So glad it was cool here! Most of the time it is not.

I ❤️ mountains

I am more inclined to believe the NBM and GEFS over any deterministic model at this time, but confidence remains low and more details will be ironed out as we get closer.

#orwx

Ensembles (namely the GEFS/EPS) still have a solid snowfall signal for the lower elevations, but both have low confidence and a wide margin of error.

00z GFS has uptrended massively for the latter part of the week but has nearly no snowfall for the lower elevations over the weekend. 00z Euro has a very similar story with little to no snowfall over the weekend-early week but with notable totals after Wednesday; albeit meager compared to the GFS.

Firstly, NBM has trended further down to almost nothing in the low elevations for the initial storm system (Sat-Tues) but still has solid snowfall toward the end of the week (Wed-Fri).
#orwx

These statistics highlight the importance of climate research and protective climate change policy; especially since the global temperature has increased above the 1.5*C (and 2*C) thresholds.

Conversely, the occurrence of cold days (high temp < 32*F) in traditionally cold cities such as NYC and Boston will be on the decline, as well. Even lower emission scenarios show a significant decrease in cold days in both cities by 2080. (3/)

Modeled here are projections for Phoenix, AZ (left) and Las Vegas, NV (right) depicting days above 105*F. Historical data is monochrome, while low emission and high emission projections are red and blue, respectively. Even lower emission scenarios show a notable increase in 105F+ days per year. (2/)

I feel you. I am scared and tired.