Ted Knutson
@mixedknuts.bsky.social
Founder, StatsBomb, Variance Incorporated.
@thetransferflow
Daily Rumours newsletter https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe
Frmr: Brentford FC, Pinnacle, SB
@thetransferflow
Daily Rumours newsletter https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe
Frmr: Brentford FC, Pinnacle, SB
FC Groningen, Attacking and Defending Radars 24-25 vs 25-26.
Significant upgrades in output, but why?
Significant upgrades in output, but why?
December 29, 2025 at 1:32 PM
FC Groningen, Attacking and Defending Radars 24-25 vs 25-26.
Significant upgrades in output, but why?
Significant upgrades in output, but why?
Keisuke Goto, Sint-Truiden Radar and Shot Maps.
I genuinely love a deep cut, hipster football radar request.
I genuinely love a deep cut, hipster football radar request.
December 29, 2025 at 12:49 PM
Keisuke Goto, Sint-Truiden Radar and Shot Maps.
I genuinely love a deep cut, hipster football radar request.
I genuinely love a deep cut, hipster football radar request.
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (@TheTransferFlow AKA: Bridgerton).
I didn't think he was good enough for Chelsea when they signed him, but that he WAS good enough for the PL.
And I still feel that way. Definitely enjoys playing with Grealish!
I didn't think he was good enough for Chelsea when they signed him, but that he WAS good enough for the PL.
And I still feel that way. Definitely enjoys playing with Grealish!
December 29, 2025 at 12:46 PM
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (@TheTransferFlow AKA: Bridgerton).
I didn't think he was good enough for Chelsea when they signed him, but that he WAS good enough for the PL.
And I still feel that way. Definitely enjoys playing with Grealish!
I didn't think he was good enough for Chelsea when they signed him, but that he WAS good enough for the PL.
And I still feel that way. Definitely enjoys playing with Grealish!
Cody Gakpo, Shot Maps from PSV and then the last 3 Liverpool seasons.
I am always intrigued by how high volume wide forwards will adjust their shooting once they get to the PL.
In Gakpo's case... he's really struggled to convert those angled shots into PL goals.
I am always intrigued by how high volume wide forwards will adjust their shooting once they get to the PL.
In Gakpo's case... he's really struggled to convert those angled shots into PL goals.
December 29, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Cody Gakpo, Shot Maps from PSV and then the last 3 Liverpool seasons.
I am always intrigued by how high volume wide forwards will adjust their shooting once they get to the PL.
In Gakpo's case... he's really struggled to convert those angled shots into PL goals.
I am always intrigued by how high volume wide forwards will adjust their shooting once they get to the PL.
In Gakpo's case... he's really struggled to convert those angled shots into PL goals.
Viktor Gyokeres, Coventry 22-23 and Arsenal 25-26.
I was not excited about the Gyokeres move due to age vs cost, and the potential gap between his output in the Championship vs what we saw in Portugal.
It's safe to say these were valid concerns.
I was not excited about the Gyokeres move due to age vs cost, and the potential gap between his output in the Championship vs what we saw in Portugal.
It's safe to say these were valid concerns.
December 29, 2025 at 12:29 PM
Viktor Gyokeres, Coventry 22-23 and Arsenal 25-26.
I was not excited about the Gyokeres move due to age vs cost, and the potential gap between his output in the Championship vs what we saw in Portugal.
It's safe to say these were valid concerns.
I was not excited about the Gyokeres move due to age vs cost, and the potential gap between his output in the Championship vs what we saw in Portugal.
It's safe to say these were valid concerns.
Florian Wirtz, Bayer Leverkusen 23-24 vs Liverpool 25-26.
Very much a work in progress, which is okay because he's still pretty young.
Year 2 for him will be VERY interesting, but so will the second half of the season!
Very much a work in progress, which is okay because he's still pretty young.
Year 2 for him will be VERY interesting, but so will the second half of the season!
December 29, 2025 at 12:23 PM
Florian Wirtz, Bayer Leverkusen 23-24 vs Liverpool 25-26.
Very much a work in progress, which is okay because he's still pretty young.
Year 2 for him will be VERY interesting, but so will the second half of the season!
Very much a work in progress, which is okay because he's still pretty young.
Year 2 for him will be VERY interesting, but so will the second half of the season!
Chelsea Attacking and Defensive radar comparison, 24-25 vs 25-26.
Plus the attacking shot maps for each season.
Plus the attacking shot maps for each season.
December 29, 2025 at 12:19 PM
Chelsea Attacking and Defensive radar comparison, 24-25 vs 25-26.
Plus the attacking shot maps for each season.
Plus the attacking shot maps for each season.
The request line is OPEN.
Please request player/team, season, and vis type.
You have 10 minutes before this offer expires.
Good luck!
Please request player/team, season, and vis type.
You have 10 minutes before this offer expires.
Good luck!
I'm going to do something I haven't done in many years...
At 12UK time (about an hour), I'm going to open a Request Line for football vis.
DO NOT REQUEST NOW. I'm just warning you so you can think ahead.
At 12UK time (about an hour), I'm going to open a Request Line for football vis.
DO NOT REQUEST NOW. I'm just warning you so you can think ahead.
December 29, 2025 at 12:04 PM
The request line is OPEN.
Please request player/team, season, and vis type.
You have 10 minutes before this offer expires.
Good luck!
Please request player/team, season, and vis type.
You have 10 minutes before this offer expires.
Good luck!
I'm going to do something I haven't done in many years...
At 12UK time (about an hour), I'm going to open a Request Line for football vis.
DO NOT REQUEST NOW. I'm just warning you so you can think ahead.
At 12UK time (about an hour), I'm going to open a Request Line for football vis.
DO NOT REQUEST NOW. I'm just warning you so you can think ahead.
December 29, 2025 at 10:56 AM
I'm going to do something I haven't done in many years...
At 12UK time (about an hour), I'm going to open a Request Line for football vis.
DO NOT REQUEST NOW. I'm just warning you so you can think ahead.
At 12UK time (about an hour), I'm going to open a Request Line for football vis.
DO NOT REQUEST NOW. I'm just warning you so you can think ahead.
Now THAT... is a shot map.
Leeds' gamble on Calvert-Lewin's health is paying off so far.
Leeds' gamble on Calvert-Lewin's health is paying off so far.
December 29, 2025 at 10:28 AM
Now THAT... is a shot map.
Leeds' gamble on Calvert-Lewin's health is paying off so far.
Leeds' gamble on Calvert-Lewin's health is paying off so far.
Having a solid weekend so far on Variance Betting, with two more EPL games to go.
And just dropped the Monday Championship analysis email to subscribers. No rest for the degenerates!
And just dropped the Monday Championship analysis email to subscribers. No rest for the degenerates!
December 28, 2025 at 1:23 PM
Having a solid weekend so far on Variance Betting, with two more EPL games to go.
And just dropped the Monday Championship analysis email to subscribers. No rest for the degenerates!
And just dropped the Monday Championship analysis email to subscribers. No rest for the degenerates!
Reposted by Ted Knutson
genuine trappist
December 28, 2025 at 2:35 AM
genuine trappist
Reposted by Ted Knutson
so far there has been one shot attempt taken in Brighton's half of the pitch
it was taken by Arsenal
it was taken by Arsenal
December 27, 2025 at 3:46 PM
so far there has been one shot attempt taken in Brighton's half of the pitch
it was taken by Arsenal
it was taken by Arsenal
Reposted by Ted Knutson
New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @mixedknuts.bsky.social talk about the upcoming January transfer window.
Why it's likely to be super active, and what everyone in the Premier League needs:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=i8Gf...
Why it's likely to be super active, and what everyone in the Premier League needs:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=i8Gf...
Why This Could Be the Craziest January Window EVER
YouTube video by The Transfer Flow
www.youtube.com
December 22, 2025 at 7:19 PM
New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @mixedknuts.bsky.social talk about the upcoming January transfer window.
Why it's likely to be super active, and what everyone in the Premier League needs:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=i8Gf...
Why it's likely to be super active, and what everyone in the Premier League needs:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=i8Gf...
Has anyone read a great piece or two on Arsenal's 4-4-2 out of possession midblock?
Will also happily take links to videos of Arteta discussing it.
And any tactical coaches courses on how to train it?
Thanks!
Will also happily take links to videos of Arteta discussing it.
And any tactical coaches courses on how to train it?
Thanks!
December 20, 2025 at 11:51 AM
Has anyone read a great piece or two on Arsenal's 4-4-2 out of possession midblock?
Will also happily take links to videos of Arteta discussing it.
And any tactical coaches courses on how to train it?
Thanks!
Will also happily take links to videos of Arteta discussing it.
And any tactical coaches courses on how to train it?
Thanks!
Reposted by Ted Knutson
On this week's Patreon, @mixedknuts and @PatrickBVS talk about:
• How much fan opinion should matter for clubs
• Why goalkeepers are so hard to evaluate
• Their favourite non-Arsenal players of all time
New episodes every Friday. Sign up here: www.patreon.com/TheTransferF...
• How much fan opinion should matter for clubs
• Why goalkeepers are so hard to evaluate
• Their favourite non-Arsenal players of all time
New episodes every Friday. Sign up here: www.patreon.com/TheTransferF...
The Transfer Flow | Patreon
www.patreon.com
December 19, 2025 at 9:37 AM
On this week's Patreon, @mixedknuts and @PatrickBVS talk about:
• How much fan opinion should matter for clubs
• Why goalkeepers are so hard to evaluate
• Their favourite non-Arsenal players of all time
New episodes every Friday. Sign up here: www.patreon.com/TheTransferF...
• How much fan opinion should matter for clubs
• Why goalkeepers are so hard to evaluate
• Their favourite non-Arsenal players of all time
New episodes every Friday. Sign up here: www.patreon.com/TheTransferF...
Given the Maresca noise the last two weeks, I wanted to look back and see what Chelsea's xG trending had been across his tenure.
There was one elite two-month period... and the rest has largely just been okay. We'll see if the attack continues to ramp up.
There was one elite two-month period... and the rest has largely just been okay. We'll see if the attack continues to ramp up.
December 19, 2025 at 8:40 AM
Given the Maresca noise the last two weeks, I wanted to look back and see what Chelsea's xG trending had been across his tenure.
There was one elite two-month period... and the rest has largely just been okay. We'll see if the attack continues to ramp up.
There was one elite two-month period... and the rest has largely just been okay. We'll see if the attack continues to ramp up.
*goes to start analysing EPL Betting weekend*
Oh. AFCON.
Oh oh oh.
*takes a big step back... then goes back to work*
Sunderland, that is a lot of gentlemen that got on planes.
Oh. AFCON.
Oh oh oh.
*takes a big step back... then goes back to work*
Sunderland, that is a lot of gentlemen that got on planes.
December 19, 2025 at 8:33 AM
*goes to start analysing EPL Betting weekend*
Oh. AFCON.
Oh oh oh.
*takes a big step back... then goes back to work*
Sunderland, that is a lot of gentlemen that got on planes.
Oh. AFCON.
Oh oh oh.
*takes a big step back... then goes back to work*
Sunderland, that is a lot of gentlemen that got on planes.
Reposted by Ted Knutson
In the most MLS trade of all time, Toronto FC traded their first round draft pick to Colorado for a video analyst/assistant coach.
Colorado then used that pick to select a player already under contract at their club for 2026.
Colorado then used that pick to select a player already under contract at their club for 2026.
December 19, 2025 at 12:12 AM
In the most MLS trade of all time, Toronto FC traded their first round draft pick to Colorado for a video analyst/assistant coach.
Colorado then used that pick to select a player already under contract at their club for 2026.
Colorado then used that pick to select a player already under contract at their club for 2026.
Reposted by Ted Knutson
"And Tiny Tim, who did not die" = heartwarming, Christmassy.
"And Tiny Tim, who would not die" = sinister, alarming.
"And Tiny Tim, who would not die" = sinister, alarming.
December 18, 2023 at 10:16 AM
"And Tiny Tim, who did not die" = heartwarming, Christmassy.
"And Tiny Tim, who would not die" = sinister, alarming.
"And Tiny Tim, who would not die" = sinister, alarming.
Reposted by Ted Knutson
🧵 Thread: I recently looked into the concept of escaping pressure 👇
1️⃣ 3rd player, up-back combos are the most efficient at escaping pressure
🔷 I defined a press-escaping situation as a pass that found a free player (not pressured in 3 seconds), after 2 consecutive ball carriers were pressurized
1️⃣ 3rd player, up-back combos are the most efficient at escaping pressure
🔷 I defined a press-escaping situation as a pass that found a free player (not pressured in 3 seconds), after 2 consecutive ball carriers were pressurized
December 17, 2025 at 3:18 PM
🧵 Thread: I recently looked into the concept of escaping pressure 👇
1️⃣ 3rd player, up-back combos are the most efficient at escaping pressure
🔷 I defined a press-escaping situation as a pass that found a free player (not pressured in 3 seconds), after 2 consecutive ball carriers were pressurized
1️⃣ 3rd player, up-back combos are the most efficient at escaping pressure
🔷 I defined a press-escaping situation as a pass that found a free player (not pressured in 3 seconds), after 2 consecutive ball carriers were pressurized
Reposted by Ted Knutson
🔷 A complex concept to pull-out from event data, tracking data would help to better define under-pressure situations
🔷 The study suggests it's important for certain styles & that some combinations are more efficient
✍️ Full article available here 👇
cambiodejuegoenglish.beehiiv.com/p/up-back-3r...
🔷 The study suggests it's important for certain styles & that some combinations are more efficient
✍️ Full article available here 👇
cambiodejuegoenglish.beehiiv.com/p/up-back-3r...
Up-back 3rd player combos- The key to escaping pressure?
Studying press escaping, and why it matters for some teams
cambiodejuegoenglish.beehiiv.com
December 17, 2025 at 3:18 PM
🔷 A complex concept to pull-out from event data, tracking data would help to better define under-pressure situations
🔷 The study suggests it's important for certain styles & that some combinations are more efficient
✍️ Full article available here 👇
cambiodejuegoenglish.beehiiv.com/p/up-back-3r...
🔷 The study suggests it's important for certain styles & that some combinations are more efficient
✍️ Full article available here 👇
cambiodejuegoenglish.beehiiv.com/p/up-back-3r...
Reposted by Ted Knutson
New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @hvanbrewer.bsky.social talk about:
• City's attack starting to click
• Arsenal's dropping off without injured stars
• The good and bad at Man United
• What's going wrong for Spurs
www.youtube.com/watch?v=K21Z...
• City's attack starting to click
• Arsenal's dropping off without injured stars
• The good and bad at Man United
• What's going wrong for Spurs
www.youtube.com/watch?v=K21Z...
Will Arsenal's Attack Cost Them The Title? | Ep. 149
YouTube video by The Transfer Flow
www.youtube.com
December 16, 2025 at 7:10 PM
New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @hvanbrewer.bsky.social talk about:
• City's attack starting to click
• Arsenal's dropping off without injured stars
• The good and bad at Man United
• What's going wrong for Spurs
www.youtube.com/watch?v=K21Z...
• City's attack starting to click
• Arsenal's dropping off without injured stars
• The good and bad at Man United
• What's going wrong for Spurs
www.youtube.com/watch?v=K21Z...
Maybe the single biggest difference between DoF work and transfer pundit work:
There are a LOT of not very good footballers. And as a pundit, you basically never pay attention to them. As a DoF they are constantly in your inbox.
There are a LOT of not very good footballers. And as a pundit, you basically never pay attention to them. As a DoF they are constantly in your inbox.
December 16, 2025 at 11:25 AM
Maybe the single biggest difference between DoF work and transfer pundit work:
There are a LOT of not very good footballers. And as a pundit, you basically never pay attention to them. As a DoF they are constantly in your inbox.
There are a LOT of not very good footballers. And as a pundit, you basically never pay attention to them. As a DoF they are constantly in your inbox.