Hayden Van Brewer
@hvanbrewer.bsky.social
⚽️ Analytics 📊 Altijd Ajacied ✖️✖️✖️
🗣️ @thetransferflow.bsky.social
🗣️ @thetransferflow.bsky.social
Reposted by Hayden Van Brewer
While there could be a few more changes, this incorporates all the recent moves (Salloi, RBW, Dorsey, Carmona, Elie).
This season has the highest roster turnover since I started tracking this prior to the 2019 season, but there are no statistically significant differences in any of the seasons.
This season has the highest roster turnover since I started tracking this prior to the 2019 season, but there are no statistically significant differences in any of the seasons.
February 19, 2026 at 4:46 PM
While there could be a few more changes, this incorporates all the recent moves (Salloi, RBW, Dorsey, Carmona, Elie).
This season has the highest roster turnover since I started tracking this prior to the 2019 season, but there are no statistically significant differences in any of the seasons.
This season has the highest roster turnover since I started tracking this prior to the 2019 season, but there are no statistically significant differences in any of the seasons.
Reposted by Hayden Van Brewer
Birmingham City are currently in 11th place with just a +4 GD, yet their underlying numbers suggest they should be in the top 3.
This week's post for @thetransferflow.bsky.social looks at their weird season so far, and whether they can sneak into the playoffs
www.thetransferflow.com/p/are-birmin...
This week's post for @thetransferflow.bsky.social looks at their weird season so far, and whether they can sneak into the playoffs
www.thetransferflow.com/p/are-birmin...
Are Birmingham City sneaky promotion favorites?
Get ready to see a lot of annoying Tom Brady camera shots at Premier League games.
www.thetransferflow.com
February 19, 2026 at 3:15 PM
Birmingham City are currently in 11th place with just a +4 GD, yet their underlying numbers suggest they should be in the top 3.
This week's post for @thetransferflow.bsky.social looks at their weird season so far, and whether they can sneak into the playoffs
www.thetransferflow.com/p/are-birmin...
This week's post for @thetransferflow.bsky.social looks at their weird season so far, and whether they can sneak into the playoffs
www.thetransferflow.com/p/are-birmin...
Reposted by Hayden Van Brewer
Another two points dropped. Arsenal are 8 points better off vs equivalent fixtures last season. If results match last season's for the rest of 25/26, final totals:
84 Man City (+13)
82 Arsenal (+8)
68 Villa (+2)
65 Liverpool (-19)
59 Chelsea (-10)
59 Man Utd (+17)
47 Newcastle (-19)
35 Spurs (-3)
84 Man City (+13)
82 Arsenal (+8)
68 Villa (+2)
65 Liverpool (-19)
59 Chelsea (-10)
59 Man Utd (+17)
47 Newcastle (-19)
35 Spurs (-3)
February 18, 2026 at 10:56 PM
Another two points dropped. Arsenal are 8 points better off vs equivalent fixtures last season. If results match last season's for the rest of 25/26, final totals:
84 Man City (+13)
82 Arsenal (+8)
68 Villa (+2)
65 Liverpool (-19)
59 Chelsea (-10)
59 Man Utd (+17)
47 Newcastle (-19)
35 Spurs (-3)
84 Man City (+13)
82 Arsenal (+8)
68 Villa (+2)
65 Liverpool (-19)
59 Chelsea (-10)
59 Man Utd (+17)
47 Newcastle (-19)
35 Spurs (-3)
Reposted by Hayden Van Brewer
Wolves 2 (0.3)-(1.5) 2 Arsenal
The stats will say it was fine but 2 up on the last place team and no win?
🚨 Yikes
The stats will say it was fine but 2 up on the last place team and no win?
🚨 Yikes
February 18, 2026 at 10:08 PM
Wolves 2 (0.3)-(1.5) 2 Arsenal
The stats will say it was fine but 2 up on the last place team and no win?
🚨 Yikes
The stats will say it was fine but 2 up on the last place team and no win?
🚨 Yikes
Didn’t mention last summer, didn’t mention striker age
Although to those points, spurs did spend massively on attackers (Kudus and Simons)
And Isak is only a year younger than Osimhen
Although to those points, spurs did spend massively on attackers (Kudus and Simons)
And Isak is only a year younger than Osimhen
February 17, 2026 at 10:12 PM
Didn’t mention last summer, didn’t mention striker age
Although to those points, spurs did spend massively on attackers (Kudus and Simons)
And Isak is only a year younger than Osimhen
Although to those points, spurs did spend massively on attackers (Kudus and Simons)
And Isak is only a year younger than Osimhen
If Galatasaray go on to the next round, they will face Liverpool or Tottenham, both teams that spent big on strikers who are not Osimhen
I understand that the Premier League teams who bought strikers this summer were put off by the demands of Victor Osimhen’s agent. I don’t doubt that they were utterly ridiculous. But if they’d acquiesced to them, they would have Victor Osimhen.
February 17, 2026 at 9:48 PM
If Galatasaray go on to the next round, they will face Liverpool or Tottenham, both teams that spent big on strikers who are not Osimhen
I get asked this by MLS staffers regularly. If the clicks and views weren’t rocking with Ravi (who I consider to be one of THE best in the whole league) then it’s not gonna happen yet folks
perhaps I should start an MLS-only Transfer Flow offshoot that will generate upwards of 500 subscribers
but there are dozens of sickos out there who will eat it up
February 17, 2026 at 5:56 PM
I get asked this by MLS staffers regularly. If the clicks and views weren’t rocking with Ravi (who I consider to be one of THE best in the whole league) then it’s not gonna happen yet folks
Reposted by Hayden Van Brewer
@akeaswaran.me made this neat graph of a quick strength of schedule model. Really interesting to see how relative difficulty between the front and back parts of the season may drive narratives. Neville might find his seat pretty hot, while Varas is my pick for COTY winner w/ a likely hot start.
February 17, 2026 at 12:10 AM
@akeaswaran.me made this neat graph of a quick strength of schedule model. Really interesting to see how relative difficulty between the front and back parts of the season may drive narratives. Neville might find his seat pretty hot, while Varas is my pick for COTY winner w/ a likely hot start.
This is a great read👏👏
Every year the MLS punditerati are asked to pick their MLS standings, every year they get smoked. @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc decided to look into who is the best prognosticator, and who deserves the hatemail.
www.americansocceranalysis.com/home/2026/2/14/the-prognostication-power-rankings
www.americansocceranalysis.com/home/2026/2/14/the-prognostication-power-rankings
The Prognostication Power Rankings — American Soccer Analysis
By Paul Harvey Since 2019, MLS has consistently had a panel of columnists, presenters, and other talent predict how the conference standings will end up at the close of the season. These prognostica...
www.americansocceranalysis.com
February 16, 2026 at 3:25 PM
This is a great read👏👏
Love this Scott! Did you do any looking on player differentials as well? 2 goals surely more certain when +1 player etc
February 16, 2026 at 12:18 AM
Love this Scott! Did you do any looking on player differentials as well? 2 goals surely more certain when +1 player etc
Reposted by Hayden Van Brewer
The first in the series talking about the updates to the overall stats changes I am making. Here we introduce “Garbage Time” and have the ability to try and add more context to stats.
www.cannonstats.com/p/introducin...
www.cannonstats.com/p/introducin...
Introducing "Garbage Time"
I analyzed 25,000 matches to answer a simple question: when is a football match truly over?
www.cannonstats.com
February 15, 2026 at 7:44 PM
The first in the series talking about the updates to the overall stats changes I am making. Here we introduce “Garbage Time” and have the ability to try and add more context to stats.
www.cannonstats.com/p/introducin...
www.cannonstats.com/p/introducin...
I LOVE Scottie Sundays
February 15, 2026 at 6:19 PM
I LOVE Scottie Sundays
Reposted by Hayden Van Brewer
Love this plot of @futi.live team styles, stoked to see this stuff in smart club coverage like Sounder at Heart
February 15, 2026 at 3:46 PM
Love this plot of @futi.live team styles, stoked to see this stuff in smart club coverage like Sounder at Heart
It’s even better in person as well🔥
February 15, 2026 at 3:51 AM
It’s even better in person as well🔥
Montpellier champions league win ALLEZ ALLEZ ALLEZ🔥🔥🔥
February 14, 2026 at 3:16 AM
Montpellier champions league win ALLEZ ALLEZ ALLEZ🔥🔥🔥
Hayden Hackney Welcome To Spurs (Jan 2025) Best skills, passes and GOALS
February 13, 2026 at 7:03 PM
Hayden Hackney Welcome To Spurs (Jan 2025) Best skills, passes and GOALS
🙋♂️ (they’re generally a top choice for me when they’re on Paramount)
February 12, 2026 at 9:53 PM
🙋♂️ (they’re generally a top choice for me when they’re on Paramount)
Reposted by Hayden Van Brewer
anyway, sometime in the next couple weeks i'm gonna get hella drunk and write what I *really* think about pro/rel
February 12, 2026 at 3:00 AM
anyway, sometime in the next couple weeks i'm gonna get hella drunk and write what I *really* think about pro/rel
Reposted by Hayden Van Brewer
do it Spurs lmao
🚨🌳 BREAKING: Sean Dyche has been sacked by Nottingham Forest with immediate effect. #NFFC fire the coach after 4 months in charge.
February 12, 2026 at 12:50 AM
do it Spurs lmao
Been one of the sharpest teams in one of the best games. Down 2-0, classic soccer
February 11, 2026 at 10:31 PM
Been one of the sharpest teams in one of the best games. Down 2-0, classic soccer
Reposted by Hayden Van Brewer
American soccer wouldn't be the same without Doyle, who works incredibly hard to tell smart stories and build fan culture in a league that's starved for both
Blows my mind that MLS didn't beg him to keep doing that, but go subscribe to his work to keep the league fun in spite of itself
Blows my mind that MLS didn't beg him to keep doing that, but go subscribe to his work to keep the league fun in spite of itself
Fifteen years ago, I got my dream job writing for MLSsoccer. Last week, that came to an end.
I'm off on my own, and it's time to build something new – with a little help from all of you.
tacticsfreezone.ghost.io/an-end-to-my...
I'm off on my own, and it's time to build something new – with a little help from all of you.
tacticsfreezone.ghost.io/an-end-to-my...
February 11, 2026 at 6:14 PM
American soccer wouldn't be the same without Doyle, who works incredibly hard to tell smart stories and build fan culture in a league that's starved for both
Blows my mind that MLS didn't beg him to keep doing that, but go subscribe to his work to keep the league fun in spite of itself
Blows my mind that MLS didn't beg him to keep doing that, but go subscribe to his work to keep the league fun in spite of itself
Reposted by Hayden Van Brewer
Also insane that the biggest and best voice on MLS is someone who preferred working for the league itself, and the league itself said nah, that's not worth our money. Bananas.
February 11, 2026 at 6:06 PM
Also insane that the biggest and best voice on MLS is someone who preferred working for the league itself, and the league itself said nah, that's not worth our money. Bananas.
Reposted by Hayden Van Brewer
Fifteen years ago, I got my dream job writing for MLSsoccer. Last week, that came to an end.
I'm off on my own, and it's time to build something new – with a little help from all of you.
tacticsfreezone.ghost.io/an-end-to-my...
I'm off on my own, and it's time to build something new – with a little help from all of you.
tacticsfreezone.ghost.io/an-end-to-my...
February 11, 2026 at 5:57 PM
Fifteen years ago, I got my dream job writing for MLSsoccer. Last week, that came to an end.
I'm off on my own, and it's time to build something new – with a little help from all of you.
tacticsfreezone.ghost.io/an-end-to-my...
I'm off on my own, and it's time to build something new – with a little help from all of you.
tacticsfreezone.ghost.io/an-end-to-my...
An all-timer newsletter from an inspired Kim
February 11, 2026 at 4:51 PM
An all-timer newsletter from an inspired Kim
