Vihar Georgiev
vihargg.bsky.social
Vihar Georgiev
@vihargg.bsky.social
Advising governments, IGOs and NGOs. Teaching. Learning every day.
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
I have a new article out in the Journal of Democracy comparing mass protests and government collapse in 2025 Nepal, 2024 Bangladesh, and 2022 Sri Lanka:
www.journalofdemocracy.org/online-exclu...
Why South Asia’s Regimes Keep Falling | Journal of Democracy
The government of Nepal has become the third South Asian government to collapse amid mass protests in three years. It will take more than elections to restore stability. Young protesters want to see…
www.journalofdemocracy.org
September 17, 2025 at 11:34 AM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
🚨 Scoop by me. EU to propose reimposing duties on israeli trade over war in Gaza

www.euronews.com/my-europe/20...
EU Commission to slap duties on Israeli goods, Kallas tells Euronews
The European Commission is proposing to reimpose duties on Israeli goods in response to the war in Gaza and ongoing violations in the West Bank, Euronews can exclusively reveal. #EuropeNews
www.euronews.com
September 16, 2025 at 11:54 AM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
I am extremely proud and pleased to see this major academic work on European autonomy and U.S.-China rivalry published as a special issue by the Journal of European Integration. All articles are open access! More below👇🏻

www.tandfonline.com/toc/geui20/4...
Journal of European Integration
Europe and the United States-China Rivalry. Volume 47, Issue 6 of Journal of European Integration
www.tandfonline.com
September 13, 2025 at 11:33 AM
"Without “cardinal change” Bulgaria’s entire water system will collapse, deepening inequality in the European Union’s poorest member state, with rising water and food prices as well as risks to public health."
Taps running dry and water rationing are part of life in Bulgaria. It's a cautionary tale for the rest of Europe grappling with climate change.
A Water Crisis in Bulgaria Is a Warning for Europe
Taps running dry are part of life in Bulgaria — and a cautionary tale for the rest of Europe grappling with climate change.
bloom.bg
August 21, 2025 at 9:11 AM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
Nice chart.
And a really useful looking ebook.

cepr.org/voxeu/column...
June 30, 2025 at 8:11 AM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
21 May 1927 | Czech Jewish boy, Otto Fink, was born in Vroutek.

He was deported to #Auschwitz from Theresienstadt ghetto on 26 October 1942. He did not survive.
May 21, 2025 at 2:01 PM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
“on Friday morning, the US received alarming intelligence…
While they declined to describe the nature of the info… it was critical in persuading the three officials that the US should escalate its involvement” edition.cnn.com/world/live-n... My guess: Pakistani nuclear signals
Live updates: Pakistan and India agree to ceasefire after weeks of tensions | CNN
India and Pakistan have agreed to a ceasefire after back-and-forth strikes heightened fears of a wider conflict. US President Donald Trump made the surprise announcement on social media, though an Ind...
edition.cnn.com
May 10, 2025 at 5:41 PM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
A few quick thoughts on how China is likely to deal with the current situation with India-Pakistan (since I am getting some questions...)
Thanks for the nice mention, Patrick. Here’s a quick rundown of how things have evolved since the book was published. Basic equation is the same: China supports Pakistan with military kit, diplomatic shielding, does not provide significant assistance to Pakistan in conflict scenarios beyond that 1/9
May 7, 2025 at 8:44 AM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
Big expectations in Brussels as the European Commission prepares to (finally) unveil the results of the first investigations under the Digital Markets Act (DMA).

Apple and Meta will reportedly be fined for non compliance. The announcement comes in the middle of the EU-US trade talks.
April 23, 2025 at 7:20 AM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
21 April 1923 | A Czech Jewish woman, Milada Fischlová, was born in Prague.

She was deported to #Auschwitz from the ghetto in Theresienstadt on 26 January 1943. She did not survive.
April 21, 2025 at 2:03 PM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
1 April 1911 | Czech Jewish woman, Edita Lagusová, was born in Prague.

She was deported to #Auschwitz from Theresienstadt ghetto on 6 October 1944. She did not survive.
April 1, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
21 March 1925 | An Italian Jew, Sergio Mieli, was born in Rome.

He arrived at #Auschwitz on 23 October 1943 in a transport of 1,035 Jews deported from Rome. He did not survive.
March 21, 2025 at 9:00 PM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
The Bundestag’s top intelligence experts are calling for a European spy network, warning that Europe can’t rely on intelligence from the United States amid growing uncertainty.
German lawmakers float ‘Euro Eyes’ spy network amid uncertainty on US intel
Senior German lawmakers sound alarm bells that a sudden cutoff could leave Europe dangerously exposed.
www.politico.eu
March 9, 2025 at 11:14 AM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
Tusk is preparing to take Poland nuclear:

“Poland must pursue the most advanced capabilities, including nuclear and modern unconventional weapons.

“This is a serious race - a race for security, not for war.”
March 7, 2025 at 2:17 PM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
(WSJ) - The world economy could face a crash similar to the Great Depression of the 1930s unless the U.S. rows back on its plans to impose steep tariffs on imports, a senior official at the International Chamber of Commerce warned.

@wsj.com
www.wsj.com/economy/trad...
March 4, 2025 at 6:19 PM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
words I never imagined writing in my lifetime.....

General Sir Richard Shirreff, the former Nato deputy supreme allied commander in Europe, has told Times Radio:

"I think we have to assume, after the events of the last 10 days, that we cannot in any way count on America as an ally"
March 3, 2025 at 5:55 PM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
‘Trump is abandoning Ukraine and wants a weaker EU’: Dominique de Villepin on Europe’s moment of truth
‘Trump is abandoning Ukraine and wants a weaker EU’: Dominique de Villepin on Europe’s moment of truth
The former French PM says the US is no longer an ally of Europe – but has joined Russia and China as an ‘illiberal superpower’
www.theguardian.com
March 1, 2025 at 6:53 AM
In these turbulent times, staying informed about global affairs is more essential than ever. Discover the curated Geopolitics Starter Pack, designed to provide you with expert insights and comprehensive analysis. Check it out here: go.bsky.app/5MTyEWK #geopolitics #foreignaffairs #polisky
February 28, 2025 at 10:18 AM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
Blimey. Asked about Trump, Merz says he’s in close contact with European leaders about becoming “independent” from US (and confesses “I never thought I’d say that on TV show”). Casts doubt on value of NATO summit in June.

This from a die-hard Atlanticist. Things are moving fast.
February 23, 2025 at 7:59 PM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
UK marketplace sellers face ‘second Brexit’ hit from Trump’s US import rules
UK marketplace sellers face ‘second Brexit’ hit from Trump’s US import rules
End of ‘de minimis’ policy for Chinese goods also expected to hit bigger fashion retailers such as Asos and Boohoo Many UK-based independent sellers on marketplaces such as eBay and Amazon could suffer a significant hit to US sales from planned changes…
www.theguardian.com
February 17, 2025 at 8:08 AM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
Quite telling that before #MSC2025 has even officially started, there are already two competing breakfast events on nuclear deterrence in /for Europe.
#Zeitenwende
February 14, 2025 at 7:09 AM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
🧪⚒️

A swarm of earthquakes has been rattling the Greek islands. Today marked the largest event in the swarm so far (M5.1). Schools are closed and emergency crews have deployed.

Could the swarm trigger a really big earthquake, like the M7.8 in 1956?

Read more on Earthquake Insights:
Earthquake swarm beneath the Aegean Sea
Greek government is responding to elevated risk of large earthquake
earthquakeinsights.substack.com
February 3, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
As someone who has reported on AI for 7 years and covered China tech as well, I think the biggest lesson to be drawn from DeepSeek is the huge cracks it illustrates with the current dominant paradigm of AI development. A long thread. 1/
January 27, 2025 at 2:12 PM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
Sudan’s military has recently used chemical weapons on at least two occasions against the RSF in remote areas of Sudan. According to US officials, it was clear that General Burhan had authorized their use, @declanwalsh.bsky.social & @julianbarnes.bsky.social report

www.nytimes.com/2025/01/16/w...
Sudan’s Military Has Used Chemical Weapons Twice, U.S. Officials Say (Gift Article)
The determination comes as the United States prepares to announce sanctions against the Sudanese military chief, saying there is strong evidence of atrocities in the country.
www.nytimes.com
January 16, 2025 at 5:04 PM
Reposted by Vihar Georgiev
There wasn’t room to fit it in the post but you’re right - the research shows this impacts rates of parenthood.

We’re starting to see some specific research on that now. For 20-25 year olds, having a home increases the chance of having a child by 32%.
January 11, 2025 at 8:12 AM