Davud Rostam‐Afschar

Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · Oct 4

Excellent workshop, great discussions, and a fantastic venue! I presented new work (in progress) with Eckhard Janeba, Felix Köhler and Paul Steger on what the city of Mainz did with its excess tax revenue of 3.3 billion € or about 12,600 per capita due to the breakthrough of its superstar firm.

USI Lugano - Department of Economics @usiidep.bsky.social · Oct 3

Chair: Mario Jametti @usiidep.bsky.social

Speakers:
@mariusbrulhart.bsky.social @heclausanne.bsky.social
@lea-fri.bsky.social @unisg.ch
@almostsurely.bsky.social @econunimannheim.bsky.social

2/3

USI Lugano - Department of Economics @usiidep.bsky.social · Oct 3

Chair: Mario Jametti @usiidep.bsky.social

Speakers:
@mariusbrulhart.bsky.social @heclausanne.bsky.social
@lea-fri.bsky.social @unisg.ch
@almostsurely.bsky.social @econunimannheim.bsky.social

2/3

Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · Aug 18

Unternehmer in Deutschland sind zwar skeptisch und unzufrieden, aber die positiven Erwartungen auf das kurz- und mittelfristige Wirtschaftswachstum drücken doch einen gesunden Optimismus aus. Oder bin ich zu pessimistisch?

Mehr Einschätzungen 👇

Accounting for Transparency @trr266.bsky.social · Aug 13

Alle Details im neuesten GBP-Monitor und in der Pressemitteilung: www.accounting-for-transparency.de/news/gbp-umf...

#Wirtschaftspolitik #Handelskonflikt #MerzRegierung

GBP-Umfrage: Deutsche Unternehmen skeptisch nach 100 Tagen Merz-Kanzlerschaft - TRR 266 Accounting for Transparency

Die aktuelle Umfrage des German Business Panel (GBP) an der Universität Mannheim zeigt: Unternehmen in Deutschland bewerten den wirtschaftspolitischen Kurs der neuen Regierung nur mäßig positiv. Beson...

www.accounting-for-transparency.de

Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · Aug 18

Zölle sind immer noch aktuell...und aus US Sicht ist die Handelspolitik eher systematisch als erratisch.

Accounting for Transparency @trr266.bsky.social · Jun 18

Im ARD-Magazin Plusminus spricht TRR 266-Mitglied @almostsurely.bsky.social (Uni Mannheim) über Trumps US-Zollpolitik & den sinkenden Dollar-Kurs.
Sein Punkt: Die erratische Handelspolitik untergräbt das Vertrauen in den Dollar – mit spürbaren Folgen.
🔗 Beitrag: www.ardmediathek.de/video/plusmi...

Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · Aug 18

Thank you! I absolutely agree. Melbourne is a fantastic place for research. Not only for economics, which is my focus.

Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · Aug 13

State of the tech job market halfway through 2025? Still stagnant, still not much better than the last 2.5 yrs.

Tech employment has dropped modestly from its Dec 2022 peak, falling 1.9%, or 76,000 jobs, with no improvement in 2025, despite the hype around AI + data center investment.

1/

Bar chart of month over month change payroll employment in manually defined tech industry. In H1 2025, 2,000 jobs were lost on average monthly. This is a continuation of stagnation/modest job losses in tech started at the beginning of 2023.

Sourced using data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics from the July 2025 release.

Line chart of payroll employment in manually defined tech industry. Tech employment is down 1.9% from the December 2022 peak or 76,000 fewer jobs.

Sourced using data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics from the July 2025 release.

Accounting for Transparency @trr266.bsky.social · Aug 13

Alle Details im neuesten GBP-Monitor und in der Pressemitteilung: www.accounting-for-transparency.de/news/gbp-umf...

#Wirtschaftspolitik #Handelskonflikt #MerzRegierung

GBP-Umfrage: Deutsche Unternehmen skeptisch nach 100 Tagen Merz-Kanzlerschaft - TRR 266 Accounting for Transparency

Die aktuelle Umfrage des German Business Panel (GBP) an der Universität Mannheim zeigt: Unternehmen in Deutschland bewerten den wirtschaftspolitischen Kurs der neuen Regierung nur mäßig positiv. Beson...

www.accounting-for-transparency.de

Accounting for Transparency @trr266.bsky.social · Jun 18

Im ARD-Magazin Plusminus spricht TRR 266-Mitglied @almostsurely.bsky.social (Uni Mannheim) über Trumps US-Zollpolitik & den sinkenden Dollar-Kurs.
Sein Punkt: Die erratische Handelspolitik untergräbt das Vertrauen in den Dollar – mit spürbaren Folgen.
🔗 Beitrag: www.ardmediathek.de/video/plusmi...

Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · May 6

What is behind tax elasticities? Often we think firms move when taxes increase. Asked directly, they indeed complain but experimental evidence shows they will not act. Instead tax cuts attract investments. Tax policy works like a ratchet due to home bias: dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn...

Local Policy Misperceptions and Investment: Experimental Evidence from Firm Decision Makers

We study firm responses to local policies through a survey experiment, providing randomized information on the competitiveness of business tax rates and highway

shorturl.at

Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · Apr 30

If you do not have money for a student assistant but need an overview of relevant literature, try the Paper Search tool by @eduardbruell.bsky.social👇

I find myself using this quite often. One of the best AI/LLM tools for research. Thanks, Eddy!

Eduard Brüll @eduardbruell.bsky.social · Apr 29

Paste your abstract.
Get semantically similar economic papers—instantly.
No keyword tweaking, no guessing jargon.

This is my new RePEc semantic search engine in action.

Try it now → econpapers.eduard-bruell.de
#EconSky #RePEc

Screenshot of the "Semantic Paper Search" app. An abstract about competition in German primary care is entered on the left. On the right, the app returns highly similar papers from RePEc, including titles, authors, journals, years, abstracts, and similarity scores. Download links and a bibtex-export function are also available.

Eduard Brüll @eduardbruell.bsky.social · Apr 29

Paste your abstract.
Get semantically similar economic papers—instantly.
No keyword tweaking, no guessing jargon.

This is my new RePEc semantic search engine in action.

Try it now → econpapers.eduard-bruell.de
#EconSky #RePEc

EEA @eeanews.bsky.social · Mar 18

📢EEA's Education Committee opens 4th edition of TEACHING AWARDS for academic economists who make a significant contribution to spreading knowledge on economics through their teaching
ℹ️https://eeassoc.org/news/eea-education-committee-2025-awards-teaching-economics
Nomination deadline: April 30

John P de New 🇦🇺🇨🇦🇩🇪🇪🇺 @denewjohn.bsky.social · Feb 5

See @almostsurely.bsky.social

For an excellent presentation

John P de New 🇦🇺🇨🇦🇩🇪🇪🇺 @denewjohn.bsky.social · Feb 5

Fabulous!
Oceania Stata Conference 2025 Melbourne
@statacorp.bsky.social
surveydesign.com.au

Earning while learning: How to run batched bandit experiments

Davud Rosam-Afschar
University of Mannheim

rostam-afschar.de/bbandits/bba...

Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · Dec 19

Written while waiting for an appointment...

IZA @iza.org · Dec 18

✨ #IZAdventCalendar 1️⃣8️⃣

🎁 Today's insight: The mere threat of competition can improve the service quality of general practitioners. ⚕️

Read this summary of a new study by @eduardbruell.bsky.social, @almostsurely.bsky.social, and @schlenkeroli.bsky.social:

newsroom.iza.org/en/archive/r...

Entry restrictions in healthcare improve equitable access but reduce service quality

Policymakers must balance equity and competition to improve care

newsroom.iza.org

IZA @iza.org · Dec 18

✨ #IZAdventCalendar 1️⃣8️⃣

🎁 Today's insight: The mere threat of competition can improve the service quality of general practitioners. ⚕️

Read this summary of a new study by @eduardbruell.bsky.social, @almostsurely.bsky.social, and @schlenkeroli.bsky.social:

newsroom.iza.org/en/archive/r...

Entry restrictions in healthcare improve equitable access but reduce service quality

Policymakers must balance equity and competition to improve care

newsroom.iza.org

Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · Nov 1

congrats! Good that you did not quit this research too early ;)

Max Steinhardt @steinhardt.bsky.social · Nov 1

The Berlin School of Economics (@bseberlin.bsky.social) invites applications for several Research Associate positions for fixed-term appointments between 3 to 6 year. We're excited to see your application!

Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · Sep 19

Check out @essobecker.bsky.social's list of fun titles 😂

One of my favorite:
Children Crying at Birthday Parties. Why?
doi.org/10.1007/s001...

Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · Sep 18

We find that
🔹firms' plans respond within days to oil supply & monetary policy shocks but not to forward guidance shocks
🔹 effects are strong for small & non-tradeable sector firms
🔹 expectations respond strongly & swiftly, but only to monetary policy

More here 👇:
ideas.repec.org/p/bon/boncrc...

ideas.repec.org

Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · Sep 18

based on the German Business Panel

This allows to use novel high-frequency variation
🔹 for estimating contemporary aggregate effects
🔹 to detect transitory effects-invisible at lower frequency
🔹 to study short-run effects of central bank communication, carbon pricing, or geopolitical tensions,...

Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · Mar 23

Honored and excited to give the NZ Treasury guest lecture next week. Thanks for inviting me!

www.treasury.govt.nz/news-and-eve...

Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · Mar 10

Sydneysiders and Wollongongers: I will be coming to town on 21 and 23 March to share some new research. Let me know if you'd like to catch up!

Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · Mar 9

I will be presenting some new research in Melbourne at MI. If you are around and would like to meet up, let's get in touch!

Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · Mar 9

I will be presenting some new research in Melbourne at MI. If you are around and would like to meet up, let's get in touch!

Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · Jan 18

Short guides with tricks and tips to understand and apply econometrics. Covering the classics: Probability, Distributions, OLS, Maximum Likelihood, Generalized Method of Moments. Based on my course at the university of Mannheim:

rostam-afschar.de/metricks/met...

Hope you find them useful!

Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · Oct 6

Had a great time at ZEW. Thanks for having me! Stay tuned for some News results www.zew.de/en/events-an...

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