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Catherine Fraser
@cathfraser.bsky.social
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climate @dataforprogress.org | she/her

https://dataforclimateprogress.substack.com/
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cathfraser.bsky.social
Catherine Fraser @cathfraser.bsky.social · Nov 7
i am once again re-upping the @dataforprogress.bsky.social starter pack go.bsky.app/NWYs6ok
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
NEW: Voters support a variety of progressive immigration policies, including requiring officers to visibly display their identities and prohibiting the detainment of children in ICE facilities.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/11...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Support a Range of Progressive Immigration Policies. Description: Below are some policies around immigration enforcement. Please say to what extent you support or oppose these policies. Requiring federal agencies to swiftly report to Congress of any death of an individual in immigration enforcement custody — Support: 77%, Oppose: 14% Requiring immigration officers to visibly display their federal agencies though badges, uniforms, and clearly marked vehicles — Support: 75%, Oppose: 20% Prohibiting ICE from representing themselves as local police officers or other officials — Support: 66%, Oppose: 24% Preventing ICE from detaining, arresting, or transporting U.S. citizens outside the country — Support: 66%, Oppose: 25% Requiring the President to consult with Congress when invoking the Insurrection Act and allowing for civil action if the power is misused — Support: 65%, Oppose: 25% Requiring immigrant enforcement agencies to admit Members of Congress into facilities for unannounced inspections — Support: 63%, Oppose: 25% Requiring ICE to visibly display their identities, including their faces, during detentions and arrests — Support: 65%, Oppose: 28% Prohibiting the detainment of children in immigration facilities — Support: 63%, Oppose: 29% Prohibiting immigration enforcement actions at sensitive locations such as schools, hospitals, places of worship, or public demonstrations — Support: 63%, Oppose: 31% Phasing out the use of private detention facilities and jails — Support: 52%, Oppose: 34% Prohibiting National Guard from being used for immigration enforcement purposes — Support: 55%, Oppose: 38% October 22–23, 2025 survey of 1,215 U.S. likely voters.
November 12, 2025 at 8:25 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
gelliottmorris.com
you should quit social media if you can.
if you can't, you should use apps that give you and old-school reverse chronological feed of posts from people you follow. yes, like bluesky.
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/you-should...
You should quit social media for good
Platforms optimized for engagement warp our politics, erode attention, and harm our wellbeing. Here’s how I minimize time on the (anti‑)social web.
www.gelliottmorris.com
November 12, 2025 at 1:01 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
ezracycle.bsky.social
A graphic in the style of a Mamdani campaign sign that says "bike lanes for Connecticut Ave"
November 8, 2025 at 10:43 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
NEW: Voters have a highly favorable view of SNAP, including 71% of Independents and 69% of Republicans.

Voters trust the Democratic Party (51%) more than the Republican Party (43%) to handle SNAP.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/11...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Have a Highly Favorable View of SNAP. Description: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, also known as SNAP or food stamps? All likely voters — Favorable: 79%, Unfavorable: 16% Democrat — Favorable: 92%, Unfavorable: 6% Independent / Third party — Favorable: 71%, Unfavorable: 19% Republican — Favorable: 69%, Unfavorable: 24% October 31–November 3, 2025 survey of 1,228 U.S. likely voters.
November 6, 2025 at 7:06 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
What policies a specific candidate runs on will look different in each race — you can't fake authenticity.

But voters everywhere want the government to play a role in lowering costs.

www.dataforprogress.org/insights/202...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Believe the Government Should Play a Major Role in Lowering Costs. Description: Which comes closer to your view about lowering costs for families? All likely voters — Play a role: 88%, Play no role: 7% Democrat — Play a role: 95%, Play no role: 2% Independent / Third party — Play a role: 86%, Play no role: 8% Republican — Play a role: 83%, Play no role: 12% October 31–November 3, 2025 survey of 1,228 U.S. likely voters.
November 5, 2025 at 8:16 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
NEW DFP Insight:

Voters everywhere respond when a candidate connects economic populism to clear, actionable goals.

Zohran Mamdani's policies are key examples — and they have popular appeal nationwide.

www.dataforprogress.org/insights/202...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Nationwide Support Key Planks of Zohran Mamdani's Platform. Description: Do you support or oppose each of the following policy proposals? Speeding up the approval process to build affordable housing — Support: 83%, Oppose: 12% Penalizing landlords who significantly increase rent or violate tenant protections — Support: 82%, Oppose: 12% Cutting fines and fees for small businesses — Support: 70%, Oppose: 15% Adding a 2 percent tax on income over $1 million — Support: 72%, Oppose: 18% Raising taxes on corporations — Support: 72%, Oppose: 19% Creating new violence de-escalation programs and mental health teams to respond to certain 911 calls instead of the police — Support: 71%, Oppose: 19% Spending funds to provide free child care for every child from infancy through age 3 — Support: 65%, Oppose: 25% October 31–November 3, 2025 survey of 1,228 U.S. likely voters.
November 5, 2025 at 8:16 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
rodonnell.bsky.social
zohran's election wasn't just a quirk of NYC — his policies are popular nationwide. voters want to see moral conviction and concrete plans to lower costs
dataforprogress.org Data for Progress @dataforprogress.org · 8d
NEW DFP Insight:

Voters everywhere respond when a candidate connects economic populism to clear, actionable goals.

Zohran Mamdani's policies are key examples — and they have popular appeal nationwide.

www.dataforprogress.org/insights/202...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Nationwide Support Key Planks of Zohran Mamdani's Platform. Description: Do you support or oppose each of the following policy proposals? Speeding up the approval process to build affordable housing — Support: 83%, Oppose: 12% Penalizing landlords who significantly increase rent or violate tenant protections — Support: 82%, Oppose: 12% Cutting fines and fees for small businesses — Support: 70%, Oppose: 15% Adding a 2 percent tax on income over $1 million — Support: 72%, Oppose: 18% Raising taxes on corporations — Support: 72%, Oppose: 19% Creating new violence de-escalation programs and mental health teams to respond to certain 911 calls instead of the police — Support: 71%, Oppose: 19% Spending funds to provide free child care for every child from infancy through age 3 — Support: 65%, Oppose: 25% October 31–November 3, 2025 survey of 1,228 U.S. likely voters.
November 5, 2025 at 8:45 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
Alaska voters view the “One Big Beautiful Bill” negatively by a -5-point margin.

Roughly two-thirds of Alaska voters also say that the federal government should extend the enhanced premium health care tax credits at the heart of the government shutdown.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Alaska Voters Want Enhanced Premium Tax Credits to Continue. Description: Some Alaskans who buy health insurance now receive "enhanced premium tax credits" from the federal government. These credits reduce what people pay out of pocket. These tax credits are set to expire at the end of the year. If these tax credits expire, some Alaskans could see their health insurance premiums double or more. When thinking about these tax credits, which of the following statements comes closest to your view, even if neither is exactly right? Response Options: A) The federal government should continue enhanced premium tax credits B) Don't know C) The federal government should end enhanced premium tax credits All likely voters — 63% chose A, 12% chose B, 25% chose C Democrat — 82% chose A, 4% chose B, 14% chose C Independent / Third party — 67% chose A, 13% chose B, 20% chose C Republican — 50% chose A, 15% chose B, 35% chose C
November 3, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
Cost of living continues to be a major concern for Alaska voters.

Most Alaska voters are worried about affording groceries, health care, and utilities.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Most Alaska Voters Worry About Affording Food, Health Care, Energy. Description: How worried, if at all, are you about being able to afford each of the following for you and your family over the next year? Key: a = Very worried b = Somewhat worried c = Not too worried d = Not at all worried e = Does not apply to me Results: Groceries and food — a: 31%, b: 30%, c: 23%, d: 16%, e: 1% The cost of health care services — a: 27%, b: 30%, c: 21%, d: 14%, e: 8% Monthly utilities like electricity or heat — a: 22%, b: 32%, c: 27%, d: 17%, e: 1% Gasoline or other transportation costs — a: 19%, b: 35%, c: 28%, d: 17%, e: 1% Monthly health insurance premium — a: 20%, b: 24%, c: 27%, d: 17%, e: 13% Housing costs (rent or mortgage) — a: 20%, b: 23%, c: 26%, d: 19%, e: 11% Survey conducted October 17–23, 2025 among 823 Alaska likely voters.
November 3, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
In the Alaska at-large congressional race, Rep. Nick Begich currently leads challenger Matt Schultz by 11 points.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Peltola and Sullivan Neck and Neck in Hypothetical 2026 Senate Matchup. Description: If the November 2026 general election for U.S. Senator from Alaska was being held tomorrow, and these were the candidates, who would you rank higher? Democrat Mary Peltola — 46% Republican Dan Sullivan — 45% I would rank neither — 5% Not sure — 4% October 17–23, 2025 survey of 823 AK likely voters.
November 3, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
NEW AK POLL:

We find that Mary Peltola leads Sen. Sullivan by one point in a hypothetical Senate race.

If she were to run for governor, we find Peltola in a commanding lead, leading the next Republican candidate by 31 points in the first round of ranked choice voting.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Peltola and Sullivan Neck and Neck in Hypothetical 2026 Senate Matchup. Description: If the November 2026 general election for U.S. Senator from Alaska was being held tomorrow, and these were the candidates, who would you rank higher? Democrat Mary Peltola — 46% Republican Dan Sullivan — 45% I would rank neither — 5% Not sure — 4% October 17–23, 2025 survey of 823 AK likely voters.
November 3, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
NEW: Energy prices are straining Americans.

But voters like renewable energy, view wind and solar as the cheapest forms of energy, and don't blame renewables for high prices.

That gives Democrats the high ground to go on offense on energy prices.

Read our new DFP Insight: ⤵️
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Most Blame Utility Companies for Higher Electric Utility Bills. Description: Who or what do you think is most responsible for higher electric utility bills? Utility companies increasing profits — 38% Increased energy demand from new industries (like AI) — 14% Extreme weather events causing higher energy demand — 11% Aging or inadequate energy infrastructure — 10% Foreign conflicts limiting energy supply — 9% Increased reliance on fossil fuels — 8% Increased reliance on wind and solar energy — 5% Something else [please specify] — 5% September 19–22, 2025 survey of 1,361 U.S. likely voters.
October 31, 2025 at 2:06 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
“As the right uses polling to justify fear, we need to use it to understand possibility.”

Read more about his plans for our next steps at Data for Progress:

www.dataforprogress.org/insights/202...
Data for Progress Will Use Polling to Lead, Not Follow
As the right uses polling to justify fear, we need to use it to understand possibility.
www.dataforprogress.org
October 30, 2025 at 3:01 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
We are thrilled to announce that @rodonnell.bsky.social has been named the next executive director of Data for Progress!

Ryan is an expert in survey methodology with a long history in progressive and union politics — he has worked with DFP since 2019 to shape our electoral polling.
October 30, 2025 at 3:01 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
cmmonwealth.bsky.social
🚨 Today, Common Wealth launches the Green Planning Commission.

A major new initiative to tackle the twin crises of our era: climate breakdown & the affordability crisis.

To meet these challenges, we need a new era of democratic planning.

🧵

https://www.common-wealth.org/green-planning-commission
October 30, 2025 at 9:04 AM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
cmmonwealth.bsky.social
🎉 Join us in London to launch the Green Planning Commission — rethinking the politics & practice of planning for a democratic & decarbonised future

🎙️ Carolina Alves, @brusselermel.bsky.social, Richard Kozul-Wright & @mathewlawrence.bsky.social
🪑 Sarah Nankivell

🔗 www.eventbrite.com/e/launch-the...
October 28, 2025 at 2:21 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
An even greater share of voters, 75%, are concerned about health insurance premiums rising this year.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Most Voters Are Concerned About Rising Health Care Premiums. Description: How concerned are you, if at all, about health insurance premiums rising this year? All likely voters — Concerned: 75%, Not concerned: 24% Democrat — Concerned: 83%, Not concerned: 15% Independent / Third party — Concerned: 72%, Not concerned: 27% Republican — Concerned: 69%, Not concerned: 31% October 22–23, 2025 survey of 1,215 U.S. likely voters.
October 24, 2025 at 2:07 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
Two in three voters have heard "a lot" or "some" about rising health insurance premiums.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Most Voters Are Hearing About Rising Premiums. Description: Starting in October, open enrollment season begins. This is a limited period of time when Americans can choose or make changes to their health insurance plans for 2026. This year, health insurance premiums for those who purchase coverage on the Affordable Care Act exchange are estimated to double on average. And premiums for employer-sponsored insurance are expected to increase by 9% on average, the highest increase in six years. How much have you seen, read, or heard about the rising health insurance premiums? All likely voters — 'A lot' or 'Some': 66%, 'Only a little' or 'Nothing at all': 34% Democrat — 'A lot' or 'Some': 67%, 'Only a little' or 'Nothing at all': 33% Independent / Third party — 'A lot' or 'Some': 68%, 'Only a little' or 'Nothing at all': 32% Republican — 'A lot' or 'Some': 63%, 'Only a little' or 'Nothing at all': 37% October 22–23, 2025 survey of 1,215 U.S. likely voters.
October 24, 2025 at 2:07 PM
cathfraser.bsky.social
NEW from @dataforprogress.org & @cplusc.bsky.social: As electricity prices rise, voters most often blame utility companies.

They're not wrong: Research from @cplusc.bsky.social & @publicgrids.org shows that this affordability crisis is enabled by utilities’ ratemaking practices & policies, ...

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Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Most Blame Utility Companies for Higher Electric Utility Bills. Description: Who or what do you think is most responsible for higher electric utility bills? Utility companies increasing profits — 38% Increased energy demand from new industries (like AI) — 14% Extreme weather events causing higher energy demand — 11% Aging or inadequate energy infrastructure — 10% Foreign conflicts limiting energy supply — 9% Increased reliance on fossil fuels — 8% Increased reliance on wind and solar energy — 5% Something else [please specify] — 5% September 19–22, 2025 survey of 1,361 U.S. likely voters.
October 23, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A majority of voters (62%) — including majorities across party lines — support the U.S. providing an increased amount of humanitarian aid to Palestinians in Gaza.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Support Increasing Humanitarian Aid for Palestinians in Gaza. Description: Would you support or oppose the U.S. providing an increased amount of humanitarian aid to Palestinians in Gaza? All likely voters — Support: 63%, Oppose: 26% Democrat — Support: 68%, Oppose: 21% Independent / Third party — Support: 66%, Oppose: 23% Republican — Support: 56%, Oppose: 32% October 17–20, 2025 survey of 1,191 U.S. likely voters.
October 23, 2025 at 3:39 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
A strong majority of voters (71%) believe that federal employees who have been furloughed due to the government shutdown should receive compensation for their required time off.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Think Furloughed Government Workers Should Be Paid for Their Time Off. Description: If a federal government employee is required to stop working temporarily due to a government shutdown, do you think they should or should not receive compensation for their required time off? All likely voters — They should receive compensation for their required time off: 71%, Don't know: 9%, They should not receive compensation for their required time off: 21% October 14–15, 2025 survey of 1,264 U.S. likely voters.
October 17, 2025 at 1:56 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A majority of voters (63%) disapprove of the Trump administration’s memo to reject the guarantee that furloughed federal workers receive back pay.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Strongly Disapprove of Trump's Memo to Reject Guaranteed Back Pay for Federal Workers. Description: As you may know, there is currently a government shutdown, which will require many federal government workers to take a leave of absence. Previously, these workers were guaranteed "back pay" as compensation for their required time off. However, President Trump recently issued a memo to reject this guarantee, meaning these workers are no longer guaranteed back pay for their required time off. Do you approve or disapprove of this new decision from the Trump administration? All likely voters — Approve: 32%, Disapprove: 63% Democrat — Approve: 10%, Disapprove: 86% Independent / Third party — Approve: 27%, Disapprove: 63% Republican — Approve: 54%, Disapprove: 39% October 14–15, 2025 survey of 1,264 U.S. likely voters.
October 17, 2025 at 1:56 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
NEW: The government shutdown and ceasefire in Gaza were the top stories breaking through to voters from Oct. 10-13.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/10...
Horizontal bar chart titled “Most Heard News Story: Oct. 10–13, 2025.” It shows the results of an open-ended survey question asking U.S. likely voters what news story they heard about most recently. The top responses are: Government shutdown — 25% Ceasefire in Gaza — 22% [All other items] — 11% Immigration / Deportations — 6% Nothing — 5% National Guard / Chicago / Portland — 5% Tariffs — 4% Crime — 4% Charlie Kirk assassination — 3% Nobel Prize — 2% General comments about Trump administration — 2% Blank / Unintelligible — 2% Don’t know — 2% Tennessee explosion — 1% Weather / Climate — 1% James Comey / Letitia James indictments — 1% Foreign policy (not Israel / Gaza) — 1% Epstein — 1%. Survey conducted October 10–13, 2025, among 1,217 likely voters by Data for Progress.
October 16, 2025 at 6:04 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
By a +19-point margin, voters say that Democrats should only vote for a government funding bill that reverses Republican health care cuts.

www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/oct...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Agree That Democrats Should Only Vote for a Funding Bill if It Reverses Republican Health Care Cuts. Description: How much do you agree or disagree with the following statement: Republicans' health care cuts will kick millions off their plans and hike health care premiums by an average of 75% for those who can stay insured. Democrats in Congress should only vote for a government funding bill that reverses Republican health care cuts, even if that means the government shutdown continues. All likely voters — Agree: 54%, Disagree: 34% Democrat — Agree: 79%, Disagree: 10% Independent / Third party — Agree: 50%, Disagree: 34% Republican — Agree: 30%, Disagree: 58% October 3–6, 2025 survey of 1,232 U.S. likely voters.
October 8, 2025 at 6:15 PM
Reposted by Catherine Fraser
dataforprogress.org
This ruling would be against public opinion — our June polling found that a majority of voters believe states should be allowed to ban conversion therapy.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/6/...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Think the Supreme Court Should Allow States to Ban "Conversion Therapy" for Minors. Description: The Supreme Court will soon decide whether states should be allowed to ban "conversion therapy." Currently, more than 20 states ban licensed professionals from subjecting minors to conversion therapy. Do you think the Supreme Court should or should not allow states to ban conversion therapy? Response Options: A) The Supreme Court should allow states to ban conversion therapy for minors B) Don't know C) The Supreme Court should not allow states to ban conversion therapy, and should end existing state policies banning conversion therapy for minors All likely voters — 56% chose A, 12% chose B, 32% chose C Democrat — 57% chose A, 12% chose B, 31% chose C Independent / Third party — 53% chose A, 18% chose B, 29% chose C Republican — 56% chose A, 10% chose B, 34% chose C June 6–8, 2025 survey of 1,155 U.S. likely voters.
October 7, 2025 at 6:37 PM