Thomas
@tsareilly.bsky.social
Irish citizen. Living in France. Believe in the EU. Vehemently oppose populism and nationalism. Stand for internationalism. Expert in geopolitical relations. Www.treillygeopolitical.fr
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...
Trump says US needs Greenland to avoid Russian or Chinese presence. My blog explains why this posture aligns with the US National security strategy. And why that strategy will ultimately be self-defeating: open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
Trump says US needs Greenland to avoid Russian or Chinese presence. My blog explains why this posture aligns with the US National security strategy. And why that strategy will ultimately be self-defeating: open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
Trump ramps up Greenland threats and says US will intervene ‘whether they like it or not’
US president doubles down on threats to acquire territory at White House meeting with oil and gas executives
www.theguardian.com
January 10, 2026 at 7:11 AM
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...
Trump says US needs Greenland to avoid Russian or Chinese presence. My blog explains why this posture aligns with the US National security strategy. And why that strategy will ultimately be self-defeating: open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
Trump says US needs Greenland to avoid Russian or Chinese presence. My blog explains why this posture aligns with the US National security strategy. And why that strategy will ultimately be self-defeating: open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
The US NSS is actually all about China. Latest blog here open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
The US National Security Strategy: It Is Really All About China
The US NSS re-writes of US international priorities. Ostensibly about America-First . But, in reality, its object is China. All else is sacrificed in a fight to the death for global primacy.
open.substack.com
January 9, 2026 at 5:50 PM
The US NSS is actually all about China. Latest blog here open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre.... Nice article by @gabyhinsliff.bsky.social. I wrote a blog on this yesterday : open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
Why is Trump interested in Greenland? Look to the thawing Arctic ice | Gaby Hinsliff
Forecasts suggest that global heating could create a shortcut from Asia to North America, and new routes for trading, shipping – and attack, says Guardian columnist Gaby Hinsliff
www.theguardian.com
January 9, 2026 at 5:45 PM
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre.... Nice article by @gabyhinsliff.bsky.social. I wrote a blog on this yesterday : open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
#France is in a mess. The country has burnt through more PMs than the #UK - not an enviable record. #Macron is a total lame-duck and calls for his resignation have grown louder. But perhaps, there is a way out. This blog looks at how we got here & where we go next: open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
France's Endless Political Crisis
With seven PMs in 8 years, Macron's Presidency risks ending in ignominy. The options open to him seem limited. But just perhaps a compromise has magicked way out of the Rabbit Hole.
open.substack.com
October 8, 2025 at 5:45 PM
#France is in a mess. The country has burnt through more PMs than the #UK - not an enviable record. #Macron is a total lame-duck and calls for his resignation have grown louder. But perhaps, there is a way out. This blog looks at how we got here & where we go next: open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
#Trump’s nationalist populist assault on civil liberties, press freedoms & the separation of powers reveals a nightmarish world vision where might is right & being in power justifies its abuse. It is a virus which is spreading round the world. A blog: open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
Trump’s World Vision: The Stuff of Nightmares
If Trump has a coherent world vision, it is one wrapped in the myopia of nativist, populist nationalism, built on the nihilistic destruction of globalisation. And it is spreading like a virus.
open.substack.com
September 27, 2025 at 5:22 AM
#Trump’s nationalist populist assault on civil liberties, press freedoms & the separation of powers reveals a nightmarish world vision where might is right & being in power justifies its abuse. It is a virus which is spreading round the world. A blog: open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
@theguardian.com www.theguardian.com/environment/...
I had the same thought earlier this week:
open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
I had the same thought earlier this week:
open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
‘A war of the truth’: Europe’s heatwaves are failing to spur support for climate action
Voters may feel hotter summers are ‘too much’ but they appear to tolerate roll-back of policies to stop global heating
www.theguardian.com
July 4, 2025 at 10:12 PM
@theguardian.com www.theguardian.com/environment/...
I had the same thought earlier this week:
open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
I had the same thought earlier this week:
open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
#Europe’s heatwave is an opportunity to seize back the narrative from the lies of the hard-right, re-state the reality of #climate change & explain that the costs of tackling climate change are far lower than the long-term costs of inaction. A blog:
open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
Europe's Heatwave: A Call for Political Courage
This heatwave offers a glimpse of the summers of the future. But political responses are hampered by the lies of the hard-right and mainstream cowardice. This is the moment to seize the narrative.
open.substack.com
July 3, 2025 at 12:29 PM
#Europe’s heatwave is an opportunity to seize back the narrative from the lies of the hard-right, re-state the reality of #climate change & explain that the costs of tackling climate change are far lower than the long-term costs of inaction. A blog:
open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
The sudden, discomforting uncertainty of global politics& trading relations means companies increasingly have to navigate choppy geopolitical waters. This is new territory. To survive and prosper, they should consider appointing a Chief Geopolitics Officer: a blog. open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
The Rise of the Chief Geopolitics Officer?
The Centrality of Geopolitics to Commercial success
open.substack.com
May 21, 2025 at 8:31 PM
The sudden, discomforting uncertainty of global politics& trading relations means companies increasingly have to navigate choppy geopolitical waters. This is new territory. To survive and prosper, they should consider appointing a Chief Geopolitics Officer: a blog. open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
Thursday’s #UK elections were disastrous for the #Tories. But if I was #Labour, I would be desperately worried. Their #Parliamentary majority does not translate into widespread popular support. They need to find a reason for Government: and fast. A blog: open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
UK Local Elections – Decimation for the Tories; Deep Concern for Labour
The Tories were crushed on Thursday. But the story for Labour is no less dire. The Party needs to find a reason for government. And fast, or the future looks bleak indeed.
open.substack.com
May 3, 2025 at 1:53 PM
Thursday’s #UK elections were disastrous for the #Tories. But if I was #Labour, I would be desperately worried. Their #Parliamentary majority does not translate into widespread popular support. They need to find a reason for Government: and fast. A blog: open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
Reposted by Thomas
An entire article reporting Blair’s views on fossil fuels which neglects to report that one of his main sources of revenue is the government of Saudi Arabia.
www.theguardian.com/politics/liv...
www.theguardian.com/politics/liv...
Phasing out fossil fuels ‘doomed to fail’, says Tony Blair as he calls for rethink of net zero policy – UK politics live
‘Any strategy based on either phasing out fossil fuels in the short term or limiting consumption is a strategy doomed to fail,’ says former PM
www.theguardian.com
April 29, 2025 at 1:05 PM
An entire article reporting Blair’s views on fossil fuels which neglects to report that one of his main sources of revenue is the government of Saudi Arabia.
www.theguardian.com/politics/liv...
www.theguardian.com/politics/liv...
It is the wrong response to say that #Trump has brought #globalisation to an end & condemn it as a failure. It’s not perfect but the post WW2 era has seen unprecedented rises in prosperity. We should defend those gains & seek to improve the system. A blog; www.treillygeopolitical.fr/post/trump-a...
Trump And Globalisation
If it can be argued that WW2, was at least in part, caused by the economic mayhem of the 1930s, when protectionism converted a bad recession into a depression, then it can also be argued that globalis...
www.treillygeopolitical.fr
April 17, 2025 at 11:46 AM
It is the wrong response to say that #Trump has brought #globalisation to an end & condemn it as a failure. It’s not perfect but the post WW2 era has seen unprecedented rises in prosperity. We should defend those gains & seek to improve the system. A blog; www.treillygeopolitical.fr/post/trump-a...
Reposted by Thomas
This is really something. Tariffs, being easy to enforce, probably have a much greater impact than sanctions.
List of countries not subjected to tariffs:
Russia
Belarus
North Korea
Cuba
They apparently took the time to impose tariffs on several uninhabited islands, so the omissions are extra noteworthy. If you spot others please flag!
Russia
Belarus
North Korea
Cuba
They apparently took the time to impose tariffs on several uninhabited islands, so the omissions are extra noteworthy. If you spot others please flag!
April 3, 2025 at 6:55 AM
This is really something. Tariffs, being easy to enforce, probably have a much greater impact than sanctions.
#Trump en suivant le chemin du nationalisme et populisme à fait à ce que les #Etats-Unis auraient abandonné le rôle de leader du monde-libre. l’#UE doit occuper ce gouffre. Fière de ce que nous avons déjà accompli & confiant dans nôtre futur: open.substack.com/pub/tsareilly/…
https://open.substack.com/pub/tsareilly/…
April 3, 2025 at 8:20 AM
#Trump en suivant le chemin du nationalisme et populisme à fait à ce que les #Etats-Unis auraient abandonné le rôle de leader du monde-libre. l’#UE doit occuper ce gouffre. Fière de ce que nous avons déjà accompli & confiant dans nôtre futur: open.substack.com/pub/tsareilly/…
#Trump, in choosing the path of isolation, protectionism and nationalism has surrendered any #US claim to leadership of the free world. The #EU can and must step into that gap. Proud of what we have achieved and confident in our positive vision of the future. tsareilly.substack.com/p/the-eu-in-...
The EU in the Age of Trump: A Call to Global Leadership
A call to Arms: Trump has surrendered any claim to US leadership of the free world. The EU can and must step into that space.
tsareilly.substack.com
April 3, 2025 at 8:19 AM
#Trump, in choosing the path of isolation, protectionism and nationalism has surrendered any #US claim to leadership of the free world. The #EU can and must step into that gap. Proud of what we have achieved and confident in our positive vision of the future. tsareilly.substack.com/p/the-eu-in-...
Education for All is a girls’ #education charity which works in some of the poorest areas of the #Atlas Mountains in #Morocco to ensure girls continue to have access to education up to 18. The Board is looking to recruit new trustees to broaden our range of experience. Please DM me for more info
April 2, 2025 at 1:11 PM
Education for All is a girls’ #education charity which works in some of the poorest areas of the #Atlas Mountains in #Morocco to ensure girls continue to have access to education up to 18. The Board is looking to recruit new trustees to broaden our range of experience. Please DM me for more info
The #Houthi fiasco demonstrates that the #US is rapidly becoming an exceptionally unreliable partner. It also demonstrates the loathing members of #Trump’s regime reserve for the #EU. And the policy implications for the #UK. This blog examines some of those issues. open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
The US, UK and EU – Instability in a Time of Change
“The old world is dying and the new world struggles to be born; now is the time of monsters.”
open.substack.com
March 25, 2025 at 8:18 AM
Reposted by Thomas
Welp, there goes the US defense industry.
March 22, 2025 at 2:15 PM
Welp, there goes the US defense industry.
The energy transition is progressing more slowly than the urgency of addressing climate change demands. But it is a reality & an inevitability. The #US retreat on climate change is a populist bet on fossil fuels - a losing gamble which benefits only #China. A blog: open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
Tackling Climate Change – Where Policy Meets Reality
Public opinion backs tackling climate change. Until the expensive, disruptive reality bites. Trump has sensed that mood. Can he hold back the energy transition?
open.substack.com
March 22, 2025 at 1:19 PM
The energy transition is progressing more slowly than the urgency of addressing climate change demands. But it is a reality & an inevitability. The #US retreat on climate change is a populist bet on fossil fuels - a losing gamble which benefits only #China. A blog: open.substack.com/pub/tsareill...
New blog examines the links between geopolitical instability & the risks for companies (and States) of online disinformation campaigns. There are certain sectors and jurisdictions which are more exposed. I’d be interested in your thoughts. @snellarthur.bsky.social www.linkedin.com/posts/refute...
How geopolitics is shaping the rising disinformation threat | Refute
In our latest thought leadership article, Refute Senior Advisor Thomas Reilly offers a geopolitical perspective on disinformation, highlighting what the…
www.linkedin.com
March 17, 2025 at 6:55 PM
New blog examines the links between geopolitical instability & the risks for companies (and States) of online disinformation campaigns. There are certain sectors and jurisdictions which are more exposed. I’d be interested in your thoughts. @snellarthur.bsky.social www.linkedin.com/posts/refute...
Reposted by Thomas
Latest episode: on the civil war in Myanmar which could bring down the military government.
shows.acast.com/65196b0b1488...
shows.acast.com/65196b0b1488...
Behind The Lines with Arthur Snell
shows.acast.com
March 14, 2025 at 10:07 PM
Latest episode: on the civil war in Myanmar which could bring down the military government.
shows.acast.com/65196b0b1488...
shows.acast.com/65196b0b1488...
Reposted by Thomas
Former 🇺🇸 ambassador to Russia 👇🏽
March 14, 2025 at 5:44 PM
Former 🇺🇸 ambassador to Russia 👇🏽
Excellent breakfast organised by #Refute (refute.com) on Wednesday at which we discussed rising #disinformation challenges & how geopolitical instability can manifest in this type of reputational threat to organisations. Great talks by Hanbury & Schillings.
March 14, 2025 at 8:13 AM
Excellent breakfast organised by #Refute (refute.com) on Wednesday at which we discussed rising #disinformation challenges & how geopolitical instability can manifest in this type of reputational threat to organisations. Great talks by Hanbury & Schillings.
Reposted by Thomas
Tesla’s German sales fell 76% in February to 1,429 cars, a steeper decline than the 60% drop in January.
Tesla sales plunged 76% in February in Germany, Reuters reports
Tesla’s (TSLA) German sales fell 76% in February to 1,429 cars, a steeper decline than the 60% drop in January, Reuters reports. Earlier this week, data showed that Tesla also suffered major sales dec...
finance.yahoo.com
March 9, 2025 at 9:04 AM
Tesla’s German sales fell 76% in February to 1,429 cars, a steeper decline than the 60% drop in January.
Reposted by Thomas
WATCH: “This is a tragedy for the free world. But first and foremost a tragedy for the United States.”
This 8 minute speech by French Senator Claude Malhuret on Trump siding with Putin and what it means for the world is worth your time.
Full: www.instagram.com/reel/DG9Lj0F...
This 8 minute speech by French Senator Claude Malhuret on Trump siding with Putin and what it means for the world is worth your time.
Full: www.instagram.com/reel/DG9Lj0F...
March 8, 2025 at 11:24 PM
WATCH: “This is a tragedy for the free world. But first and foremost a tragedy for the United States.”
This 8 minute speech by French Senator Claude Malhuret on Trump siding with Putin and what it means for the world is worth your time.
Full: www.instagram.com/reel/DG9Lj0F...
This 8 minute speech by French Senator Claude Malhuret on Trump siding with Putin and what it means for the world is worth your time.
Full: www.instagram.com/reel/DG9Lj0F...
Reposted by Thomas
