Patryk Uszyński
uszynski.bsky.social
Patryk Uszyński
@uszynski.bsky.social
A human from Szczecin.
Reposted by Patryk Uszyński
The current media cycle on Ukraine has repeated itself many times.

“Trump wants peace. He says it’s close. Nothing actually happens.”

No surprise.

I said it a year ago - Trump CAN’T end the war, because the U.S. does NOT have any leverage to force Ukraine to do anything. We are quick to forget.
August 16, 2025 at 1:32 PM
Reposted by Patryk Uszyński
Watch until the end.
August 7, 2025 at 7:12 PM
Reposted by Patryk Uszyński
‼️ 🚂 Experts expect Russian Railways loading to decrease 7% in 2025 to 1.1 billion tons. The last time loading was this low was *2002!*

23 years ago!

smart-lab.ru/mobile/topic...
Общий объем ж/д погрузки в России по итогам 2025 года может снизиться на 7% — до 1,1 млрд тонн, что станет самым низким показателем с 2002 года — Ведомости
smart-lab.ru
July 22, 2025 at 5:08 AM
Reposted by Patryk Uszyński
After the collapse of the housing market and the slowdown in construction, scrap metal prices have collapsed as consumption of construction steel has also fallen. The crisis is gathering momentum
Лом в свободном падении
Цены на металлургическое сырье снизились до пятилетних минимумов
www.kommersant.ru
July 22, 2025 at 5:22 AM
Reposted by Patryk Uszyński
1/ A leaked list of casualties from a Russian battalion taking part in an offensive suggests a killed/wounded ratio of 1:36 to 1. According to US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, losses stand at over 100,000 dead this year alone. ⬇️
July 16, 2025 at 10:26 AM
Reposted by Patryk Uszyński
Collapse of the new building market

Assessment of sales of apartments in new buildings in June throughout Russia
Sale of apartments in units: -56% y/y
Sale of square meters: -55% y/y
Developers' revenue: -49% y/y
July 16, 2025 at 10:25 AM
Reposted by Patryk Uszyński
Oil production in Russia fell by 3.5% y/y in January-May.
In 2024, the decline was 2.7%.
I believe that since the start of the war in 2022, Russia has lost 10% and will never restore this production, since the fields are depleted.
July 16, 2025 at 10:22 AM
Reposted by Patryk Uszyński
All roads in Russia on its current trajectory lead to hyperinflation.

Not a collapse, but an explosion.

M2 money supply increased by 80% since 2022. GDP only grew by around 12%, if you trust Rosstat.

There is a tremendous amount of rubles that haven’t been converted into goods or services…
July 6, 2025 at 5:25 AM
Reposted by Patryk Uszyński
This is the end of the competitive advantage of Russian industry.
Electricity tariffs will be additionally indexed by 15% for large consumers.
When the government has no money, tariffs for monopoly services begin to rise. These are hidden taxes for war! This is how the economy falls apart!
www.kommersant.ru
May 26, 2025 at 7:37 PM
Reposted by Patryk Uszyński
Let’s talk about the Russian Economy!

I want to try give you an overview of some to the choices Russia has in some basic terms, and without pulling out too much reference material, so hopefully it will be easier to comprehend.

(So the opposite of usual, but you know how I love a reference)
May 23, 2025 at 11:24 PM
Housing sales in Moscow and the Moscow region fell by 12% y/y in April. In St. Petersburg and the region, sales fell by 34%

But prices continued to grow by 10-15%

There are 3...2...1... left before the collapse of the entire market

www.kommersant.ru/doc/7712465
www.kommersant.ru
May 12, 2025 at 8:33 PM
Reposted by Patryk Uszyński
Please repost this thread.
Unfortunately, Bluesky algorithms are designed in such a way that people who are not subscribed do not see this thread.
The Ru economy has begun to collapse. Thread.
Federal budget revenue growth has been slowing for 5 quarters in a row and in Q1 25 it was only +3.7%. Look at the chart, the last 5 quarters the revenue growth rate was +54%_+25%_+25%_+11%_+4%
1/
April 20, 2025 at 5:46 PM
Reposted by Patryk Uszyński
If we extrapolate the current war against Ukraine to World War II (as we often do), at this point, Hitler has invaded Poland but suffered defeats near Warsaw and Krakow, lost Poznan and has been locked in grueling battles for almost three years over completely devastated border districts.
November 29, 2024 at 11:44 AM