Jasmin Mujanović
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jasminmuj.bsky.social
Jasmin Mujanović
@jasminmuj.bsky.social
Political Scientist, PhD. Author of "Hunger and Fury: The Crisis of Democracy in the Balkans" (2018) and "The Bosniaks: Nationhood After Genocide" (2023), both available via Hurst and OUP.

📍 LAX via SJJ.

🌐 www.jasminmujanovic.com
Pinned
I am going to assume that the vast majority of people following me on this app likely already know my work but on the off chance that you don’t: I write about the Balkans and international relations, democratization and authoritarianism. I try to stay in my lane beyond that. Cheers!
The US is entitled to nominate whomever it chooses to pursue its energy interests. But for BiH, which is pursuing this project precisely to decouple itself from Russian gas dependency, a firm which may have such close links to one of Moscow's most militant assets in Europe would be an odd choice.
January 12, 2026 at 3:42 PM
Those "festivities" in Banja Luka were also attended by another registered US lobbyist of the Dodik regime, former IL Gov. and convicted felon Rod Blagojevich.

Jesse Binnall, for his part, is a former personal lawyer of Mr. Trump.
January 12, 2026 at 3:42 PM
...signaling clearly that its pledges to the US to moderate its positions, to cease its attacks on Bosnian state institutions or the US-brokered Dayton Agreement, and in exchange for which they officially secured sanctions relief, were lies.
January 12, 2026 at 3:42 PM
...a prominent Bosnian Genocide denier, and electoral fraudster - on X as "a strong leader & a very popular national figure."

Also worth noting that just three days ago, on January 9, Dodik's regime also again held its annual paramilitary marches in Banja Luka...
January 12, 2026 at 3:42 PM
...was also hired as a consultant by the Russian-backed secessionist regime in Banja Luka. In October 2025, the US lifted virtually all its sanctions vs. Dodik and his regime, weeks after M. Flynn had praised Dodik - a close ally of Putin and Orban...
January 12, 2026 at 3:42 PM
The US is tapping AAFS Infrastructure and Energy LLC to construct a major energy pipeline in Bosnia, a firm headed by Joseph Flynn and Jesse Binnall.

Joseph Flynn is the brother of Michael Flynn, Pres. Trump's former security adviser, who we learned in December...
January 12, 2026 at 3:42 PM
A longer comment of mine from the Bad Site on the bizarre historical and legal fictions which inform the "January 9" genocide triumphalist "holiday" in BiH's RS entity.
January 10, 2026 at 6:46 PM
...rape, and genocide. Likening that day with America's Independence Day is an extraordinarily vile thing for any American to say, even if he is a paid stooge of Dodik's. /xxx
January 9, 2026 at 8:15 PM
Blagojevich also made grotesque comparisons between January 9 and July 4. January 9 is literally synonymous with the onset of the first genocide in Europe since 1945, and was struck down as a "public holiday" by the BiH Constitutional Court for that reason; that it celebrates killing, torture...
January 9, 2026 at 8:15 PM
2. Dodik's chief US lobbyist, the former Illinois Gov. and convicted felon Rod Blagojevich, enjoyed a particularly prominent role at this year's "ceremonies". Aside form the footage posted by Dodik himself, showing Blagojevich singing a Serbian patriotic hymn from WWI in a crowded bar...
January 9, 2026 at 8:15 PM
...make clear that he has no intention of moderating or abandoning his project of dismantling BiH or the Dayton Agreement. In short, once more, Dodik offered an IOU for material concessions from the US, and then reneged on the deal at the first opportunity.
January 9, 2026 at 8:15 PM
...after having purportedly secured concessions from Dodik to moderate his attacks against the BiH state and the US-brokered Dayton Peace Agreement, Dodik et al have, as expected, reneged on their deal. Both today's paramilitary march, and Dodik's accompanying media tour...
January 9, 2026 at 8:15 PM
This year's January 9 paramilitary march by the Kremlin-backed Bosnian Serb secessionist regime in Banja Luka, glorifying the onset of the Bosnian Genocide, was noteworthy for two reasons:

1. Despite the US decision to lift sanctions against Dodik and his regime late last year...
January 9, 2026 at 8:15 PM
Croatia’s President Milanovic - a former social democrat who re-aligned with Russia but also Croatia’s powerful far-right - urges the US to abandon any pursuit of Greenland and instead explore acquiring the Svalbard archipelago from Norway. www.klix.ba/vijesti/regi...
Milanović: Grenland je beskoristan, ne znam je li Trumpova administracija na karti vidjela Svalbard
Hrvatski predsjednik Zoran Milanović večeras je odgovarao na pitanja medija uoči svečane akademije "Večer međimurskog identiteta", a jedna od onih zanimljivih o...
www.klix.ba
January 9, 2026 at 7:47 PM
A blessed Christmas to all of my Orthodox friends and family observing the holiday. May it be a time of renewal and healing for you and yours, and an occasion to recommit yourself to the Gospel’s invocation to be merciful, above all to the most vulnerable. Mir Božji! ✨
January 7, 2026 at 1:03 AM
Current events are conspiring to make explaining the dissolution of Yugoslavia easier and easier.
January 7, 2026 at 12:14 AM
Our current rate of consumption is unsustainable. It’s critical that steps be taken to preserve our nation’s strategic hot take reserves.
January 5, 2026 at 7:49 PM
This has held up well, I believe.

My December 12, 2025 essay for Odgovor.ba on Europe’s self-imposed geopolitical irrelevance, generally and in the Western Balkans specifically. odgovor.ba/article/6559
January 4, 2026 at 3:05 PM
A retrospective on 2025, taking the long view of BiH's political trajectory: "BiH may be a weak state, but it is not a weakening state. The HDZ BiH and SNSD are both strong parties, but their electoral strength is declining." My latest for Odgovor.ba odgovor.ba/article/7749/
The Diminishing Returns of Ethnic Maximalism in Bosnia
The past year has been marked by several significant developments in BiH and the Western Balkans, none perhaps more consequential than the removal from office of longtime Serb secessionist Milorad Dod...
odgovor.ba
January 3, 2026 at 1:58 PM
On 1/1, Cyprus assumed the Presidency of the Council of the EU. That is your reminder that Cyprus is a member of the EU, and that the island remains divided. If the capitals wanted to, they could admit other "problem" states like BiH, Kosovo et al to the bloc tomorrow.

They don't want to, though.
January 2, 2026 at 1:48 PM
It remains to be seen whether, in time, democratic publics, first and foremost, can force their representatives to again inhabit the material world. Or whether this or that miscalculation by one ideologue or another will lead us all into annihilation.
January 1, 2026 at 3:53 PM
...which sets us apart from our simian cousins. But untethered from the scientific and rational methods, it becomes mere mania. A mania which can move the masses for a moment. But like all manias left unremedied, these unhinged masses will be crushed when they encounter the weight of history.
January 1, 2026 at 3:53 PM
...the leadership of the major powers is driven by their ideological commitments, immune, even resentful of attempts by their advisors and allies to have them confront reality; to inhabit the actually existing world.

Belief is a categorical feature of the human animal, among the facets...
January 1, 2026 at 3:53 PM
I am increasingly convinced that the great(est) political crisis of our time is the near complete decoupling of ideology from material reality. It is the defining feature of government policy not just on both sides of the Atlantic but, arguably, across Eurasia.

With few exceptions...
January 1, 2026 at 3:53 PM
BiH’s elections authority has called new elections on Feb 8, 2026 in the RS entity to name secessionist Dodik’s successor as entity president, after the first attempt was marred by mass irregularities and fraud on behalf of Dodk’s ruling SNSD regime. odgovor.ba/article/7709/
CIK BiH odlučio: Ponovljeni izbori u RS zakazani za 8. februar
Ponovljeni izbori za predsjednika bh. entiteta Republika Srpska na 136 biračkih mjesta bit će održani u nedjelju, 8. februara 2026. godine, odlučila je Centralna izborna komisija Bosne i Hercegovine n...
odgovor.ba
December 31, 2025 at 2:01 PM