AmPhoenixTrade
amphoenixtrade.bsky.social
AmPhoenixTrade
@amphoenixtrade.bsky.social
Trade policy architect.
We will also need to come to terms with how the oligarchic version of “free trade” came to dominate the discourse.

americanaffairsjournal.org/2025/08/rele...
November 22, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Reposted by AmPhoenixTrade
1/3
This article argues (as The Economist must) that "using trade protection and industrial policy to shore up strategic manufacturing would only accelerate Europe’s decline".
www.economist.com/leaders/2025...
To avoid crushing change, Europe must take control of its destiny
If it does not, China will exploit the continent’s weaknesses
www.economist.com
November 21, 2025 at 5:27 AM
Reposted by AmPhoenixTrade
The let-it-die camp also still has to explain to me why politicians aren’t going to intervene anyway when the pressure mounts further.

The realistic choice in my view is do smart policy or wait for a hot mess of bailouts and crappy policy.
November 20, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Extraordinary to see 3 world leaders on one op-ed, even from the basic perspective of getting agreemt on language. A powerful statement, especially since Spain was once a colonial power.

The FT ed board has itself said we need to reexamine the social contract.
November 20, 2025 at 4:23 PM
Reposted by AmPhoenixTrade
The people who make Shein's clothes labor for ten to twelve hours per day (in violation of China's labor laws), some up to seven days a week, and earn as little as 15 to 30 cents per t-shirt.
November 20, 2025 at 12:07 AM
Reposted by AmPhoenixTrade
Is national policy more responsive to the preferences of white Americans than to those of people of color? When Republicans control the presidency and/or the Senate, yes. White voters are more likely to see legislation they support become law than are Black, Latino, or Asian American voters.
November 13, 2025 at 5:06 PM
That generation bragged that economics is "value-free," which is why elites felt ok saying "sure, my neighbor's job is being off-shored but that's a good thing." Then they're puzzled that we have a democracy crisis.

Bigger picture, this is where separating policy from values takes you: amorality.
And if this doesn't solidify the Democratic Party shift away from neoliberalism and the people who espoused it, I don't know what will....
@MoiraDonegan nails the Epstein mess in this column: theguardian.com/commentisfre... "Many of the emails to and from Epstein are marked by a tone of haughty knowingness, a kind of worldly, smug cynicism" which suggests that "morality is for the little people." Couldn't agree more.
November 18, 2025 at 4:21 PM
Surprising he doesn’t mention the ITO Charter. The antimonopoly rules were meant to address the problem of competing with a communist country. Hull was long gone by then, partly because he was out of step with the rest of the admin. WTO negotiators ignored those lessons, and here we are.
1/10
Important Benn Steil article on globalization, free trade, and the cost of underwriting both. He cites Wendell Willkie in 1944 as "recognizing how perilous it would be to integrate market economies with state-directed ones."
@projectsyndicate.bsky.social
prosyn.org/LkdDyx7
prosyn.org
November 16, 2025 at 1:14 PM
Reposted by AmPhoenixTrade
A semantic irony of the European Union.

It discusses its economic woes under the header of ‘competitiveness’ instead of ‘growth’ or ‘productivity’.

Even though the economic model of the country that championed economics as a game of maximising exports (competitive!) is kaput.
November 14, 2025 at 10:05 AM
Reposted by AmPhoenixTrade
Germany can either get out of its comfort zone and take industrial policy, trade defences, and currency issues seriously — or it can resign itself to deindustrialisation.

China’s $2 trillion manufacturing surplus won’t wait for Berlin to catch up.

13/13
November 13, 2025 at 11:21 AM
Reposted by AmPhoenixTrade
Bundesbank President Nagel - of all people - calling for tougher trade defenses against China’s export glut.

Says a lot about how Germany’s changing position in the world is filtering into its economic thinking.

www.deutschlandfunk.de/bundesbank-p...
Welthandel - Bundesbank-Präsident Nagel rät zu offensiverem Umgang mit China
Bundesbank-Präsident Nagel hält in Handelsfragen ein offensiveres Auftreten Europas gegenüber China für angebracht.
www.deutschlandfunk.de
November 12, 2025 at 10:30 AM
Reposted by AmPhoenixTrade
Another gentle reminder.

The only way for Germany to stop the meltdown in its auto sector is by working with Europe.

Germany is too small to go it alone. Anyone with half an econ brain can see that.
A chart Berlin‘s economic policy-makers should think hard about.

Doing a buy-German clause in new EV subsidies would be an own goal.

The German market is simply too small, and lacks sufficient premium demand.

1/
November 12, 2025 at 10:57 AM
Looking forward to participating in this conversation!

www.youtube.com/live/bWX6IFU...
"The Future of North America"
YouTube video by El Colegio de México A.C.
www.youtube.com
November 11, 2025 at 2:36 PM
Reposted by AmPhoenixTrade
"Weak domestic demand appears to be the missing link in explaining China’s strong exports to Europe – more so than tariff-related trade diversion." - writes ECB staff

Good blog, with nice factoids, but would contend that some of us have been banging the drum on the role of macro policy a while.

1/
November 11, 2025 at 9:49 AM
Reposted by AmPhoenixTrade
Australians will be getting 3 hours of free electricity a day because of how many people have installed solar - this is seriously huge considering the massive solar uptake in Australia happened while the federal government delayed action on climate

www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
Australian households to get free electricity three hours a day
Saying there is enough solar power for everyone in the daytime, the federal government will direct retailers to provide three hours of free power every day to consumers.
www.abc.net.au
November 4, 2025 at 12:41 AM
Reposted by AmPhoenixTrade
“When oligarchs can capture regulatory systems, when tech platforms can shape electoral outcomes, when concentrated wealth can buy political influence—you’re arguing about whether democratic majorities have authority to constrain private power at all.”

open.substack.com/pub/mikebroc...
Liberalism’s Death Has Been Greatly Exaggerated
Why the crisis everyone mourns reveals liberal tradition at its most vital
open.substack.com
November 2, 2025 at 7:24 PM
Terrific essay. Pope Francis was unequivocal in his rejection of neoliberalism (Fratelli Tutti), and Pope Leo is emphasizing the need for an economy that works for the have-nots. These positions are consistent with a return to Catholic social teaching.
November 2, 2025 at 2:26 PM
It was also connected to the Milton Friedman/Chicago School focus on the consumer, a shift away from the more holistic New Deal (and Founding Father) focus on protecting against concentrated economic power. It’s why trade and antitrust conversations are traveling a similar path.
3/3
Their argument was based on models of global trade that assumed balanced trade, nonintervention in industry, and prices set by the market. That none of these assumptions were true didn't seem to matter to their conclusions.
www.ft.com/content/8911...
Do consumers benefit from cheaper imports?
Domestic production should be prioritised over cheap consumer imports
www.ft.com
November 1, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Public Citizen surfaces concerns about what’s in these agreements and whether they reinforce a deregulatory model. We’re heading into USMCA review season. Is this what we should expect?
October 31, 2025 at 2:47 PM
Reposted by AmPhoenixTrade
i don’t think you can maximin vote share with polls and spreadsheets, and i think it is a problem that the most prominent and influential political commentators right now are more devotees of data than experts in narrative
October 31, 2025 at 12:38 PM
🎯
While Trump and Carney debate who's better at resurrecting Ronald Reagan, trade expert Beth Baltzan explains why free trade today looks more like Reganomics than the internationalization of FDR's New Deal.

Watch: youtu.be/_nOlyx8zNa0?...
While Trump touts his "big, beautiful bill," @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social ‬senior fellow Beth Baltzan reminds us of a different vision — one where trade served working people, not corporate profits.

Full clip: perspectivesjournal.ca/new-deal-progressive-trade/
October 30, 2025 at 7:13 PM
Reposted by AmPhoenixTrade
Listen to @theameilee.bsky.social and @toddntucker.com talk about trade policy & what’s really at stake. It’s not just about stuff, it’s about people.
Trade isn’t just about goods—it’s about power.

@theameilee.bsky.social explains how ignoring labor rights in global trade fueled inequality and political instability, and why trade must start with workers, not corporations.

🎧 The last episode of our Trade series is live ➡️ buff.ly/WiTrMxA
October 29, 2025 at 5:02 PM
Reposted by AmPhoenixTrade
Always thought it was sad that Ayn Rand—one of the most successful authors of children's fantasy books of all time—had little enough saved in the bank in her old age that she had to rely on public assistance until her death, but I'm glad it was there for her.
October 28, 2025 at 10:59 AM
Reposted by AmPhoenixTrade
I think USTR under Biden made huge inroads in opening up public engagement, but there's always more to do. If we get the chance to rebuild from the ashes, hopefully we can hire back a more diverse and representative policy workforce, and thus a more pluralistic and democratic one as well.
October 28, 2025 at 12:28 PM