Tuomas Kosonen
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tuomaskosonen.bsky.social
Tuomas Kosonen
@tuomaskosonen.bsky.social
170 followers 88 following 3 posts
Research Professor, economics
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Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
verotutkimus.fi
Keskustelua herättänyt tutkimus lasten kotihoidon tuen vaikutuksista on nyt julkaistu arvostetussa Journal of Public Economics’ssa. Tulosten perusteella tuen uudelleenarviointi olisi ajankohtaista.

@vatt-tutkimus.bsky.social @tuomaskosonen.bsky.social

verotutkimus.fi/lasten-kotih...
» Vertaisarvioitu tutkimus tarkastelee kotihoidon tuen vaikutuksia
<p>Aiemmin keskustelua herättänyt tutkimus lasten kotihoidon tuen vaikutuksista on nyt vertaisarvioitu ja julkaistu arvostetussa Journal of Public Economics’ssa.</p> <p>Tulosten perusteella lasten ko...
verotutkimus.fi
November 17, 2025 at 7:36 AM
tuomaskosonen.bsky.social
A reminder that this is a last day to submit your research to WEI III: verotutkimus.fi/en/wei2025/
Organising with Oskar Skans @oskarnskans.bsky.social
» Call for Papers: Workshop in Labor Economics: Wages, Employment and Inequality (WEI 2025)
<p>The popular WEI workshop will be organised again in Helsinki, Finland on 21 – 22 August 2025 with Magne Mogstad and Stephen Machin as keynote speakers! </p> <p>Submit your paper by 30 March 2025! <...
verotutkimus.fi
March 30, 2025 at 1:58 PM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
oskarnskans.bsky.social
Submit your "core" labor economics papers (wages, employment..) to this great workshop I co-organize for the third time - join with, e.g., Cardoso, Machin, Mogstad and Spitz-Oener for some serious Labor Economics in Helsinki in August!
February 11, 2025 at 8:00 AM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
dacemoglumit.bsky.social
A summary of my thinking on shared prosperity, work and AI in ten bullet points.
January 14, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
ivanwerning.bsky.social
Economics is hard. Even the basics. Exhibit #52783
January 14, 2025 at 11:10 PM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
lugaricano.bsky.social
I don't think the argument for the price system rests on full information. I think it rests on Hayek 1945, hence precisely on dispersed local knowledge --i said that before. But let's leave it here. I think we clarified quite a bit, and I hope some of our readers (if there are any!) learned a bit.
January 14, 2025 at 6:44 PM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
verotutkimus.fi

Call for Papers: Workshop in Labor Economics: Wages, Employment and Inequality

The popular WEI workshop will be organised again in Helsinki, Finland on 21 – 22 August 2025 with Magne Mogstad and Stephen Machin as keynote speakers.

Submit your paper by 30 March!

verotutkimus.fi/en/wei2025/
» Call for Papers: Workshop in Labor Economics: Wages, Employment and Inequality (WEI 2025)
<p>The popular WEI workshop will be organised again in Helsinki, Finland on 21 – 22 August 2025 with Magne Mogstad and Stephen Machin as keynote speakers! </p> <p>Submit your paper by 30 March 2025! <...
verotutkimus.fi
January 8, 2025 at 12:51 PM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
carlbergstrom.com
From a soon-to-be-released project with @jevinwest.bsky.social, here's a way to think about what is happening. (2/2)
So why does this happen? As we discussed in Lesson 5, it's difficult or impossible to reverse engineer LLMs to get precise answers. But we can understand the general problem. For us, the statements "Ed Sheeran has a song called The Crow" and "Ed Sheeran doesn't have a song called The Crow" feel like polar opposites. But recall that LLMs encode strings of words in high-dimensional spaces. For the LLM, these statements are very close to one another in that high dimensional space. Both involve Ed Sheeran. Both involve a song called The Crow. What fraction of English utterances involve either, let alone both? To the LLM, whether you throw in the word "doesn't" almost is trivial. Principle: predictive text machines like LLMs measure the distance between statements very differently from the way people do. Claims that seem diametrically opposed to us may seem almost identical to them. As a result, they can be wildly inconsistent in their responses.
January 4, 2025 at 4:47 AM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
aleximas.bsky.social
Read this last year. Highly recommended. The part on behavioral Econ was particularly interesting as someone in the field.
florianederer.bsky.social Florian Ederer @florianederer.bsky.social · Jan 3
Ran Spiegler has a new book out that I found very entertaining.

It's a collection of essays offering accessible introductions to modern classics of economic theory: global games, Bayesian persuasion, hold-up problem, competitive screening, ...

And it's FREE!
direct.mit.edu/books/oa-mon...
The Curious Culture of Economic Theory
An essay collection that insightfully explores the professional culture of contemporary economic theory, highlighting key features of successful economic t
direct.mit.edu
January 3, 2025 at 2:50 AM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
qjeharvard.bsky.social
The #QJE received 1,972 new submissions during 2023:Q4 – 2024:Q3. 1,340 (68%) submissions were desk rejected and 632 were sent to referees. If sent to referees, median days to first decision = 34, mean days = 38, max days = 92. Thank you for your submissions, and to our referees!
January 2, 2025 at 11:30 AM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
pkrugman.bsky.social
Remember the "twin deficits"? They may be back paulkrugman.substack.com/p/the-dollar...
The Dollar and the Trade Deficit
What will Trump do when his favorite obsession goes the wrong way?
paulkrugman.substack.com
January 2, 2025 at 12:44 PM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
pkrugman.bsky.social
Just say no to the gilding of the Gilded Age, and remember the postwar boom paulkrugman.substack.com/p/americas-f...
America’s Forgotten Generation (of Prosperity)
How and why the postwar boom got memory-holed
paulkrugman.substack.com
January 2, 2025 at 2:03 PM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
jpube.bsky.social
This paper finds that both ice and hot days increase workplace accidents by ~7%.

Results suggest:

1. Little heterogeneity on hot days, on ice days older workers are more affected and accidents are more severe.

2. Main mechanisms are sleep problems on hot days, slipping on ice days.
January 2, 2025 at 2:47 PM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
ivanwerning.bsky.social
January 2, 2025 at 3:06 PM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
ourworldindata.org
Norway gives more foreign aid per capita than any other OECD country
A horizontal bar chart titled "Foreign aid given per capita in 2023" shows net official development assistance (ODA) divided by population for various countries. The chart depicts the following countries and their corresponding aid amounts in U.S. dollars: - Norway: $1,160 (the longest bar, highlighted in green) - Sweden: $515 - Netherlands: $370 - UK: $255 - France: $225 - US: $190 - Japan: $155 - Australia: $122 - Spain: $69 - Israel: $41 A note indicates that Norway is the only country giving over $1,000 per capita in foreign aid. The data source is from the OECD, dated 2024, and the image has a copyright notice stating "CC BY."
January 2, 2025 at 4:28 PM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
wwwojtekk.bsky.social
A rare miss by Jim Hines, nobody can predictably beat the market, even I.

@iipf.bsky.social
December 20, 2024 at 4:31 PM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
juhojunttila.bsky.social
Tuore tutkimuksemme osoittaa, että verovelvollisuuden siirtäminen ostajalle (käännetty alv) hillitsee harmaata taloutta rakennusalalla. Laki astui voimaan 2011, ja sen nettovaikutus verottajalle ilmoitettuun arvonlisään on keskimäärin 5%.

www.doria.fi/handle/10024...

@vatt-tutkimus.bsky.social
Kuvassa on neljä erotukset-eroissa kuvaajaa. Piste-estimaatit ovat lähellä vertailuvuoden erotusta vuosina 2008-2010. Estimaatit pomppaavat epäjatkuvasti ylemmäs vuonna 2011 ja jäävät korkeammalle tasolle.
December 19, 2024 at 6:30 AM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
dacemoglumit.bsky.social
Dear friends and followers, I'm sharing here the Nobel prize acceptance speech I gave on behalf of Simon Johnson, James Robinson and myself. Thank you everybody.
December 17, 2024 at 7:59 PM
tuomaskosonen.bsky.social
yle.fi/a/74-20132166
Perinteikäs brittilehti nostaa Tampereen Sveitsin Alppien ja Japanin rinnalle matkakohteena
Tampere on lehden mukaan yksi maailman parhaista joulun ihmemaista.
yle.fi
December 18, 2024 at 7:26 AM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
heikkibergholm.bsky.social
Kuva Juhan blogista!
November 29, 2024 at 8:51 AM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
pkrugman.bsky.social
Very nice post by Noah Smith about my favorite subject: Me! www.noahpinion.blog/p/how-paul-k...
How Paul Krugman changed the public face of economics
He's a great economist, but he also changed how we talk about the subject.
www.noahpinion.blog
December 11, 2024 at 11:24 AM
tuomaskosonen.bsky.social
Tutkimuksemme 2018 alkoholilain uudistuksesta: aiempaa vahvempien alkoholituotteiden myynti PT-kaupassa jopa viisinkertaistui suhteessa myynteihin Alkossa aiemmin. Silti alkoholin kokonaiskulutus ei noussut.
@verotutkimusfit.bsky.social
www.doria.fi/handle/10024/190563
Vuoden 2018 alkoholilain uudistuksen vaikutuksista
www.doria.fi
December 11, 2024 at 7:46 AM
Reposted by Tuomas Kosonen
labore.fi
Tutkimus: Vuoden 2018 alkoholilaki siirsi myyntiä Alkosta kauppoihin – kulutus ei lisääntynyt

@samijysma.bsky.social, @tuomaskosonen.bsky.social, Arnaldur Stefánsson, Lukas Worku

@labore.fi, VATT, FIT Tampereen yliopisto, Islannin yliopisto

Lue lisää 👉 labore.fi/julkaisu/tut...
December 11, 2024 at 6:27 AM