Philipp Maier | Lightnews

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 10h

Total Assets for all Commercial Banks have decreased from 24490.4012 last week to 24354.6546 on 29 October. Relative to a year ago, this represents an increase of about 3.37%. Evolution of the main asset categories shown in the chart below #commercialbanks #assets #econsky

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 10h

High-frequency labor market update: On 25 November postings on job site Indeed were 49.3% above their pre-pandemic level. New job postings, defined as on Indeed for seven days or less, are 56.6% above their pre-pandemic level #jobs @indeed #econsky

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 10h

Corporate Bond Market Update: Using data as of 07 November, Moody's Seasoned Aaa Corporate Bond Yield for bonds with 20+ years maturity is at 5.27% for the AAA (up 0.05p.p. from the prior week). The BAA is at 5.86%. #econsky

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 19h

Bitcoin at $106496.49; Ethereum at $3639.19. Bitcoin is about -7.4% down from a month ago, and about 17% up from a year ago. Ethereum is about -12.4% down from a month ago and about 16% up from a year ago. #crypto #econsky

Financial Times @financialtimes.com · 1d

Here’s what a new US-Mexico-Canada trade deal should look like on.ft.com/47OrJLW | opinion

Here’s what a new US-Mexico-Canada trade deal should look like

The old WTO model is dead — sovereign control and national security matter

on.ft.com

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 2d

Comparing the evolution of job posting on Indeed for Germany and the UK since the pandemic. All posting indexed to 100% on Feb. 1, 2020 #econsky #indeed

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 2d

At the end of this week, the GDPNow forecast from the Altanta Fed for Q3 2025 stands at at 3.98%. GDPNow is a nowcasting model for GDP growth projecting 13 GDP subcomponents with monthly source data, a factor model and a BVAR. #econsky

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 2d

The average rate on a U.S. 30-Year Fixed Rate Conforming #mortgage on 06 November was at 6.2%. Relative to the prior week, the rate has increased by about 0.04 p.p. #mortgagerates #econsky

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 3d

5Y Breakeven Inflation Rate at 2.37%, down from 2.4% last week; 10Y Breakeven Inflation at 2.28%. Breakeven inflation uses the difference between Constant Maturity and Inflation-Indexed Constant Maturity Treasuries to calculate market expectations #inflation #econsky.

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 3d

10Y #Treasury is at 4.11%, down from 4.17% last week. How are shorter-term interest rates contributing to the change in the yield curve? #interest #econsky https://tinyurl.com/m7pdyyyf

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 3d

The U.S. Dollars to U.K. Pound Sterling Spot Exchange Rate stood at 1.3141 USD/GBP last week (31 October). Relative to a month ago, this is -2.5% lower. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate has risen by 1.4% #exchangerate #gbp #usd #econsky

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 3d

Last week (31 October) the U.S. Dollars to Euro Exchange Rate was 1.1541 USD/EUR. Relative to a month ago, this is a decrease of approx. -1.8%. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate is about 6.4% higher. #exchangerate #eur #usd #econsky

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 4d

Average US 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage last week at 6.22%, up 0.05 p.p. from prior week. 5/1 ARM at 6.1% #mortgage #househunters #econsky

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 4d

Emerging Market Update: Longer-term view of currency movements since the start of the post-pandemic monetary tightening cycle. All currencies indexed to 100 on March 16 (date of the first Fed rate hike); latest data point is 31 Oct #fx #emergingmarkets #econsky

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 4d

Bitcoin at $103472; Ethereum at $3397.39. Bitcoin is about -16.1% down from a month ago, and about 18% up from a year ago. Ethereum is about -25% down from a month ago and about 5% up from a year ago. #crypto #econsky

Simon Johnson🇺🇦 @simonrjohnson.bsky.social · 4d

This 30 min podcast on the economics of populism with Martin Wolf and @robarmstrong.bsky.social is seriously smart and worth a listen
open.spotify.com/episode/679f...

Martin Wolf on the economics of populism

open.spotify.com

The New York Times @nytimes.com · 5d

Walking a few thousand steps a day can slow cognitive decline in older adults who are at increased risk of developing Alzheimer’s disease, according to new research.

Walking a Few Thousand Steps a Day May Reduce Alzheimer’s Risk

A new study suggests that exercise can be particularly beneficial for older people at a higher risk for the disease.

nyti.ms

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 5d

Brent Crude oil prices for the month of Nov 2025 averaged $65.79 per barrel. Relative to the prior month, that's up $0.35 per barrel #oil #brent #econsky

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 5d

Today's #ADP data suggests an increase in private sector #employment of 23000K jobs, up from -41000K in Sep 2025. Note that historically the ADP report is not overly accurate in predicting the #payroll number. #econsky

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 5d

Visualizing currency movements of key US trading partners since the start of the post-pandemic monetary tightening cycle. All currencies indexed to 100 on March 16 (date of the first Fed rate hike); latest data point is 31 Oct #fx #econsky

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 5d

Uncertainty Update: VIX at 19; 7-day average of the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index at 382.5, up 30.3 from the prior week #vix #MarketVolatility #econsky https://tinyurl.com/3bvx9f5m

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 5d

The Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index in Oct 2025 came in at -0.51, up from -0.52 the prior month.Negative values indicate financial conditions that are looser than average. #econsky

US.Banking.ChicagoFinancialConditionsIndex.png

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 5d

On 31 Oct the Nominal Emerging Market USD Index stood at 132.3462. Relative to a month ago, this is approx. an increase of 0.3%. Relative to a year ago, USD is about -2.22% lower. The index is weighted against a broad subset of emerging market currencies #exchangerates #econsky

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 5d

Change in interbank lending costs: The SOFR rate on 04 November was at 4%, a decrease by -13 bps from the prior day. The Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) is a measure of borrowing costs for cash overnight, collateralized by Treasuries #monetarypolicy #econsky

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 6d

Banking and Finance Job Postings on Indeed in the United States at 97.2of the pre-pandemic baseline of 100% #econsky #indeed

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 6d

7-day weighted av. for Diesel currently at $3.75, up 3.5 cents from last week. Diesel engines in trucks, trains, boats, and barges transport nearly all products people consume. Relative to 12 months ago, this is a $0.22 increase. #econsky

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 6d

7-day weighted av. price for gas currently at $3.15, down -1.3 cents from last week. Relative to 12 months ago, this is a -4 cent decrease. #inflation #econsky

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 6d

Banking and Finance Job Postings on Indeed in the United States at 95.7of the pre-pandemic baseline of 100% #econsky #indeed

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 6d

How will dramatically lower energy consumption affect relative pricing of crypto currencies? Since the 'merge' on Sept. 15, 20222 Ethereum has gained approx. 145.26% in value, while Bitcoin has gained approx. 440.52% #crypto #econsky

Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 6d

Manufacturers' New Orders for Durable Goods rose by 2.93% in Aug 2025; for Nondurable Goods new orders rose by 0.25% #econsky

US.Activity.ManufacturingOrdersDurable.png

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