Spoiler alert, but the answer is basically: (1) no one knows for sure, need more data; (2) definitely not the labor market; (3) probably DOGE

Does anyone know how someone could go from being on Medicare to being uninsured? (Besides being a data error)

Here's a cool chart that I didn't include in the post

Also some larger issues: Among ABAWDs who were on Medicaid for all of 2023 and had *average* monthly earnings that satisfied OBBBA work requirements, 25% failed to satisfy work requirements in at least one month of the year.

Thankfully we have 37 years to address this, assuming 2% inflation