Daniel Naughton
dannaughton.bsky.social
Daniel Naughton
@dannaughton.bsky.social
Welsh Lib Dem Councillor for Pentwyn
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Scottish Westminster Voting Intention:

SNP: 28% (-3)
RFM: 23% (+2)
LAB: 20% (+3)
LDM: 12% (+1)
CON: 11% (=)
GRN: 6% (=)

Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 24 Jan - 3 Feb.
Changes w/ 21 Aug - 1 Sep.
February 7, 2026 at 12:14 AM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Holyrood Voting Intention:

Constituency:
SNP: 35% (-13)
RFM: 19% (New)
LAB: 18% (-4)
CON: 11% (-11)
LDM: 10% (+3)
GRN: 5% (+4)

Regional:
SNP: 25% (-15)
RFM: 20% (+20)
LAB: 19% (+1)
LDM: 13% (+8)
CON: 12% (-12)
GRN: 9% (+1)

Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 24 Jan - 3 Feb.
Changes w/ 2021.
February 6, 2026 at 9:12 AM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 30% (-3)
CON: 22% (+3)
LAB: 17% (-2)
LDM: 14% (+3)
GRN: 14% (+2)
SNP: 2% (=)

Via Freshwater Strategy, 30 Jan - 1 Feb.
Changes w/ 9-11 Jan.
February 4, 2026 at 3:15 PM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 26% (+1)
LAB: 19% (-2)
CON: 18% (+1)
GRN: 17% (+1)
LDM: 14% (=)

Via @yougov.co.uk, 1-2 Feb.
Changes w/ 25-26 Jan.
February 3, 2026 at 8:53 AM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Aggregate Result of the 200 Council By-Elections (for 203 Seats) since the 2025 Local Elections:

RFM: 71 (+60)
LDM: 58 (+20)
CON: 23 (-24)
LAB: 15 (-46)
GRN: 15 (+2)
Ind: 9 (-6)
Local: 5 (-5)
SNP: 4 (-1)
PLC: 3 (=)

Dashboard: electionmaps.uk/byelections-...
January 30, 2026 at 12:33 AM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
If these votes had been cast in a 3-seat ordinary election, the Lib Dems would have won two seats (gaining one from C) and the SNP one.
Bearsden South (East Dunbartonshire) transfers, votes at final stage (no head-to-head comparison with 2022 at this point, need to wait for data with Reform eliminated):

Lib Dem: 2333 (50.9%)
SNP: 1057 (23.1%)
Reform UK: 836 (18.2%)
Didn't Transfer: 355 (7.7%)
January 30, 2026 at 12:45 AM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Bearsden South (East Dunbartonshire) Council By-Election Result [1st Prefs]:

🔶 LDM: 38.1% (+14.9)
🎗️ SNP: 17.2% (-6.2)
➡️ RFM: 15.5% (New)
🌹 LAB: 14.2% (-1.9)
🌍 GRN: 8.1% (+0.9)
🌳 CON: 6.2% (-17.0)
🧑‍🧑‍🧒‍🧒 SFP: 0.8% (New)

No Inds (-4.7, -2.3) as prev.

Lib Dem 'Gain' from Con - Stage 5.
Changes w/ 2022.
January 30, 2026 at 12:25 AM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Very sad news that Jim Wallace, Scotland's inaugural Deputy First Minister, has died suddenly. Not only did he lead his party into government for the first time in decades, but he held down the fort after the death and resignation of the first two First Ministers. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Scotland's first deputy first minister Lord Jim Wallace dies, aged 71
The former Scottish Liberal Democrat leader was undergoing a procedure at the Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh.
www.bbc.co.uk
January 29, 2026 at 8:37 PM
Just 100 days to go until polling day for the Senedd good response on the door steps in Pentwyn lots of support for @rodneyberman.bsky.social and Welsh Lib Dem’s
January 27, 2026 at 12:20 PM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 31% (=)
LAB: 22% (+2)
CON: 17% (-1)
LDM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 11% (-2)
SNP: 3% (+1)

Via @opiniumresearch.bsky.social, 21-23 Jan.
Changes w/ 7-9 Jan.
January 25, 2026 at 12:01 PM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
The Rissingtons (Cotswolds) Council By-Election Result:

🔶 LDM: 37.5% (New)
🌳 CON: 31.3% (-11.5)
➡️ RFM: 25.8% (New)
🌍 GRN: 5.5% (-51.7)

Liberal Democrat GAIN from Green.
Changes w/ 2023.
January 23, 2026 at 12:38 AM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Cotswold DC, The Rissingtons

Lib Dem GAIN from Green

🔶LDM (Craig Thurling): 321 (37.5%, new)
🔵CON: 268 (31.3%, -12.1)
➡️RFM: 221 (25.8%, new)
🟢GRN: 47 (5.5%, -51.1)

Congrats to Councillor Craig Thurling and the team!
January 22, 2026 at 11:39 PM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 26% (-3)
LAB: 21% (+1)
CON: 20% (+2)
LDM: 14% (+1)
GRN: 10% (-2)

Via @focaldata.bsky.social, 16-19 Jan.
Changes w/ 26-28 Nov.
January 21, 2026 at 2:08 PM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 31% (=)
CON: 21% (=)
LAB: 20% (+1)
LDM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 11% (-1)
SNP: 2% (=)

Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 16-19 Jan.
Changes w/ 10-13 Jan.
January 21, 2026 at 8:30 AM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
➡️ | Andrew Rosindell MP (Romford) has defected from the Conservative Party to Reform UK.
January 18, 2026 at 8:15 PM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Heworth (York) Council By-Election Result:

🌹 LAB: 36.7% (-27.5)
➡️ RFM: 20.1% (New)
🌍 GRN: 19.8% (+4.4)
🔶 LDM: 17.7% (+10.2)
🌳 CON: 4.0% (-8.8)
🙋 Ind: 1.6% (New)

Labour HOLD.
Changes w/ 2023.
January 16, 2026 at 12:45 AM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
🚨 | Kemi Badenoch has sacked Robert Jenrick from the Shadow Cabinet and removed the Conservative whip, citing 'irrefutable evidence that he was plotting in secret'.
January 15, 2026 at 11:12 AM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Holyrood Voting Intention:

Constituency:
SNP: 34% (=)
RFM: 19% (-3)
LAB: 16% (-2)
CON: 13% (+3)
LDM: 9% (+1)
GRN: 8% (+1)

Regional:
SNP: 28% (-1)
LAB: 18% (+1)
RFM: 18% (-2)
CON: 13% (+1)
LDM: 11% (+1)
GRN: 9% (-1)
ALBA: 3% (+1)

Via @survation.bsky.social, 8-12 Jan.
Changes w/ 22 Sep - 14 Oct.
January 15, 2026 at 9:29 AM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
➡️ Lowest Reform % in Any Poll since April 2025.
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 24% (-2)
CON: 20% (+1)
LAB: 19% (+2)
LDM: 16% (=)
GRN: 14% (-2)

Via @yougov.co.uk, 11-12 Jan.
Changes w/ 4-5 Jan.
January 13, 2026 at 8:51 AM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 24% (-2)
CON: 20% (+1)
LAB: 19% (+2)
LDM: 16% (=)
GRN: 14% (-2)

Via @yougov.co.uk, 11-12 Jan.
Changes w/ 4-5 Jan.
January 13, 2026 at 8:43 AM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Sign our petition for new play equipment in Glenwood, Waun Fach and Parc Coed Y Nant

Your local Lib Dem councillors are running a petition calling on the council to upgrade equipment at local playgrounds.

Please sign the petition

www.cardiffld.org.uk/our-campaign...
January 10, 2026 at 6:33 PM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
"The way Ed Davey said it was much better"

Ed Davey challenges Keir Starmer over Trump at #PMQs
January 7, 2026 at 3:42 PM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Westminster Voting Intention [Greater London]:

LAB: 31% (-1)
RFM: 19% (-4)
GRN: 18% (+8)
CON: 17% (-3)
LDM: 13% (+2)

Via @savanta.bsky.social, 13-21 Dec.
Changes w/ 30 Oct - 7 Nov.
January 6, 2026 at 6:43 PM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 26% (+1)
CON: 19% (=)
LAB: 17% (-3)
LDM: 16% (+1)
GRN: 15% (=)
SNP: 4% (+1)

Via @yougov.co.uk, 4-5 Jan.
Changes w/ 21-22 Dec.
January 6, 2026 at 8:47 AM
Reposted by Daniel Naughton
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 31% (+1)
CON: 17% (-1)
GRN: 17% (=)
LAB: 15% (+1)
LDM: 12% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 31 Dec.
Changes w/ 24 Dec.
January 5, 2026 at 11:26 AM