Using analytical and numerical general equilibrium models to investigate the channels through which microeconomic shocks affect the macroeconomy, from Marc A. C. Hafstead and @roberton.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w34661
January 13, 2026 at 8:01 PM
Using analytical and numerical general equilibrium models to investigate the channels through which microeconomic shocks affect the macroeconomy, from Marc A. C. Hafstead and @roberton.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w34661
One of the biggest myths in the United States which I think genuinely causes so many of our problems is the belief that executives of large companies/financial institutions need a good or accurate understanding of the macroeconomy to consistently make money. Its just not true.
December 24, 2025 at 7:04 PM
One of the biggest myths in the United States which I think genuinely causes so many of our problems is the belief that executives of large companies/financial institutions need a good or accurate understanding of the macroeconomy to consistently make money. Its just not true.
Verdict #econsky, @justinwolfers.bsky.social?
This isn't what I learned in macroeconomy class. Is this a straight up lie, or is it just misleading deflection, or something else altogether? Thanks.
This isn't what I learned in macroeconomy class. Is this a straight up lie, or is it just misleading deflection, or something else altogether? Thanks.
December 24, 2025 at 1:43 PM
Verdict #econsky, @justinwolfers.bsky.social?
This isn't what I learned in macroeconomy class. Is this a straight up lie, or is it just misleading deflection, or something else altogether? Thanks.
This isn't what I learned in macroeconomy class. Is this a straight up lie, or is it just misleading deflection, or something else altogether? Thanks.
I cant find it, but @pkrugman.bsky.social had a good piece (I think about the original Samuelson textbook?) about how you need a stable macroeconomy for microeconomics to be true (the inverse of the Lucas critique).
December 23, 2025 at 3:21 PM
I cant find it, but @pkrugman.bsky.social had a good piece (I think about the original Samuelson textbook?) about how you need a stable macroeconomy for microeconomics to be true (the inverse of the Lucas critique).
Matt's counter to this is that the recent increase - that is to say the spike the person is causally attributing to a generally poor macroeconomy - is caused by an influx in immigrants without stable shelter causing counts to go up.
December 22, 2025 at 2:09 PM
Matt's counter to this is that the recent increase - that is to say the spike the person is causally attributing to a generally poor macroeconomy - is caused by an influx in immigrants without stable shelter causing counts to go up.
2022 and 2025 are not the worst economic years in modern US history. Yet consumers think they are.
2008-09 had crashing markets and much higher unemployment.
Early 1980s had much higher inflation and higher unemployment.
Whatever consumer sentiment measures now, it's not really the macroeconomy.
2008-09 had crashing markets and much higher unemployment.
Early 1980s had much higher inflation and higher unemployment.
Whatever consumer sentiment measures now, it's not really the macroeconomy.
I’m sorry but you just cannot explain this. You can’t. It can’t be done. It defies comprehension.
December 19, 2025 at 3:42 PM
2022 and 2025 are not the worst economic years in modern US history. Yet consumers think they are.
2008-09 had crashing markets and much higher unemployment.
Early 1980s had much higher inflation and higher unemployment.
Whatever consumer sentiment measures now, it's not really the macroeconomy.
2008-09 had crashing markets and much higher unemployment.
Early 1980s had much higher inflation and higher unemployment.
Whatever consumer sentiment measures now, it's not really the macroeconomy.
If you want people to stop being so mean about tech, have you tried not crying like a baby about it and taking it on the chin given that most people actually do have a good reason to hate what is happening even when their model of its machinations and integration into the macroeconomy is inaccurate
December 10, 2025 at 8:19 PM
If you want people to stop being so mean about tech, have you tried not crying like a baby about it and taking it on the chin given that most people actually do have a good reason to hate what is happening even when their model of its machinations and integration into the macroeconomy is inaccurate
(and the gas price situation is about structural demand and a variety of supply factors, not cyclical demand reflecting the broader macroeconomy)
December 10, 2025 at 12:43 PM
(and the gas price situation is about structural demand and a variety of supply factors, not cyclical demand reflecting the broader macroeconomy)
✳️ Vladimir Asriyan, professor d'investigació ICREA del CREI i professor associat del Departament d’Economia i Empresa de la UPF, al capdavant de “Firms, Frictions and de Macroeconomy, MACFRIC”.
December 10, 2025 at 8:38 AM
✳️ Vladimir Asriyan, professor d'investigació ICREA del CREI i professor associat del Departament d’Economia i Empresa de la UPF, al capdavant de “Firms, Frictions and de Macroeconomy, MACFRIC”.
The financial shock extends beyond the pump. Ukraine’s strategic strikes on the shadow fleet have caused maritime insurance premiums to triple which obliterates the net profit margins of oil exports. Indicators expose a macroeconomy facing imminent liquidity failure🇺🇦✊
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBar...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBar...
Russia’s Banks Are In Full Meltdown
YouTube video by Jason Jay Smart
www.youtube.com
December 10, 2025 at 6:24 AM
The financial shock extends beyond the pump. Ukraine’s strategic strikes on the shadow fleet have caused maritime insurance premiums to triple which obliterates the net profit margins of oil exports. Indicators expose a macroeconomy facing imminent liquidity failure🇺🇦✊
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBar...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBar...
🎁 ECONM Advent Calendar – Day 10! 🎁
The countdown continues! 🎄✨ Today, we’re highlighting research article “Narratives about the Macroeconomy” by @peterandre.bsky.social, @ihaal.bsky.social , 𝗖𝗵𝗿𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗽𝗵𝗲𝗿 𝗥𝗼𝘁𝗵, 𝗠𝗶𝗿𝗸𝗼 𝗪𝗶𝗲𝗱𝗲𝗿𝗵𝗼𝗹𝘁 & @johanneswohlfart.bsky.social .
The countdown continues! 🎄✨ Today, we’re highlighting research article “Narratives about the Macroeconomy” by @peterandre.bsky.social, @ihaal.bsky.social , 𝗖𝗵𝗿𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗽𝗵𝗲𝗿 𝗥𝗼𝘁𝗵, 𝗠𝗶𝗿𝗸𝗼 𝗪𝗶𝗲𝗱𝗲𝗿𝗵𝗼𝗹𝘁 & @johanneswohlfart.bsky.social .
December 10, 2025 at 7:56 AM
🎁 ECONM Advent Calendar – Day 10! 🎁
The countdown continues! 🎄✨ Today, we’re highlighting research article “Narratives about the Macroeconomy” by @peterandre.bsky.social, @ihaal.bsky.social , 𝗖𝗵𝗿𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗽𝗵𝗲𝗿 𝗥𝗼𝘁𝗵, 𝗠𝗶𝗿𝗸𝗼 𝗪𝗶𝗲𝗱𝗲𝗿𝗵𝗼𝗹𝘁 & @johanneswohlfart.bsky.social .
The countdown continues! 🎄✨ Today, we’re highlighting research article “Narratives about the Macroeconomy” by @peterandre.bsky.social, @ihaal.bsky.social , 𝗖𝗵𝗿𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗽𝗵𝗲𝗿 𝗥𝗼𝘁𝗵, 𝗠𝗶𝗿𝗸𝗼 𝗪𝗶𝗲𝗱𝗲𝗿𝗵𝗼𝗹𝘁 & @johanneswohlfart.bsky.social .
For our year-end issue cover, FQ has No Other Choice! Inside - Film of the Year: Sinners; Series of the Year: Andor; Interview: Janus Metz on Andor; The Big Lift at 75; Dossier: Franchise Everything!; Reports: Cannes, Bologna; Editor's Notebook: Horror and Humor. Unlocked articles coming soon!!
December 7, 2025 at 5:14 PM
For our year-end issue cover, FQ has No Other Choice! Inside - Film of the Year: Sinners; Series of the Year: Andor; Interview: Janus Metz on Andor; The Big Lift at 75; Dossier: Franchise Everything!; Reports: Cannes, Bologna; Editor's Notebook: Horror and Humor. Unlocked articles coming soon!!
Blaming migration completely mistakes why low productivity work continues to exist, primarily because it's a function of a macroeconomy that isn't running hot enough to drive productivity growth and both publica and private under-investment; migration can't explain the post-08 divergence in US/UK.
December 4, 2025 at 6:40 PM
Blaming migration completely mistakes why low productivity work continues to exist, primarily because it's a function of a macroeconomy that isn't running hot enough to drive productivity growth and both publica and private under-investment; migration can't explain the post-08 divergence in US/UK.
Like the argument you make in the MANAGED ILLUSION article is no different then the ones I hear from right-wing Anglofuturists, in that "mass migration" has served as "human quantitative easing" instead of looking at the macroeconomy itself for understanding the pathology of the UK economy.
December 4, 2025 at 6:32 PM
Like the argument you make in the MANAGED ILLUSION article is no different then the ones I hear from right-wing Anglofuturists, in that "mass migration" has served as "human quantitative easing" instead of looking at the macroeconomy itself for understanding the pathology of the UK economy.
It makes perfect sense - why would your idea of the macroeconomy, now a deeply politicized topic, not be created the same way as your views about virtually everything else? But people just rebel at the idea because it breaks down left-of-center assumptions about how politics is supposed to work.
December 4, 2025 at 3:18 PM
It makes perfect sense - why would your idea of the macroeconomy, now a deeply politicized topic, not be created the same way as your views about virtually everything else? But people just rebel at the idea because it breaks down left-of-center assumptions about how politics is supposed to work.
The problem with that idea, though, is any one person's experience with the economy is like the proverbial blind men describing an elephant. It's not reasonable to infer much about the macroeconomy from this experience and, thankfully, people don't appear to. They rely on outside sources of info.
December 4, 2025 at 3:26 PM
The problem with that idea, though, is any one person's experience with the economy is like the proverbial blind men describing an elephant. It's not reasonable to infer much about the macroeconomy from this experience and, thankfully, people don't appear to. They rely on outside sources of info.
A better explanation is that whatever mysterious force is causing people to adopt deranged political views, and embrace proven falsehoods about things like immigration, and live in a state of constant simmering discontent, is also affecting, impossible as it may seem, their view of the macroeconomy.
November 26, 2025 at 11:32 PM
A better explanation is that whatever mysterious force is causing people to adopt deranged political views, and embrace proven falsehoods about things like immigration, and live in a state of constant simmering discontent, is also affecting, impossible as it may seem, their view of the macroeconomy.
it is hard to avoid the conclusion that Labour is managing the macroeconomy via individual policy polling
With Rachel Reeves reportedly set to apply a new tax on tuition fees paid by overseas students, most Britons support such a move at the previously mooted level of 6%
Support: 57%
Oppose: 18%
yougov.co.uk/topics/socie...
Support: 57%
Oppose: 18%
yougov.co.uk/topics/socie...
November 24, 2025 at 7:19 PM
it is hard to avoid the conclusion that Labour is managing the macroeconomy via individual policy polling
ChatGPT and Deepseek: Can They Predict the Stock Market and Macroeconomy?: Jian Chen; Guohao Tang; Guofu Zhou; Wu Zhu
NEP/RePEc link
to paper
d.repec.org
March 25, 2025 at 2:45 AM
ChatGPT and Deepseek: Can They Predict the Stock Market and Macroeconomy?: Jian Chen; Guohao Tang; Guofu Zhou; Wu Zhu
"Food should be an expression of joy, even in dark times, and while we can't control the global macroeconomy, you can still control how tasty your dinner is."
In April's "Small Bites," @jesseraub.bsky.social ponders high-value foods, even in the wake of erratic tariff policies.
In April's "Small Bites," @jesseraub.bsky.social ponders high-value foods, even in the wake of erratic tariff policies.
Small Bites: The high-value food theory of cooking
Consider the value of a little food hack, even in the wake of erratic tariff policies.
tonemadison.com
April 18, 2025 at 3:21 PM
"Food should be an expression of joy, even in dark times, and while we can't control the global macroeconomy, you can still control how tasty your dinner is."
In April's "Small Bites," @jesseraub.bsky.social ponders high-value foods, even in the wake of erratic tariff policies.
In April's "Small Bites," @jesseraub.bsky.social ponders high-value foods, even in the wake of erratic tariff policies.
NONE of this mishegoss would be occurring. The U.S. wouldn't be a pariah state. And the macroeconomy would be sailing.
May 13, 2025 at 8:00 PM
NONE of this mishegoss would be occurring. The U.S. wouldn't be a pariah state. And the macroeconomy would be sailing.
Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic delivered a speech and participated in a live Q&A at the Atlanta Economics Club, where he discussed his outlook on the macroeconomy, price stability, and sustained maximum employment. Watch: atlfed.org/4oC9NLX.
Read the speech here: atlfed.org/49PJH3j.
Read the speech here: atlfed.org/49PJH3j.
November 13, 2025 at 7:22 PM
Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic delivered a speech and participated in a live Q&A at the Atlanta Economics Club, where he discussed his outlook on the macroeconomy, price stability, and sustained maximum employment. Watch: atlfed.org/4oC9NLX.
Read the speech here: atlfed.org/49PJH3j.
Read the speech here: atlfed.org/49PJH3j.
Almost nobody is looking at the macroeconomy as a whole when answering this question. They're talking about their own experience.
It's perfectly plausible that the economy on the whole is middling, while the bottom 39% say its bad for them.
That's not contradictory.
It's perfectly plausible that the economy on the whole is middling, while the bottom 39% say its bad for them.
That's not contradictory.
December 11, 2025 at 3:10 PM
Almost nobody is looking at the macroeconomy as a whole when answering this question. They're talking about their own experience.
It's perfectly plausible that the economy on the whole is middling, while the bottom 39% say its bad for them.
That's not contradictory.
It's perfectly plausible that the economy on the whole is middling, while the bottom 39% say its bad for them.
That's not contradictory.
The single best indicator of the direction of the macroeconomy — and, by extension, financial markets — is the bond market's term premium.
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Where Are Stocks and the Economy Going? Ask Bonds
The single best indicator of the direction of the macroeconomy — and, by extension, financial markets — is the term premium.
www.bloomberg.com
December 30, 2024 at 3:42 PM
The single best indicator of the direction of the macroeconomy — and, by extension, financial markets — is the bond market's term premium.
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
The Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Firms and the Macroeconomy https://buff.ly/3NV7W3T #QuantLinkADay
November 7, 2024 at 1:00 PM
The Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Firms and the Macroeconomy https://buff.ly/3NV7W3T #QuantLinkADay