Jeremy Horpedahl
@horp.bsky.social
These were Trump's major campaign issues
October 5, 2025 at 6:24 PM
These were Trump's major campaign issues
The increase in life expectancy is not solely a function of reduced child mortality. Life expectancy at age 15 has also increased dramatically in the past 100-200 years.
October 5, 2025 at 5:41 PM
The increase in life expectancy is not solely a function of reduced child mortality. Life expectancy at age 15 has also increased dramatically in the past 100-200 years.
I am now writing occasionally for Cato as an adjunct scholar. Here is my first blog post, on the misuse of negative externalities:
www.cato.org/blog/not-eve...
www.cato.org/blog/not-eve...
Not Everything You Dislike Is a "Negative Externality"
Not everything that annoys us or seems inefficient is a negative externality, yet policymakers often misuse this concept to justify costly and misguided interventions.
www.cato.org
January 26, 2025 at 3:20 AM
I am now writing occasionally for Cato as an adjunct scholar. Here is my first blog post, on the misuse of negative externalities:
www.cato.org/blog/not-eve...
www.cato.org/blog/not-eve...
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
A parking lot turns into 75 homes over shops in Sacramento. (2017➡️2020)
January 8, 2025 at 3:35 AM
A parking lot turns into 75 homes over shops in Sacramento. (2017➡️2020)
Remember "20 million missing votes" in the days after the election?
Now that most ballots have been counted, there were about 3 million fewer votes in 2024 than 2020: 155.5 vs 158.6 million
That's notable, but 2024 still has one of the highest turnout rates in 100 years
Now that most ballots have been counted, there were about 3 million fewer votes in 2024 than 2020: 155.5 vs 158.6 million
That's notable, but 2024 still has one of the highest turnout rates in 100 years
December 18, 2024 at 3:08 AM
Remember "20 million missing votes" in the days after the election?
Now that most ballots have been counted, there were about 3 million fewer votes in 2024 than 2020: 155.5 vs 158.6 million
That's notable, but 2024 still has one of the highest turnout rates in 100 years
Now that most ballots have been counted, there were about 3 million fewer votes in 2024 than 2020: 155.5 vs 158.6 million
That's notable, but 2024 still has one of the highest turnout rates in 100 years
Has economic progress stopped since 1971? No. Most goods and services are more affordable for the average worker today than 1971. Housing is a notable and important exception
economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/12/04/t...
economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/12/04/t...
December 5, 2024 at 12:48 AM
Has economic progress stopped since 1971? No. Most goods and services are more affordable for the average worker today than 1971. Housing is a notable and important exception
economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/12/04/t...
economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/12/04/t...
People have long complained about the rising cost of food. And in the 1970s families were well within their rights to complain: grocery prices indeed rose much faster than wages!
Contrast that with the most recent decade...
Contrast that with the most recent decade...
December 2, 2024 at 8:45 PM
People have long complained about the rising cost of food. And in the 1970s families were well within their rights to complain: grocery prices indeed rose much faster than wages!
Contrast that with the most recent decade...
Contrast that with the most recent decade...
100 year standard-of-living comparison from Antony Davies. As he summarizes:
"the median US worker today has a quality of life similar to the top 1% in 1924, and a minimum wage worker today has a quality of life similar to the middle-class in 1924"
"the median US worker today has a quality of life similar to the top 1% in 1924, and a minimum wage worker today has a quality of life similar to the middle-class in 1924"
December 2, 2024 at 8:43 PM
100 year standard-of-living comparison from Antony Davies. As he summarizes:
"the median US worker today has a quality of life similar to the top 1% in 1924, and a minimum wage worker today has a quality of life similar to the middle-class in 1924"
"the median US worker today has a quality of life similar to the top 1% in 1924, and a minimum wage worker today has a quality of life similar to the middle-class in 1924"
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
We love links at Seabird! Our platform is 100% dedicated to linking out. Posts with links are actually the only kind of posts our users can share. seabirdreader.com
November 27, 2024 at 7:54 PM
We love links at Seabird! Our platform is 100% dedicated to linking out. Posts with links are actually the only kind of posts our users can share. seabirdreader.com
It's fun to look at prices from the past, such as this 1899 Thanksgiving menu from the Plaza Hotel in NYC. But don't let those prices fool you: wages are over 200 times higher today: economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/11/27/d...
November 27, 2024 at 8:01 PM
It's fun to look at prices from the past, such as this 1899 Thanksgiving menu from the Plaza Hotel in NYC. But don't let those prices fool you: wages are over 200 times higher today: economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/11/27/d...
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
They should just rename vaccines “supplements” so everyone will like them.
November 24, 2024 at 9:13 PM
They should just rename vaccines “supplements” so everyone will like them.
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
At a zoning board meeting the phrase “we’ve eliminated all school aged children” was just uttered in DEFENSE of a project.
November 21, 2024 at 4:42 PM
At a zoning board meeting the phrase “we’ve eliminated all school aged children” was just uttered in DEFENSE of a project.
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
This from @zmazlish.bsky.social is THE analysis of wages/income under Biden-Powell
jzmazlish.substack.com/p/yes-inflat...
TLDR: growth has been... historically weak (this is not normative -- just the numbers)
jzmazlish.substack.com/p/yes-inflat...
TLDR: growth has been... historically weak (this is not normative -- just the numbers)
November 12, 2024 at 9:33 PM
This from @zmazlish.bsky.social is THE analysis of wages/income under Biden-Powell
jzmazlish.substack.com/p/yes-inflat...
TLDR: growth has been... historically weak (this is not normative -- just the numbers)
jzmazlish.substack.com/p/yes-inflat...
TLDR: growth has been... historically weak (this is not normative -- just the numbers)
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
Incredibly dim stuff to watch go up the chain to the president elect
November 9, 2024 at 5:45 AM
Incredibly dim stuff to watch go up the chain to the president elect
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
23 mostly dismal thoughts on the election, worth exactly what you pay for them. (My blog is free.) www.jacobgrier.com/blog/2024/11...
23 mostly dismal thoughts about the election
1. Well, this sucks.2. Going for an evening bike ride last night on eerily empty streets as the ominous Portland crows flocked into my neighborhood, the feeling it most reminded me of was the las
www.jacobgrier.com
November 7, 2024 at 12:14 AM
23 mostly dismal thoughts on the election, worth exactly what you pay for them. (My blog is free.) www.jacobgrier.com/blog/2024/11...
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
Good stuff from Jacob.
23 mostly dismal thoughts on the election, worth exactly what you pay for them. (My blog is free.) www.jacobgrier.com/blog/2024/11...
23 mostly dismal thoughts about the election
1. Well, this sucks.2. Going for an evening bike ride last night on eerily empty streets as the ominous Portland crows flocked into my neighborhood, the feeling it most reminded me of was the las
www.jacobgrier.com
November 7, 2024 at 12:30 AM
Good stuff from Jacob.
About 9:30pm (CT) last night, I posted on Twitter that it was likely Harris would lose all the Blue Wall states. By 11pm, I said it was definitely over. But the AP and others wouldn't call it for over 5 hours later.
How?
I watched prediction markets: economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/11/06/b...
How?
I watched prediction markets: economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/11/06/b...
Big Win for Prediction Markets
Last night was a big win for Trump, but it was also a big win for prediction markets. In January 2024, I suggested that one of the best ways to follow the election was by following prediction marke…
economistwritingeveryday.com
November 7, 2024 at 3:21 AM
About 9:30pm (CT) last night, I posted on Twitter that it was likely Harris would lose all the Blue Wall states. By 11pm, I said it was definitely over. But the AP and others wouldn't call it for over 5 hours later.
How?
I watched prediction markets: economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/11/06/b...
How?
I watched prediction markets: economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/11/06/b...
The good news is that within 1 year, a large majority of Americans will acknowledge the following (which have all been true for at least ~18 months):
1. Inflation rate is falling
2. Crime is falling
3. Wages are rising faster than prices
4. Stock market is booming
1. Inflation rate is falling
2. Crime is falling
3. Wages are rising faster than prices
4. Stock market is booming
November 6, 2024 at 5:42 PM
The good news is that within 1 year, a large majority of Americans will acknowledge the following (which have all been true for at least ~18 months):
1. Inflation rate is falling
2. Crime is falling
3. Wages are rising faster than prices
4. Stock market is booming
1. Inflation rate is falling
2. Crime is falling
3. Wages are rising faster than prices
4. Stock market is booming
If you know, you know
November 5, 2024 at 4:43 PM
If you know, you know
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
US & EU Q3 GDP numbers are in, which means another update to my G7 GDP growth chart!
Here's each country's cumulative increase in real GDP, since just before the pandemic:
🇺🇸 +12.2%
🇨🇦 +5.8% (thru Q2)
🇮🇹 +5.1%
🇫🇷 +3.5%
🇬🇧 +2.3% (thru Q2)
🇯🇵 +0.2% (thru Q2)
🇩🇪 +0.1%
Here's each country's cumulative increase in real GDP, since just before the pandemic:
🇺🇸 +12.2%
🇨🇦 +5.8% (thru Q2)
🇮🇹 +5.1%
🇫🇷 +3.5%
🇬🇧 +2.3% (thru Q2)
🇯🇵 +0.2% (thru Q2)
🇩🇪 +0.1%
October 30, 2024 at 4:41 PM
US & EU Q3 GDP numbers are in, which means another update to my G7 GDP growth chart!
Here's each country's cumulative increase in real GDP, since just before the pandemic:
🇺🇸 +12.2%
🇨🇦 +5.8% (thru Q2)
🇮🇹 +5.1%
🇫🇷 +3.5%
🇬🇧 +2.3% (thru Q2)
🇯🇵 +0.2% (thru Q2)
🇩🇪 +0.1%
Here's each country's cumulative increase in real GDP, since just before the pandemic:
🇺🇸 +12.2%
🇨🇦 +5.8% (thru Q2)
🇮🇹 +5.1%
🇫🇷 +3.5%
🇬🇧 +2.3% (thru Q2)
🇯🇵 +0.2% (thru Q2)
🇩🇪 +0.1%
Why are 7 million working-age men not in the labor force in the US? The biggest reason, and the primary reason for the increase since the 1960s: illness and disability
economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/10/16/w...
economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/10/16/w...
October 17, 2024 at 6:47 PM
Why are 7 million working-age men not in the labor force in the US? The biggest reason, and the primary reason for the increase since the 1960s: illness and disability
economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/10/16/w...
economistwritingeveryday.com/2024/10/16/w...
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
*Of course* Bari Weiss is helping to spread the human trafficking moral panic, and *of course* her feature investigation does not include any actual examples of human trafficking.
www.thefp.com/p/inside-ame...
www.thefp.com/p/inside-ame...
October 14, 2024 at 9:46 PM
*Of course* Bari Weiss is helping to spread the human trafficking moral panic, and *of course* her feature investigation does not include any actual examples of human trafficking.
www.thefp.com/p/inside-ame...
www.thefp.com/p/inside-ame...
That's quite a resumé
October 11, 2024 at 5:11 PM
That's quite a resumé
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
🚨New from me in the Washington Post🚨
Trump’s 1st term tariffs didn’t work. For his 2nd term he’s proposing tariffs that are significantly larger, cover essential imports, risk trade war with our allies—and would thus do immense economic damage
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Trump’s 1st term tariffs didn’t work. For his 2nd term he’s proposing tariffs that are significantly larger, cover essential imports, risk trade war with our allies—and would thus do immense economic damage
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Opinion | What a washing machine saga says about Trump’s tariffs
The GOP nominee wants taxes on imports to be universal. Recent history tells us why that’s bad.
www.washingtonpost.com
October 8, 2024 at 9:40 PM
🚨New from me in the Washington Post🚨
Trump’s 1st term tariffs didn’t work. For his 2nd term he’s proposing tariffs that are significantly larger, cover essential imports, risk trade war with our allies—and would thus do immense economic damage
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Trump’s 1st term tariffs didn’t work. For his 2nd term he’s proposing tariffs that are significantly larger, cover essential imports, risk trade war with our allies—and would thus do immense economic damage
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Reposted by Jeremy Horpedahl
If another big tech company were backing Harris this unabashedly, Republican hacks would rupture their tracheas shrieking about it.
over the weekend X / Twitter took the @America handle from the original user who registered it
the handle now belongs to Elon Musk and his Super PAC set up to support Donald Trump
here's everything we know: www.disruptionist.com/p/elon-musk-...
the handle now belongs to Elon Musk and his Super PAC set up to support Donald Trump
here's everything we know: www.disruptionist.com/p/elon-musk-...
Elon Musk takes @America handle from X user to promote Donald Trump
The original @America user was a critic of both Musk and Trump.
www.disruptionist.com
October 8, 2024 at 12:26 AM
If another big tech company were backing Harris this unabashedly, Republican hacks would rupture their tracheas shrieking about it.