Effectively Wild Stats
@ewstats.com
Keeping you up to date on stats about @ewpod.bsky.social, the podcast about stats. Managed by @chrishanel.com
(posts here don't represent ben, meg, fangraphs, or decoy the dog)
(posts here don't represent ben, meg, fangraphs, or decoy the dog)
Wait how in the pluperfect hell am I *younger* than Jeff Passan
December 23, 2025 at 5:31 AM
Wait how in the pluperfect hell am I *younger* than Jeff Passan
With his appearance in today's @ewpod.bsky.social episode (2417), @samblum3.bsky.social becomes the 64th member of the Effectively Wild Five Timers Club! Congrats!
December 22, 2025 at 8:20 PM
With his appearance in today's @ewpod.bsky.social episode (2417), @samblum3.bsky.social becomes the 64th member of the Effectively Wild Five Timers Club! Congrats!
MEG FROM THE TOP ROPE
Munetaka Murakami (Under $180m) signs for $34m with the White Sox
Meg earns *156* points
Munetaka Murakami (Under $180m) signs for $34m with the White Sox
Meg earns *156* points
December 21, 2025 at 4:27 PM
MEG FROM THE TOP ROPE
Munetaka Murakami (Under $180m) signs for $34m with the White Sox
Meg earns *156* points
Munetaka Murakami (Under $180m) signs for $34m with the White Sox
Meg earns *156* points
Ben earns 15 points!
𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗦𝗮𝗻 𝗗𝗶𝗲𝗴𝗼 𝗣𝗮𝗱𝗿𝗲𝘀 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗷𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗢𝗽𝗲𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗗𝗮𝘆 𝗿𝗼𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗿/𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗷𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗽𝗮𝘆𝗿𝗼𝗹𝗹
•SP Michael King agreed to 3-yr, $75MM contract; can opt out after 2026 or 2027.
Roster/depth chart: fangraphs.com/roster-resou...
Payroll: fangraphs.com/roster-resou...
#Padres #MLBOffseason
•SP Michael King agreed to 3-yr, $75MM contract; can opt out after 2026 or 2027.
Roster/depth chart: fangraphs.com/roster-resou...
Payroll: fangraphs.com/roster-resou...
#Padres #MLBOffseason
December 19, 2025 at 7:54 AM
Ben earns 15 points!
Tyler Rogers signs for $37m, Meg had the Over at 18. 29 points!
December 13, 2025 at 1:34 AM
Tyler Rogers signs for $37m, Meg had the Over at 18. 29 points!
Pete Alonso signs with the Orioles for $155 mlilion. Meg loses 45 points.
December 10, 2025 at 6:00 PM
Pete Alonso signs with the Orioles for $155 mlilion. Meg loses 45 points.
Meg had the Over on Diaz at 82 million, and loses 13 points.
I wrote up the Dodgers' signing of Edwin Díaz. He's an excellent, if limited relief pitcher. But his limits exist within the bounds of what the Dodgers need. And a lot of the reasons I'd worry about signing him for $100 million matter less when the dollar figure is $69 million.
Dodgers Say, “Buenos Díaz”
There’s great beauty in the simplest solution.
blogs.fangraphs.com
December 9, 2025 at 7:44 PM
Meg had the Over on Diaz at 82 million, and loses 13 points.
Meg had the Under on Schwarber at 135, and loses 15 points.
@JeffPassan tweeted
BREAKING: Slugger Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies are finalizing a five-year, $150 million contract, sources tell ESPN. The NL MVP runner-up, one of the best home run hitters and clubhouse leaders in baseball, is returning to Philadelphia.
BREAKING: Slugger Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies are finalizing a five-year, $150 million contract, sources tell ESPN. The NL MVP runner-up, one of the best home run hitters and clubhouse leaders in baseball, is returning to Philadelphia.
December 9, 2025 at 7:40 PM
Meg had the Under on Schwarber at 135, and loses 15 points.
Well, Meg *does* have the under on this one...
SOURCES: The Pittsburgh Pirates have made a four-year offer to Kyle Schwarber, per @ken-rosenthal.bsky.social.
December 8, 2025 at 1:44 AM
Well, Meg *does* have the under on this one...
Can't imagine how this ranking came together @fangraphs.com @ewpod.bsky.social
December 6, 2025 at 8:53 PM
Can't imagine how this ranking came together @fangraphs.com @ewpod.bsky.social
Last night we discovered a terrible error on my part which is horrifying, but I have to admit, very funny.
Sam didn't win the U-25 Draft. Ben did.
I will now explain what happened.
Sam didn't win the U-25 Draft. Ben did.
I will now explain what happened.
December 6, 2025 at 6:24 PM
Last night we discovered a terrible error on my part which is horrifying, but I have to admit, very funny.
Sam didn't win the U-25 Draft. Ben did.
I will now explain what happened.
Sam didn't win the U-25 Draft. Ben did.
I will now explain what happened.
It's a Sam episode and I GOT TO BE THERE FOR IT.
This is my chuffed face
This is my chuffed face
Effectively Wild Episode 2410: You Can Observe a Lot By Watching blogs.fangraphs.com/effectively-...
Effectively Wild Episode 2410: You Can Observe a Lot By Watching
Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller, and podcast scorekeeper Chris Hanel review the results of an under-25-pitchers draft Ben and Sam conducted a decade ago. Then (13:38) Ben and Sam banter about Ben’s physique,...
blogs.fangraphs.com
December 5, 2025 at 6:28 PM
It's a Sam episode and I GOT TO BE THERE FOR IT.
This is my chuffed face
This is my chuffed face
Well *I* just got to do a pretty neat thing.
December 4, 2025 at 11:10 PM
Well *I* just got to do a pretty neat thing.
It looks like Devin Williams' agreement with the Mets is worth $51 million in guaranteed money, so Meg picks up 27 points.
December 2, 2025 at 3:20 AM
It looks like Devin Williams' agreement with the Mets is worth $51 million in guaranteed money, so Meg picks up 27 points.
Awaiting the actual amount, but looks like @megrowler.fangraphs.com just earned some points...
@JeffPassan tweeted
Reliever Devin Williams and the New York Mets are in agreement on a three-year contract that guarantees more than $50 million, sources tell ESPN.
First on the agreement was @WillSammon.
Reliever Devin Williams and the New York Mets are in agreement on a three-year contract that guarantees more than $50 million, sources tell ESPN.
First on the agreement was @WillSammon.
December 2, 2025 at 2:37 AM
Awaiting the actual amount, but looks like @megrowler.fangraphs.com just earned some points...
Ben had the under at 189, and will lose 21 points!
BREAKING: The New York Post has learned Dylan Cease to Blue Jays. $210M, 7 years
November 27, 2025 at 1:09 AM
Ben had the under at 189, and will lose 21 points!
The timing of this post is amazing
Maybe we can speak the Sabrina Carpenter/Yoshinobu Yamamoto fever dream coupling into existence.
Honestly he’s sassy enough for her and he has a job!
Honestly he’s sassy enough for her and he has a job!
No one:
Chase Utley:
Chase Utley:
November 24, 2025 at 9:36 PM
The timing of this post is amazing
ewstats.com has been updated the PPG results, and if you go to your personal ballot, you can now see directly how your predictions compared with the final averages!
EW Stats
ewstats.com
November 24, 2025 at 6:57 PM
ewstats.com has been updated the PPG results, and if you go to your personal ballot, you can now see directly how your predictions compared with the final averages!
At the risk of sending @benlindbergh.bsky.social into a fugue state, something I realized about the MLFAD:
1. Jeff's 2019 ballot finished with 44 more PA/TBF.
2. The 2019 MLFAD was the only edition with 11 rounds.
3. Jeff's 11th pick earned 69 points.
Do with this info as you wish.
1. Jeff's 2019 ballot finished with 44 more PA/TBF.
2. The 2019 MLFAD was the only edition with 11 rounds.
3. Jeff's 11th pick earned 69 points.
Do with this info as you wish.
November 24, 2025 at 5:53 PM
At the risk of sending @benlindbergh.bsky.social into a fugue state, something I realized about the MLFAD:
1. Jeff's 2019 ballot finished with 44 more PA/TBF.
2. The 2019 MLFAD was the only edition with 11 rounds.
3. Jeff's 11th pick earned 69 points.
Do with this info as you wish.
1. Jeff's 2019 ballot finished with 44 more PA/TBF.
2. The 2019 MLFAD was the only edition with 11 rounds.
3. Jeff's 11th pick earned 69 points.
Do with this info as you wish.
As promised during the results episode, here are the expected number of predictions to come true, based on if listener voting was accurate (along with the actual count):
2023: 15.19 (11)
2024: 15.1 (10)
2025: 13.63 (8)
2023: 15.19 (11)
2024: 15.1 (10)
2025: 13.63 (8)
November 23, 2025 at 4:42 PM
As promised during the results episode, here are the expected number of predictions to come true, based on if listener voting was accurate (along with the actual count):
2023: 15.19 (11)
2024: 15.1 (10)
2025: 13.63 (8)
2023: 15.19 (11)
2024: 15.1 (10)
2025: 13.63 (8)
It's been brought up a few times and it might have *some* effect, though last year Clemens called it a "skill issue" \s
We might make a change, but as I mentioned on the show, the fact that we get a satisfying range of percentages in relation to each other is the more important part.
We might make a change, but as I mentioned on the show, the fact that we get a satisfying range of percentages in relation to each other is the more important part.
Thanks for your work on this. Just finished listening to the episode. IIRC the listener selections started at 50% by default. I’m wondering if defaulting them to 0% instead would help push the % down since we know overall us listeners rank too high? If I’m wrong on the 50% default please ignore.
November 23, 2025 at 4:11 PM
It's been brought up a few times and it might have *some* effect, though last year Clemens called it a "skill issue" \s
We might make a change, but as I mentioned on the show, the fact that we get a satisfying range of percentages in relation to each other is the more important part.
We might make a change, but as I mentioned on the show, the fact that we get a satisfying range of percentages in relation to each other is the more important part.
Reflecting on today's pod: I want to (again) thank @benlindbergh.bsky.social and @megrowler.fangraphs.com for letting me (and the EWStats team) play in their sandbox. I love this podcast and its community, and being trusted to steer the ship every so often is a privilege that will never get old.
November 22, 2025 at 3:04 AM
Reflecting on today's pod: I want to (again) thank @benlindbergh.bsky.social and @megrowler.fangraphs.com for letting me (and the EWStats team) play in their sandbox. I love this podcast and its community, and being trusted to steer the ship every so often is a privilege that will never get old.
Reposted by Effectively Wild Stats
listening to @chrishanel.com shout how the rockies are not the last "not normal" team when the angels exist already delivering returns
November 21, 2025 at 8:36 PM
listening to @chrishanel.com shout how the rockies are not the last "not normal" team when the angels exist already delivering returns