Federico
@federicovaggi.bsky.social
F_vaggi on Twitter. Senior staff scientist at Google X, previously Amazon.
Reposted by Federico
Basically saying "if you do crime for me, I won't only pardon you--I'll give you millions of dollars of public money." Truly unprecedented level of corruption
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Michael Flynn, DOJ in Settlement Talks Over $50 Million Claim
The Justice Department has been discussing settlements with two former officials from Donald Trump’s first term who — like the president — claim they’re owed major payouts from the US government as vi...
www.bloomberg.com
November 14, 2025 at 7:04 PM
Basically saying "if you do crime for me, I won't only pardon you--I'll give you millions of dollars of public money." Truly unprecedented level of corruption
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
I fully understand the causal point, but, if in the real world, candidate quality ends up being very tightly correlated with ideology, then, filtering by ideology is completely viable. This is quite obviously what's going on - there is a very simple DAG too.
Yes, these are legitimate **candidate quality issues** for Dems. But they are not about ideology! If your evidence is “they’re bad candidates,” that’s not an ideology critique — and actually the very thing I have been saying people should pay attention to more than ideology!
November 12, 2025 at 4:27 PM
I fully understand the causal point, but, if in the real world, candidate quality ends up being very tightly correlated with ideology, then, filtering by ideology is completely viable. This is quite obviously what's going on - there is a very simple DAG too.
November 10, 2025 at 9:06 PM
Reposted by Federico
New YouTube video uploaded on connections between Riemann zeta and Brownian motion!
What does Riemann Zeta have to do with Brownian Motion?
youtu.be/YTQKbgxbtiw
What does Riemann Zeta have to do with Brownian Motion?
youtu.be/YTQKbgxbtiw
What does Riemann Zeta have to do with Brownian Motion?
YouTube video by Almost Sure
youtu.be
November 9, 2025 at 8:19 PM
New YouTube video uploaded on connections between Riemann zeta and Brownian motion!
What does Riemann Zeta have to do with Brownian Motion?
youtu.be/YTQKbgxbtiw
What does Riemann Zeta have to do with Brownian Motion?
youtu.be/YTQKbgxbtiw
Reposted by Federico
A big motivation for posting a lot about AI and the environment was that I was seeing a lot of people otherwise on my side about most things refusing to touch this tool that imo you really in fact ought to just try and see what it can do
Part of the reason why I’m so insistent about folks understanding AI capabilities is that they’re here to stay and we need to start thinking about what to do in such a world. Putting the genie back in the bottle is a pleasant fantasy that delays serious reckoning
November 9, 2025 at 5:49 AM
A big motivation for posting a lot about AI and the environment was that I was seeing a lot of people otherwise on my side about most things refusing to touch this tool that imo you really in fact ought to just try and see what it can do
Reposted by Federico
I know there's a lot going on, but occasionally it's good to remind people that billions of animals suffer in crazy conditions in factory farms. In the U.S. it's gotten worse / denser in recent yrs, contrary to popular conception.
https://www.palladiummag.com/2025/11/01/factory-farming-is-a-blight/
https://www.palladiummag.com/2025/11/01/factory-farming-is-a-blight/
November 3, 2025 at 5:39 PM
I know there's a lot going on, but occasionally it's good to remind people that billions of animals suffer in crazy conditions in factory farms. In the U.S. it's gotten worse / denser in recent yrs, contrary to popular conception.
https://www.palladiummag.com/2025/11/01/factory-farming-is-a-blight/
https://www.palladiummag.com/2025/11/01/factory-farming-is-a-blight/
Reposted by Federico
My son was basically a celebrity trick or treating tonight. He was on cloud 9 from all the attention. Worth the effort!
November 1, 2025 at 3:44 AM
My son was basically a celebrity trick or treating tonight. He was on cloud 9 from all the attention. Worth the effort!
Reposted by Federico
ladies and gentlemen...we got him
October 30, 2025 at 7:10 PM
ladies and gentlemen...we got him
Reposted by Federico
Nowhere in this article is there any attempt to grapple with municipal finance beyond going "I don't understand this but it involves banks so it's a scam", nor any discussion of *why* Chicago is in a fiscal crisis, just warmed over OWS left-populist conspiraslop. thebaffler.com/latest/payin...
Paying for It | David I. Backer
Should Zohran Mamdani become the next mayor of New York City, he will be restricted by the municipal bond market.
thebaffler.com
October 30, 2025 at 10:35 PM
Nowhere in this article is there any attempt to grapple with municipal finance beyond going "I don't understand this but it involves banks so it's a scam", nor any discussion of *why* Chicago is in a fiscal crisis, just warmed over OWS left-populist conspiraslop. thebaffler.com/latest/payin...
Reposted by Federico
all I'm gonna say is that these posts are hours apart
October 24, 2025 at 8:45 PM
all I'm gonna say is that these posts are hours apart
Reposted by Federico
And now might be a good time to mention, I’m on the faculty job market this year! I do work in human-AI collusion, collaboration and competition, with an eye towards building foundations for trustworthy AI. Check out more info on my website here! Nataliecollina.com
October 22, 2025 at 3:56 PM
And now might be a good time to mention, I’m on the faculty job market this year! I do work in human-AI collusion, collaboration and competition, with an eye towards building foundations for trustworthy AI. Check out more info on my website here! Nataliecollina.com
Reposted by Federico
Wow if this turns out to be a tipoff it’s going to undo years of hard work to establish trust and confidence in crypto mar- nah, I’m just kidding. If you’re not cheating in crypto you’re the fish. It’s just a matter of time.
BREAKING: Look at this.
A new crypto account was opened yesterday morning.
30 minutes BEFORE Trump's announcement of 100% tariffs on China, it added a huge multi-million dollar levered Bitcoin short position, per YF.
The market dumped.
The trader made +$192 million in two hours.
Unusual.
A new crypto account was opened yesterday morning.
30 minutes BEFORE Trump's announcement of 100% tariffs on China, it added a huge multi-million dollar levered Bitcoin short position, per YF.
The market dumped.
The trader made +$192 million in two hours.
Unusual.
October 12, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Wow if this turns out to be a tipoff it’s going to undo years of hard work to establish trust and confidence in crypto mar- nah, I’m just kidding. If you’re not cheating in crypto you’re the fish. It’s just a matter of time.
Reposted by Federico
Some aspects of joining us at the University of Sydney:
* my colleagues are the best!
* salary is not only competitive, it's over 12 months
* teaching load is 2 classes ("units") per year
* Sydney is a truly wonderful place to live in
You don't have to believe me—come to #FOCS2025 to check it out :)
* my colleagues are the best!
* salary is not only competitive, it's over 12 months
* teaching load is 2 classes ("units") per year
* Sydney is a truly wonderful place to live in
You don't have to believe me—come to #FOCS2025 to check it out :)
The School of #ComputerScience at #USyd is hiring! Multiple continuing (≡ tenure-track) positions in all areas, with particular focus on the ones listed below.
Women and candidates from underrepresented groups are encouraged to apply.
⏰ Apply by Dec 1: usyd.wd105.myworkdayjobs.com/en-GB/USYD_E...
Women and candidates from underrepresented groups are encouraged to apply.
⏰ Apply by Dec 1: usyd.wd105.myworkdayjobs.com/en-GB/USYD_E...
October 3, 2025 at 5:39 AM
Some aspects of joining us at the University of Sydney:
* my colleagues are the best!
* salary is not only competitive, it's over 12 months
* teaching load is 2 classes ("units") per year
* Sydney is a truly wonderful place to live in
You don't have to believe me—come to #FOCS2025 to check it out :)
* my colleagues are the best!
* salary is not only competitive, it's over 12 months
* teaching load is 2 classes ("units") per year
* Sydney is a truly wonderful place to live in
You don't have to believe me—come to #FOCS2025 to check it out :)
@lastpositivist.bsky.social have you seen this already? www.reddit.com/r/Grimdank/s...
From the Grimdank community on Reddit
Explore this post and more from the Grimdank community
www.reddit.com
October 3, 2025 at 6:34 PM
@lastpositivist.bsky.social have you seen this already? www.reddit.com/r/Grimdank/s...
September 27, 2025 at 9:38 PM
Reposted by Federico
Colin McGinn --
The puppeteer's union has rejected my slogan "We Need More Hand Jobs!"
September 26, 2025 at 11:44 PM
Colin McGinn --
Regarding this discussion here bsky.app/profile/fede... with @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social - there was a recent interview from Ezra Klein where he discusses his writing about Kirk: youtu.be/iUAGkuq48zY?... which I think agrees with my reading of his arguments as being at least partially instrumental
September 26, 2025 at 4:50 PM
Regarding this discussion here bsky.app/profile/fede... with @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social - there was a recent interview from Ezra Klein where he discusses his writing about Kirk: youtu.be/iUAGkuq48zY?... which I think agrees with my reading of his arguments as being at least partially instrumental
Reposted by Federico
Reposted by Federico
Trying to get onto the right blocklists:
- Most of the time I like Ezra Klein
- AI can be quite good sometimes
- Very often, markets are effective solutions to problems
- Building more housing, not necessarily affordable, is necessary for lowering housing prices
- Most of the time I like Ezra Klein
- AI can be quite good sometimes
- Very often, markets are effective solutions to problems
- Building more housing, not necessarily affordable, is necessary for lowering housing prices
September 18, 2025 at 6:52 PM
Trying to get onto the right blocklists:
- Most of the time I like Ezra Klein
- AI can be quite good sometimes
- Very often, markets are effective solutions to problems
- Building more housing, not necessarily affordable, is necessary for lowering housing prices
- Most of the time I like Ezra Klein
- AI can be quite good sometimes
- Very often, markets are effective solutions to problems
- Building more housing, not necessarily affordable, is necessary for lowering housing prices
I thought this article was very bad, specifically because it was extremely sloppy with understanding statistics:
For example - here, the paper puts together 3 forecasts that are completely different. Nate Silver's forecast is extremely good (given the data), while the Princeton one is garbage.
For example - here, the paper puts together 3 forecasts that are completely different. Nate Silver's forecast is extremely good (given the data), while the Princeton one is garbage.
September 16, 2025 at 10:49 PM
I thought this article was very bad, specifically because it was extremely sloppy with understanding statistics:
For example - here, the paper puts together 3 forecasts that are completely different. Nate Silver's forecast is extremely good (given the data), while the Princeton one is garbage.
For example - here, the paper puts together 3 forecasts that are completely different. Nate Silver's forecast is extremely good (given the data), while the Princeton one is garbage.
Reposted by Federico
“If you resort to violence, all of us who believe in our legal and political system—Democrats and Republicans—will stand together. We will condemn you, and we will prosecute you.”
My message after last year's shooting of Trump: Zero tolerance for political violence. I'm sorry it has to be repeated.
My message after last year's shooting of Trump: Zero tolerance for political violence. I'm sorry it has to be repeated.
Democracy Can't Stand When Violence Rules | Will's Take
YouTube video by The Bulwark
youtu.be
September 10, 2025 at 8:02 PM
“If you resort to violence, all of us who believe in our legal and political system—Democrats and Republicans—will stand together. We will condemn you, and we will prosecute you.”
My message after last year's shooting of Trump: Zero tolerance for political violence. I'm sorry it has to be repeated.
My message after last year's shooting of Trump: Zero tolerance for political violence. I'm sorry it has to be repeated.
Matt Levine here:
September 10, 2025 at 8:15 PM
Matt Levine here:
Reposted by Federico
September 9, 2025 at 7:24 PM
Reposted by Federico
