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pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier
@pmaier1971.bsky.social
1K followers 78 following 5.5K posts

Economic data releases and news, automated with R.

Data from http://fred.stlouisfed.org.
Code/details: http://whyitmatters.netlify.app

All views and errors are mine.

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Economics 82%
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pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 1d
Comparing the evolution of job posting on Indeed for Germany and the UK since the pandemic. All posting indexed to 100% on Feb. 1, 2020 #econsky #indeed
UK.Indeed.NewJobs.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 1d
At the end of this week, the GDPNow forecast from the Altanta Fed for Q4 2025 stands at at 4.24%. GDPNow is a nowcasting model for GDP growth projecting 13 GDP subcomponents with monthly source data, a factor model and a BVAR. #econsky
US.Activity.GDPNow.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 1d
The average rate on a U.S. 30-Year Fixed Rate Conforming #mortgage on 05 February was at 6.098%. Relative to the prior week, the rate has increased by about 0.03 p.p. #mortgagerates #econsky
US.Housing.30YMortgageRate.Daily.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 1d
Banks' Balance Sheets Post-Pandemic Fueled by Higher Cash and Treasuries/Agencies Holdings #BankLending #econsky
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pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 1d
Breakdown of #LightVehicle sales in Jan 2026 #econsky
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pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 1d
#Vehicle sales for Jan 2026 at 14.936M units, down -1.07M units from prior month #econsky
US.Auto.Autosales.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 1d
The Kansas City Financial Stress index in Jan 2026 at -0.69, up 0 from prior month. Positive values indicate #stress above the long-run average, while negative values signify below-average stress #econsky
US.Banking.Kansas.FinancialConditionsIndex.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 1d
5Y Breakeven Inflation Rate at 2.48%, down from 2.53% last week; 10Y Breakeven Inflation at 2.32%. Breakeven inflation uses the difference between Constant Maturity and Inflation-Indexed Constant Maturity Treasuries to calculate market expectations #inflation #econsky.
US.CPI.5YBreakevenInflation.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 1d
10Y #Treasury is at 4.21%, down from 4.29% last week. How are shorter-term interest rates contributing to the change in the yield curve? #interest #econsky https://tinyurl.com/m7pdyyyf
US.Rates.Daily.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 2d
The U.S. Dollars to U.K. Pound Sterling Spot Exchange Rate stood at 1.3729 USD/GBP last week (30 January). Relative to a month ago, this is 1.8% higher. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate has risen by 10.3% #exchangerate #gbp #usd #econsky
XR.USDGBP.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 2d
Last week (30 January) the U.S. Dollars to Euro Exchange Rate was 1.1885 USD/EUR. Relative to a month ago, this is an increase of approx. 1.3%. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate is about 14.3% higher. #exchangerate #eur #usd #econsky
XR.USDEUR.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 2d
Average US 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage last week at 6.11%, up 0.01 p.p. from prior week. 5/1 ARM at 6.1% #mortgage #househunters #econsky
US.Housing.30YMortgageRate.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 2d
Emerging Market Update: Longer-term view of currency movements since the start of the post-pandemic monetary tightening cycle. All currencies indexed to 100 on March 16 (date of the first Fed rate hike); latest data point is 30 Jan #fx #emergingmarkets #econsky
XREmergingEconomies.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 2d
The rate of job openings in Dec 2025 came in at 3.9%, down from 4.2% in Nov 2025. JOLTS defines Job Openings as all positions that are open (not filled) on the last business day of the month. #jolts #econsky
US.JOLTS.JobOpeningsRate.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 2d
The hire rate for Dec 2025 at 3.3%, up from 3.2% in the prior month. JOLTS defines Hires as all additions to the payroll during the month #jolts #econsky
US.JOLTS.HireRate.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 2d
JOLTS update: The quits rate for Dec 2025 came in at 2%, down by 0p.p. from prior month. Job quits measure voluntary separations by employees (retirements are reported as other separations) #jolts #econsky
US.JOLTS.QuitsRate.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 2d
Today's JOLTS update suggest that 3.2M people quit their job in Dec 2025, up from 3.2in the prior month. Quits are voluntary separations initiated by the employee, and can proxy willingness or ability to leave jobs. #JOLTS #econsky
US.JOLTS.QuitsNumber.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 3d
Longer-term view of Weekly Claims data. Relative to the peak during the pandemic, where the 4-week moving average of continued claims reached 21243K in the week of 16 May 2020, today's reading of 1850.75K continued is a decline of about -91% #claims #econsky
US.Activity.ContinuedClaims.4W.MA.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 3d
Weekly Initial Claims (first-time applications for unemployment benefits), a proxy for layoffs, increase to 231K (up 22K from prior week); 4-week moving average of continued claims decrease from 1865.5K to 1850.8K in Jan 2026 #claims #econsky
US.Activity.InitialClaims.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 3d
Bitcoin at $72853.79; Ethereum at $2150.73. Bitcoin is about -21.5% down from a month ago, and about -24% down from a year ago. Ethereum is about -34.1% down from a month ago and about -17% down from a year ago. #crypto #econsky
Coinbase.Bitcoin.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 3d
The rental #vacancy rate (proportion of the rental inventory vacant for rent) for Oct 2025 at 7.2, up 0.1% from last quarter #housing #econsky
US.Housing.RentalVacancyRate.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 3d
Brent Crude oil prices for the month of Feb 2026 averaged $67.72 per barrel. Relative to the prior month, that's down $-4.53 per barrel #oil #brent #econsky
EU.Commodities.Brent.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 3d
Visualizing currency movements of key US trading partners since the start of the post-pandemic monetary tightening cycle. All currencies indexed to 100 on March 16 (date of the first Fed rate hike); latest data point is 30 Jan #fx #econsky
XRAnalysis.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 3d
Uncertainty Update: VIX at 18; 7-day average of the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index at 270.2, down -7.6 from the prior week #vix #MarketVolatility #econsky https://tinyurl.com/3bvx9f5m
US.VIX.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 4d
The Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index in Jan 2026 came in at -0.56, up from -0.56 the prior month.Negative values indicate financial conditions that are looser than average. #econsky
US.Banking.ChicagoFinancialConditionsIndex.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 4d
Today's #ADP data suggests a decline in private sector #employment of -30000K jobs, down from -22000K in Dec 2025. Note that historically the ADP report is not overly accurate in predicting the #payroll number. #econsky
US.Activity.ADP.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 4d
From the Senior Loan Officers Survey: Changes in lending standards for Commercial and Industrial loans in Q1; keep an eye on spread of loan rates over Banks' funding costs #SLOOS #econsky
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pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 4d
On 30 Jan the Nominal Emerging Market USD Index stood at 128.3721. Relative to a month ago, this is approx. a decrease of -1.4%. Relative to a year ago, USD is about -6.94% lower. The index is weighted against a broad subset of emerging market currencies #exchangerates #econsky
US.XR.NominalEmergingMarketIndex.png

pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 4d
Need $$$? The Senior Loan Officers Survey detailes changes in banks' lending standards in Q1 for auto loans, credit card loans, and consumer loans #SLOOS #econsky
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pmaier1971.bsky.social
Philipp Maier @pmaier1971.bsky.social · 4d
Banking and Finance Job Postings on Indeed in the United States at 102.2of the pre-pandemic baseline of 100% #econsky #indeed
US.Indeed.BankingJobs.png