UV Data Ops
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uvdataops.bsky.social
UV Data Ops
@uvdataops.bsky.social
Dedicated to analysis of data to help forecast outcomes in the Russo-Ukraine war.
Website: https://ukrainevictorydata.org
Substack: https://uvdataops.substack.com

IMAGE: By Naumenkophotographer - https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=40263837
Imagine you are in charge of a project to build an office block and you had increased your personnel estimate by 200% and your equipment estimate by over 50%, how would it look to the people funding the project?
December 31, 2025 at 6:22 AM
From the first graph we can see that progress is very slow, almost flat at times.
Form the other two graphs we can see a trend of increased resources to meet the same objective.
December 31, 2025 at 6:22 AM
For those of you who like the detail, I refer to the three graphs below.
- Area taken since 5th January 2024 (%)
- Forecast Equipment losses to occupy 50% of Ukraine (total, not additional 50%)
- Forecast Personnel losses to occupy 50% of Ukraine (Orange line)
December 31, 2025 at 6:22 AM
December 31, 2025 at 5:38 AM