Tom Long
tomlongphd.bsky.social
Tom Long
@tomlongphd.bsky.social

Professor of International Relations at University of Warwick; Latin America; Historical IR; small states

Political science 65%
Sociology 16%

Wonderful news!!
We are delighted to share that SIS PhD program director and former SIS dean Jim Goldgeier (@jimgoldgeier.bsky.social) has been elected President of the International Studies Association (@isanet.bsky.social) for 2027–2028!

Congratulations, Jim, on this distinguished leadership role!

Absolutely fantastic opportunity for an IR scholar focused on Latin America at the Parsee School at Boston University.
academicjobsonline.org/ajo/jobs/31333
Boston University, Frederick S. Pardee School of Global Studies
Job #AJO31333, Assistant Professor of International Relations, Specializing in Latin America, Frederick S. Pardee School of Global Studies, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts, US
academicjobsonline.org
We are delighted to share that SIS PhD program director and former SIS dean Jim Goldgeier (@jimgoldgeier.bsky.social) has been elected President of the International Studies Association (@isanet.bsky.social) for 2027–2028!

Congratulations, Jim, on this distinguished leadership role!

The article offers a novel typology of critical junctures, outlining four pathways that may emerge during such episodes: path-breaking change, continuity, and two forms of conditioned transformation (see the table below). We illustrate these in the post-WW1 juncture.

Comments welcome!

We argue that explaining episodes of change requires attention to antecedents, the presence of permissive conditions, and the mechanisms that either lead to or prevent the establishment of a new status quo.

We note that IR's use of critical junctures often differs from that in neighboring fields. IR scholars’ use of the concept more often pertains to situations in which comparison is difficult; relatedly, IR tends to focus more on within-juncture dynamics than on identifying institutional legacies.

The new special issue of EJIR is a wonderful and diverse look at "History and Theory in International Relations". The issue includes my article with @caschulz.bsky.social on critical junctures in IR: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
🧵🧵🧵
@ejir.bsky.social @warwickpais.bsky.social
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
journals.sagepub.com

Great to be back in Mexico City, visiting some old friends! www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

It was great to talk with France 24 about US military operations in the Caribbean. Southern Sphere seems part and parcel of an effort to repurpose the language, legal rationale, and technologies developed in the "war on terrorism" for a newly aggressive war on drugs.
www.france24.com/fr/am%C3%A9r...
États-Unis vs Venezuela : le grand flou de l’opération Lance du Sud
Le ministre américain de la Défense, Pete Hegseth, a annoncé, jeudi, le début de l’opération Lance du Sud en Amérique latine pour lutter contre les narco-terroristes. Mais les incertitudes sont nombre...
www.france24.com

Greg Grandin's new book is sweeping, ambitious, and compelling. Likely to be read as a history of Latin America, the region primarily acts as a mirror to the United States. "However, in this reflection, the history of Latin America is distorted," I argue. My review:
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
America, América: A New History of the New World. By Greg Grandin. New York: Penguin Random House, 2025. Pp. 768. $35.00 cloth. | The Americas | Cambridge Core
America, América: A New History of the New World. By Greg Grandin. New York: Penguin Random House, 2025. Pp. 768. $35.00 cloth.
www.cambridge.org
Congratulations to this year's ISA #BookAward winners! Check them out and add them to your summer reading list. Stay tuned for more winner announcements throughout the summer.

Reposted by Tom Long

A Man, a Plan, and a Long History of Overplayed Hands

In Foreign Policy, PAIS's Tom Long and Carsten-Andreas Schulz put Donald Trump's recent threats to reclaim the Panama Canal in a long-term perspective.

Read the article -> buff.ly/FE8QRe0
A Man, a Plan, and a Long History of Overplayed Hands
Trump did not invent hardball U.S. diplomacy with Panama. Then, as now, it is doomed to backfire.
foreignpolicy.com

And check out the underpinning research, open access in APSR! www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Read @tomlongphd.bsky.social & @caschulz.bsky.social's short essay in @us.theconversation.com covering their recent @apsrjournal.bsky.social article.

"How 1860s Mexico offered an alternative vision for a liberal international order" - cup.org/3IBG3P5
How 1860s Mexico offered an alternative vision for a liberal international order
France imposed an emperor on Mexico. The Mexican republic resisted.
theconversation.com

The history of international order is usually the history of the great powers. But what can we learn from looking at worldviews of those who resisted intervention?

Very pleased to have this new post available on The Conversation with my coauthor and friend @caschulz.bsky.social.

Reposted by Tom Long

France imposed an emperor on Mexico. The Mexican republic resisted.
How 1860s Mexico offered an alternative vision for a liberal international order
France imposed an emperor on Mexico. The Mexican republic resisted.
tcnv.link

Yes, I've worked in RG59 a good bit. This could be a disaster, or it could be pre-registration like at most Latin American foreign ministry archives. Given the current direction of policy, I fear the former... but also don't want panic if it's more of an admin change. Thanks for flagging it.

Oh, wow. Any idea what this means in practice? Like, submit a form in advance or only federal employees on government business?

IR accounts of history have long emphasized turning points; increasingly, IR scholars invoke "critical junctures." But how should IR understand these?

In this article, forthcoming in EJIR, @caschulz.bsky.social, and I propose a framework for CJ analysis in IR:
wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/19...
Critical junctures in international relations : antecedents, contingency, and change in world politics - WRAP: Warwick Research Archive Portal
wrap.warwick.ac.uk

Thank you!

Thanks, Jan!

Reposted by Tom Long

Reposted by Tom Long

📢 New on First View!

Tom Long (‪@tomlongphd.bsky.social‬) and Carsten-Andreas Schulz ‪(@caschulz.bsky.social‬) highlight the broader repercussions of late nineteenth-century ‘high imperialism’ and reassess the nature of Latin American anti-imperialism.

Read more here! doi.org/10.1017/S174...
Seeing the Berlin Conference from the periphery: Latin American reactions to imperialism elsewhere, 1884–85 | Journal of Global History | Cambridge Core
Seeing the Berlin Conference from the periphery: Latin American reactions to imperialism elsewhere, 1884–85
doi.org

Reposted by Tom Long

I am delighted to share the programme of 'Global Order and Governance beyond the West' (May 29) at @cityhistory.bsky.social. Featuring talks by Arnulf Becker Lorca (EUI), Emma Mackinnon (Cambridge), @mjbayly.bsky.social (LSE).
In person/online registration: www.citystgeorges.ac.uk/news-and-eve...

It was a pleasure to host Ignacio Higueras Hare, Peru's ambassador to the UK, at the University of Warwick and @warwickpais.bsky.social. We appreciated his remarks about Latin American integration, and especially his outreach to our students.
warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/pais...
Peru’s Ambassador Visits Warwick
warwick.ac.uk

Reposted by Tom Long

"An important source of declassified materials for scholars of American diplomacy is now under threat" Prof Mitch Lerner at LSE Blog on the Historians Advisory Council, declassification, FRUS & much more #SHAFR @osuhistory.bsky.social @mershoncenter.bsky.social 🗃️ blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/20...
blogs.lse.ac.uk

Small States & Territories assembled a great forum on Veenendaal and Corbett's influential, "Why Small States Offer Important Answers to Large Questions."

My essay, "Historical dynamics of international relationships: Veenendaal and Corbett beyond
comparative politics" www.um.edu.mt/library/oar/...
www.um.edu.mt

Excited to be in this issue of APSR, with "A Turn Against Empire: Benito Juárez’s Liberal Rejoinder to the French Intervention in Mexico," with @caschulz.bsky.social.

doi.org/10.1017/S000...

@warwickpais.bsky.social

Reposted by Tom Long

🎙️ My new #podcast New Regional Orders is now live!
Ep. 1: @tomlongphd.bsky.social from @warwickpais.bsky.social & I discuss U.S. #power in #Latin #America, #small #states & #regionalism.

As #Trump 2.0 reshapes #foreign #policy, this couldn’t be more timely.

🎧 Watch: www.youtube.com/watch?v=MAhm...
Prof. Tom Long on Small States & U.S. Power in Latin America | Episode #01 | New Regional Orders
YouTube video by Dr. Ivo Ganchev
www.youtube.com

Reposted by Tom Long

Thrilled to see Nicaragua Must Survive discussed in a H-Diplo roundtable. Deeply grateful to @mollyavery.bsky.social , Michelle Chase, @tomlongphd.bsky.social & @sarahosten.bsky.social for their engagement and kind words. Thank you @emleake.bsky.social for organising!

issforum.org/ISSF/PDF/RJI...
issforum.org