Collen Mahoney
@collenmahoney.bsky.social
Views are my own | 25 🏳️🌈 | UIowa Alum ⚫️🟡 | 🏡 Boston, MA | Politics and transit, mostly
Reposted by Collen Mahoney
The Forecast for November 18, 2025, is ready to read!
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 49, Toss-Up 2 (Likely R)
House: D 224, R 194, Toss-Up 17 (Likely D)
Gubernatorial Shifts
Michigan (OPEN): Likely D -> Lean D
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 49, Toss-Up 2 (Likely R)
House: D 224, R 194, Toss-Up 17 (Likely D)
Gubernatorial Shifts
Michigan (OPEN): Likely D -> Lean D
The Forecast - November 18, 2025
Your weekly update from CM Election Predictions.
cmelectionpredictions.beehiiv.com
November 18, 2025 at 11:30 PM
The Forecast for November 18, 2025, is ready to read!
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 49, Toss-Up 2 (Likely R)
House: D 224, R 194, Toss-Up 17 (Likely D)
Gubernatorial Shifts
Michigan (OPEN): Likely D -> Lean D
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 49, Toss-Up 2 (Likely R)
House: D 224, R 194, Toss-Up 17 (Likely D)
Gubernatorial Shifts
Michigan (OPEN): Likely D -> Lean D
Thank you, Representative Pressley!
This spending bill is a fundamental betrayal of the people, and I voted NO.
Shame on every member of Congress who voted to deny a child their medication or to tear away life-saving cancer treatment.
The people deserve so much better, and this fight isn't over.
Shame on every member of Congress who voted to deny a child their medication or to tear away life-saving cancer treatment.
The people deserve so much better, and this fight isn't over.
November 13, 2025 at 5:10 AM
Thank you, Representative Pressley!
I recognize that I speak from a place of ENORMOUS privilege. I wasn’t directly impacted by disruptions to SNAP, wasn’t directly impacted by flight delays, wasn’t missing a paycheck - but I think my frustration is that people DID go through those things for what feels like nothing. (1/2)
November 11, 2025 at 12:23 AM
I recognize that I speak from a place of ENORMOUS privilege. I wasn’t directly impacted by disruptions to SNAP, wasn’t directly impacted by flight delays, wasn’t missing a paycheck - but I think my frustration is that people DID go through those things for what feels like nothing. (1/2)
Now how is Jon Ossoff, who is up for election NEXT YEAR, voting no, but Jacky Rosen, who just won A YEAR AGO, voting yes?
November 10, 2025 at 3:16 AM
Now how is Jon Ossoff, who is up for election NEXT YEAR, voting no, but Jacky Rosen, who just won A YEAR AGO, voting yes?
Chuck Schumer has lost control of the Democratic caucus in the Senate. Time to go.
November 10, 2025 at 2:50 AM
Chuck Schumer has lost control of the Democratic caucus in the Senate. Time to go.
Watching Jeanne Shaheen, Angus King, Tim Kaine and Maggie Hassan explain the negotiation - they basically are saying “Republicans weren’t working with us and bending to the pressure, so we’re just gonna take off the pressure and then they’ll DEFINITELY work with us!”
Be so for real.
Be so for real.
November 10, 2025 at 2:44 AM
Watching Jeanne Shaheen, Angus King, Tim Kaine and Maggie Hassan explain the negotiation - they basically are saying “Republicans weren’t working with us and bending to the pressure, so we’re just gonna take off the pressure and then they’ll DEFINITELY work with us!”
Be so for real.
Be so for real.
Even the DNC is pissed about this.
As this vote moves to the House, I stand with Democratic leadership as they refuse to rubber stamp the full-scale Republican assault on Americans’ health care and I am proud of the majority of Senate Democrats who opposed this vote.
November 10, 2025 at 2:35 AM
Even the DNC is pissed about this.
Thank you, Senator Markey!
No health care, no deal.
November 10, 2025 at 1:51 AM
Thank you, Senator Markey!
Thank you, Senator Warren!
I will not support a deal that does nothing to make health care more affordable.
We are in a health care emergency. A simple one-year extension of these tax credits would cost less than Donald Trump’s $40 billion bailout for Argentina.
A vote for this bill is a mistake.
We are in a health care emergency. A simple one-year extension of these tax credits would cost less than Donald Trump’s $40 billion bailout for Argentina.
A vote for this bill is a mistake.
November 10, 2025 at 1:51 AM
Thank you, Senator Warren!
So then really, what was the point? All this pain inflicted for…a “promise” to vote on the ACA credits?
Spineless.
Spineless.
Senate reaches deal to reopen government after moderate Democrats cave
Senate Reaches Deal To Reopen Government After Moderate Democrats Cave
Republicans found enough Democrats willing to drop their party's demand to extend soon-to-expire health care subsidies for millions of people.
www.huffpost.com
November 10, 2025 at 1:51 AM
So then really, what was the point? All this pain inflicted for…a “promise” to vote on the ACA credits?
Spineless.
Spineless.
People are literally not getting SNAP and are seeing their healthcare premiums dramatically spike.
Tesla shareholders have approved a pay package that could make CEO Elon Musk, already the world’s richest person, the world’s first trillionaire. https://cnn.it/43KZnkA
November 6, 2025 at 10:25 PM
People are literally not getting SNAP and are seeing their healthcare premiums dramatically spike.
I think the major takeaway from last night's elections were these two things:
1. Donald Trump can't be the only thing we (Democrats) campaign on - we HAVE to be talking about solutions to the things people really care about, like AFFORDABILITY
1. Donald Trump can't be the only thing we (Democrats) campaign on - we HAVE to be talking about solutions to the things people really care about, like AFFORDABILITY
November 6, 2025 at 2:53 AM
I think the major takeaway from last night's elections were these two things:
1. Donald Trump can't be the only thing we (Democrats) campaign on - we HAVE to be talking about solutions to the things people really care about, like AFFORDABILITY
1. Donald Trump can't be the only thing we (Democrats) campaign on - we HAVE to be talking about solutions to the things people really care about, like AFFORDABILITY
Reposted by Collen Mahoney
In the New Jersey governor's race, we predict Democrat Mikie Sherrill has been elected. This is a hold for the Democrats.
November 5, 2025 at 2:26 AM
In the New Jersey governor's race, we predict Democrat Mikie Sherrill has been elected. This is a hold for the Democrats.
Reposted by Collen Mahoney
In the Virginia governor's race, we predict Democrat Abigail Spanberger has been elected. This is a FLIP for the Democrats.
November 5, 2025 at 12:58 AM
In the Virginia governor's race, we predict Democrat Abigail Spanberger has been elected. This is a FLIP for the Democrats.
Reposted by Collen Mahoney
The Election Night 2025 Special of the Forecast is out NOW!
Final Predictions
New Jersey: Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D) has a 76.19% chance of winning, rating Lean D.
Virginia: Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D) has an 81.54% chance of winning, rating Likely D.
I'll be logging my thoughts here live tonight.
Final Predictions
New Jersey: Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D) has a 76.19% chance of winning, rating Lean D.
Virginia: Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D) has an 81.54% chance of winning, rating Likely D.
I'll be logging my thoughts here live tonight.
The Forecast - ELECTION SPECIAL - November 4, 2025
Your Election Day update from CM Election Predictions.
cmelectionpredictions.beehiiv.com
November 4, 2025 at 10:41 PM
The Election Night 2025 Special of the Forecast is out NOW!
Final Predictions
New Jersey: Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D) has a 76.19% chance of winning, rating Lean D.
Virginia: Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D) has an 81.54% chance of winning, rating Likely D.
I'll be logging my thoughts here live tonight.
Final Predictions
New Jersey: Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D) has a 76.19% chance of winning, rating Lean D.
Virginia: Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D) has an 81.54% chance of winning, rating Likely D.
I'll be logging my thoughts here live tonight.
Reposted by Collen Mahoney
The Forecast for October 28, 2025, is ready to read!
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 49, Toss-Up 2 (Likely R)
House: D 215, R 197, Toss-Up 23 (Lean D)
Governor:
NJ Lean D
VA Lean D
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 49, Toss-Up 2 (Likely R)
House: D 215, R 197, Toss-Up 23 (Lean D)
Governor:
NJ Lean D
VA Lean D
The Forecast - October 28, 2025
Your weekly update from CM Election Predictions.
cmelectionpredictions.beehiiv.com
October 28, 2025 at 10:22 PM
The Forecast for October 28, 2025, is ready to read!
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 49, Toss-Up 2 (Likely R)
House: D 215, R 197, Toss-Up 23 (Lean D)
Governor:
NJ Lean D
VA Lean D
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 49, Toss-Up 2 (Likely R)
House: D 215, R 197, Toss-Up 23 (Lean D)
Governor:
NJ Lean D
VA Lean D
Reposted by Collen Mahoney
The Forecast for October 21, 2025, is ready to read!
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 49, Toss-Up 2 (Likely R)
House: D 218, R 200, Toss-Up 17 (Solid D)
Governor:
NJ Lean D
VA Lean D
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 49, Toss-Up 2 (Likely R)
House: D 218, R 200, Toss-Up 17 (Solid D)
Governor:
NJ Lean D
VA Lean D
The Forecast - October 21, 2025
Your weekly update from CM Election Predictions.
cmelectionpredictions.beehiiv.com
October 21, 2025 at 10:03 PM
The Forecast for October 21, 2025, is ready to read!
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 49, Toss-Up 2 (Likely R)
House: D 218, R 200, Toss-Up 17 (Solid D)
Governor:
NJ Lean D
VA Lean D
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 49, Toss-Up 2 (Likely R)
House: D 218, R 200, Toss-Up 17 (Solid D)
Governor:
NJ Lean D
VA Lean D
I was proud to be at No Kings in Boston with THOUSANDS of fellow Bay Staters. THIS is what democracy looks like.
October 19, 2025 at 4:03 PM
I was proud to be at No Kings in Boston with THOUSANDS of fellow Bay Staters. THIS is what democracy looks like.
Reposted by Collen Mahoney
The Forecast for October 14, 2025, is ready to read!
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 50, Toss-Up 1 (Likely R)
House: D 219, R 198, Toss-Up 18 (Solid D)
Governor:
NJ Lean D
VA Lean D
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 50, Toss-Up 1 (Likely R)
House: D 219, R 198, Toss-Up 18 (Solid D)
Governor:
NJ Lean D
VA Lean D
The Forecast - October 14, 2025
Your weekly update from CM Election Predictions.
cmelectionpredictions.beehiiv.com
October 14, 2025 at 11:07 PM
The Forecast for October 14, 2025, is ready to read!
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 50, Toss-Up 1 (Likely R)
House: D 219, R 198, Toss-Up 18 (Solid D)
Governor:
NJ Lean D
VA Lean D
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 50, Toss-Up 1 (Likely R)
House: D 219, R 198, Toss-Up 18 (Solid D)
Governor:
NJ Lean D
VA Lean D
Utah Republicans appear to be trying to have their cake (say the popular thing and support ballot initiatives) and eat it, too (not be checked by another branch for how they interpret the results of the initiatives). Someone needs to be the final arbiter in law, and in our system, that's the courts.
Why Utah’s redistricting battle gets at the heart of good governance
Is judicial activism undermining Utah lawmakers?
www.deseret.com
October 9, 2025 at 9:40 PM
Utah Republicans appear to be trying to have their cake (say the popular thing and support ballot initiatives) and eat it, too (not be checked by another branch for how they interpret the results of the initiatives). Someone needs to be the final arbiter in law, and in our system, that's the courts.
Reposted by Collen Mahoney
Get your COVID-19 and flu vaccination for free at one of our clinics throughout Boston. Select clinics will offer routine childhood vaccinations. No appointment necessary, walk-ins welcome.
Find dates, times, and locations at boston.gov/vaccine-clinics.
#GetVaccinated #Boston
Find dates, times, and locations at boston.gov/vaccine-clinics.
#GetVaccinated #Boston
October 7, 2025 at 11:25 PM
Get your COVID-19 and flu vaccination for free at one of our clinics throughout Boston. Select clinics will offer routine childhood vaccinations. No appointment necessary, walk-ins welcome.
Find dates, times, and locations at boston.gov/vaccine-clinics.
#GetVaccinated #Boston
Find dates, times, and locations at boston.gov/vaccine-clinics.
#GetVaccinated #Boston
Reposted by Collen Mahoney
Couple events down. Couple to go. I really appreciate the folks willing to take time out of their day to come chat. If you're interested in when I'll be in your area, take a look at RobSand.com/events.
October 7, 2025 at 9:32 PM
Couple events down. Couple to go. I really appreciate the folks willing to take time out of their day to come chat. If you're interested in when I'll be in your area, take a look at RobSand.com/events.
Reposted by Collen Mahoney
The Forecast for October 7, 2025, is ready to read!
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 50, Toss-Up 1 (Likely R)
House: D 219, R 198, Toss-Up 18 (Solid D)
Governor:
NJ Lean D
VA Likely D
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 50, Toss-Up 1 (Likely R)
House: D 219, R 198, Toss-Up 18 (Solid D)
Governor:
NJ Lean D
VA Likely D
The Forecast - October 7, 2025
Your weekly update from CM Election Predictions.
cmelectionpredictions.beehiiv.com
October 7, 2025 at 10:20 PM
The Forecast for October 7, 2025, is ready to read!
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 50, Toss-Up 1 (Likely R)
House: D 219, R 198, Toss-Up 18 (Solid D)
Governor:
NJ Lean D
VA Likely D
Current Standings
Senate: D 49, R 50, Toss-Up 1 (Likely R)
House: D 219, R 198, Toss-Up 18 (Solid D)
Governor:
NJ Lean D
VA Likely D
Reposted by Collen Mahoney
The Forecast - September 1, 2025
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The Forecast - September 1, 2025
Your weekly update from CM Election Predictions.
cmelectionpredictions.beehiiv.com
September 1, 2025 at 11:39 PM
The Forecast - September 1, 2025
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cmelectionpredictions.beehiiv.com/p/the-foreca...
Reposted by Collen Mahoney
The Forecast - August 25, 2025
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cmelectionpredictions.beehiiv.com/p/the-foreca...
The Forecast - August 25, 2025
Your weekly update from CM Election Predictions.
cmelectionpredictions.beehiiv.com
August 26, 2025 at 1:40 AM
The Forecast - August 25, 2025
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