Jeremy Horpedahl
horp.bsky.social
Jeremy Horpedahl
@horp.bsky.social
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
I promised you some good news after a bleak week.

Here it is. This is one of the most wrenching wrongful convictions I've ever written about.

It is wonderful to see Charlie out and off to his new home.

radleybalko.substack.com/p/after-35-y...
After 35 years in prison, Charlie Vaughn is free
Vaughn, an Arkansas man with a severe intellectual disability, spent decades in prison for a murder he did not commit. He was finally released on Friday.
radleybalko.substack.com
January 9, 2026 at 6:14 PM
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
Wow
January 8, 2026 at 2:51 AM
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
"UPDATED: Tariffs “Funded” Everything in 2025—Will the Fantasy Continue in 2026?"

ANSWER: YES www.cato.org/blog/tariffs...
UPDATED: Tariffs “Funded” Everything in 2025—Will the Fantasy Continue in 2026?
2026 will almost certainly bring more (fantastical) proposals for funding new federal programs and policies through tariff revenue.
www.cato.org
January 7, 2026 at 11:22 PM
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
Austin Peay State University in Tennessee also reinstated Darren Michael, a tenured acting professor whose post about Charlie Kirk’s killing inflamed conservatives. www.nytimes.com/2026/01/07/u...
University to Pay $500,000 to Professor It Fired Over Charlie Kirk Post
www.nytimes.com
January 8, 2026 at 12:05 AM
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
A heck of a chart: in every single one of the 10 major US cities that built the most housing between 2017 and 2023, rents for older, existing units fell—often by quite a bit.
January 6, 2026 at 5:18 PM
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
REALLY important to note homicide has dropped sharply all OVER the place, in places that have a lot of diff policing tactics.

That doesn’t mean that what the NYPD did was irrelevant, but also def means that you can’t simply say “we did x, then crime fell,” bc a lot of not-xs saw similar drops.
“When asked about reforms he has promised, like eliminating the NYPD’s gang database and outsourcing many mental health calls to a newly created agency, he deferred to Tisch.

“At this time, there is no change planned to the crime-fighting strategy that has delivered historic results,” Tisch said.”
NYPD Commissioner Jessica Tisch touted today how the department's crime fighting tactics are working, saying she sees no need to change them.

Standing next to her, Mayor Mamdani — who promised various NYPD reforms during the campaign — didn't object. www.nydailynews.com/2026/01/06/a...
January 6, 2026 at 10:41 PM
Turning Point finally found the voter fraud they have been searching for
Austin Smith resigned from the group founded by Charlie Kirk and suspended his bid for re-election to the Arizona House in 2024. www.nytimes.com/2026/01/06/u...
Ex-Turning Point Leader Gets Probation After Forging Voters’ Names
www.nytimes.com
January 7, 2026 at 12:26 AM
Trump goes full socialism:

"that money will be controlled by me, as President of the United States of America, to ensure it is used to benefit the people of Venezuela and the United States!"
Trump: “I am pleased to announce that the Interim Authorities in Venezuela will be turning over between 30 and 50 MILLION Barrels of High Quality, Sanctioned Oil, to the United States of America. This Oil will be sold at its Market Price, and that money will be controlled by me, as President”
January 7, 2026 at 12:25 AM
Mission accomplished? Iraq is more of a liberal democratic state than it was before the US invasion
January 6, 2026 at 12:44 AM
To better days ahead, hopefully
January 5, 2026 at 4:57 AM
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
Still waiting on final data for some cities, but murder fell a lot in in 2025 in the 30 cities with the most murders in 2024. Down 19.2% in those cities, down 19.7% counting just the 24 cities with data through at least mid-December.
January 5, 2026 at 2:54 AM
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
I count 10 cities in 2025 that are on track to have the fewest murders since at least 1970. Newark is on pace to have the fewest murders since 1956 (though only have data through Oct this year) and San Francisco is on pace to have the fewest murders since 1942.
December 23, 2025 at 7:06 PM
Your Fridge Is Bigger and Cheaper Today, Thanks to Global Trade and Innovation

www.cato.org/blog/fridge-...
November 26, 2025 at 5:21 PM
A recent essay claims the poverty line for a family of four should be $140,000. I disagree:

economistwritingeveryday.com/2025/11/26/t...
The Poverty Line is Not $140,000
A recent essay by Michael W. Green makes a very bold claim that the poverty line should not be where it is currently set — about $31,200 for a family of four — but should be much higher…
economistwritingeveryday.com
November 26, 2025 at 5:19 PM
People have been saying "past immigration was good, but immigrants today aren't the same" for a very long time. For example, this is from Grover Cleveland's veto of a 1897 bill that would have imposed a literacy test on new immigrants:

www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/ve...
November 16, 2025 at 7:09 PM
These were Trump's major campaign issues
October 5, 2025 at 6:24 PM
The increase in life expectancy is not solely a function of reduced child mortality. Life expectancy at age 15 has also increased dramatically in the past 100-200 years.
October 5, 2025 at 5:41 PM
I am now writing occasionally for Cato as an adjunct scholar. Here is my first blog post, on the misuse of negative externalities:

www.cato.org/blog/not-eve...
Not Everything You Dislike Is a "Negative Externality"
Not everything that annoys us or seems inefficient is a negative externality, yet policymakers often misuse this concept to justify costly and misguided interventions.
www.cato.org
January 26, 2025 at 3:20 AM
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
A parking lot turns into 75 homes over shops in Sacramento. (2017➡️2020)
January 8, 2025 at 3:35 AM
Remember "20 million missing votes" in the days after the election?

Now that most ballots have been counted, there were about 3 million fewer votes in 2024 than 2020: 155.5 vs 158.6 million

That's notable, but 2024 still has one of the highest turnout rates in 100 years
December 18, 2024 at 3:08 AM
Has economic progress stopped since 1971? No. Most goods and services are more affordable for the average worker today than 1971. Housing is a notable and important exception

economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/12/04/t...
December 5, 2024 at 12:48 AM
People have long complained about the rising cost of food. And in the 1970s families were well within their rights to complain: grocery prices indeed rose much faster than wages!

Contrast that with the most recent decade...
December 2, 2024 at 8:45 PM
100 year standard-of-living comparison from Antony Davies. As he summarizes:

"the median US worker today has a quality of life similar to the top 1% in 1924, and a minimum wage worker today has a quality of life similar to the middle-class in 1924"
December 2, 2024 at 8:43 PM
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
We love links at Seabird! Our platform is 100% dedicated to linking out. Posts with links are actually the only kind of posts our users can share. seabirdreader.com
November 27, 2024 at 7:54 PM

It's fun to look at prices from the past, such as this 1899 Thanksgiving menu from the Plaza Hotel in NYC. But don't let those prices fool you: wages are over 200 times higher today: economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/11/27/d...
November 27, 2024 at 8:01 PM