Jasmin Mujanović
@jasminmuj.bsky.social
Political Scientist, PhD. Author of "Hunger and Fury: The Crisis of Democracy in the Balkans" (2018) and "The Bosniaks: Nationhood After Genocide" (2023), both available via Hurst and OUP.
📍 LAX via SJJ.
🌐 www.jasminmujanovic.com
📍 LAX via SJJ.
🌐 www.jasminmujanovic.com
Pinned
Jasmin Mujanović
@jasminmuj.bsky.social
· Nov 10
I am going to assume that the vast majority of people following me on this app likely already know my work but on the off chance that you don’t: I write about the Balkans and international relations, democratization and authoritarianism. I try to stay in my lane beyond that. Cheers!
A blessed Christmas to all of my Orthodox friends and family observing the holiday. May it be a time of renewal and healing for you and yours, and an occasion to recommit yourself to the Gospel’s invocation to be merciful, above all to the most vulnerable. Mir Božji! ✨
January 7, 2026 at 1:03 AM
A blessed Christmas to all of my Orthodox friends and family observing the holiday. May it be a time of renewal and healing for you and yours, and an occasion to recommit yourself to the Gospel’s invocation to be merciful, above all to the most vulnerable. Mir Božji! ✨
Current events are conspiring to make explaining the dissolution of Yugoslavia easier and easier.
January 7, 2026 at 12:14 AM
Current events are conspiring to make explaining the dissolution of Yugoslavia easier and easier.
Our current rate of consumption is unsustainable. It’s critical that steps be taken to preserve our nation’s strategic hot take reserves.
January 5, 2026 at 7:49 PM
Our current rate of consumption is unsustainable. It’s critical that steps be taken to preserve our nation’s strategic hot take reserves.
This has held up well, I believe.
My December 12, 2025 essay for Odgovor.ba on Europe’s self-imposed geopolitical irrelevance, generally and in the Western Balkans specifically. odgovor.ba/article/6559
My December 12, 2025 essay for Odgovor.ba on Europe’s self-imposed geopolitical irrelevance, generally and in the Western Balkans specifically. odgovor.ba/article/6559
January 4, 2026 at 3:05 PM
This has held up well, I believe.
My December 12, 2025 essay for Odgovor.ba on Europe’s self-imposed geopolitical irrelevance, generally and in the Western Balkans specifically. odgovor.ba/article/6559
My December 12, 2025 essay for Odgovor.ba on Europe’s self-imposed geopolitical irrelevance, generally and in the Western Balkans specifically. odgovor.ba/article/6559
A retrospective on 2025, taking the long view of BiH's political trajectory: "BiH may be a weak state, but it is not a weakening state. The HDZ BiH and SNSD are both strong parties, but their electoral strength is declining." My latest for Odgovor.ba odgovor.ba/article/7749/
The Diminishing Returns of Ethnic Maximalism in Bosnia
The past year has been marked by several significant developments in BiH and the Western Balkans, none perhaps more consequential than the removal from office of longtime Serb secessionist Milorad Dod...
odgovor.ba
January 3, 2026 at 1:58 PM
A retrospective on 2025, taking the long view of BiH's political trajectory: "BiH may be a weak state, but it is not a weakening state. The HDZ BiH and SNSD are both strong parties, but their electoral strength is declining." My latest for Odgovor.ba odgovor.ba/article/7749/
On 1/1, Cyprus assumed the Presidency of the Council of the EU. That is your reminder that Cyprus is a member of the EU, and that the island remains divided. If the capitals wanted to, they could admit other "problem" states like BiH, Kosovo et al to the bloc tomorrow.
They don't want to, though.
They don't want to, though.
January 2, 2026 at 1:48 PM
On 1/1, Cyprus assumed the Presidency of the Council of the EU. That is your reminder that Cyprus is a member of the EU, and that the island remains divided. If the capitals wanted to, they could admit other "problem" states like BiH, Kosovo et al to the bloc tomorrow.
They don't want to, though.
They don't want to, though.
It remains to be seen whether, in time, democratic publics, first and foremost, can force their representatives to again inhabit the material world. Or whether this or that miscalculation by one ideologue or another will lead us all into annihilation.
January 1, 2026 at 3:53 PM
It remains to be seen whether, in time, democratic publics, first and foremost, can force their representatives to again inhabit the material world. Or whether this or that miscalculation by one ideologue or another will lead us all into annihilation.
...which sets us apart from our simian cousins. But untethered from the scientific and rational methods, it becomes mere mania. A mania which can move the masses for a moment. But like all manias left unremedied, these unhinged masses will be crushed when they encounter the weight of history.
January 1, 2026 at 3:53 PM
...which sets us apart from our simian cousins. But untethered from the scientific and rational methods, it becomes mere mania. A mania which can move the masses for a moment. But like all manias left unremedied, these unhinged masses will be crushed when they encounter the weight of history.
...the leadership of the major powers is driven by their ideological commitments, immune, even resentful of attempts by their advisors and allies to have them confront reality; to inhabit the actually existing world.
Belief is a categorical feature of the human animal, among the facets...
Belief is a categorical feature of the human animal, among the facets...
January 1, 2026 at 3:53 PM
...the leadership of the major powers is driven by their ideological commitments, immune, even resentful of attempts by their advisors and allies to have them confront reality; to inhabit the actually existing world.
Belief is a categorical feature of the human animal, among the facets...
Belief is a categorical feature of the human animal, among the facets...
I am increasingly convinced that the great(est) political crisis of our time is the near complete decoupling of ideology from material reality. It is the defining feature of government policy not just on both sides of the Atlantic but, arguably, across Eurasia.
With few exceptions...
With few exceptions...
January 1, 2026 at 3:53 PM
I am increasingly convinced that the great(est) political crisis of our time is the near complete decoupling of ideology from material reality. It is the defining feature of government policy not just on both sides of the Atlantic but, arguably, across Eurasia.
With few exceptions...
With few exceptions...
BiH’s elections authority has called new elections on Feb 8, 2026 in the RS entity to name secessionist Dodik’s successor as entity president, after the first attempt was marred by mass irregularities and fraud on behalf of Dodk’s ruling SNSD regime. odgovor.ba/article/7709/
CIK BiH odlučio: Ponovljeni izbori u RS zakazani za 8. februar
Ponovljeni izbori za predsjednika bh. entiteta Republika Srpska na 136 biračkih mjesta bit će održani u nedjelju, 8. februara 2026. godine, odlučila je Centralna izborna komisija Bosne i Hercegovine n...
odgovor.ba
December 31, 2025 at 2:01 PM
BiH’s elections authority has called new elections on Feb 8, 2026 in the RS entity to name secessionist Dodik’s successor as entity president, after the first attempt was marred by mass irregularities and fraud on behalf of Dodk’s ruling SNSD regime. odgovor.ba/article/7709/
Easily the largest portrait of a Montenegrin I’ve ever seen.
December 30, 2025 at 4:39 AM
Easily the largest portrait of a Montenegrin I’ve ever seen.
Russia has given state honors to the Minister of the Interior of BiH's RS entity, a nod to the secessionist Banja Luka regime's ongoing clandestine support for the rat lines shuttling Serb volunteers to Russia's occupation forces in Ukraine. www.klix.ba/vijesti/bih/...
Ministar policije RS-a Željko Budimir dobio odlikovanje od Putina: "Radit ću na jačanju veza Srba i Rusa"
Ambasador Ruske Federacije u BiH Igor Kalabuhov uručio je danas u Banjaluci visoko državno odlikovanje Rusije Medalju "Puškin" ministru unutrašnjih poslova Repu...
www.klix.ba
December 26, 2025 at 2:42 PM
Russia has given state honors to the Minister of the Interior of BiH's RS entity, a nod to the secessionist Banja Luka regime's ongoing clandestine support for the rat lines shuttling Serb volunteers to Russia's occupation forces in Ukraine. www.klix.ba/vijesti/bih/...
Scripture reiterates the same message, time and again. As Zechariah 7:10 says: “oppress not the widow, nor the fatherless, the stranger, nor the poor; and let none of you imagine evil against his brother in your heart.”
Merry Christmas, and peace - blessed peace - to all. ✨
Merry Christmas, and peace - blessed peace - to all. ✨
December 24, 2025 at 9:56 PM
Scripture reiterates the same message, time and again. As Zechariah 7:10 says: “oppress not the widow, nor the fatherless, the stranger, nor the poor; and let none of you imagine evil against his brother in your heart.”
Merry Christmas, and peace - blessed peace - to all. ✨
Merry Christmas, and peace - blessed peace - to all. ✨
BiH’s elections authority has thrown out the results of another 136 polling stations from the recent special elections in the RS entity, due to evidence of mass fraud by the Russian-aligned secessionist govt in Banja Luka, (another) re-run now on deck. Huge blow to Dodik. www.klix.ba/vijesti/bih/...
CIK odlučio ponoviti prijevremene izbore u RS-u na 136 birališta u 17 općina: Moguć je i preokret
Centralna izborna komisija Bosne i Hercegovine je odlučivala danas o poništavanju prijevremenih izbora za predsjednika Republike Srpske u 17 izbornih jedinica n...
www.klix.ba
December 24, 2025 at 2:35 PM
BiH’s elections authority has thrown out the results of another 136 polling stations from the recent special elections in the RS entity, due to evidence of mass fraud by the Russian-aligned secessionist govt in Banja Luka, (another) re-run now on deck. Huge blow to Dodik. www.klix.ba/vijesti/bih/...
Troubling new reporting on the effort of the Kremlin-backed Bosnian Serb secessionist regime in Banja Luka to secure the lifting of UK sanctions, after the US already lifted its own measures following a multimillion dollar lobbying campaign by Dodik’s proxies in Washington.
Remember Starmer's "urgent" review into foreign interference after Nathan Gill?
Well, there's already two ex-UK ambassadors working in Westminster on behalf of a pro-Russian foreign government whose de facto leader is under UK sanctions...
New on D4S: democracyforsale.substack.com/p/ex-uk-amba...
Well, there's already two ex-UK ambassadors working in Westminster on behalf of a pro-Russian foreign government whose de facto leader is under UK sanctions...
New on D4S: democracyforsale.substack.com/p/ex-uk-amba...
Ex-UK ambassadors are lobbyists for sanctioned pro-Russia genocide deniers
Labour MP calls for rules to be tightened after Democracy for Sale finds former diplomats paid to lobby for Republika Srpska
democracyforsale.substack.com
December 24, 2025 at 2:18 PM
Troubling new reporting on the effort of the Kremlin-backed Bosnian Serb secessionist regime in Banja Luka to secure the lifting of UK sanctions, after the US already lifted its own measures following a multimillion dollar lobbying campaign by Dodik’s proxies in Washington.
EIB suspends funding to FBiH highway authority after EPPO opened an investigation into fraud by three senior members of the public firm. It’s a major scandal for the Troika-HDZ coalition seeking re-election in 2026 and their purported “reform” agenda. www.klix.ba/biznis/privr...
Evropska investicijska banka obustavila finansiranje Autocesta FBiH: Dobili smo i zvanični odgovor o razlozima
Evropska investicijska banka (EIB) je obustavila finansiranje Autocestama Federacije Bosne i Hercegovine, a riječ je o kreditu koji je bio namijenjen za izgradn...
www.klix.ba
December 22, 2025 at 1:28 PM
EIB suspends funding to FBiH highway authority after EPPO opened an investigation into fraud by three senior members of the public firm. It’s a major scandal for the Troika-HDZ coalition seeking re-election in 2026 and their purported “reform” agenda. www.klix.ba/biznis/privr...
“Keir Starmer’s raid on overseas aid has led to a 40% cut in funds for countering Russian aggression and misinformation in a region of Europe described by the prime minister as vital to the UK’s national security.” www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
UK aid cuts take 40% from funds to counter Russian threat in western Balkans
Funding to tackle misinformation and cyber-attacks, and boost democracy, cut from £40m to £24m
www.theguardian.com
December 20, 2025 at 6:29 PM
“Keir Starmer’s raid on overseas aid has led to a 40% cut in funds for countering Russian aggression and misinformation in a region of Europe described by the prime minister as vital to the UK’s national security.” www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
We are told the same EU and the same capitals which have consistently been unable to act with singular purpose in the face of Russia’s aggression in Ukraine will, however, soon be ready to (i.e. by 2030) take in new member states from the Western Balkans.
It’s not happening, folks.
It’s not happening, folks.
Breaking News: European leaders agreed to a $105 billion funding plan for Ukraine without using Russia’s frozen assets as backing
Europe Agrees to $105 Billion Funding Plan for Ukraine
European Union officials wanted to use Russia’s frozen assets to back a major loan to Ukraine. Unable to overcome opposition, they settled on another way to lend the money.
nyti.ms
December 19, 2025 at 3:29 AM
We are told the same EU and the same capitals which have consistently been unable to act with singular purpose in the face of Russia’s aggression in Ukraine will, however, soon be ready to (i.e. by 2030) take in new member states from the Western Balkans.
It’s not happening, folks.
It’s not happening, folks.
This @helsinkicomm.bsky.social hearing on the status of BiH’s Dayton Agreement is the most informed regional discussion we have heard in Congress in yrs. The testimonies of Amb. Williamson & Dr. Williams especially timely. Kudos to Sen. Wicker et al for organizing. www.csce.gov/hearings/hea...
Bosnia and Herzegovina at a Crossroads: Thirty Years After Dayton - CSCE
Thirty years ago this month the United States brokered the Dayton Peace Accords that ended the Bosnian War and brought peace to Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH). BiH now sits at […]
www.csce.gov
December 18, 2025 at 9:07 PM
This @helsinkicomm.bsky.social hearing on the status of BiH’s Dayton Agreement is the most informed regional discussion we have heard in Congress in yrs. The testimonies of Amb. Williamson & Dr. Williams especially timely. Kudos to Sen. Wicker et al for organizing. www.csce.gov/hearings/hea...
Peter Galbraith: "And it was not just Serbia’s Slobodan Milosevic that I worried about. There were plenty of people in Croatia who had territorial ambitions in Bosnia and even – more fancifully – parts of the Serbian Vojvodina." www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/comm...
As the Dayton Agreement turns 30, it holds an important lesson for Ukraine | The National
US took a firm line against any changes in borders as part of a deal to end the Bosnian War – and for a very good reason
www.thenationalnews.com
December 18, 2025 at 8:28 PM
Peter Galbraith: "And it was not just Serbia’s Slobodan Milosevic that I worried about. There were plenty of people in Croatia who had territorial ambitions in Bosnia and even – more fancifully – parts of the Serbian Vojvodina." www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/comm...
It was plainly obvious that Flynn, among other US figures, was taking money from the Russian-backed Serb secessionist authorities in Bosnia. But with these receipts, we also get clarity on the astronomical sums Dodik paid to secure US sanctions relief. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
Michael Flynn, once probed over foreign payments, lobbied for Bosnian Serbs
Flynn is the second person pardoned by President Trump to work on behalf of the Bosnian Serb republic.
www.washingtonpost.com
December 18, 2025 at 3:53 AM
It was plainly obvious that Flynn, among other US figures, was taking money from the Russian-backed Serb secessionist authorities in Bosnia. But with these receipts, we also get clarity on the astronomical sums Dodik paid to secure US sanctions relief. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
Reposted by Jasmin Mujanović
In late 2021, there were a lot of smart people using their sound judgment to say "Russia isn't going to invade Ukraine, they can't conquer it all before the West mobilises, and the costs will be too high. Putin isn't that crazy". Those were well-founded assessments, and Russia invaded anyway.
I'm saying that if Russia has struggled to invade eastern Ukraine then it is not going to get anywhere in Poland, is it?
Your second point is bizarre. Zelensky's opponent was an anti-Russian hardliner? In 2010, eastern Ukraine voted overwhelmingly for Viktor Yanukovych.
Your second point is bizarre. Zelensky's opponent was an anti-Russian hardliner? In 2010, eastern Ukraine voted overwhelmingly for Viktor Yanukovych.
December 16, 2025 at 4:29 PM
In late 2021, there were a lot of smart people using their sound judgment to say "Russia isn't going to invade Ukraine, they can't conquer it all before the West mobilises, and the costs will be too high. Putin isn't that crazy". Those were well-founded assessments, and Russia invaded anyway.
Croatia’s HDZ govt has approved plans for a radioactive waste site on the BiH border. Evidently, Plenkovic’s govt is not satisfied w/ hijacking BiH’s elections or shielding Kremlin-ally Dodik from EU sanctions. Now they’re doing a bit of light ecocide too. balkaninsight.com/2025/12/15/c...
Croatian Nuclear Waste Storage Plan Dismays Bosnian Activists
New Croatian law paving the way for a radioactive waste disposal centre near the border with Bosnia and Herzegovina draws outrcy from Bosnian officials and environmentalists.
balkaninsight.com
December 16, 2025 at 5:11 PM
Croatia’s HDZ govt has approved plans for a radioactive waste site on the BiH border. Evidently, Plenkovic’s govt is not satisfied w/ hijacking BiH’s elections or shielding Kremlin-ally Dodik from EU sanctions. Now they’re doing a bit of light ecocide too. balkaninsight.com/2025/12/15/c...
"Serbia’s prosecutor for organized crime on Monday charged a government minister and three others with abuse of office and falsifying of documents to help pave the way for a real estate project linked to Jared Kushner". apnews.com/article/serb...
Serbia organized crime prosecutors charge minister, others in connection with Kushner-linked project
Serbia’s prosecutor for organized crime has charged a government minister and three others with abuse of position and falsifying of documents related to a luxury real estate project linked to U.S.
apnews.com
December 15, 2025 at 10:21 PM
"Serbia’s prosecutor for organized crime on Monday charged a government minister and three others with abuse of office and falsifying of documents to help pave the way for a real estate project linked to Jared Kushner". apnews.com/article/serb...