#RBNZ
RBNZが大幅利下げに加え、追加利下げ言及でNZドルは? ~NZドルの対米ドル相場は上値が重い展開となる一方、日本円には米ドル/円の行方がカギを握る~ | 西濵 徹

https://www.wacoca.com/news/2759282/

Asia Trends

2025.10.08

アジア経済 アジア経済見通し アジア金融政策 ニュージーランド経済 為替
RBNZが大幅利下げに加え、追 [...]
RBNZが大幅利下げに加え、追加利下げ言及でNZドルは? ~NZドルの対米ドル相場は上値が重い展開となる一方、日本円には米ドル/円の行方がカギを握る~ | 西濵 徹 - WACOCA NEWS
ニュージーランド経済、アジア金融政策、アジア経済見通し、為替について、わかりやすく解説した調査・研究レポートです。第一生命経済研究所のエコノミストの西濵 徹が執筆しています。「…とは」「なぜ」「どうなる」などの様々な疑問にお答えします。
www.wacoca.com
February 3, 2026 at 1:00 AM
NZD/USD Forecast Today 02/02:New Zealand Dollar Looks Tired

https://www.byteseu.com/1766599/

Created on February 02, 2026 The New Zealand dollar was negative on Friday, as traders are starting to price in the geopolitical risks, and the potential for a RBNZ rate cut later this year. NZD/USD The …
NZD/USD Forecast Today 02/02:New Zealand Dollar Looks Tired - Bytes Europe
Created on February 02, 2026
www.byteseu.com
February 2, 2026 at 10:13 AM
Household living cost data out. Wild that the RBNZ response to increases in the cost of living is to, errrm, increase the cost of living.
February 1, 2026 at 11:23 PM
Once unemployment gets below this 'Goldilocks zone' (sic), RBNZ will consider slowing the economy down and businesses will moan to the Govt about the labour market being 'too tight'. Meanwhile tens of thousands of young people, disabled people, whole fking towns(!), will struggle to find work. [5/n]
February 1, 2026 at 7:12 PM
Winston Peters berated Anna Brenan " stay in your lane" for supporting an independent federal reserve in America.
Seeing that Trump wants take control of it, why the hell would Peters do that. Does he support Trump facism, does he want to control the RBNZ or is he just a misogynist Hobbit?
January 31, 2026 at 8:44 PM
Musical Chairs & B Hickey disc how the RBNZ pays banks to hold reserves & cf it to other countries. MC estimates we cld save money using tiering but as u say economic orthodoxy doesn't allow chg. Ian Renney was Ruth's r/hand man so no surprises. If LabGn win will they b allowed to chg or mkts react?
January 31, 2026 at 7:19 AM
BUT, it is very clear that if you make debt cheap enough to service, and tempt people into taking on more debt (banks create lots of money $, net) that gets the economy moving and jobs / profits are created. Until RBNZ decide otherwise obviously. Quick look at business loans before I go... [5/n]
January 31, 2026 at 3:55 AM
Simplest model is assume no interest is paid on minimum reserves. If we assume minimum is about $8bn (pre-2020 avg was a bit over $7bn) then RBNZ would have paid $1.5bn less over the last 5 years. Settlement balances are Govt debt - it is weird that RBNZ can decide how much to add on.
January 31, 2026 at 1:06 AM
This might help illustrate what is going on behind the scenes. Govt is deficit spending big (pink) but *still* selling more bonds (yellow) than needed to cover the deficit. Why? Because Treasury are helping RBNZ exchange the Govt Bonds on their balance sheet for foreign currency assets. [Ends]
January 30, 2026 at 7:46 AM
Treasury are selling more bonds than needed so that RBNZ can scale back their Govt bond holdings (red). However, RBNZ are replacing Govt assets with billions of dollars of foreign currency because they are building their capacity to intervene if things go nuts. [4/n]
January 30, 2026 at 7:46 AM
Exactly, the rationale from RBNZ on why they don't use tiering is weak ass.
January 28, 2026 at 9:40 PM
Today, RBNZ will create $2m out of thin air and pay it as interest to private banks that hold deposits (reserve balances) at RBNZ. Paying interest on reserves is part of how RBNZ keeps overnight / short-term interest rates above OCR (2.25%). Tomorrow, they'll do the same. And, then the next day etc.
January 28, 2026 at 6:01 PM
NZ景気はRBNZの想定より堅調も、早期利上げは見込みにくい ~RBNZは慎重な政策運営を維持する見通し、NZドル相場は動意の乏しい展開が続くか~ | 西濵 徹

https://www.walknews.com/1188553/

Asia Trends

2025.12.18

アジア経済 アジア経済見通し アジア金融政策 ニュージーランド経済 為替 トランプ関税
NZ景気はRBN [...]
NZ景気はRBNZの想定より堅調も、早期利上げは見込みにくい ~RBNZは慎重な政策運営を維持する見通し、NZドル相場は動意の乏しい展開が続くか~ | 西濵 徹 - WALK NEWS
2025.12.18
www.walknews.com
January 27, 2026 at 11:48 PM
NZ景気はRBNZの想定より堅調も、早期利上げは見込みにくい ~RBNZは慎重な政策運営を維持する見通し、NZドル相場は動意の乏しい展開が続くか~ | 西濵 徹

https://www.wacoca.com/news/2754435/

Asia Trends

2025.12.18

アジア経済 アジア経済見通し アジア金融政策 ニュージーランド経済 為替 トランプ関税
NZ景気はRBN [...]
NZ景気はRBNZの想定より堅調も、早期利上げは見込みにくい ~RBNZは慎重な政策運営を維持する見通し、NZドル相場は動意の乏しい展開が続くか~ | 西濵 徹 - WACOCA NEWS
ニュージーランド経済、アジア経済見通し、アジア金融政策、トランプ関税、為替について、わかりやすく解説した調査・研究レポートです。第一生命経済研究所のエコノミストの西濵 徹が執筆しています。「…とは」「なぜ」「どうなる」などの様々な疑問にお答えします。
www.wacoca.com
January 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM
NEW ZEALAND'S FINANCE MINISTER WILLIS SAYS HE THINKS THE RBNZ WILL MAINTAIN INFLATION WITHIN THE TARGET RANGE.
January 27, 2026 at 8:05 PM
[Response] RBNZ replied about Credit market dynamics for rural infrastructure financing
January 27, 2026 at 7:26 PM
Bernard Hickey reporting that we could see TWO RBNZ rate hikes (& thus 2 mortgage rate hikes) before the election, which if very bad news for the Govt’s re election prospects.
January 25, 2026 at 8:56 PM

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January 25, 2026 at 8:20 PM
ajustar las asignaciones geográficas en consecuencia. Cuando los bancos centrales reconocen errores en sus previsiones, la revalorización del mercado suele seguir rápidamente. #RBNZ #MercadosDeDivisas #PolíticaMonetaria
January 25, 2026 at 8:12 PM
Quando le banche centrali riconoscono errori di previsione, il repricing del mercato spesso segue rapidamente. #RBNZ #MercatiValutari #PoliticaMonetaria
January 25, 2026 at 8:11 PM
conséquence. Lorsque les banques centrales reconnaissent des erreurs de prévision, la réévaluation des marchés suit souvent rapidement.

#RBNZ #MarchésDesDevises #PolitiqueMonétaire
January 25, 2026 at 8:11 PM
folgt die Marktneubewertung oft zügig. #RBNZ #Devisenmärkte #Geldpolitik
January 25, 2026 at 8:10 PM
When central banks acknowledge forecasting errors, market repricing often follows swiftly. #RBNZ #CurrencyMarkets #MonetaryPolicy
January 25, 2026 at 8:10 PM
📢 Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ should have foreseen "a much stronger economy and high inflation". He is also watching the 'Sell America' trade, chances of yen intervention, and the pressure piling up on the RBA
Higher NZ Dollar and interest rates signal a monetary policy error
www.interest.co.nz
January 25, 2026 at 7:33 PM