Kalshi traders estimate a 27% probability of another government shutdown at the end of January

spot how many of these risks are due to/powered by the tech industry

source: www.weforum.org/publications...

Genus #$GNS FY26H1 (Jul-Dec)

H1 Adj. PBT of ~£50m, "ahead of expectations"
"PIC trading continued to be strong"
"ABS traded as expected"

FY PBT to be "moderately above the top-end of current market expectations" (£82.7-85.0m) (PY: £74.3m)

* all excl. $7.5m BCA milestone payment

I will share my 1st January to 30th December 2025 Trading record .
Follow To Monitor Consistency!

Folks, in a world with Polymarket and Kalshi, et al, we're gonna have to get used to bullshit like this as people start rumors to pick off people on prediction markets. There's no enforcement mechanism in tis space AFAICT.

Interesting .