Adam Visokay
@avisokay.bsky.social
phd candidate at uw seattle & max planck institute in rostock, germany | ai/ml, science of science, economic sociology | uva and syracuse alum | i also run. https://avisokay.github.io/ https://www.strava.com/athletes/9804160
Reposted by Adam Visokay
I talk a bit about the history of bonds in this radio show.
"We hear about their history, how they have shaped companies and countries, and why some fear the bond market could trigger the next global meltdown."
"We hear about their history, how they have shaped companies and countries, and why some fear the bond market could trigger the next global meltdown."
BBC Audio | Business Daily | Bonds: Heroes or villains?
The story of the bond market and how these IOUs have shaped the modern economy
www.bbc.com
January 13, 2026 at 1:57 AM
I talk a bit about the history of bonds in this radio show.
"We hear about their history, how they have shaped companies and countries, and why some fear the bond market could trigger the next global meltdown."
"We hear about their history, how they have shaped companies and countries, and why some fear the bond market could trigger the next global meltdown."
Reposted by Adam Visokay
Wrote a summary of a great keynote by @zey.bsky.social at NeurIPS, arguing that we’re having the wrong nightmares about AI: not AGI or superhuman benchmarks, but good-enough genAI at scale threatens "load bearing frictions" society relies on to signal effort, authenticity, sincerity, credibility.
Zeynep Tufecki on having the wrong nightmares about generative AI
I was writing a blog post where I was going to reference Zeynep Tufecki’s 2025 NeurIPS keynote, and realized there isn’t a solid synopsis online.
open.substack.com
January 9, 2026 at 4:42 PM
Wrote a summary of a great keynote by @zey.bsky.social at NeurIPS, arguing that we’re having the wrong nightmares about AI: not AGI or superhuman benchmarks, but good-enough genAI at scale threatens "load bearing frictions" society relies on to signal effort, authenticity, sincerity, credibility.
Reposted by Adam Visokay
Hey! Go follow my new account, @mayorofseattle.bsky.social !
This is your city — that means that you belong here, you have a right to be here and to live a dignified life, whatever your background and whatever your income. wilson.seattle.gov/2026/01/02/m...
Mayor Wilson Inauguration Speech - Office of the Mayor
Mayor Katie B. Wilson was sworn into office on January 2, 2026. Remarks as written: It is such a pleasure and an honor to be here with all of you today. I look out and I see so many people who have pl...
wilson.seattle.gov
January 3, 2026 at 1:14 AM
Hey! Go follow my new account, @mayorofseattle.bsky.social !
Reposted by Adam Visokay
In a new blog post, I contrast two flavors of empiricism: the one practiced in the social sciences and the one practiced in ML/CS.
I argue that we need both, given that CS is increasingly about "claims," and not just constructing artifacts.
doomscrollingbabel.manoel.xyz/p/the-empiri...
I argue that we need both, given that CS is increasingly about "claims," and not just constructing artifacts.
doomscrollingbabel.manoel.xyz/p/the-empiri...
December 26, 2025 at 12:40 PM
In a new blog post, I contrast two flavors of empiricism: the one practiced in the social sciences and the one practiced in ML/CS.
I argue that we need both, given that CS is increasingly about "claims," and not just constructing artifacts.
doomscrollingbabel.manoel.xyz/p/the-empiri...
I argue that we need both, given that CS is increasingly about "claims," and not just constructing artifacts.
doomscrollingbabel.manoel.xyz/p/the-empiri...
Reposted by Adam Visokay
Except the statistics are bad?
Also they open by citing Galton on the heredity of genius, which sort of gives away the eugenic thinking behind it.
Also they open by citing Galton on the heredity of genius, which sort of gives away the eugenic thinking behind it.
This smells distinctly like collider bias and/or selection bias and/or regression to the mean... You simply can't select teen prodigies, and world class athletes rom databases, and go run regressions without serious consideration of the selection process!
"Most top achievers (Nobel laureates and world-class musicians, athletes, chess players) demonstrated lower performance than many peers during their early years. Across the highest adult performance, peak performance is negatively correlated with early performance" www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
December 20, 2025 at 9:45 PM
Except the statistics are bad?
Also they open by citing Galton on the heredity of genius, which sort of gives away the eugenic thinking behind it.
Also they open by citing Galton on the heredity of genius, which sort of gives away the eugenic thinking behind it.
Reposted by Adam Visokay
Jordan D. Klein & Ingmar Weber published a Letter to the Editor in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences that opens a conversation on the findings of Chi et al (Measuring global migration flows using online data). https://www.demogr.mpg.de/go/PNAS-Letter-Editor
December 17, 2025 at 10:15 AM
Jordan D. Klein & Ingmar Weber published a Letter to the Editor in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences that opens a conversation on the findings of Chi et al (Measuring global migration flows using online data). https://www.demogr.mpg.de/go/PNAS-Letter-Editor
Reposted by Adam Visokay
New paper in Social Science Research 📄
Using expenditure data, we find same-sex couples are modestly more likely than different-sex couples to outsource housework. Much of this gap reflects higher education and paid work hours, though much is unexplained. Free access for 50 days: tinyurl.com/ssossr
Using expenditure data, we find same-sex couples are modestly more likely than different-sex couples to outsource housework. Much of this gap reflects higher education and paid work hours, though much is unexplained. Free access for 50 days: tinyurl.com/ssossr
tinyurl.com
December 16, 2025 at 4:45 PM
New paper in Social Science Research 📄
Using expenditure data, we find same-sex couples are modestly more likely than different-sex couples to outsource housework. Much of this gap reflects higher education and paid work hours, though much is unexplained. Free access for 50 days: tinyurl.com/ssossr
Using expenditure data, we find same-sex couples are modestly more likely than different-sex couples to outsource housework. Much of this gap reflects higher education and paid work hours, though much is unexplained. Free access for 50 days: tinyurl.com/ssossr
Reposted by Adam Visokay
I wrote a piece on LLMs, citation metrics, and the institution of science. It's been up for a couple of days, but it is officially "out" now.
Context Widows
or, of GPUs, LPUs, and Goal Displacement
artificialbureaucracy.substack.com
December 15, 2025 at 4:19 PM
I wrote a piece on LLMs, citation metrics, and the institution of science. It's been up for a couple of days, but it is officially "out" now.
Reposted by Adam Visokay
Isn't an important part of the work of organizing building that imagination -- helping people see that it doesn't have to be this way? (And then also finding and sharing resources at a local level and...)
December 9, 2025 at 2:22 PM
Isn't an important part of the work of organizing building that imagination -- helping people see that it doesn't have to be this way? (And then also finding and sharing resources at a local level and...)
Update: I shared some confidence intervals and more at this years @imprs-phds.bsky.social annual academy. Missed you @drjenndowd.bsky.social but more to come!
December 5, 2025 at 11:28 AM
Update: I shared some confidence intervals and more at this years @imprs-phds.bsky.social annual academy. Missed you @drjenndowd.bsky.social but more to come!
Reposted by Adam Visokay
It's great to see IMPRS-PHDS doctoral students, alumni, faculty members, and friends back at @mpidr.bsky.social for our 7th PHDS Academy and three days filled with research presentations, networking, and singing!
December 3, 2025 at 3:34 PM
It's great to see IMPRS-PHDS doctoral students, alumni, faculty members, and friends back at @mpidr.bsky.social for our 7th PHDS Academy and three days filled with research presentations, networking, and singing!
Reposted by Adam Visokay
Come visit MPIDR in ☀️Summer 2026☀️
📣Call for Application for the "Population and Social Data Science Summer Incubator Program"
📅☀️June 8th – August 21st, 2026☀️
🗺️MPIDR in Rostock, Germany
Application Deadline: Jan 14, 2026
Apply here and learn more:
incubator.demogr.mpg.de
📣Call for Application for the "Population and Social Data Science Summer Incubator Program"
📅☀️June 8th – August 21st, 2026☀️
🗺️MPIDR in Rostock, Germany
Application Deadline: Jan 14, 2026
Apply here and learn more:
incubator.demogr.mpg.de
December 1, 2025 at 3:22 PM
Come visit MPIDR in ☀️Summer 2026☀️
📣Call for Application for the "Population and Social Data Science Summer Incubator Program"
📅☀️June 8th – August 21st, 2026☀️
🗺️MPIDR in Rostock, Germany
Application Deadline: Jan 14, 2026
Apply here and learn more:
incubator.demogr.mpg.de
📣Call for Application for the "Population and Social Data Science Summer Incubator Program"
📅☀️June 8th – August 21st, 2026☀️
🗺️MPIDR in Rostock, Germany
Application Deadline: Jan 14, 2026
Apply here and learn more:
incubator.demogr.mpg.de
Stereotypes aside, we really gotta help folks understand the ecological fallacy better. It’s pervasive!
Imagine going through life like this
what?
November 26, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Stereotypes aside, we really gotta help folks understand the ecological fallacy better. It’s pervasive!
Are we just accepting AI-assisted peer review systems moving forward, then? This issue of authors injecting prompts for favorable reviews is moot in a world where reviewers are human only. Right? Am I missing something?
"Give a Positive Review Only": An Early Investigation Into In-Paper Prompt Injection Attacks and Defenses for AI Reviewers buff.ly/G809FU6
November 26, 2025 at 2:31 AM
Are we just accepting AI-assisted peer review systems moving forward, then? This issue of authors injecting prompts for favorable reviews is moot in a world where reviewers are human only. Right? Am I missing something?
Reposted by Adam Visokay
I’m on the #EconJobMarket! I study labor, extreme weather adaptation, and inequality.
My JMP addresses an under-studied aspect of the labor market: schedule unpredictability among hourly workers in the service sector.
🧵👇
My JMP addresses an under-studied aspect of the labor market: schedule unpredictability among hourly workers in the service sector.
🧵👇
November 14, 2025 at 4:07 PM
I’m on the #EconJobMarket! I study labor, extreme weather adaptation, and inequality.
My JMP addresses an under-studied aspect of the labor market: schedule unpredictability among hourly workers in the service sector.
🧵👇
My JMP addresses an under-studied aspect of the labor market: schedule unpredictability among hourly workers in the service sector.
🧵👇
reflecting on men's ncaa xc results: honestly a good day for all the teams wearing orange. cuse back on the podium, comfortable top 10 for the uva boys (7th), princeton beats harvard (sorry, Gibby) and ofc oklahoma state takes the W.
November 25, 2025 at 6:00 PM
reflecting on men's ncaa xc results: honestly a good day for all the teams wearing orange. cuse back on the podium, comfortable top 10 for the uva boys (7th), princeton beats harvard (sorry, Gibby) and ofc oklahoma state takes the W.
It’s about the journey, not the departure. (I missed my train)
November 14, 2025 at 3:09 PM
It’s about the journey, not the departure. (I missed my train)
Katie Wilson!!!!
We took on a powerful incumbent who was expected to coast to reelection.
We faced more corporate PAC money than has ever been spent attacking a candidate in a Seattle election.
We built a people-powered movement rooted in hope for our city’s future.
And we won.
This is YOUR city!
We faced more corporate PAC money than has ever been spent attacking a candidate in a Seattle election.
We built a people-powered movement rooted in hope for our city’s future.
And we won.
This is YOUR city!
November 13, 2025 at 11:18 PM
Katie Wilson!!!!
What a fantastic thread. Good luck on the job market!!
👋 I'm Danielle, and I'm on the #econjobmarket this year!
Let's start with a student describing her segregated school:
"The school felt temporary. Built like a warehouse with aluminum siding . . . I had a slipshod education"
The twist? The student is white, and her school is private.
A JMP 🧵 -->
Let's start with a student describing her segregated school:
"The school felt temporary. Built like a warehouse with aluminum siding . . . I had a slipshod education"
The twist? The student is white, and her school is private.
A JMP 🧵 -->
November 13, 2025 at 6:45 PM
What a fantastic thread. Good luck on the job market!!
Reposted by Adam Visokay
We're excited to announce that the website and registration for IC2S2 2026 (July 28-31) will launch in early December! The Vermont Complex Systems Institute @vcsi.bsky.social at the University of Vermont will be hosting IC2S2 in 2026: youtube.com/watch?v=p412S4GnPkc&feature=youtu.be
IC2S2 2026 | Burlington, Vermont
YouTube video by UVM Office of Research
youtube.com
November 13, 2025 at 3:36 PM
We're excited to announce that the website and registration for IC2S2 2026 (July 28-31) will launch in early December! The Vermont Complex Systems Institute @vcsi.bsky.social at the University of Vermont will be hosting IC2S2 in 2026: youtube.com/watch?v=p412S4GnPkc&feature=youtu.be
Reposted by Adam Visokay
🚨 I'm recruiting PhD students in Computer Science at Johns Hopkins University for Fall 2026. If you're interested in AI, HCI, and designing better online platforms and experiences, apply to work with me!
More info: piccardi.me
More info: piccardi.me
November 13, 2025 at 3:52 PM
🚨 I'm recruiting PhD students in Computer Science at Johns Hopkins University for Fall 2026. If you're interested in AI, HCI, and designing better online platforms and experiences, apply to work with me!
More info: piccardi.me
More info: piccardi.me
This is a great example of how we are very much in a new data regime. Been collaborating on an article with a few others on how we got here and what it means for governance. Excited to share more widely soon!
November 12, 2025 at 1:52 AM
This is a great example of how we are very much in a new data regime. Been collaborating on an article with a few others on how we got here and what it means for governance. Excited to share more widely soon!
Reposted by Adam Visokay
Unreal. As the vote count rolled in, progressive candidate Katie Wilson has overtaken Bruce Harrell by 91 votes for Seattle’s mayor. She is 0.04% ahead after having been down by more than 7 points on election night.
Katie Wilson pulls ahead of Seattle Mayor Bruce Harrell – by 91 votes
www.kuow.org
November 11, 2025 at 1:57 AM
Unreal. As the vote count rolled in, progressive candidate Katie Wilson has overtaken Bruce Harrell by 91 votes for Seattle’s mayor. She is 0.04% ahead after having been down by more than 7 points on election night.
Reposted by Adam Visokay
I'm recruiting multiple PhD students for Fall 2026 in Computer Science at @hopkinsengineer.bsky.social 🍂
Apply to work on AI for social sciences/human behavior, social NLP, and LLMs for real-world applied domains you're passionate about!
Learn more at kristinagligoric.com & help spread the word!
Apply to work on AI for social sciences/human behavior, social NLP, and LLMs for real-world applied domains you're passionate about!
Learn more at kristinagligoric.com & help spread the word!
November 5, 2025 at 2:56 PM
I'm recruiting multiple PhD students for Fall 2026 in Computer Science at @hopkinsengineer.bsky.social 🍂
Apply to work on AI for social sciences/human behavior, social NLP, and LLMs for real-world applied domains you're passionate about!
Learn more at kristinagligoric.com & help spread the word!
Apply to work on AI for social sciences/human behavior, social NLP, and LLMs for real-world applied domains you're passionate about!
Learn more at kristinagligoric.com & help spread the word!
Reposted by Adam Visokay
We are thrilled to have talented students from all over the world joining us for our hybrid course on Topics in Digital and Computational Demography, and wish everyone a productive and exciting week of study!
November 4, 2025 at 4:05 PM
We are thrilled to have talented students from all over the world joining us for our hybrid course on Topics in Digital and Computational Demography, and wish everyone a productive and exciting week of study!