Connor Murray
@connormmurray.bsky.social
🇦🇹 in DC. Political Director and Research Analyst @LivableWorld & @Nukes_Of_Hazard. Opinions are my own.
Reposted by Connor Murray
The U.S. maintains its nuclear arsenal using advanced simulations, continuous monitoring, and rigorous assessments—methods that provide more accurate insights than past explosive tests ever did, explains NTI’s Dimitri Kusnezov, former Chief Scientist at the National Nuclear Security Administration.
How the U.S. Maintains Its Nuclear Arsenal—Without Explosive Testing
The U.S. ended explosive nuclear testing in the 1990s, but that does not mean we are unprepared. In its place, the U.S. uses a science-based program that checks the health of the stockpile…
www.nti.org
November 14, 2025 at 7:39 PM
The U.S. maintains its nuclear arsenal using advanced simulations, continuous monitoring, and rigorous assessments—methods that provide more accurate insights than past explosive tests ever did, explains NTI’s Dimitri Kusnezov, former Chief Scientist at the National Nuclear Security Administration.
Reposted by Connor Murray
@jackieschneider.bsky.social: Keeping a human in the loop in nuclear decisions is such a resoundingly logical decision...but the devil is in the details... AI can mimic human behavior but it has significant bias, and that bias tends toward escalation. #CACNP2025
October 7, 2025 at 8:57 PM
@jackieschneider.bsky.social: Keeping a human in the loop in nuclear decisions is such a resoundingly logical decision...but the devil is in the details... AI can mimic human behavior but it has significant bias, and that bias tends toward escalation. #CACNP2025
"Resilience by autonomy can become escalation by default" says Dr. Jesse Kirkpatrick at #CACNP2025 when discussing AI in nuclear command, control and communications. It's why we need to ensure there are guardrails and multiple authentication.
October 7, 2025 at 8:54 PM
"Resilience by autonomy can become escalation by default" says Dr. Jesse Kirkpatrick at #CACNP2025 when discussing AI in nuclear command, control and communications. It's why we need to ensure there are guardrails and multiple authentication.
Reposted by Connor Murray
⏰STARTING SOON!!!⏰ Join our virtual annual conference -- Getting Off the Collision Course: The Case Against Arms Racing -- at 4:30 p.m. ET and share your thoughts as we go using the hashtag #CACNP2025!
secure.everyaction.com/rhSOFnj8ekO4...
secure.everyaction.com/rhSOFnj8ekO4...
VIRTUAL - Getting Off the Collision Course: The Case Against Arms Racing
secure.everyaction.com
October 7, 2025 at 8:20 PM
⏰STARTING SOON!!!⏰ Join our virtual annual conference -- Getting Off the Collision Course: The Case Against Arms Racing -- at 4:30 p.m. ET and share your thoughts as we go using the hashtag #CACNP2025!
secure.everyaction.com/rhSOFnj8ekO4...
secure.everyaction.com/rhSOFnj8ekO4...
Reposted by Connor Murray
@mjgault.bsky.social: We have avoided nuclear war because we've been lucky, but also because we've been human... The real danger of nukes at the dawn of AI is that justified by efficiency in the name of modernization, AI will replace the next Stanislov Petrov
October 7, 2025 at 8:39 PM
@mjgault.bsky.social: We have avoided nuclear war because we've been lucky, but also because we've been human... The real danger of nukes at the dawn of AI is that justified by efficiency in the name of modernization, AI will replace the next Stanislov Petrov
There are books, films, etc. that are meant to inform and there are ones meant to entertain/provoke thought. Don’t completely dismiss something clearly meant to entertain/start a conversation because you find the premise or details implausible.
#AHouseofDynamite
#AHouseofDynamite
October 2, 2025 at 2:32 PM
There are books, films, etc. that are meant to inform and there are ones meant to entertain/provoke thought. Don’t completely dismiss something clearly meant to entertain/start a conversation because you find the premise or details implausible.
#AHouseofDynamite
#AHouseofDynamite
Reposted by Connor Murray
Good reporting here from @nickturse.bsky.social - Trump has deployed 35,000 troops against his own people theintercept.com/2025/09/17/t...
Trump Troop Deployment in U.S. Climbs to 35,000 Boots on the Ground
A federal judge found the deployment to LA violated bedrock constitutional law, but Trump’s domestic military campaign continues.
theintercept.com
September 17, 2025 at 5:37 PM
Good reporting here from @nickturse.bsky.social - Trump has deployed 35,000 troops against his own people theintercept.com/2025/09/17/t...
This is great. We know servicemembers must be asking themselves whether this is really the mission they signed up for. Great to see some public pushback against the echo chamber.
Today, we’re expanding our NotWhatYouSignedUpFor.org campaign — which connects service members to resources for responding to unlawful and immoral orders — to two major active duty military installations: Fort Bragg and Camp Lejeune.
September 17, 2025 at 5:44 PM
This is great. We know servicemembers must be asking themselves whether this is really the mission they signed up for. Great to see some public pushback against the echo chamber.
The latest from @scientistsorg.bsky.social colleagues @mknight.bsky.social and @mattkorda.bsky.social...
Another question I would pose: why are we unwilling to consider that a 1:1 replacement of current missiles is even strategically necessary given investments in other areas?
Another question I would pose: why are we unwilling to consider that a 1:1 replacement of current missiles is even strategically necessary given investments in other areas?
🚀In our latest @scientistsorg.bsky.social report, @mattkorda.bsky.social & I spill all things Sentinel:
✅ How did we get here?
📈 Why does the cost keep rising?
🤷♀️ Where's the program at now?
🕳️ What's up with the new silo situation??
Read here ⬇️⬇️
✅ How did we get here?
📈 Why does the cost keep rising?
🤷♀️ Where's the program at now?
🕳️ What's up with the new silo situation??
Read here ⬇️⬇️
fas.org
June 24, 2025 at 1:47 PM
The latest from @scientistsorg.bsky.social colleagues @mknight.bsky.social and @mattkorda.bsky.social...
Another question I would pose: why are we unwilling to consider that a 1:1 replacement of current missiles is even strategically necessary given investments in other areas?
Another question I would pose: why are we unwilling to consider that a 1:1 replacement of current missiles is even strategically necessary given investments in other areas?
Reposted by Connor Murray
Don't forget that foundational investments in the #NNSA's nonproliferation capabilities mean we have off-the-shelf tools for out-of-the-ordinary situations. With at least 400 kgs of enriched uranium in the wind, what would a regime collapse mean for global security? 1/5
June 24, 2025 at 12:42 PM
Don't forget that foundational investments in the #NNSA's nonproliferation capabilities mean we have off-the-shelf tools for out-of-the-ordinary situations. With at least 400 kgs of enriched uranium in the wind, what would a regime collapse mean for global security? 1/5
Don’t let them tell you these weapons are necessary, efficient, or making us safer!
#NuclearWeapons #ArmsControl
@livableworld.bsky.social @upinarms-us.bsky.social
#NuclearWeapons #ArmsControl
@livableworld.bsky.social @upinarms-us.bsky.social
June 12, 2025 at 3:28 PM
Don’t let them tell you these weapons are necessary, efficient, or making us safer!
#NuclearWeapons #ArmsControl
@livableworld.bsky.social @upinarms-us.bsky.social
#NuclearWeapons #ArmsControl
@livableworld.bsky.social @upinarms-us.bsky.social
Another awesome piece by colleagues at @scientistsorg.bsky.social! I wonder how many of my friends outside the #nuclearweapons space are aware that any U.S. president can single-handedly start a nuclear war whenever they want.
"Humans are imperfect, so nuclear near-misses and accidents are a fact of life for as long as these weapons exist."
@nukestrat.bsky.social, @mattkorda.bsky.social, @elianajjohns.bsky.social and @alliemaloney.bsky.social of @scientistsorg.bsky.social have the latest: wapo.st/4jK0VjO
@nukestrat.bsky.social, @mattkorda.bsky.social, @elianajjohns.bsky.social and @alliemaloney.bsky.social of @scientistsorg.bsky.social have the latest: wapo.st/4jK0VjO
June 12, 2025 at 1:40 PM
Another awesome piece by colleagues at @scientistsorg.bsky.social! I wonder how many of my friends outside the #nuclearweapons space are aware that any U.S. president can single-handedly start a nuclear war whenever they want.
AI has a long way to go before it is a truly reliable source of information. This is especially true when it comes to #nuclearweapons. The example in the @thebulletin.org piece here is illuminating...
The spread of hearsay about nuclear or other strategic weapons tests is not new—but novel digital technologies have added a new layer of complexity to the grapevine.
"When Grok is wrong: The risks of AI chatbots spreading misinformation in a crisis," by @kjolvegeland.bsky.social.
"When Grok is wrong: The risks of AI chatbots spreading misinformation in a crisis," by @kjolvegeland.bsky.social.
When Grok is wrong: The risks of AI chatbots spreading misinformation in a crisis
Grok’s answer to a question of whether the May 12 seismic event in Pakistan could be from an underground nuclear test was probably harmless. But it shows how AI chatbots could spread nuclear misinform...
thebulletin.org
June 12, 2025 at 1:35 PM
AI has a long way to go before it is a truly reliable source of information. This is especially true when it comes to #nuclearweapons. The example in the @thebulletin.org piece here is illuminating...
Reposted by Connor Murray
So this is … odd. Out of nowhere, the top US intelligence community official posts a three-and-a-half minute slickly-produced video across social media platforms on the dangers of nuclear war.
What is the context? And why is this coming from the DNI and not the secretary of state, or the president?
What is the context? And why is this coming from the DNI and not the secretary of state, or the president?
Tulsi Gabbard On Her Visit To Hiroshima
YouTube video by Tulsi Gabbard
www.youtube.com
June 10, 2025 at 4:58 PM
So this is … odd. Out of nowhere, the top US intelligence community official posts a three-and-a-half minute slickly-produced video across social media platforms on the dangers of nuclear war.
What is the context? And why is this coming from the DNI and not the secretary of state, or the president?
What is the context? And why is this coming from the DNI and not the secretary of state, or the president?
Great work by the Nevadans Against Nuclear Weapons Testing coalition. State-level action can lead the way for federal officials and sends a clear sign that a return to nuclear weapons testing is unnecessary and harmful!
May 23, 2025 at 4:23 PM
Great work by the Nevadans Against Nuclear Weapons Testing coalition. State-level action can lead the way for federal officials and sends a clear sign that a return to nuclear weapons testing is unnecessary and harmful!
Reposted by Connor Murray
Here comes the Golden Boondoggle. It will cost upwards of $2 Trillion and not work. Almost every thing Trump and his military officials say in this story is simple not true. It will NOT protect America. But it will make contractors, like SpaceX, very rich. www.politico.com/news/2025/05...
Trump to announce $25B funding for Golden Dome project
The price tag matches the amount in the president’s “big, beautiful bill” that lawmakers have yet to approve.
www.politico.com
May 20, 2025 at 6:48 PM
Here comes the Golden Boondoggle. It will cost upwards of $2 Trillion and not work. Almost every thing Trump and his military officials say in this story is simple not true. It will NOT protect America. But it will make contractors, like SpaceX, very rich. www.politico.com/news/2025/05...
Great work from my colleague, Shawn, on the tensions between India and Pakistan. We need responsible international engagement to keep the worst from happening. Reminder: both of these nations have nuclear weapons...#armscontrol #diplomacy
“The shrinking space for maneuver between India and Pakistan makes timely outside engagement all the more consequential,” writes Research Analyst Shawn Rostker in The National Interest.
nationalinterest.org/blog/silk-ro... #NukeSky
nationalinterest.org/blog/silk-ro... #NukeSky
How the India-Pakistan Crisis Puts U.S. Strategy to the Test
Overwhelmed by crises elsewhere, Washington may see the unfolding India-Pakistan crisis as a secondary concern. That would be a huge mistake.
nationalinterest.org
May 7, 2025 at 3:49 PM
Great work from my colleague, Shawn, on the tensions between India and Pakistan. We need responsible international engagement to keep the worst from happening. Reminder: both of these nations have nuclear weapons...#armscontrol #diplomacy
Actions speak louder than words. Trump is trying to paint himself as a peace president while his administration and pro-war Members of Congress continue to prioritize weapons over diplomacy.
Despite Donald Trump occasionally sounding the alarm on nuclear weapons, his administration has taken aim at nuclear nonproliferation programs, writes @nonukesplz.bsky.social
Does Trump Really Care About Getting Rid of Nuclear Weapons?
US president Donald Trump says he opposes nuclear weapons, but his administration has taken aim at nuclear nonproliferation programs.
inkstickmedia.com
April 1, 2025 at 2:24 PM
Actions speak louder than words. Trump is trying to paint himself as a peace president while his administration and pro-war Members of Congress continue to prioritize weapons over diplomacy.
Thrilled to have skilled colleagues, like Emma, at the Center and Council! Check out her latest piece.
“With nuclear tensions rising every day, perhaps it is time for the men to step aside and let the women work,” writes Program Coordinator Emma Sandifer for Women’s History Month in our Nukes of Hazard blog. armscontrolcenter.org/nuclear-weap...
Nuclear Weapons Issues are Women’s Issues - Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation
By Emma Sandifer The blast from a nuclear weapon does not discriminate. The radioactive fallout from that blast, however, is a different story. Women around the world sit in the dangerous position of ...
armscontrolcenter.org
April 1, 2025 at 2:08 PM
Thrilled to have skilled colleagues, like Emma, at the Center and Council! Check out her latest piece.
Can’t say we didn’t tell people but bears reminding….
"Shocking" (not) news of the day: the US Air Force, after completely mismanaging a massive, unneeded effort to build high-priced, destabilizing, vulnerable land-based, nuclear-armed missiles, is looking to extend the life of the ones they already have until 2050: gulfnews.com/world/americ...
Air Force weighs keeping 1970s-era missiles until 2050
Current plan is to remove all 400 Minuteman III ICBMs made by Boeing from silos by 2039
gulfnews.com
March 28, 2025 at 7:55 PM
Can’t say we didn’t tell people but bears reminding….
Reposted by Connor Murray
Tuning into the Heritage "Golden Dome" event so you don't have to.
Things I'm listening for:
- A clear grappling of the full cost
- A contextualizing of the off-def balance
- An integration of adversary counter-moves
- Any amount of critical analysis on the "need"
Will reply here if we get any
Things I'm listening for:
- A clear grappling of the full cost
- A contextualizing of the off-def balance
- An integration of adversary counter-moves
- Any amount of critical analysis on the "need"
Will reply here if we get any
March 25, 2025 at 3:22 PM
Tuning into the Heritage "Golden Dome" event so you don't have to.
Things I'm listening for:
- A clear grappling of the full cost
- A contextualizing of the off-def balance
- An integration of adversary counter-moves
- Any amount of critical analysis on the "need"
Will reply here if we get any
Things I'm listening for:
- A clear grappling of the full cost
- A contextualizing of the off-def balance
- An integration of adversary counter-moves
- Any amount of critical analysis on the "need"
Will reply here if we get any
Great piece that includes quotes from @nukesofhazard.bsky.social's ED John Tierney on why "Golden Dome" is not only an expensive, but also a potentially dangerous endeavor.
www.cnn.com/2025/03/22/p...
www.cnn.com/2025/03/22/p...
‘How are you going to do that?’ Pentagon scrambles to make Trump’s ‘Golden Dome’ missile defense system a reality | CNN Politics
US military officials are scrambling to develop a “Golden Dome” defense system that can protect the country from long-range missile strikes and have been told by the White House that no expense will b...
www.cnn.com
March 24, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Great piece that includes quotes from @nukesofhazard.bsky.social's ED John Tierney on why "Golden Dome" is not only an expensive, but also a potentially dangerous endeavor.
www.cnn.com/2025/03/22/p...
www.cnn.com/2025/03/22/p...
There is no shortage of things that I disagree with in the continuing resolution that the House passed yesterday (like sending $185m from nonproliferation to weapons).
This one doesn’t even make sense/just seems punitive?
This one doesn’t even make sense/just seems punitive?
A quick 🧵: The news of Congress potentially blowing a $1.1 billion hole in D.C.'s budget has certainly riled up a lot of people. But it's part of a larger trend of how Congress's years-long budget dysfunctions have bled into D.C.'s municipal government.
NEW in @51st.news: House Republicans just voted to defund D.C. police and schools. As part of a spending bill to avert a federal government shutdown, they could force D.C. to slash $1.1 billion out of its budget, and no one understands really why. 51st.news/house-republ...
March 12, 2025 at 1:38 PM
There is no shortage of things that I disagree with in the continuing resolution that the House passed yesterday (like sending $185m from nonproliferation to weapons).
This one doesn’t even make sense/just seems punitive?
This one doesn’t even make sense/just seems punitive?
Great day spreading awareness about the dangers of nuclear war on Capitol Hill, including dropping a copy of “Nuclear War: A Scenario” off with Speaker Mike Johnson’s team.
#educateDONTescalate
#educateDONTescalate
March 11, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Great day spreading awareness about the dangers of nuclear war on Capitol Hill, including dropping a copy of “Nuclear War: A Scenario” off with Speaker Mike Johnson’s team.
#educateDONTescalate
#educateDONTescalate
Reposted by Connor Murray
Tell your member of Congress: Support H.Res.168, the Opposing U.S. Military Action Against Mexico Resolution. We won’t stand by while Trump drags us into another disaster. www.congress.gov/bill/119th-c...
www.congress.gov
March 3, 2025 at 10:22 PM
Tell your member of Congress: Support H.Res.168, the Opposing U.S. Military Action Against Mexico Resolution. We won’t stand by while Trump drags us into another disaster. www.congress.gov/bill/119th-c...