Black Sheep Weather
@blacksheepwx.bsky.social
Amateur meteorologist, storm spotter and chaser, and a ham radio operator.
73s de N9KDK
Video forecasts and severe weather livestreams coming on YouTube https://youtube.com/@blacksheepweather
73s de N9KDK
Video forecasts and severe weather livestreams coming on YouTube https://youtube.com/@blacksheepweather
Pinned
** UPDATE **
METRO: The Winter Weather Advisory run 6pm Tues to Noon Wed for 1-3" of snow and strong winds gusting up to 40 mph.
ST CLOUD: The Winter Storm Watch runs from Tuesday PM to Wednesday AM for the St. Cloud area for 3-5" of snow and winds gusting to 45 mph.
METRO: The Winter Weather Advisory run 6pm Tues to Noon Wed for 1-3" of snow and strong winds gusting up to 40 mph.
ST CLOUD: The Winter Storm Watch runs from Tuesday PM to Wednesday AM for the St. Cloud area for 3-5" of snow and winds gusting to 45 mph.
November 25, 2025 at 2:36 AM
** UPDATE **
METRO: The Winter Weather Advisory run 6pm Tues to Noon Wed for 1-3" of snow and strong winds gusting up to 40 mph.
ST CLOUD: The Winter Storm Watch runs from Tuesday PM to Wednesday AM for the St. Cloud area for 3-5" of snow and winds gusting to 45 mph.
METRO: The Winter Weather Advisory run 6pm Tues to Noon Wed for 1-3" of snow and strong winds gusting up to 40 mph.
ST CLOUD: The Winter Storm Watch runs from Tuesday PM to Wednesday AM for the St. Cloud area for 3-5" of snow and winds gusting to 45 mph.
Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning commutes.
Gusty winds could blow down tree limbs and cause scattered power outages.
Gusty winds could blow down tree limbs and cause scattered power outages.
November 24, 2025 at 8:56 PM
Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning commutes.
Gusty winds could blow down tree limbs and cause scattered power outages.
Gusty winds could blow down tree limbs and cause scattered power outages.
** WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT **
** BENTON AND STEARNS COUNTIES **
Snow and blowing snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 5 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.
The watch is in effect from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning.
** BENTON AND STEARNS COUNTIES **
Snow and blowing snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 5 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.
The watch is in effect from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning.
November 24, 2025 at 8:56 PM
** WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT **
** BENTON AND STEARNS COUNTIES **
Snow and blowing snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 5 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.
The watch is in effect from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning.
** BENTON AND STEARNS COUNTIES **
Snow and blowing snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 5 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.
The watch is in effect from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning.
Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact Tuesday evening commute and into the Wednesday morning commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches.
November 24, 2025 at 8:52 PM
Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact Tuesday evening commute and into the Wednesday morning commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches.
The advisory includes Blaine, St Paul, Stillwater, Monticello, Chaska, Victoria, Shakopee, Gaylord, Minneapolis, Center City, Hudson, Hutchinson, Chanhassen, Cambridge, Hastings, Elk River, Ladysmith, Rice Lake, and Osceola
The advisory is valid from 6 PM Tuesday to noon CST Wednesday.
The advisory is valid from 6 PM Tuesday to noon CST Wednesday.
November 24, 2025 at 8:52 PM
The advisory includes Blaine, St Paul, Stillwater, Monticello, Chaska, Victoria, Shakopee, Gaylord, Minneapolis, Center City, Hudson, Hutchinson, Chanhassen, Cambridge, Hastings, Elk River, Ladysmith, Rice Lake, and Osceola
The advisory is valid from 6 PM Tuesday to noon CST Wednesday.
The advisory is valid from 6 PM Tuesday to noon CST Wednesday.
** WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT **
Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches. Winds gusting 35 to 45 mph.
Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches. Winds gusting 35 to 45 mph.
November 24, 2025 at 8:52 PM
** WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT **
Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches. Winds gusting 35 to 45 mph.
Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches. Winds gusting 35 to 45 mph.
In the far extended next week, most of the available guidance pushes our temperatures even colder with highs in the low-mid teens possible.
5/5
5/5
November 24, 2025 at 7:45 PM
In the far extended next week, most of the available guidance pushes our temperatures even colder with highs in the low-mid teens possible.
5/5
5/5
Highs on Wednesday will be in the mid 20s and then slowly slide down to near 20 by the weekend. There is a chance of more snow on Friday night but details at the time are quite muddled.
4/5
4/5
November 24, 2025 at 7:45 PM
Highs on Wednesday will be in the mid 20s and then slowly slide down to near 20 by the weekend. There is a chance of more snow on Friday night but details at the time are quite muddled.
4/5
4/5
The other factor is the wind. Winds will pick up Tuesday and Tuesday night out of the North to Northwest at 20-30 mph with gusts as high as 40 mph for travel hazardous in heavier snow with some blowing snow as well.
Once we get through Tuesday, the one certainty is a much colder pattern.
3/5
Once we get through Tuesday, the one certainty is a much colder pattern.
3/5
November 24, 2025 at 7:45 PM
The other factor is the wind. Winds will pick up Tuesday and Tuesday night out of the North to Northwest at 20-30 mph with gusts as high as 40 mph for travel hazardous in heavier snow with some blowing snow as well.
Once we get through Tuesday, the one certainty is a much colder pattern.
3/5
Once we get through Tuesday, the one certainty is a much colder pattern.
3/5
Along a Morris-St. Cloud-Cambridge and then Balsam Lake WI line could see a very wet and slushy 4-6" of snow that would prove very difficult to shovel/snow blow.
In the Twin Cities, I expect flurries in the far south up to 3-4" from Monticello to Forest Lake.
2/5
In the Twin Cities, I expect flurries in the far south up to 3-4" from Monticello to Forest Lake.
2/5
November 24, 2025 at 7:45 PM
Along a Morris-St. Cloud-Cambridge and then Balsam Lake WI line could see a very wet and slushy 4-6" of snow that would prove very difficult to shovel/snow blow.
In the Twin Cities, I expect flurries in the far south up to 3-4" from Monticello to Forest Lake.
2/5
In the Twin Cities, I expect flurries in the far south up to 3-4" from Monticello to Forest Lake.
2/5
REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
MON NOV 24, 2025 - 1:45 PM
Chaotic short-term models are starting to come together. There is a distinct heavy band of precipitation showing in all the models now. However, the /WHERE/ is still very much up in the air.
1/5
MON NOV 24, 2025 - 1:45 PM
Chaotic short-term models are starting to come together. There is a distinct heavy band of precipitation showing in all the models now. However, the /WHERE/ is still very much up in the air.
1/5
November 24, 2025 at 7:45 PM
REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
MON NOV 24, 2025 - 1:45 PM
Chaotic short-term models are starting to come together. There is a distinct heavy band of precipitation showing in all the models now. However, the /WHERE/ is still very much up in the air.
1/5
MON NOV 24, 2025 - 1:45 PM
Chaotic short-term models are starting to come together. There is a distinct heavy band of precipitation showing in all the models now. However, the /WHERE/ is still very much up in the air.
1/5
Thursday: Mostly Sunny. High: low 20s Low: near 10
Friday: Partly Sunny during the day, then increasing clouds. High: low 20s Low: mid teens.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy. 40% chance of snow. High: mid 20s Low: near 15
Sunday: Mostly cloudy: High: low 20s
3/3
November 24, 2025 at 3:42 AM
Thursday: Mostly Sunny. High: low 20s Low: near 10
Friday: Partly Sunny during the day, then increasing clouds. High: low 20s Low: mid teens.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy. 40% chance of snow. High: mid 20s Low: near 15
Sunday: Mostly cloudy: High: low 20s
3/3
Tuesday Night: Windy, cloudy. cold. Evening snow. Metro < 2". St Cloud: 3-5" possible. Low: low 20s Winds: NW at 20-30mph.
Wednesday: Windy, mostly cloudy and cold. Patchy blowing snow in outlying areas. Temperatures steady in the mid 20s.
Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy. Low: upper teens
2/3
Wednesday: Windy, mostly cloudy and cold. Patchy blowing snow in outlying areas. Temperatures steady in the mid 20s.
Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy. Low: upper teens
2/3
November 24, 2025 at 3:42 AM
Tuesday Night: Windy, cloudy. cold. Evening snow. Metro < 2". St Cloud: 3-5" possible. Low: low 20s Winds: NW at 20-30mph.
Wednesday: Windy, mostly cloudy and cold. Patchy blowing snow in outlying areas. Temperatures steady in the mid 20s.
Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy. Low: upper teens
2/3
Wednesday: Windy, mostly cloudy and cold. Patchy blowing snow in outlying areas. Temperatures steady in the mid 20s.
Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy. Low: upper teens
2/3
REGIONAL WEATHER FORECAST
SUN NOV 23, 2025 -- 9:45PM
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Low: upper 30s
Monday: Mostly cloudy. High: near 50 Low: mid 30s
Tuesday: AM rain giving way to PM snow. High: low 40s. Winds shifting NW at 20-30mph.
1/3
SUN NOV 23, 2025 -- 9:45PM
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Low: upper 30s
Monday: Mostly cloudy. High: near 50 Low: mid 30s
Tuesday: AM rain giving way to PM snow. High: low 40s. Winds shifting NW at 20-30mph.
1/3
November 24, 2025 at 3:42 AM
REGIONAL WEATHER FORECAST
SUN NOV 23, 2025 -- 9:45PM
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Low: upper 30s
Monday: Mostly cloudy. High: near 50 Low: mid 30s
Tuesday: AM rain giving way to PM snow. High: low 40s. Winds shifting NW at 20-30mph.
1/3
SUN NOV 23, 2025 -- 9:45PM
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Low: upper 30s
Monday: Mostly cloudy. High: near 50 Low: mid 30s
Tuesday: AM rain giving way to PM snow. High: low 40s. Winds shifting NW at 20-30mph.
1/3
However, ground temperatures are still somewhat warm, so this initial snow may not stick around more than a few days.
8/8
8/8
November 24, 2025 at 3:34 AM
However, ground temperatures are still somewhat warm, so this initial snow may not stick around more than a few days.
8/8
8/8
With the incoming snow and much colder temperatures, this maybe the the initial snow pack of the 25-26 winter season. The same snow pack will make it easier for Arctic air to reach the region and produce colder temperatures than if we had no snow cover.
7/8
7/8
November 24, 2025 at 3:34 AM
With the incoming snow and much colder temperatures, this maybe the the initial snow pack of the 25-26 winter season. The same snow pack will make it easier for Arctic air to reach the region and produce colder temperatures than if we had no snow cover.
7/8
7/8
Wednesday is windy and colder with highs on the mid 20s and that's the warmth for the rest of the week! Skies clear out then another storm affects he region centered on Saturday. However, the computer models aren't in tight agreement so the exact timing and amounts are not able to be forecast.
6/8
6/8
November 24, 2025 at 3:34 AM
Wednesday is windy and colder with highs on the mid 20s and that's the warmth for the rest of the week! Skies clear out then another storm affects he region centered on Saturday. However, the computer models aren't in tight agreement so the exact timing and amounts are not able to be forecast.
6/8
6/8
If the system comes in a bit stronger than expected or temperatures drop quicker, it could bring snow totals up to 6-8". Winds will be picking up on Tuesday as well with NW winds at 20-30 causing areas of blowing snow.
5/8
5/8
November 24, 2025 at 3:34 AM
If the system comes in a bit stronger than expected or temperatures drop quicker, it could bring snow totals up to 6-8". Winds will be picking up on Tuesday as well with NW winds at 20-30 causing areas of blowing snow.
5/8
5/8
Rain begins Tuesday morning and turns into a steady rain, then changes over to snow in the afternoon. As it stands at this moment, areas from St. Cloud towards Taylors Falls could see 3-5" of slushy snow accumulate overnight.
4/8
4/8
November 24, 2025 at 3:34 AM
Rain begins Tuesday morning and turns into a steady rain, then changes over to snow in the afternoon. As it stands at this moment, areas from St. Cloud towards Taylors Falls could see 3-5" of slushy snow accumulate overnight.
4/8
4/8
The latest computer runs have started nudging the incoming system south so it is possible that areas just to the north of the Twin Cities (including St. Cloud) could be in a Winter Storm Watch by morning.
3/8
3/8
November 24, 2025 at 3:34 AM
The latest computer runs have started nudging the incoming system south so it is possible that areas just to the north of the Twin Cities (including St. Cloud) could be in a Winter Storm Watch by morning.
3/8
3/8
A quick hitting system will move in tomorrow bringing clouds and a shot at one more 50 degree day before winter makes its appearance! Of note, the National Weather Service offices to the north of our region has hoisted Winter Storm Watches for areas north of a Park Falls WI to Fergus Falls MN.
2/8
2/8
November 24, 2025 at 3:34 AM
A quick hitting system will move in tomorrow bringing clouds and a shot at one more 50 degree day before winter makes its appearance! Of note, the National Weather Service offices to the north of our region has hoisted Winter Storm Watches for areas north of a Park Falls WI to Fergus Falls MN.
2/8
2/8
REGIONAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
SUN NOV 23, 2025 -- 9:30PM
What a beautiful day it was across the region! Sunny skies and warm flow got our temperatures up to 56 at MSP and at St. Cloud, both of which were record highs for the date!
1/8
SUN NOV 23, 2025 -- 9:30PM
What a beautiful day it was across the region! Sunny skies and warm flow got our temperatures up to 56 at MSP and at St. Cloud, both of which were record highs for the date!
1/8
November 24, 2025 at 3:34 AM
REGIONAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
SUN NOV 23, 2025 -- 9:30PM
What a beautiful day it was across the region! Sunny skies and warm flow got our temperatures up to 56 at MSP and at St. Cloud, both of which were record highs for the date!
1/8
SUN NOV 23, 2025 -- 9:30PM
What a beautiful day it was across the region! Sunny skies and warm flow got our temperatures up to 56 at MSP and at St. Cloud, both of which were record highs for the date!
1/8
Monday night: Mostly cloudy. 60% chance of rain. Low: mid-upper 30s
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. 40% chance of rain with a rain/snow mix in the evening. High: low 40s Low: low-mid 20s
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and colder. High: near 30
2/2
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. 40% chance of rain with a rain/snow mix in the evening. High: low 40s Low: low-mid 20s
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and colder. High: near 30
2/2
November 22, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Monday night: Mostly cloudy. 60% chance of rain. Low: mid-upper 30s
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. 40% chance of rain with a rain/snow mix in the evening. High: low 40s Low: low-mid 20s
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and colder. High: near 30
2/2
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. 40% chance of rain with a rain/snow mix in the evening. High: low 40s Low: low-mid 20s
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and colder. High: near 30
2/2
REGIONAL WEATHER FORECAST
SAT NOV 22 2025 -- 12:30PM
Rest of today: Mostly clear. High: low-mid 50s low: near 30
Sunday: Mostly clear. Highs: low-mid 50s Lows: near 30
Monday: Partly sunny. 20% chance of PM showers. High: near 50
1/2
SAT NOV 22 2025 -- 12:30PM
Rest of today: Mostly clear. High: low-mid 50s low: near 30
Sunday: Mostly clear. Highs: low-mid 50s Lows: near 30
Monday: Partly sunny. 20% chance of PM showers. High: near 50
1/2
November 22, 2025 at 6:16 PM
REGIONAL WEATHER FORECAST
SAT NOV 22 2025 -- 12:30PM
Rest of today: Mostly clear. High: low-mid 50s low: near 30
Sunday: Mostly clear. Highs: low-mid 50s Lows: near 30
Monday: Partly sunny. 20% chance of PM showers. High: near 50
1/2
SAT NOV 22 2025 -- 12:30PM
Rest of today: Mostly clear. High: low-mid 50s low: near 30
Sunday: Mostly clear. Highs: low-mid 50s Lows: near 30
Monday: Partly sunny. 20% chance of PM showers. High: near 50
1/2
Given the uncertainty, the forecast from Monday on will be much the same as it was yesterday.
3/3
3/3
November 22, 2025 at 6:12 PM
Given the uncertainty, the forecast from Monday on will be much the same as it was yesterday.
3/3
3/3