Josh Putnam
@www.fhqplus.com
Political scientist specializing in delegate selection rules, presidential campaigns and elections. Founder of FHQ Strategies, LLC.
blog: https://www.frontloadinghq.com
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blog: https://www.frontloadinghq.com
newsletter: https://www.fhqplus.com/
business: https://www.fhqstrategies.com/
Reposted by Josh Putnam
For paid subscribers: A look at how the incentives for Democratic candidate visits to Iowa are likely to change. That has not been fully explored yet. I don't know that I "fully explored" them, but I did take a typically nerdy turn into the 2028 rules as a guide. 2/2
www.fhqplus.com/p/how-long-w...
www.fhqplus.com/p/how-long-w...
How long will Democratic presidential contenders keep going to Iowa?
Possible 2028 Democrats keep trekking to the Hawkeye state but those visits aren't guaranteed to last. Here's why.
www.fhqplus.com
November 10, 2025 at 2:02 PM
For paid subscribers: A look at how the incentives for Democratic candidate visits to Iowa are likely to change. That has not been fully explored yet. I don't know that I "fully explored" them, but I did take a typically nerdy turn into the 2028 rules as a guide. 2/2
www.fhqplus.com/p/how-long-w...
www.fhqplus.com/p/how-long-w...
For paid subscribers: A look at how the incentives for Democratic candidate visits to Iowa are likely to change. That has not been fully explored yet. I don't know that I "fully explored" them, but I did take a typically nerdy turn into the 2028 rules as a guide. 2/2
www.fhqplus.com/p/how-long-w...
www.fhqplus.com/p/how-long-w...
How long will Democratic presidential contenders keep going to Iowa?
Possible 2028 Democrats keep trekking to the Hawkeye state but those visits aren't guaranteed to last. Here's why.
www.fhqplus.com
November 10, 2025 at 2:02 PM
For paid subscribers: A look at how the incentives for Democratic candidate visits to Iowa are likely to change. That has not been fully explored yet. I don't know that I "fully explored" them, but I did take a typically nerdy turn into the 2028 rules as a guide. 2/2
www.fhqplus.com/p/how-long-w...
www.fhqplus.com/p/how-long-w...
trump heading lower than his approval rating at this point in 2017 — at that time, a historic low for a president at this point in their term. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/data
November 7, 2025 at 4:07 PM
Reposted by Josh Putnam
But RBC-adopted resolution did a whole lot more. I tackle all of it here (including the language of both that resolution and the official Request for Proposals).
And for paid subscribers, I dug deeper into some of the subtext of the RBC meeting and what it portends.
www.fhqplus.com/p/now-we-kno...
And for paid subscribers, I dug deeper into some of the subtext of the RBC meeting and what it portends.
www.fhqplus.com/p/now-we-kno...
Now we know what they're looking for.
The DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee met earlier this week and passed a resolution laying out what the party wants in the 4 or 5 early states for 2028.
www.fhqplus.com
November 3, 2025 at 2:00 PM
But RBC-adopted resolution did a whole lot more. I tackle all of it here (including the language of both that resolution and the official Request for Proposals).
And for paid subscribers, I dug deeper into some of the subtext of the RBC meeting and what it portends.
www.fhqplus.com/p/now-we-kno...
And for paid subscribers, I dug deeper into some of the subtext of the RBC meeting and what it portends.
www.fhqplus.com/p/now-we-kno...
Of course, Frank!
And thanks once again to the party for allowing these things to be so easily followed (and commented upon!) from afar.
And thanks once again to the party for allowing these things to be so easily followed (and commented upon!) from afar.
November 3, 2025 at 4:40 PM
Of course, Frank!
And thanks once again to the party for allowing these things to be so easily followed (and commented upon!) from afar.
And thanks once again to the party for allowing these things to be so easily followed (and commented upon!) from afar.
But RBC-adopted resolution did a whole lot more. I tackle all of it here (including the language of both that resolution and the official Request for Proposals).
And for paid subscribers, I dug deeper into some of the subtext of the RBC meeting and what it portends.
www.fhqplus.com/p/now-we-kno...
And for paid subscribers, I dug deeper into some of the subtext of the RBC meeting and what it portends.
www.fhqplus.com/p/now-we-kno...
Now we know what they're looking for.
The DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee met earlier this week and passed a resolution laying out what the party wants in the 4 or 5 early states for 2028.
www.fhqplus.com
November 3, 2025 at 2:00 PM
But RBC-adopted resolution did a whole lot more. I tackle all of it here (including the language of both that resolution and the official Request for Proposals).
And for paid subscribers, I dug deeper into some of the subtext of the RBC meeting and what it portends.
www.fhqplus.com/p/now-we-kno...
And for paid subscribers, I dug deeper into some of the subtext of the RBC meeting and what it portends.
www.fhqplus.com/p/now-we-kno...
But I can foresee a shake up to the others with Michigan bringing up the rear before Super Tuesday. [Michigan's already there under current state law.] Path of least resistance for the RBC.
October 17, 2025 at 8:32 PM
But I can foresee a shake up to the others with Michigan bringing up the rear before Super Tuesday. [Michigan's already there under current state law.] Path of least resistance for the RBC.
But I agree that the odds favor less change to *which* states are in the early window and more of a shift in terms of the *order* of those states.
At this time I'm bearish on the notion of Michigan going first (it's been floated). Conflicts with the party's proposed efficiency criterion.
At this time I'm bearish on the notion of Michigan going first (it's been floated). Conflicts with the party's proposed efficiency criterion.
October 17, 2025 at 8:32 PM
But I agree that the odds favor less change to *which* states are in the early window and more of a shift in terms of the *order* of those states.
At this time I'm bearish on the notion of Michigan going first (it's been floated). Conflicts with the party's proposed efficiency criterion.
At this time I'm bearish on the notion of Michigan going first (it's been floated). Conflicts with the party's proposed efficiency criterion.
Still, one thing that was a part of the 2024 process not listed among the 2028 criteria is something that will be as inescapable now as it was for 2024: feasibility.
www.fhqplus.com/p/dnc-chair-...
www.fhqplus.com/p/dnc-chair-...
DNC Chair Martin lays out early state checklist for 2028
The boxes prospective early calendar states will have to check are potentially a little different than they were for 2024
www.fhqplus.com
October 17, 2025 at 7:55 PM
Still, one thing that was a part of the 2024 process not listed among the 2028 criteria is something that will be as inescapable now as it was for 2024: feasibility.
www.fhqplus.com/p/dnc-chair-...
www.fhqplus.com/p/dnc-chair-...
But the draft resolution that will be considered later this month is a bit more robust than those August comments.
www.frontloadinghq.com/2025/10/dnc-...
www.frontloadinghq.com/2025/10/dnc-...
"DNC set to start process for deciding which states will vote earliest in 2028 presidential primaries"
Hunter Woodall at CBS News provides an update what the Democratic National Committee is likely to look for in states that will make up the e...
www.frontloadinghq.com
October 17, 2025 at 7:55 PM
But the draft resolution that will be considered later this month is a bit more robust than those August comments.
www.frontloadinghq.com/2025/10/dnc-...
www.frontloadinghq.com/2025/10/dnc-...
IF the conversation in question was the same episode of The Daily, then there was an oblique reference to the cowbell sketch.
...or at least I read their pointing out that Trump was playing the cowbell in the video that way. But maybe that was just me being too generous!
...or at least I read their pointing out that Trump was playing the cowbell in the video that way. But maybe that was just me being too generous!
October 6, 2025 at 7:53 PM
IF the conversation in question was the same episode of The Daily, then there was an oblique reference to the cowbell sketch.
...or at least I read their pointing out that Trump was playing the cowbell in the video that way. But maybe that was just me being too generous!
...or at least I read their pointing out that Trump was playing the cowbell in the video that way. But maybe that was just me being too generous!