Ted Knutson
@mixedknuts.bsky.social
Founder, StatsBomb, Variance Incorporated.
@thetransferflow
Daily Rumours newsletter https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe
Frmr: Brentford FC, Pinnacle, SB
@thetransferflow
Daily Rumours newsletter https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe
Frmr: Brentford FC, Pinnacle, SB
Reposted by Ted Knutson
New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @mixedknuts.bsky.social talk about the biggest stories from the Premier League weekend:
• Doku's amazing start to the year
• What's going wrong with Liverpool
• Are Aston Villa lucky?
• Newcastle's poor squad building
www.youtube.com/watch?v=i8z_...
• Doku's amazing start to the year
• What's going wrong with Liverpool
• Are Aston Villa lucky?
• Newcastle's poor squad building
www.youtube.com/watch?v=i8z_...
Why Man City Won't Catch Arsenal This Season | Ep. 139
YouTube video by The Transfer Flow
www.youtube.com
November 11, 2025 at 2:02 PM
New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @mixedknuts.bsky.social talk about the biggest stories from the Premier League weekend:
• Doku's amazing start to the year
• What's going wrong with Liverpool
• Are Aston Villa lucky?
• Newcastle's poor squad building
www.youtube.com/watch?v=i8z_...
• Doku's amazing start to the year
• What's going wrong with Liverpool
• Are Aston Villa lucky?
• Newcastle's poor squad building
www.youtube.com/watch?v=i8z_...
Reposted by Ted Knutson
Solar’s price drop is astonishing: panels are now 98% cheaper than when I first analyzed them in 2004.
Today, building a fence with solar can be cheaper than using wood.
Today, building a fence with solar can be cheaper than using wood.
November 10, 2025 at 8:10 AM
Solar’s price drop is astonishing: panels are now 98% cheaper than when I first analyzed them in 2004.
Today, building a fence with solar can be cheaper than using wood.
Today, building a fence with solar can be cheaper than using wood.
So there's a political/economic Fantasy book series written by one of the authors of The Expanse and I had to find that shit by accident because NO ONE TOLD ME.
November 10, 2025 at 8:23 PM
So there's a political/economic Fantasy book series written by one of the authors of The Expanse and I had to find that shit by accident because NO ONE TOLD ME.
Through 11 matches, the Premier League's most unplayable attacker this season is this guy, and it's not actually that close.
Yes, it helps to play with Haaland, but Doku is 1.5 times more dangerous with the ball around the box than anyone else in the league this season.
Yes, it helps to play with Haaland, but Doku is 1.5 times more dangerous with the ball around the box than anyone else in the league this season.
November 10, 2025 at 10:46 AM
Through 11 matches, the Premier League's most unplayable attacker this season is this guy, and it's not actually that close.
Yes, it helps to play with Haaland, but Doku is 1.5 times more dangerous with the ball around the box than anyone else in the league this season.
Yes, it helps to play with Haaland, but Doku is 1.5 times more dangerous with the ball around the box than anyone else in the league this season.
"What do you think of Brentford's Igor Thiago?"
Well, I had zero clue what to think after a full-season injury layoff coming into the league and now... seems fine?
It's okay not to have strong opinions on players!
Well, I had zero clue what to think after a full-season injury layoff coming into the league and now... seems fine?
It's okay not to have strong opinions on players!
November 10, 2025 at 8:43 AM
"What do you think of Brentford's Igor Thiago?"
Well, I had zero clue what to think after a full-season injury layoff coming into the league and now... seems fine?
It's okay not to have strong opinions on players!
Well, I had zero clue what to think after a full-season injury layoff coming into the league and now... seems fine?
It's okay not to have strong opinions on players!
Did Delilah last night (excellent food and immaculate vibes).
Now off the strip for pho.
Now off the strip for pho.
November 7, 2025 at 8:43 PM
Did Delilah last night (excellent food and immaculate vibes).
Now off the strip for pho.
Now off the strip for pho.
Reposted by Ted Knutson
New Patreon exclusive episode! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @shelatneel.bsky.social talk about how clubs build their talent pipelines by specializing in unique knowledge of one country:
www.patreon.com/posts/video-...
www.patreon.com/posts/video-...
(Video) How Clubs Build (and Break) Their Talent Pipelines + Football HOT TAKES | Ep. 3 | The Transfer Flow
Get more from The Transfer Flow on Patreon
www.patreon.com
November 7, 2025 at 4:08 PM
New Patreon exclusive episode! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @shelatneel.bsky.social talk about how clubs build their talent pipelines by specializing in unique knowledge of one country:
www.patreon.com/posts/video-...
www.patreon.com/posts/video-...
Reposted by Ted Knutson
We've got a cool new part-time, remote opportunity with our group. It’s a 10-week project-based Quantitative Research internship (paid) with the expectation of 15 hours/week of work.
We designed this with students in mind, but open to anyone. Apply at link: job-boards.greenhouse.io/detroitlions...
We designed this with students in mind, but open to anyone. Apply at link: job-boards.greenhouse.io/detroitlions...
Quantitative Research Intern - Remote
Detroit, MI 48226
job-boards.greenhouse.io
November 6, 2025 at 8:18 PM
We've got a cool new part-time, remote opportunity with our group. It’s a 10-week project-based Quantitative Research internship (paid) with the expectation of 15 hours/week of work.
We designed this with students in mind, but open to anyone. Apply at link: job-boards.greenhouse.io/detroitlions...
We designed this with students in mind, but open to anyone. Apply at link: job-boards.greenhouse.io/detroitlions...
This week's Variance Betting column will be out in a couple of hours. I was supposed to be on holiday this week, but we're making it work.
The PL card in particular is surprisingly aggressive, so sign up and enjoy the best gambling analysis on the Internet.
The PL card in particular is surprisingly aggressive, so sign up and enjoy the best gambling analysis on the Internet.
Ended +3.5 last night, +5 on the week.
Up about 200K on these leagues so far this season (over 100% on the bankroll), and creating some VERY happy Variance Betting subscribers.
[Past results are no guarantee of future results. Example: This is better than last season!]
Up about 200K on these leagues so far this season (over 100% on the bankroll), and creating some VERY happy Variance Betting subscribers.
[Past results are no guarantee of future results. Example: This is better than last season!]
Tonight's Variance Betting has 6 bets on Champions League and 2 on the EFL Championship.
+18.5u so far this season!
www.thetransferflow.com/p/variance-b...
+18.5u so far this season!
www.thetransferflow.com/p/variance-b...
November 7, 2025 at 2:01 PM
This week's Variance Betting column will be out in a couple of hours. I was supposed to be on holiday this week, but we're making it work.
The PL card in particular is surprisingly aggressive, so sign up and enjoy the best gambling analysis on the Internet.
The PL card in particular is surprisingly aggressive, so sign up and enjoy the best gambling analysis on the Internet.
Reposted by Ted Knutson
Agreed to get back on the @thetransferflow.bsky.social podcast this week only because we talked about a team that is NOT top of the Azerbaijan Premier League (among other UCL participants):
www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYDe...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYDe...
This team just became Champions League favorites | Ep. 138
YouTube video by The Transfer Flow
www.youtube.com
November 7, 2025 at 10:58 AM
Agreed to get back on the @thetransferflow.bsky.social podcast this week only because we talked about a team that is NOT top of the Azerbaijan Premier League (among other UCL participants):
www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYDe...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYDe...
NYC you were awesome, as always.
Vegas next!
Vegas next!
November 6, 2025 at 4:13 PM
NYC you were awesome, as always.
Vegas next!
Vegas next!
Ended +3.5 last night, +5 on the week.
Up about 200K on these leagues so far this season (over 100% on the bankroll), and creating some VERY happy Variance Betting subscribers.
[Past results are no guarantee of future results. Example: This is better than last season!]
Up about 200K on these leagues so far this season (over 100% on the bankroll), and creating some VERY happy Variance Betting subscribers.
[Past results are no guarantee of future results. Example: This is better than last season!]
Tonight's Variance Betting has 6 bets on Champions League and 2 on the EFL Championship.
+18.5u so far this season!
www.thetransferflow.com/p/variance-b...
+18.5u so far this season!
www.thetransferflow.com/p/variance-b...
Variance Betting - Wed CL + Champ 5Nov2025
www.thetransferflow.com
November 6, 2025 at 1:17 PM
Ended +3.5 last night, +5 on the week.
Up about 200K on these leagues so far this season (over 100% on the bankroll), and creating some VERY happy Variance Betting subscribers.
[Past results are no guarantee of future results. Example: This is better than last season!]
Up about 200K on these leagues so far this season (over 100% on the bankroll), and creating some VERY happy Variance Betting subscribers.
[Past results are no guarantee of future results. Example: This is better than last season!]
Reposted by Ted Knutson
Tough one on the highlight of the night. Dan Burns curling header, or @mixedknuts.bsky.social flying in at the back post with the winning tips once again 💪👌
November 5, 2025 at 10:10 PM
Tough one on the highlight of the night. Dan Burns curling header, or @mixedknuts.bsky.social flying in at the back post with the winning tips once again 💪👌
Steven Nzonzi- yes, THAT Steven Nzonzi - has scored for Stoke.
November 4, 2025 at 9:07 PM
Steven Nzonzi- yes, THAT Steven Nzonzi - has scored for Stoke.
What are you trying?
November 4, 2025 at 8:55 PM
What are you trying?
REMINDER: This is tonight.
NYC PEOPLE: I'm going to do a small meetup Tuesday (tomorrow) at Evil Twin in Dumbo from 4-6. Feel free to stop by and discuss soccer nerd/football nerd/ business nerd stuff.
November 4, 2025 at 4:53 PM
REMINDER: This is tonight.
Atalanta have HOW MANY Serie A draws so far this season?
7? In ten matches?!?
7? In ten matches?!?
November 4, 2025 at 1:25 PM
Atalanta have HOW MANY Serie A draws so far this season?
7? In ten matches?!?
7? In ten matches?!?
Reposted by Ted Knutson
Contrary to @kimischilling.bsky.social 's claim in the newsletter today: I don't actually gamble in Vegas.
I only play things with edge!
(+2 in the PL this weekend, -.5 in the Champ. Approaching +200k on the season, which is wild.)
Subscribe for analysis
www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade
I only play things with edge!
(+2 in the PL this weekend, -.5 in the Champ. Approaching +200k on the season, which is wild.)
Subscribe for analysis
www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade
www.thetransferflow.com
November 3, 2025 at 3:52 PM
Contrary to @kimischilling.bsky.social 's claim in the newsletter today: I don't actually gamble in Vegas.
I only play things with edge!
(+2 in the PL this weekend, -.5 in the Champ. Approaching +200k on the season, which is wild.)
Subscribe for analysis
www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade
I only play things with edge!
(+2 in the PL this weekend, -.5 in the Champ. Approaching +200k on the season, which is wild.)
Subscribe for analysis
www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade
Reposted by Ted Knutson
NYC PEOPLE: I'm going to do a small meetup Tuesday (tomorrow) at Evil Twin in Dumbo from 4-6. Feel free to stop by and discuss soccer nerd/football nerd/ business nerd stuff.
November 3, 2025 at 3:09 PM
NYC PEOPLE: I'm going to do a small meetup Tuesday (tomorrow) at Evil Twin in Dumbo from 4-6. Feel free to stop by and discuss soccer nerd/football nerd/ business nerd stuff.
Contrary to @kimischilling.bsky.social 's claim in the newsletter today: I don't actually gamble in Vegas.
I only play things with edge!
(+2 in the PL this weekend, -.5 in the Champ. Approaching +200k on the season, which is wild.)
Subscribe for analysis
www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade
I only play things with edge!
(+2 in the PL this weekend, -.5 in the Champ. Approaching +200k on the season, which is wild.)
Subscribe for analysis
www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade
www.thetransferflow.com
November 3, 2025 at 3:52 PM
Contrary to @kimischilling.bsky.social 's claim in the newsletter today: I don't actually gamble in Vegas.
I only play things with edge!
(+2 in the PL this weekend, -.5 in the Champ. Approaching +200k on the season, which is wild.)
Subscribe for analysis
www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade
I only play things with edge!
(+2 in the PL this weekend, -.5 in the Champ. Approaching +200k on the season, which is wild.)
Subscribe for analysis
www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade
NYC PEOPLE: I'm going to do a small meetup Tuesday (tomorrow) at Evil Twin in Dumbo from 4-6. Feel free to stop by and discuss soccer nerd/football nerd/ business nerd stuff.
November 3, 2025 at 3:09 PM
NYC PEOPLE: I'm going to do a small meetup Tuesday (tomorrow) at Evil Twin in Dumbo from 4-6. Feel free to stop by and discuss soccer nerd/football nerd/ business nerd stuff.
One of my happy places. (But I gotta exercise a ton when I am here bc the food is TOO GOOD.)
November 1, 2025 at 1:01 PM
One of my happy places. (But I gotta exercise a ton when I am here bc the food is TOO GOOD.)
Reposted by Ted Knutson
My last thing on the Chat GPT coaching thing is that I made a twitter account where I’d ask chat gpt to write threads on some tactical concept and post them with pictures of chess boards, and within 2 weeks it had followers from 10+ PL and MLS Clubs. Coach brain is so susceptible to grift.
October 31, 2025 at 6:41 PM
My last thing on the Chat GPT coaching thing is that I made a twitter account where I’d ask chat gpt to write threads on some tactical concept and post them with pictures of chess boards, and within 2 weeks it had followers from 10+ PL and MLS Clubs. Coach brain is so susceptible to grift.
Reposted by Ted Knutson
Variance Betting is on an absolute heater to start the season:
Premier League: +5.5
Championship: +7.5
Champions League: +4.5
Analysis of lines from these 3 competitions every week to help you bet smarter ⬇
www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade
Premier League: +5.5
Championship: +7.5
Champions League: +4.5
Analysis of lines from these 3 competitions every week to help you bet smarter ⬇
www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade
October 31, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Variance Betting is on an absolute heater to start the season:
Premier League: +5.5
Championship: +7.5
Champions League: +4.5
Analysis of lines from these 3 competitions every week to help you bet smarter ⬇
www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade
Premier League: +5.5
Championship: +7.5
Champions League: +4.5
Analysis of lines from these 3 competitions every week to help you bet smarter ⬇
www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade