timothyogden.bsky.social
@timothyogden.bsky.social
Managing Director, Financial Access Initiative (at NYU Wagner); Executive Partner, Sona Partners; President, Bardet Biedl Syndrome Foundation; Board chair, GiveWell
@niedermeyer.online Relevant to you. www.nber.org/papers/w34413
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Let me know if you need help getting full text
The Musk Partisan Effect on Tesla Sales
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
October 27, 2025 at 5:52 AM
@niedermeyer.online Relevant to you. www.nber.org/papers/w34413
Let me know if you need help getting full text
Let me know if you need help getting full text
Reposted by timothyogden.bsky.social
Perhaps instead of Columbus Day we can celebrate Columbian Exchange Day where we celebrate the food pairings that had never been possible before, peppers and onions, chocolate and coffee, basil and tomatoes.
October 13, 2025 at 9:37 PM
Perhaps instead of Columbus Day we can celebrate Columbian Exchange Day where we celebrate the food pairings that had never been possible before, peppers and onions, chocolate and coffee, basil and tomatoes.
Cynicism is the mind killer
Sort of amazing that the comic strip artist who was clever and funny enough to publish this has now become… Dick from the Internet.
It's Economics Nobel Prize Day, and hence your annual reminder not to be That Guy.
October 13, 2025 at 12:18 PM
Cynicism is the mind killer
Reposted by timothyogden.bsky.social
We’ve been rewatching 30 Rock
August 22, 2025 at 6:59 PM
We’ve been rewatching 30 Rock
Reposted by timothyogden.bsky.social
Working papers get a lot of attention and journalists don't scrutinize the evidence. I do that here for the most recent cash transfers and infant mortality paper...
Is the effect that big?
How can spillovers be so important (and work so fast)?
Do forking paths affect the findings?
And more...
Is the effect that big?
How can spillovers be so important (and work so fast)?
Do forking paths affect the findings?
And more...
The link seems to be having trouble: see if this works: blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...
When conditions matter: Unconditional cash transfers and infant mortality
blogs.worldbank.org
August 20, 2025 at 6:09 PM
Working papers get a lot of attention and journalists don't scrutinize the evidence. I do that here for the most recent cash transfers and infant mortality paper...
Is the effect that big?
How can spillovers be so important (and work so fast)?
Do forking paths affect the findings?
And more...
Is the effect that big?
How can spillovers be so important (and work so fast)?
Do forking paths affect the findings?
And more...
Reposted by timothyogden.bsky.social
This is one of the most beautiful things I have witnessed, the craft here is impeccable.
August 13, 2025 at 6:06 AM
This is one of the most beautiful things I have witnessed, the craft here is impeccable.
When I'm struggling with all that is happening and wondering what difference I can make, I remember that I've been able to be a very small part of this. You can too.
www.givewell.org
www.givewell.org
June 25, 2025 at 5:06 PM
When I'm struggling with all that is happening and wondering what difference I can make, I remember that I've been able to be a very small part of this. You can too.
www.givewell.org
www.givewell.org
Palate cleanser or political metaphor?
June 20, 2025 at 1:19 PM
Palate cleanser or political metaphor?
Reposted by timothyogden.bsky.social
Wait, I thought it wasn't corruption when it was done in the open, officially.
REPORTER: On the president's dinner tonight, will the White House commit to making a list of the attendees public so people can see who's paying for that kind of access to the president?
LEAVITT: The president is attending it in his personal time
LEAVITT: The president is attending it in his personal time
May 22, 2025 at 6:37 PM
Wait, I thought it wasn't corruption when it was done in the open, officially.
I don't think it's true that no one is thinking about the agentic arms race, but I also don't think it gets enough attention. Who is winning and losing in short term? How durable are those gaps? What is the cost of arms race before a new paradigm sets in?
May 20, 2025 at 8:42 PM
I don't think it's true that no one is thinking about the agentic arms race, but I also don't think it gets enough attention. Who is winning and losing in short term? How durable are those gaps? What is the cost of arms race before a new paradigm sets in?
Reposted by timothyogden.bsky.social
Reposted by timothyogden.bsky.social
Impeach Alito and Thomas
May 16, 2025 at 8:07 PM
Impeach Alito and Thomas
Reposted by timothyogden.bsky.social
Hell, they won’t even allow us to get criminals out of the Oval Office
UPDATE: Trump attacks the court for ruling against summary Alien Enemies Act deportations. www.politico.com/news/2025/05...
May 16, 2025 at 9:24 PM
Hell, they won’t even allow us to get criminals out of the Oval Office
I have to admit, when Trump dubbed Rubio "Little Marco" he picked the right adjective. No Secretary of State has ever come up littler
May 16, 2025 at 12:06 PM
I have to admit, when Trump dubbed Rubio "Little Marco" he picked the right adjective. No Secretary of State has ever come up littler
unsubscribed from (and began a boycott of) all @semafor emails after their use of Noem's crimes against humanity photo op without calling it out. And that after normalizing the Signal breach as a D vs. R issue.
March 27, 2025 at 11:40 AM
unsubscribed from (and began a boycott of) all @semafor emails after their use of Noem's crimes against humanity photo op without calling it out. And that after normalizing the Signal breach as a D vs. R issue.
I learned from Roodman that Benjamin Franklin set up the first US MFIs. TIL he also set up the first American CDFI:
"Franklin...championed the hospital...as an instrument of economic development...and local employment..becom[ing] 1 of the city's most important sources of credit...loaning 35000lbs"
"Franklin...championed the hospital...as an instrument of economic development...and local employment..becom[ing] 1 of the city's most important sources of credit...loaning 35000lbs"
March 26, 2025 at 8:05 PM
I learned from Roodman that Benjamin Franklin set up the first US MFIs. TIL he also set up the first American CDFI:
"Franklin...championed the hospital...as an instrument of economic development...and local employment..becom[ing] 1 of the city's most important sources of credit...loaning 35000lbs"
"Franklin...championed the hospital...as an instrument of economic development...and local employment..becom[ing] 1 of the city's most important sources of credit...loaning 35000lbs"
Trying to log into an on-line event and it's apparently harder to do so than joining a group chat with top secret military plans
March 24, 2025 at 6:34 PM
Trying to log into an on-line event and it's apparently harder to do so than joining a group chat with top secret military plans
Reposted by timothyogden.bsky.social
Lots of coverage about Tesla shares tanking because customers don’t want to be associated with a fascist etc.
But what if the problem is that it’s a poorly run company whose CEO is absentee, whose most iconic product is falling apart, & that now seems to have misplaced $1.4B
bsky.app/profile/bloo...
But what if the problem is that it’s a poorly run company whose CEO is absentee, whose most iconic product is falling apart, & that now seems to have misplaced $1.4B
bsky.app/profile/bloo...
Tesla recalls all Cybertrucks produced and sold in the first 15 months it was on the market in the US over a safety issue
Tesla Recalls Cybertrucks Over Pieces of Trim Coming Loose
Tesla Inc. recalled all the Cybertrucks it produced and sold in the first 15 months it was on the market in the US over a safety issue it’s having trouble resolving.
bloom.bg
March 20, 2025 at 3:45 PM
Lots of coverage about Tesla shares tanking because customers don’t want to be associated with a fascist etc.
But what if the problem is that it’s a poorly run company whose CEO is absentee, whose most iconic product is falling apart, & that now seems to have misplaced $1.4B
bsky.app/profile/bloo...
But what if the problem is that it’s a poorly run company whose CEO is absentee, whose most iconic product is falling apart, & that now seems to have misplaced $1.4B
bsky.app/profile/bloo...
My timeline cleanse: I'm in Chicago doing prep meetings for #SmallFirmDiaries USA and meeting a Latina business who has found success as the first Halal Mexican restaurant and catering firm on the South Side. This is America.
March 4, 2025 at 4:54 PM
My timeline cleanse: I'm in Chicago doing prep meetings for #SmallFirmDiaries USA and meeting a Latina business who has found success as the first Halal Mexican restaurant and catering firm on the South Side. This is America.
Reposted by timothyogden.bsky.social
the richest man in the world has decided that your kids don't deserve special education programs
February 16, 2025 at 6:14 PM
the richest man in the world has decided that your kids don't deserve special education programs
Orwell: ‘Between democracy and totalitarianism,’ says Mussolini, ‘there can be no compromise.’ The two creeds cannot even, for any length of time, live side by side. So long as democracy exists, even in its very imperfect form, totalitarianism is in deadly danger. orwell.substack.com/p/so-long-as...
"So long as democracy exists... totalitarianism is in deadly danger."
First published 19 February 1941
orwell.substack.com
February 19, 2025 at 10:30 PM
Orwell: ‘Between democracy and totalitarianism,’ says Mussolini, ‘there can be no compromise.’ The two creeds cannot even, for any length of time, live side by side. So long as democracy exists, even in its very imperfect form, totalitarianism is in deadly danger. orwell.substack.com/p/so-long-as...
Where can I get a Sic Semper Tyrannis flag with King Clown on it?
February 19, 2025 at 10:09 PM
Where can I get a Sic Semper Tyrannis flag with King Clown on it?
Reposted by timothyogden.bsky.social
A good use of large donors’ money right now would be to make zero-interest loans to orgs so they can continue programs. Once USG makes its back payments, loans can be repaid.
cc: @albrgr.bsky.social
cc: @albrgr.bsky.social
This is such an important point: Even the USAID projects that have waivers to continue because they were classified as life-saving are paralyzed. The block on Treasury payments means the orgs running those programs don't have the cash flow to continue them.
Two weeks into President Trump’s sweeping freeze on foreign aid, HIV groups abroad have not received any funding, jeopardizing the health of more than 20 million people, including 500,000 children.
February 7, 2025 at 3:45 PM
A good use of large donors’ money right now would be to make zero-interest loans to orgs so they can continue programs. Once USG makes its back payments, loans can be repaid.
cc: @albrgr.bsky.social
cc: @albrgr.bsky.social
You know what would be extremely funny? If port workers accidentally started dumping containers of Tesla vehicles and parts in the ocean. We could call it a T party
February 5, 2025 at 7:50 PM
You know what would be extremely funny? If port workers accidentally started dumping containers of Tesla vehicles and parts in the ocean. We could call it a T party