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cathfraser.bsky.social
Catherine Fraser
@cathfraser.bsky.social
9.4K followers 2.4K following 430 posts
climate @dataforprogress.org | she/her

https://dataforclimateprogress.substack.com/
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cathfraser.bsky.social
Catherine Fraser @cathfraser.bsky.social · Nov 7
i am once again re-upping the @dataforprogress.bsky.social starter pack go.bsky.app/NWYs6ok
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
advaitarun.bsky.social
I really want to see CDR tech mature. But the ways we make CDR bankable (carbon credits, VCMs, etc) are almost universally scams. IMO better to simply just pay for CDR out of the public balance sheet, as a kind of insurance against an uncertain FF phaseout timeline.
January 7, 2026 at 4:08 AM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
advaitarun.bsky.social
"Rationalist-optimists lack humility in the face of a planetary system."

Really loved this piece from @cathfraser.bsky.social & @noahjgordon.bsky.social taking aim at naive techno-optimist faith in negative-emissions technologies and laying bare our inevitable stranded asset problems.

Must-read.
January 7, 2026 at 4:08 AM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
jacobinmag.bsky.social
In The Long Heat, Andreas Malm and Wim Carton take aim at what they call rationalist-optimists — people who naively believe that market solutions can fix the climate crisis.

But their sweeping critique runs the risk of abandoning all hope in the future.
Capitalists Want You to Stop Worrying About Climate Change
In The Long Heat, Andreas Malm and Wim Carton take aim at what they call rationalist-optimists — people who naively believe that market solutions can fix the climate crisis. But their sweeping critique runs the risk of abandoning all hope in the future.
jacobin.com
January 6, 2026 at 9:00 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
noahjgordon.bsky.social
The Long Heat is one of the most important climate books of the decade.
Andreas Malm & Wim Carton savage the "rationalist-optimists" who believe that carbon removal and SRM will solve the crisis.

@cathfraser.bsky.social and I review it for
@jacobinmag.bsky.social!
@versobooks.bsky.social
January 6, 2026 at 9:33 PM
cathfraser.bsky.social
A fun collab with @noahjgordon.bsky.social reviewing one of my top books of 2025. tough to give the book justice in just a couple thousand words!

check it out, and do check out The Long Heat!
jacobinmag.bsky.social Jacobin @jacobinmag.bsky.social · 3d
In The Long Heat, Andreas Malm and Wim Carton take aim at what they call rationalist-optimists — people who naively believe that market solutions can fix the climate crisis.

But their sweeping critique runs the risk of abandoning all hope in the future.
Capitalists Want You to Stop Worrying About Climate Change
In The Long Heat, Andreas Malm and Wim Carton take aim at what they call rationalist-optimists — people who naively believe that market solutions can fix the climate crisis. But their sweeping critique runs the risk of abandoning all hope in the future.
jacobin.com
January 6, 2026 at 9:14 PM
cathfraser.bsky.social
we were in Craig and the Yampa Valley last summer talking to residents about what the transition away from coal meant to them, and what they may want next for the area. full findings here: www.dataforprogress.org/memos/12/16/...
January 5, 2026 at 3:40 PM
cathfraser.bsky.social
we were in Craig and the Yampa Valley last summer talking to residents about what the transition away from coal meant to them, and what they may want next for the area. full findings here: www.dataforprogress.org/memos/12/16/...
January 5, 2026 at 3:40 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
aldasky.bsky.social
Extraction, by the brilliant @triofrancos.bsky.social, is my book of the year. Mining for the green transition is… a minefield of contradictions. Thea reveals their contours, layer by layer, w stories & political economy. The journey’s revelatory. To navigate the polycrisis, read this book.
Book cover: EXTRACTION: The Frontiers of Green Capitalism. By Thea Riotrancos
December 31, 2025 at 2:53 PM
cathfraser.bsky.social
Our climate team at @dataforprogress.org logged 900+ miles and 16+ hours of driving over the course of 6 days in Colorado for this report. Please do check it out!

Huge thanks to the *many* folks who reviewed and gave feedback throughout the project.

www.dataforprogress.org/memos/12/16/...
What’s in a Just Transition: Colorado Communities on Coal, Carbon Removal, and Climate Change
With Colorado’s total closure of coal-fired power plants just a few years down the road, now is the time to understand the needs, hopes, and strengths of Colorado coal communities.
www.dataforprogress.org
December 17, 2025 at 8:19 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
By a +21-point margin, voters in five Republican-held swing districts say that Republicans should vote to extend expiring ACA tax credits.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/12...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters in Republican-Held Swing Districts Want Their Representatives To Vote To Extend ACA Subsidies. Description: Affordable Care Act (ACA) tax credits help millions of Americans afford their health insurance by providing funding for premiums for health plans bought on Healthcare.gov or through state health insurance marketplaces. These tax credits are set to expire at the end of this year. If these tax credits expire, many people who buy their own health insurance on public marketplaces will see increases in their monthly premium bills. Democrats in Congress are proposing a bill to extend the expiring ACA tax credits. Which of the following statements comes closest to your view, even if neither is exactly right? Response Options: A) Republicans in Congress should vote with Democrats to extend the expiring ACA tax credits. B) Don't know C) Republicans in Congress should vote against Democrats' bill, allowing the ACA tax credits to expire. All likely voters — 56% chose A, 9% chose B, 35% chose C Democrat — 93% chose A, 4% chose B, 4% chose C Independent / Third party — 59% chose A, 13% chose B, 28% chose C Republican — 21% chose A, 11% chose B, 68% chose C AZ-06 — 54% chose A, 12% chose B, 33% chose C CA-22 — 54% chose A, 9% chose B, 37% chose C PA-07 — 56% chose A, 8% chose B, 36% chose C VA-02 — 55% chose A, 10% chose B, 35% chose C WI-03 — 57% chose A, 8% chose B, 35% chose C December 5-9, 2025 survey of 2,205 likely voters in: AZ-06, CA-22, PA-07, VA-02, WI-03.
December 17, 2025 at 2:45 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
NEW with @careinaction.bsky.social:

In Republican-held swing districts, a generic Democrat performs better once voters learn that their representative voted against extending ACA subsidies.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/12...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Generic Democrat Increases Advantage in Republican-Held Swing Districts if Incumbent Votes Against ACA Extension. Description: Voters were inititally asked: If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for? Voters were then provided with a hypothetical event where their representative voted against extending ACA subsidies, and then re-asked: If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for? Initial generic congressional ballot — The Democrat: 47%, Don't know: 7%, The Republican: 46% Ballot if representative voted against ACA extension — The Democrat: 48%, Don't know: 9%, The Republican: 44% December 5-9, 2025 survey of 2,205 likely voters in: AZ-06, CA-22, PA-07, VA-02, WI-03.
December 17, 2025 at 2:45 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
merkley.senate.gov
We need to release ALL the Epstein Files—including Treasury files about Epstein’s financial activities. The American people agree!

I’ll keep fighting for full transparency and justice.
Data for Progress polling on releasing the Epstein Files
December 16, 2025 at 4:49 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
leadlocally.bsky.social
What if thousands of us ran for local office on climate?? Here's where to start: our free, virtual, 6-part 2026 Run for Climate Training series. actionnetwork.org/forms/apply-...
December 10, 2025 at 4:29 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
A majority of voters are concerned about Trump’s NSPM-7 memo, which states that the U.S. government must target “anti-fascist” political activity, including “anti-American,” “anti-capitalist,” and “anti-Christian” speech.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: People of Color, LGBTQ+ Voters, and Non-Christians Are Most Concerned About Trump's Memo to Restrict Speech. Description: Recently, the Trump administration released a memo stating that the U.S. government must target "anti-fascist" political activity, including speech that promotes "anti-American," "anti-capitalist," and "anti-Christian" views. Based on what you know, how concerned or not concerned are you about this memo? All likely voters — More concerned: 59%, Less concerned: 41% Democrat — More concerned: 84%, Less concerned: 16% Independent / Third party — More concerned: 69%, Less concerned: 31% Republican — More concerned: 29%, Less concerned: 71% Black or African American — More concerned: 75%, Less concerned: 25% White — More concerned: 54%, Less concerned: 46% Latino — More concerned: 72%, Less concerned: 28% Identifies as LGBTQ+ — More concerned: 88%, Less concerned: 12% Does not identify as LGBTQ+ — More concerned: 58%, Less concerned: 42% Christian — More concerned: 53%, Less concerned: 47% Religion other than Christianity — More concerned: 73%, Less concerned: 27% Not religious — More concerned: 79%, Less concerned: 21% November 14–17, 2025 survey of 1,224 U.S. likely voters.
December 11, 2025 at 7:51 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A majority of voters think that Trump will try to restrict various types of speech.

But in each case, a minority of voters actually want that speech to be restricted.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Think Trump Will Try to Restrict Various Types of Speech, but Do Not Personally Support It. Trump will try to restrict — 59% Personally support restricting — 26% Trump will try to restrict — 55% Personally support restricting — 19% Trump will try to restrict — 53% Personally support restricting — 24% Trump will try to restrict — 53% Personally support restricting — 40% Trump will try to restrict — 52% Personally support restricting — 18% Trump will try to restrict — 52% Personally support restricting — 27% Trump will try to restrict — 49% Personally support restricting — 24% Trump will try to restrict — 43% Personally support restricting — 27% November 14–17, 2025 survey of 1,224 U.S. likely voters.
December 11, 2025 at 7:51 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A majority of voters (63%) support a Medicare for All system that would:

- Eliminate most private insurance plans
- Replace premiums with higher taxes
- Guarantee health coverage for everyone
- Eliminate most out-of-pocket costs like copays and deductibles
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Support Medicare for All, Even After Hearing It Would Eliminate Most Private Insurance and Raise Taxes. Description: Some proposals for Medicare for All would eliminate most private insurance plans and replace premiums with higher taxes, while guaranteeing health coverage for everyone and eliminating most out-of-pocket costs like copays and deductibles. Knowing this, do you support or oppose "Medicare for All"? All likely voters — Support: 63%, Oppose: 29% Democrat — Support: 78%, Oppose: 14% Independent / Third party — Support: 64%, Oppose: 24% Republican — Support: 47%, Oppose: 46% November 14–17, 2025 survey of 1,207 U.S. likely voters.
November 26, 2025 at 8:12 PM
cathfraser.bsky.social
Our November climate newsletter is live:

🔥 Our memo w/ Fossil Free Media: Don't run from climate, translate it
🌎 Polling on voter support for phasing out fossil fuels & a s/o of @whitehouse.senate.gov, the sole rep of the US federal gov't @ COP30
dataforclimateprogress.substack.com/p/whitehouse...
Whitehouse Goes to COP30. The White House Cops Out.
Welcome back to Data for Climate Progress — your one-stop shop for all things climate at Data for Progress.
dataforclimateprogress.substack.com
November 21, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
A majority of voters also support cutting emissions and phasing out fossil fuels, even when posed against arguments that it would raise costs or hurt fossil fuel companies.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: In a Split Test, Voters Prefer Cutting Emissions and Phasing Out Fossil Fuels. Description: Which of the following comes closest to your view, even if neither is exactly correct? Response Options: A) We should cut emissions and phase out fossil fuels as fast as possible because we need to urgently address climate change and its impacts on all of us. B) Don't know C) [A/B SPLIT TEST] <strong>SPLIT A:</strong> We should not cut emissions and phase out fossil fuels as fast as possible because it would hurt fossil fuel companies and their workers. — 52% chose A, 9% chose B, 39% chose C <strong>SPLIT B:</strong> We should not cut emissions and phase out fossil fuels as fast as possible because it would disrupt consumers' lives and raise costs in the short term. — 48% chose A, 10% chose B, 42% chose C November 14–17, 2025 survey of 1,224 U.S. likely voters.
November 21, 2025 at 3:51 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A strong majority (65%) of voters prefer that the United States takes ambitious action on climate change, even if other countries do not.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: A Strong Majority of Voters Think the U.S. Should Take Ambitious Action on Climate Change. Description: Which statement comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right? Response Options: A) The United States should take ambitious action to address climate change, even if other countries do not. We should lead the world on this issue and set the example for other countries to follow suit. B) Don't know C) If other countries do not take action to address climate change, the United States should not either. It is not fair for us to act while other countries contributing to the problem are sitting still. All likely voters — 65% chose A, 10% chose B, 25% chose C Democrat — 85% chose A, 6% chose B, 9% chose C Independent / Third party — 63% chose A, 11% chose B, 26% chose C Republican — 47% chose A, 12% chose B, 41% chose C November 14–17, 2025 survey of 1,224 U.S. likely voters.
November 21, 2025 at 3:51 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
NEW: Voters support a variety of progressive immigration policies, including requiring officers to visibly display their identities and prohibiting the detainment of children in ICE facilities.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/11...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Support a Range of Progressive Immigration Policies. Description: Below are some policies around immigration enforcement. Please say to what extent you support or oppose these policies. Requiring federal agencies to swiftly report to Congress of any death of an individual in immigration enforcement custody — Support: 77%, Oppose: 14% Requiring immigration officers to visibly display their federal agencies though badges, uniforms, and clearly marked vehicles — Support: 75%, Oppose: 20% Prohibiting ICE from representing themselves as local police officers or other officials — Support: 66%, Oppose: 24% Preventing ICE from detaining, arresting, or transporting U.S. citizens outside the country — Support: 66%, Oppose: 25% Requiring the President to consult with Congress when invoking the Insurrection Act and allowing for civil action if the power is misused — Support: 65%, Oppose: 25% Requiring immigrant enforcement agencies to admit Members of Congress into facilities for unannounced inspections — Support: 63%, Oppose: 25% Requiring ICE to visibly display their identities, including their faces, during detentions and arrests — Support: 65%, Oppose: 28% Prohibiting the detainment of children in immigration facilities — Support: 63%, Oppose: 29% Prohibiting immigration enforcement actions at sensitive locations such as schools, hospitals, places of worship, or public demonstrations — Support: 63%, Oppose: 31% Phasing out the use of private detention facilities and jails — Support: 52%, Oppose: 34% Prohibiting National Guard from being used for immigration enforcement purposes — Support: 55%, Oppose: 38% October 22–23, 2025 survey of 1,215 U.S. likely voters.
November 12, 2025 at 8:25 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
gelliottmorris.com
you should quit social media if you can.
if you can't, you should use apps that give you and old-school reverse chronological feed of posts from people you follow. yes, like bluesky.
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/you-should...
You should quit social media for good
Platforms optimized for engagement warp our politics, erode attention, and harm our wellbeing. Here’s how I minimize time on the (anti‑)social web.
www.gelliottmorris.com
November 12, 2025 at 1:01 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
ezracycle.bsky.social
A graphic in the style of a Mamdani campaign sign that says "bike lanes for Connecticut Ave"
November 8, 2025 at 10:43 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
NEW: Voters have a highly favorable view of SNAP, including 71% of Independents and 69% of Republicans.

Voters trust the Democratic Party (51%) more than the Republican Party (43%) to handle SNAP.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/11...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Have a Highly Favorable View of SNAP. Description: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, also known as SNAP or food stamps? All likely voters — Favorable: 79%, Unfavorable: 16% Democrat — Favorable: 92%, Unfavorable: 6% Independent / Third party — Favorable: 71%, Unfavorable: 19% Republican — Favorable: 69%, Unfavorable: 24% October 31–November 3, 2025 survey of 1,228 U.S. likely voters.
November 6, 2025 at 7:06 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
What policies a specific candidate runs on will look different in each race — you can't fake authenticity.

But voters everywhere want the government to play a role in lowering costs.

www.dataforprogress.org/insights/202...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Believe the Government Should Play a Major Role in Lowering Costs. Description: Which comes closer to your view about lowering costs for families? All likely voters — Play a role: 88%, Play no role: 7% Democrat — Play a role: 95%, Play no role: 2% Independent / Third party — Play a role: 86%, Play no role: 8% Republican — Play a role: 83%, Play no role: 12% October 31–November 3, 2025 survey of 1,228 U.S. likely voters.
November 5, 2025 at 8:16 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
NEW DFP Insight:

Voters everywhere respond when a candidate connects economic populism to clear, actionable goals.

Zohran Mamdani's policies are key examples — and they have popular appeal nationwide.

www.dataforprogress.org/insights/202...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Nationwide Support Key Planks of Zohran Mamdani's Platform. Description: Do you support or oppose each of the following policy proposals? Speeding up the approval process to build affordable housing — Support: 83%, Oppose: 12% Penalizing landlords who significantly increase rent or violate tenant protections — Support: 82%, Oppose: 12% Cutting fines and fees for small businesses — Support: 70%, Oppose: 15% Adding a 2 percent tax on income over $1 million — Support: 72%, Oppose: 18% Raising taxes on corporations — Support: 72%, Oppose: 19% Creating new violence de-escalation programs and mental health teams to respond to certain 911 calls instead of the police — Support: 71%, Oppose: 19% Spending funds to provide free child care for every child from infancy through age 3 — Support: 65%, Oppose: 25% October 31–November 3, 2025 survey of 1,228 U.S. likely voters.
November 5, 2025 at 8:16 PM