Trevor Larner
trevorl.bsky.social
Trevor Larner
@trevorl.bsky.social
NWSL predictions and the Washington Spirit
Reposted by Trevor Larner
The @americansocceranalysis.com model is driven by the possession value ratings of the players in the announced XIs.

The Elo model from @trevorl.bsky.social uses team xG and raw goals from the 2025 regular season.

The model from @qebrian.bsky.social uses xG and some strength adjustments.
November 9, 2025 at 5:12 PM
It's an average number of points over 10,000 simulations, so the numbers aren't necessarily even. The final predicted positions and probabilities are more important at this stage 😄
October 20, 2025 at 2:37 PM
Thompson just re-signed so Angel City is well within their right to tell her and Chelsea to kick rocks. It sorta feels like this is about a potential transfer fee (another thing the NWSL needs to fix).
August 28, 2025 at 5:56 PM
She was added as a late addition to the injury report as questionable. Probably isn't serious and are just being precautious considering her midweek minutes hopefully?
August 23, 2025 at 7:31 PM