JD Menton
@jdmenton.bsky.social
Fellow @ Carnegie Endowment Nuclear Policy Program; nukes, non-pro, and tech governance; recovering journalist, itinerant Floridian
Reposted by JD Menton
Great piece by Zadie Smith. When the right talks about classics or "Western" culture, these works are only important to the extent that it demonstrates their superiority, they have no interest in art in and of itself beyond that www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
November 12, 2025 at 2:29 PM
Great piece by Zadie Smith. When the right talks about classics or "Western" culture, these works are only important to the extent that it demonstrates their superiority, they have no interest in art in and of itself beyond that www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Reposted by JD Menton
President Trump's interview on 60 Minutes did very little to clarify his stance on the United States resuming full-scale nuclear tests for the first time in more than three decades. Let's look at some of his statements. 1/11
November 3, 2025 at 1:49 PM
President Trump's interview on 60 Minutes did very little to clarify his stance on the United States resuming full-scale nuclear tests for the first time in more than three decades. Let's look at some of his statements. 1/11
Reposted by JD Menton
Resuming U.S. nuclear testing, as President Trump has suggested, “would do more to benefit our adversaries than the United States," says @coreyah.bsky.social on @npr.org.
More from Corey on why: www.npr.org/2025/10/30/n...
More from Corey on why: www.npr.org/2025/10/30/n...
Trump says he wants to resume nuclear testing. Here's what that would mean
The U.S. has not conducted a nuclear test in over 30 years. Experts say doing one now could make America less safe.
www.npr.org
October 30, 2025 at 8:15 PM
Resuming U.S. nuclear testing, as President Trump has suggested, “would do more to benefit our adversaries than the United States," says @coreyah.bsky.social on @npr.org.
More from Corey on why: www.npr.org/2025/10/30/n...
More from Corey on why: www.npr.org/2025/10/30/n...
Reposted by JD Menton
Read @nicolegrajewski.bsky.social and @jdmenton.bsky.social piece, "MENA at the Threshold? Proliferation Risks and Great Power Competition", in a series of essays by @tnsr.org on the shifting global nuclear order. Check it out here: tnsr.org/roundtable/n...
Navigating the New Nuclear Map - Texas National Security Review
The global nuclear order is undergoing rapid and complex transformations, driven by the expansion of arsenals, evolving doctrines, and the interplay of domestic and international politics. This roundt...
tnsr.org
September 30, 2025 at 9:14 PM
Read @nicolegrajewski.bsky.social and @jdmenton.bsky.social piece, "MENA at the Threshold? Proliferation Risks and Great Power Competition", in a series of essays by @tnsr.org on the shifting global nuclear order. Check it out here: tnsr.org/roundtable/n...
In the fall, I wrote a piece for
@carnegienpp.bsky.social about the hazards of playing political football with international oversight. Today, Iran's president announced the suspension of cooperation w/ the #IAEA. 🧵
@carnegienpp.bsky.social about the hazards of playing political football with international oversight. Today, Iran's president announced the suspension of cooperation w/ the #IAEA. 🧵
July 2, 2025 at 1:55 PM
In the fall, I wrote a piece for
@carnegienpp.bsky.social about the hazards of playing political football with international oversight. Today, Iran's president announced the suspension of cooperation w/ the #IAEA. 🧵
@carnegienpp.bsky.social about the hazards of playing political football with international oversight. Today, Iran's president announced the suspension of cooperation w/ the #IAEA. 🧵
Reposted by JD Menton
Me in @carnegieendowment.org’s Diwan: The end of open hostilities has not brought clarity to Iran’s strategic direction. Instead, it has exposed an ongoing effort within the political and military establishment over how to interpret the war’s outcome. carnegieendowment.org/middle-east/...
Iran After the Battle
The country’s political and military establishment is still debating how to interpret the recent war’s outcome.
carnegieendowment.org
July 1, 2025 at 1:40 PM
Me in @carnegieendowment.org’s Diwan: The end of open hostilities has not brought clarity to Iran’s strategic direction. Instead, it has exposed an ongoing effort within the political and military establishment over how to interpret the war’s outcome. carnegieendowment.org/middle-east/...
Reposted by JD Menton
“In the absence of cooperation, future crises will be hard to avoid and even harder to de-escalate.”
@jdmenton.bsky.social on nuclear uncertainty – and the need for diplomacy – in Iran, for @foreignpolicy.com: foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/27/i...
@jdmenton.bsky.social on nuclear uncertainty – and the need for diplomacy – in Iran, for @foreignpolicy.com: foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/27/i...
Don’t Let Iran Become Another Iraq
Nuclear uncertainty is bad for regional stability.
foreignpolicy.com
June 30, 2025 at 1:28 PM
“In the absence of cooperation, future crises will be hard to avoid and even harder to de-escalate.”
@jdmenton.bsky.social on nuclear uncertainty – and the need for diplomacy – in Iran, for @foreignpolicy.com: foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/27/i...
@jdmenton.bsky.social on nuclear uncertainty – and the need for diplomacy – in Iran, for @foreignpolicy.com: foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/27/i...
Really great piece, and perspective, from @nktpnd.bsky.social
In today's @financialtimes.com, I reflect on the implications of the joint Israeli-US attacks on Iran for a fragile and bruised nonproliferation regime on.ft.com/45Jehd3
Iran attack could be the death knell for nuclear non-proliferation
More countries will seek atomic weapons unless Europe and its allies defend a flawed but vital treaty
on.ft.com
June 29, 2025 at 6:48 PM
Really great piece, and perspective, from @nktpnd.bsky.social
Reposted by JD Menton
"In the days and weeks to come, policymakers will have to carefully distinguish between Iran’s legitimate frustrations and domestic political constraints and attempts to manipulate these conditions to mask clandestine proliferation ambitions."
In @foreignpolicy.com I wrote about Iran and why nuclear uncertainty is bad for regional stability. Unclear diplomatic priorities + backlash against the IAEA w/in Iran are setting us down a dangerous path. @carnegieendowment.org @carnegienpp.bsky.social foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/27/i...
Don’t Let Iran Become Another Iraq
Nuclear uncertainty is bad for regional stability.
foreignpolicy.com
June 27, 2025 at 6:16 PM
"In the days and weeks to come, policymakers will have to carefully distinguish between Iran’s legitimate frustrations and domestic political constraints and attempts to manipulate these conditions to mask clandestine proliferation ambitions."
In @foreignpolicy.com I wrote about Iran and why nuclear uncertainty is bad for regional stability. Unclear diplomatic priorities + backlash against the IAEA w/in Iran are setting us down a dangerous path. @carnegieendowment.org @carnegienpp.bsky.social foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/27/i...
Don’t Let Iran Become Another Iraq
Nuclear uncertainty is bad for regional stability.
foreignpolicy.com
June 27, 2025 at 12:45 PM
In @foreignpolicy.com I wrote about Iran and why nuclear uncertainty is bad for regional stability. Unclear diplomatic priorities + backlash against the IAEA w/in Iran are setting us down a dangerous path. @carnegieendowment.org @carnegienpp.bsky.social foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/27/i...
Tired: JCPOA 2.0... Wired: KEDO 2.0
They’re trying to draw the Agreed Framework from memory (sloppily). It won’t work.
June 26, 2025 at 6:19 PM
Tired: JCPOA 2.0... Wired: KEDO 2.0
Some thoughts about Trump's comments today re further nuclear diplomacy with Iran + the Majlis bill to suspend Iran's cooperation with the IAEA (tldr: individually: bad, together: very bad!)
June 25, 2025 at 9:50 PM
Some thoughts about Trump's comments today re further nuclear diplomacy with Iran + the Majlis bill to suspend Iran's cooperation with the IAEA (tldr: individually: bad, together: very bad!)
Per Rose's remarks, she's the opposite of Oz- what's behind the curtain is even better than what's on screen. Richly deserved award, and moving presentation.
Rose Gottemoeller is announced as the recipient of the 2025 Thérèse Delpech Memorial Award… and the crowd at #nukecon goes wild.
Alex Bell with the announcement.
Alex Bell with the announcement.
April 23, 2025 at 7:11 PM
Per Rose's remarks, she's the opposite of Oz- what's behind the curtain is even better than what's on screen. Richly deserved award, and moving presentation.
Reposted by JD Menton
IAEA Director General Grossi and @coreyah.bsky.social (my new boss!) take the stage at #nukecon.
April 22, 2025 at 2:06 PM
IAEA Director General Grossi and @coreyah.bsky.social (my new boss!) take the stage at #nukecon.
Reposted by JD Menton
At the Carnegie nonproliferation conference and IAEA chief Rafael M. Grossi spent a bit of time making the case for nuclear-propulsion in commercial shipping.
Really interesting.
Really interesting.
April 22, 2025 at 2:34 PM
At the Carnegie nonproliferation conference and IAEA chief Rafael M. Grossi spent a bit of time making the case for nuclear-propulsion in commercial shipping.
Really interesting.
Really interesting.
Reposted by JD Menton
My colleague, @jdmenton.bsky.social, opens #nukecon.
April 21, 2025 at 1:11 PM
My colleague, @jdmenton.bsky.social, opens #nukecon.
Reposted by JD Menton
Just announced: Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi will deliver a keynote (virtually) at our Carnegie International Nuclear Policy Conference on Monday morning. carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/...
April 19, 2025 at 2:49 PM
Just announced: Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi will deliver a keynote (virtually) at our Carnegie International Nuclear Policy Conference on Monday morning. carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/...
There are a few ways this could play out- some worse than others, but any further blow to oversight of Iran's nuclear program would ultimately yield minimal leverage... and huge risks. Working to restore what has been lost, and align M&V with Iran's current capabilities would be mutually beneficial.
If Iran decides to stop cooperating with international regulators, wrote @jdmenton.bsky.social “the most likely outcome is a toxic cocktail of uncertainty and worst-case thinking.”
Read more on this and other still-applicable lessons from 1990s Iraq in Jane Darby’s article:
Read more on this and other still-applicable lessons from 1990s Iraq in Jane Darby’s article:
What Iran Should Learn from Iraq’s Escalation Playbook in the 1990s
Curtailing cooperation with the global nuclear order may be provocative, but it is not necessarily productive.
buff.ly
April 11, 2025 at 9:59 PM
There are a few ways this could play out- some worse than others, but any further blow to oversight of Iran's nuclear program would ultimately yield minimal leverage... and huge risks. Working to restore what has been lost, and align M&V with Iran's current capabilities would be mutually beneficial.
🚨2 days left to register for the Carnegie International Nuclear Policy Conference!!🚨 Ft phenomenal speakers on nuclear energy, missile defense, US proliferation policy, Russian nuclear doctrine + more @carnegieendowment.org @carnegienpp.bsky.social carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/...
2025 Carnegie International Nuclear Policy Conference
For over 35 years, experts, officials, executives, journalists, and students from across the globe have come together to debate—and explore solutions for—the most pressing challenges in nuclear nonproliferation, arms control, disarmament, deterrence, energy, and security at the Carnegie International Nuclear Policy Conference.
carnegieendowment.org
April 7, 2025 at 4:28 PM
🚨2 days left to register for the Carnegie International Nuclear Policy Conference!!🚨 Ft phenomenal speakers on nuclear energy, missile defense, US proliferation policy, Russian nuclear doctrine + more @carnegieendowment.org @carnegienpp.bsky.social carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/...
Reposted by JD Menton
Excited to see this panel at Carnegie’s Nuclear Policy Conference - “Back to the Future? Nuclear Proliferation Risks in an Era of Uncertainty,” featuring the 3 co-chairs (and 1 member) of the NTI-CEIP-Belfer Task Force on Nuclear Proliferation and US Nat Sec.
carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/...
carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/...
2025 Carnegie International Nuclear Policy Conference
For over 35 years, experts, officials, executives, journalists, and students from across the globe have come together to debate—and explore solutions for—the most pressing challenges in nuclear nonpro...
carnegieendowment.org
March 28, 2025 at 9:27 PM
Excited to see this panel at Carnegie’s Nuclear Policy Conference - “Back to the Future? Nuclear Proliferation Risks in an Era of Uncertainty,” featuring the 3 co-chairs (and 1 member) of the NTI-CEIP-Belfer Task Force on Nuclear Proliferation and US Nat Sec.
carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/...
carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/...
Reposted by JD Menton
DOGE cuts at the top U.S. nuclear security agency could enable threats to national security. @coreyah.bsky.social explained in @nytimes.com: www.nytimes.com/2025/03/17/u...
March 17, 2025 at 6:20 PM
DOGE cuts at the top U.S. nuclear security agency could enable threats to national security. @coreyah.bsky.social explained in @nytimes.com: www.nytimes.com/2025/03/17/u...
Reposted by JD Menton
Trilateral statement from Russia, China, and Iran on the status of Iran’s nuclear program—a clear signal of their effort to preempt a response to potential snapback sanctions. 🧵
March 14, 2025 at 2:02 PM
Trilateral statement from Russia, China, and Iran on the status of Iran’s nuclear program—a clear signal of their effort to preempt a response to potential snapback sanctions. 🧵
"The three countries stressed the necessity for all states to refrain from any action that undermine the technical, objective and impartial work of the IAEA"
March 14, 2025 at 4:22 PM
"The three countries stressed the necessity for all states to refrain from any action that undermine the technical, objective and impartial work of the IAEA"
@nktpnd.bsky.social very kindly had me on his @warontherocks.bsky.social podcast a few weeks ago to chat about Iran's nuclear program, and what we might see from Tehran, Washington, and the region in the coming months.
How Will the Trump Administration Manage Iran? - War on the Rocks
warontherocks.com
February 24, 2025 at 3:47 PM
@nktpnd.bsky.social very kindly had me on his @warontherocks.bsky.social podcast a few weeks ago to chat about Iran's nuclear program, and what we might see from Tehran, Washington, and the region in the coming months.
Reposted by JD Menton
On Ankit Panda's very good nuke podcast Thinking the Unthinkable, he hosts his fellow Carnegie fellow Jane Darby Menton to discuss the Trump Redux era U.S. approach to Iran's nuclear program.
@nktpnd.bsky.social
@carnegieendowment.org
@warontherocks.bsky.social
warontherocks.com/episode/thin...
@nktpnd.bsky.social
@carnegieendowment.org
@warontherocks.bsky.social
warontherocks.com/episode/thin...
How Will the Trump Administration Manage Iran? - War on the Rocks
warontherocks.com
February 13, 2025 at 2:15 PM
On Ankit Panda's very good nuke podcast Thinking the Unthinkable, he hosts his fellow Carnegie fellow Jane Darby Menton to discuss the Trump Redux era U.S. approach to Iran's nuclear program.
@nktpnd.bsky.social
@carnegieendowment.org
@warontherocks.bsky.social
warontherocks.com/episode/thin...
@nktpnd.bsky.social
@carnegieendowment.org
@warontherocks.bsky.social
warontherocks.com/episode/thin...