David Bonowitz
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dbonowitz.bsky.social
David Bonowitz
@dbonowitz.bsky.social
Buildings. Earthquakes. Public policy.
Functional Recovery <--> Community Resilience.
Giants baseball. Princeton hoops.
contact: djbonowitz (with a 'j') at gmail
Reposted by David Bonowitz
Pretty much all affordability discourse could benefit from just posting this chart.

If you're in the better off America, all the luxury goods you want in excess are for the most part much cheaper. If you're in the poorer America, most of the shit you need to live/grow is more expensive.
November 10, 2025 at 2:53 PM
(QPing because #structural_engineering is not the original topic.)
The article notes a series of damaging events. And that photo of the spontaneous facade failure ... yikes. From 2022:
www.cbc.ca/news/canada/...
November 10, 2025 at 4:33 PM
This is really cool. Translation (edited for length) of the intro post from X:
"In this EQ, the emergency EQ warning was issued before shaking hit land. (Real-time seismic intensity is calculated every 0.2 seconds from the 5-second acceleration waveform observed by the S-net accelerometer.)"
The underwater seismometer network is so great, as evidenced from yesterday's EQ off-Tohoku.
Reposting unofficial visualization by x.com/kotoho76/sta...
November 10, 2025 at 3:54 PM
Reposted by David Bonowitz
The underwater seismometer network is so great, as evidenced from yesterday's EQ off-Tohoku.
Reposting unofficial visualization by x.com/kotoho76/sta...
November 10, 2025 at 6:56 AM
I have some difficult news that I'm finally ready to talk about.

Remember when Ryan Langborg played the best 2 games of his career & the Tigers upset Arizona AND Missouri to go the Sweet 16 two years ago? I do.

They got big contributions from Freshman Caden Pierce and Xaivian Lee. ...
November 10, 2025 at 5:42 AM
1-0
Tiger women come back with a 24-11 Q4 to beat Georgia Tech in season opener. Could only see highlights, as I need a special ESPN bundle to see ACC games (wtf?), but:
- Good to have St. Rose back from injury.
- Olivia Hutcherson is stepping up.
- Chea & Belker steady, ready to lead.👍
November 10, 2025 at 4:41 AM
Large EQ in subduction-prone area (good explainer below), but 0 casualties and no reports of damage to built environment. I sometimes wonder if events like this lead to complacency, but the good news (for Japan) is that their culture of preparedness and collective action is MUCH stronger than ours.
⚒️ 🧪

A M6.8 earthquake struck offshore Japan today - another large earthquake from the subduction zone that produced two recent great earthquakes. The earthquake was preceded by a "cascade up": foreshocks progressively increasing in maximum magnitude.

What do we know? What might happen next?
M6.8 earthquake offshore Japan preceded by upward cascade of foreshocks
What do we know about seismic hazard in the Japan-Kuril subduction zone?
earthquakeinsights.substack.com
November 9, 2025 at 8:17 PM
Reposted by David Bonowitz
I've included an improved graphic for mobile. johnfdickerson.substack.com/p/president-...
November 9, 2025 at 5:27 PM
Reposted by David Bonowitz
In case you're not aware, Tehran is a city of ~10 MILLION people. "Rivers and reservoirs are running dry, while groundwater sources have been overexploited to sustain agriculture and urban growth."

www.newsweek.com/evacuation-w...
Evacuation warning for Iran's capital city
President Masoud Pezeshkian warns Tehran faces a historic water crisis with shortages and possible evacuations.
www.newsweek.com
November 9, 2025 at 3:16 PM
To my new(ish) followers: It's almost time ... to unfollow* me as my interest turns to Princeton basketball. Let's start with this profile of the great Blake Dietrick-Seifert.

* It's only like one post per game, but I get it. See you in April.
Former Princeton star Blake Dietrick-Seifert retired after a storied career in the #WNBA, overseas 5x5 and 3x3. And basketball was just her second-best sport.

For @theixbasketball.bsky.social, I wrote about Dietrick-Seifert’s impact on the game and what’s next.
Blake Dietrick-Seifert always created her own path to success - The IX Basketball
Blake Dietrick-Seifert retired from basketball and is in business school at Virginia, with the goal of working in sports business.
www.thenexthoops.com
November 8, 2025 at 3:38 PM
Reposted by David Bonowitz
WASHINGTON (AP) — Nancy Pelosi won't seek reelection, ending her storied career in the US House.
November 6, 2025 at 2:01 PM
Last night's sweep should make the Gut it Out strategy a lot easier and more likely to work ... as long as we keep the energy up and don't overplay the hand. One year to go still. (Then, even in the best case scenario, a treacherous two months of lame duckery.)

Liberty and Justice FOR ALL.

LFG.
2/2
... I've posted about before: 3 ways to get to Nov 2026 w/ something left to vote for:
1. Gut it out. Mostly in the courts. Maybe enough if we get more wins soon. Maybe not.
2. Take up arms. Violent. Let's avoid this.
3. Shut it down. Painful. Probably necessary. Hope it's not too late.
November 5, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Interesting piece, w/ a link to the hearing video, comparing Nevada fire insurance policy w/ NFIP as a quasi-model. I need to watch the hearing, but I'm curious if anyone mentioned the CEA & CA's experience with earthquake insurance, which cut a similar path 30 years ago, ...
Nevada just let property insurers exclude wildfire coverage. Homeowners won’t realize until it’s too late that fire isn't covered. Expect shock, underinsurance, and scrambling for expensive new policies. Plus: pressure for a federal wildfire safety net. open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...
What happens if property insurers are allowed to exclude wildfires from coverage?
“Are we just going to turn everybody loose and let the fires burn our houses down?” Nevada just did — and others may follow.
open.substack.com
November 5, 2025 at 12:04 AM
Also this: By June 1, 2026, NY media will chide Mamdani for failing to deliver on his socialist "promises," because they (and their readers) cannot distinguish between a promise and a policy preference that needs major legislative, budget, & institutional support (+ time) to become real.
November 4, 2025 at 2:02 PM
Just gonna put this here for future reference:
Election results today likely to be underwhelming, therefore frightening. Because not enough American voters care until they suffer, and the suffering has not yet undermined the "identity" they are fed by a weak & badly skewed media environment.
November 4, 2025 at 1:57 PM
Reposted by David Bonowitz
I wrote about being in Los Angeles as not a Dodgers fan.

mattdpearce.substack.com/p/baseball-a...
Baseball and the free city
The beauty of the Dodgers and Los Angeles' ungovernability.
mattdpearce.substack.com
November 2, 2025 at 11:13 PM
Reposted by David Bonowitz
HIAS has been fighting for the restoration of foreign aid in court since February. @nytimes.com shares a detailed look at the lawsuit in which we are a plaintiff:
The Monthslong Legal Battle to Save Foreign Aid
www.nytimes.com
November 3, 2025 at 6:18 PM
Reposted by David Bonowitz
Dems obviously need a broad coalition. They obviously should not sweat “socialism” scare mongering so long as Trump is doing actual crony communism, and, yes, the GOP is the only truly extreme major party. www.offmessage.net/p/exploit-th...
November 3, 2025 at 4:16 PM
Reposted by David Bonowitz
"Wherever the death toll, it will be wrong. A study following Hurricane Maria in Puerto Rico in 2017 found that excess deaths in the first few months following the storm was 70 times as much as the original official toll of 64 — still much more than officials' revision to 2,975 deaths later on."
Once more from yesterday: My newsletter was about how hurricanes kill people long after the wind and water is gone, how that will probably be worse in Jamaica, and how the media has already moved on from one of the worst storms to strike land in recorded history.

Please subscribe!
The Long Tail of Hurricane Death Will Be Even Longer in Jamaica
A growing body of research has demonstrated that hits from tropical cyclones leave more than just damaged rooftops in their wake, in fact raising mortality rates through a likely wide variety of mecha...
www.gravityisgone.com
November 3, 2025 at 3:00 PM
Reposted by David Bonowitz
This is excellent. "I’m just wondering what a World Series parade would look like in a city that’s nearly 50% Latino."

I too am hoping the Dodgers can live up to the legacy of Branch, Jackie, Sandy, Glenn, Fernando, and Hideo. They have 5 days before WS G1 ... time to line up Nezza for the anthem.
And as I’m hearing “and the Dodgers win The Pennant,” it’s not lost on me that this immigrant from Japan is exemplifying both the greatness of immigrants and the enduring promise of the American Dream.

The full story: lataco.com/ohtani-dodge...

By Erick Galindo
October 19, 2025 at 6:13 PM
I knew Smith would be the likely Dodgers hero ... but only because I was sure they wouldn't pitch to Ohtani.
November 2, 2025 at 4:08 AM
Reposted by David Bonowitz
November 2, 2025 at 3:41 AM
Reposted by David Bonowitz
Here is what I wrote about Miguel Rojas earlier today ahem
November 2, 2025 at 3:20 AM
Reposted by David Bonowitz
Will Kershaw be eligible? Gotta think it would be poetic if -- win or lose -- he's on the mound for the last inning of the Dodgers' season.
October 2, 2025 at 4:32 AM