looked OK(ish) and we were saying
- nope, not buying that dip
- why it's bad when bonds wobble in a crisis
So have a listen www.ft.com/content/8372...
- nope, not buying that dip
- why it's bad when bonds wobble in a crisis
So have a listen www.ft.com/content/8372...
Surveying the wreckage
As markets bounce around, China announces its own tariffs
www.ft.com
April 9, 2025 at 8:49 AM
Excellent Unhedged, as always. Here’s hoping that “moron risk premium” makes it into finance lexicon.
Reposted by Jeffrey Ford
As I wrote the other day, when the safe stuff sells off in a crisis, you are in trouble. So anyway yeah here we are
on.ft.com/3RErGe2
on.ft.com/3RErGe2
Markets could get a lot worse — and quickly
[FREE TO READ] The concern now among bankers and hedge fund managers is that something, somewhere could break
on.ft.com
April 9, 2025 at 6:53 AM
As I wrote the other day, when the safe stuff sells off in a crisis, you are in trouble. So anyway yeah here we are
on.ft.com/3RErGe2
on.ft.com/3RErGe2
Reposted by Jeffrey Ford
Why Mark Carney is the leader the rest of the west needs right.m now - not only has he served as Governor of two central banks but he knows how to deal with ignorant populists who have managed to grab hold of the levers of power in a G7 country and triggered a monumental act of economic self-harm
What Can Stop Trump plus other critical issues
Thoughts on how to stop a trade crisis turning into a financial crisis, Carney's bid for global leadership, the rise of American poligarchy, and why imperialism is making a return
open.substack.com
April 7, 2025 at 6:05 AM
Why Mark Carney is the leader the rest of the west needs right.m now - not only has he served as Governor of two central banks but he knows how to deal with ignorant populists who have managed to grab hold of the levers of power in a G7 country and triggered a monumental act of economic self-harm
But it continues with him as president, 100%.
Every time the same story and tune. "The U.S. is talking to Russia. We want them to stop," — Trump on the war in Ukraine.
"I don’t like the shelling. The bombings don’t stop. Thousands of young people die every week. This horror wouldn’t have started if I were president, 100%."
"I don’t like the shelling. The bombings don’t stop. Thousands of young people die every week. This horror wouldn’t have started if I were president, 100%."
April 7, 2025 at 6:58 AM
But it continues with him as president, 100%.
Reposted by Jeffrey Ford
Check out the latest edition of my @financialtimes.com newsletter. (1/2)
Why Trump's tariffs won't last long:
on.ft.com/43IgnsG
Why Trump's tariffs won't last long:
on.ft.com/43IgnsG
April 6, 2025 at 11:05 AM
Check out the latest edition of my @financialtimes.com newsletter. (1/2)
Why Trump's tariffs won't last long:
on.ft.com/43IgnsG
Why Trump's tariffs won't last long:
on.ft.com/43IgnsG
Reposted by Jeffrey Ford
"One day, son, our thriving export business will be yours."
April 6, 2025 at 4:58 PM
"One day, son, our thriving export business will be yours."
“Paweł Kowal said in an interview that a “red line” would be crossed for Poland and the rest of central Europe if expanded Russian borders were legally recognised as a result of the invasion of a neighbouring country”.
on.ft.com/4lhvyPK
Poland warns Donald Trump against ‘historical mistake’ over Russian expansion
Tusk government adviser Paweł Kowal says Ukraine peace talks must not lead to recognition of Moscow’s territorial claims
on.ft.com
April 6, 2025 at 4:47 PM
“Paweł Kowal said in an interview that a “red line” would be crossed for Poland and the rest of central Europe if expanded Russian borders were legally recognised as a result of the invasion of a neighbouring country”.
on.ft.com/4lhvyPK
Reposted by Jeffrey Ford
What a flop. Marine Le Pen’s public fight-back against her legal ban from the 2027 French presidential election started badly today. She hoped for up to 20,000 supporters at a rally in Paris. Her party claimed 10,000. An independent count suggested only 6,000. 1/
April 6, 2025 at 3:41 PM
What a flop. Marine Le Pen’s public fight-back against her legal ban from the 2027 French presidential election started badly today. She hoped for up to 20,000 supporters at a rally in Paris. Her party claimed 10,000. An independent count suggested only 6,000. 1/
Excellent piece.
“The tariffs announced on Wednesday are roughly 10 times as high as those of most other industrialized countries, and higher than the infamous Smoot-Hawley tariffs (of Great Depression fame)”.
“The tariffs announced on Wednesday are roughly 10 times as high as those of most other industrialized countries, and higher than the infamous Smoot-Hawley tariffs (of Great Depression fame)”.
I pitched my NYT editor that folks really need to understand that the deadweight loss of tariffs rises in the square of the tariff rate. Despite the wonkiness of it all, they said yes--as long as you can explain that intuitively.
Lemme know how I did:
Lemme know how I did:
Opinion | Trump’s Tariffs Will Change Your Life (Gift Article)
Justin Wolfers on how the tariffs will radically change our daily lives.
www.nytimes.com
April 5, 2025 at 12:43 PM
Excellent piece.
“The tariffs announced on Wednesday are roughly 10 times as high as those of most other industrialized countries, and higher than the infamous Smoot-Hawley tariffs (of Great Depression fame)”.
“The tariffs announced on Wednesday are roughly 10 times as high as those of most other industrialized countries, and higher than the infamous Smoot-Hawley tariffs (of Great Depression fame)”.
Reposted by Jeffrey Ford
3) That was just the US version.
What’s particularly impressive is that he’s managed this on a global scale.
Starting to get the feeling that “Trump” annotation is going to be the chart equivalent of a layer of volcanic ash in the fossil record.
What’s particularly impressive is that he’s managed this on a global scale.
Starting to get the feeling that “Trump” annotation is going to be the chart equivalent of a layer of volcanic ash in the fossil record.
April 4, 2025 at 12:51 PM
3) That was just the US version.
What’s particularly impressive is that he’s managed this on a global scale.
Starting to get the feeling that “Trump” annotation is going to be the chart equivalent of a layer of volcanic ash in the fossil record.
What’s particularly impressive is that he’s managed this on a global scale.
Starting to get the feeling that “Trump” annotation is going to be the chart equivalent of a layer of volcanic ash in the fossil record.
Reposted by Jeffrey Ford
Parents over the body of their dead 15-year-old son in Krivyi Rih
Speechless 💔
Speechless 💔
April 4, 2025 at 4:58 PM
Parents over the body of their dead 15-year-old son in Krivyi Rih
Speechless 💔
Speechless 💔
Reposted by Jeffrey Ford
I presented the following figures on defense spending at the NATO ministerial meeting. In 2016 (before Donald Trump's first term) as European allies, together with Canada, we spent $255.6 billion.
In 2024 - $506.7 billion.
A 98% increase.
We are stepping up.
In 2024 - $506.7 billion.
A 98% increase.
We are stepping up.
April 4, 2025 at 3:26 PM
I presented the following figures on defense spending at the NATO ministerial meeting. In 2016 (before Donald Trump's first term) as European allies, together with Canada, we spent $255.6 billion.
In 2024 - $506.7 billion.
A 98% increase.
We are stepping up.
In 2024 - $506.7 billion.
A 98% increase.
We are stepping up.
Reposted by Jeffrey Ford
Global markets continue to respond as renewed American greatness takes hold.
Investors will not forgive the US for this. Even if He's out next time, we can't do this every 4/8 years
Investors will not forgive the US for this. Even if He's out next time, we can't do this every 4/8 years
April 4, 2025 at 9:27 AM
Global markets continue to respond as renewed American greatness takes hold.
Investors will not forgive the US for this. Even if He's out next time, we can't do this every 4/8 years
Investors will not forgive the US for this. Even if He's out next time, we can't do this every 4/8 years