Frank Kuhn
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frankkuhn.bsky.social
Frank Kuhn
@frankkuhn.bsky.social

Doctoral Researcher @PRIF.org // former Nuclear Scholar @poni.csis.org and Project Coordinator @cntrarmscontrol.org // Nuclear Deterrence and Arms Control // Cold War History // Military Technology, Operations and Strategy // Opinions my own // .. more

Business 42%
Neuroscience 12%
Meine diesjährige Reise ins Baltikum geht dem Ende entgegen. Und es ist mir ein großes Bedürfnis zu sagen, was alle längst wissen sollten.

Russland bereitet sich auf einen Angriff gegen die NATO vor. Der Kreml schlägt alle diplomatischen Angebote aus. Dieses Russland ist unser Feind.

“President Donald Trump unveiled plans for a 'Trump-class’ battleship on Monday that will carry nuclear-armed cruise missiles — the first time a surface ship will be armed with such weapons since the Cold War.
Trump’s new ‘Trump-Class’ battleship will carry nuclear weapons
The president wants to outfit new surface ships with weapons that haven't been deployed since the Cold War.
www.politico.com

Thanks!

The new volume of “On the Horizon: A Collection of Papers from the Next Generation” edited by
@doreenhorschig.bsky.social for @poni.csis.org is finally out! 📘

I take a look at how DoD could use existing elements of the joint targeting process to reduce the risk of unintentional nuclear escalation.

Some thoughts on the new U.S. National Security Strategy, including from yours truly. 👇
The new Trump National Security Strategy breaks away from traditional American strategic goals and interests. In an extended #PRIFblog post, several PRIF researchers provide an overview of the strategy and contextualize it, shedding light on notable aspects in short commentaries.
The New US National Security Strategy: A Blog Analysis and Commentaries - PRIF BLOG
On December 4th the White House published its 2025 National Security Strategy (NSS). The document is mandated by law for every incoming administration and serves as a compass for US foreign and securi...
blog.prif.org

What‘s the source of these slides if I may ask?

Reposted by Frank Kühn

PRIF @prif.org · 7d
The new Trump National Security Strategy breaks away from traditional American strategic goals and interests. In an extended #PRIFblog post, several PRIF researchers provide an overview of the strategy and contextualize it, shedding light on notable aspects in short commentaries.
The New US National Security Strategy: A Blog Analysis and Commentaries - PRIF BLOG
On December 4th the White House published its 2025 National Security Strategy (NSS). The document is mandated by law for every incoming administration and serves as a compass for US foreign and securi...
blog.prif.org

Reposted by Frank Kühn

On the Horizon — written by @csis.org PONI’s 2025 Nuclear Scholars and edited by @doreenhorschig.bsky.social — offers fresh research on nuclear strategy, arms control & emerging tech from tomorrow’s experts.

Read it here: www.csis.org/analysis/hor...
On the Horizon, Vol. 8
The 2025 PONI Nuclear Scholars explore the future of nuclear strategy, offering perspectives from emerging experts on disruptive technology, intensifying geopolitical rivalries, and strategic stabilit...
www.csis.org

Musst du dir einen guten Paketshop suchen. Mein Kiosk um die Ecke hat Mo–Sa von 08:00–22:00 Uhr geöffnet, Sonntag von 11:00—20:00 Uhr. Leite meine Pakete direkt nach dort um. Gibt's auf dem Land nur vermutlich nicht. 😜

Ich sage nur „Abnutzungskrieg“. 😅

Reposted by Frank Kühn

"Für Europa kann es nur einen Weg nach vorne geben. Autonomie und eine Politik, die Amerika als das behandelt, was es niemals sein wollte: Eine Großmacht wie jede andere."

Letzte Meldung vor Weihnachten von @tobiaspfella.bsky.social und mir.
www.ipg-journal.de/rubriken/aus...
Wer glaubt an den Weihnachtsmann?
Die USA wandeln sich vom liberalen Hegemon zur revisionistischen Großmacht. Wer das ignoriert, lebt in einer Traumwelt.
www.ipg-journal.de

Reposted by Frank Kühn

Fascinating 1988 documentary showing Warsaw Pact officers observing NATO exercises among many other nuggets. youtu.be/PucaA4kxmBs?...
Frontline/TIME: The Defense of Europe (1988)
YouTube video by ScanRange
youtu.be

Yes this is true. But the argument is still very present in contemporary discourse, especially in German and even more so after the U.S.–German announcement on the episodic long-range fires deployment.

This does not mean that there are no risks involved in employing Dark Eagle, but the alleged counterforce potential is not one of them. Arms control experts should focus more on military strategy and acquire basic knowledge of ballistics before making claims that are not backed by evidence. 8/8.
No Quick Solutions: A Different Approach to Hypersonic Arms Control
The hypersonic arms race is in full swing: Countries around the world are investing staggering amounts of money into hypersonic weapons. And these are no
warontherocks.com

Yet, even though strikes against early-warning radars are possible, Dark Eagle is more likely to be used for counter-anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD) purposes. In a war with Russia, it would serve as a “door kicker” to take down 🇷🇺 air defense radars and enable a more permissive strike campaign. 7/

In other words, and contrary to what many analysts have suggested, Dark Eagle would be completely unsuitable for a conventional counterforce campaign. The only targets that could be destroyed are Russian ballistic missile early warning radars (BMEWRs) and over-the-horizon (OTH) radars. 6/

If true, this would have significant implications for the widespread assertion that Dark Eagle would alter the strategic nuclear balance between Russia 🇷🇺 and the United States 🇺🇸. Although many Russian nuclear targets are within range, Dark Eagle cannot destroy them because they are hardened. 5/

This type of munition generally cannot destroy hard targets, let alone ICBM silos. As @frhoffmann.bsky.social told me, it may not even be able to destroy lightly armored mobile ICBM launchers. 4/

Furthermore, the officer stated that the warhead‘s purpose is to release its projectiles and that it can affect an area approximately the size of the parking lot where they were standing. This means that the warhead is essentially a cluster munition without explosive bomblets. 3/

According to an officer at the event, the warhead is under 30 pounds. As @aviationintel.bsky.social writes, this is “relatively tiny for a long-range weapon – smaller in size than what’s found on an AIM-120 air-to-air missile [...].” Just for comparison, the JASSM-ER warhead is almost 1,000 lbs. 2/
JASSM / JASSM ER | Missile Threat
The JASSM (Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missile) is a conventional, stealthy, air-launched ground attack cruise missile designed for the U.S. Air Force and international partners. An extended range v...
missilethreat.csis.org

Reposted by James Cameron

Some new, interesting details about the Dark Eagle #hypersonic missile‘s warhead strongly suggest that it can only destroy soft targets, such as radar sites, but not hard targets, such as intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) silos or even mobile ICBM launchers. 🧵 1/
New Dark Eagle Hypersonic Weapon Details Emerge
Hegseth's visit to Redstone Arsenal provided new disclosures on Dark Eagle's range and its small warhead.
www.twz.com

LRF deployment to 🇪🇺 on track?

“The U.S. Army this fall activated an artillery battalion in New York that is intended to give commanders in Europe new options for long-range strikes and deterrence. [...] It remains unknown, however, if — or when — soldiers and equipment will be deployed overseas.”
US Army launches artillery battalion focused on Europe deterrence
The U.S. Army this fall activated an artillery battalion in New York that is intended to give commanders in Europe new options for long-range strikes.
www.defensenews.com

Solche Drohnen wären da sicherlich geeignet.
a fighter jet is sitting on a runway with a city in the background .
ALT: a fighter jet is sitting on a runway with a city in the background .
media.tenor.com

Von der einen Millionen Drohnen (Schularick) kommen dann also nur 100.000 durch...

“The strategy [...] positions the United States to judge the internal order of its partners through the lens of ideological compatibility rather than institutional capacity or shared interests.”
Ten Jolting Takeaways from Trump’s New National Security Strategy
The new National Security Strategy is out, and it’s a shock to the system. It is not just the latest public articulation of principles, ambitions, and
warontherocks.com

I already felt the Puma was rather noisy. 😅

“While European leaders will hope that the NSS is just political bluster, it is a document worth taking seriously. The strategy signals that the Trump administration plans to orchestrate the downfall of almost all of Europe’s political leaders, which come from center-right and center-left parties.”
The NSS That Could Destroy the NATO Alliance
The latest U.S. National Security Strategy doesn’t just sideline Europe—it seeks to reshape its politics, backing nationalist parties and challenging the European Union in ways that could push the tra...
www.csis.org

Reposted by Frank Kühn

Die AfD-Leute würden übrigens die Republik nicht verteidigen (natürlich nicht). Die FAS hat nachgefragt, und der am Anfang zitierte AfD-Mann ist keine Ausnahme:
zeitung.faz.net/data/557/rea...
The new US National Security Strategy says explicitly, that the US should intervene in European domestic policy. It is difficult to interpret "Cultivating resistance to Europe’s current trajectory within European nations." otherwise in the context of everything else this government says and does.
It also appears to have been written by a third-grader.
The Trump National Security Strategy is an act of vandalism against the things that actually make our country strong, safe, and prosperous.