Thomas Henning
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thomashenning.bsky.social
Thomas Henning
@thomashenning.bsky.social
Social Decision Neuroscience PhD Student @ Caltech. Forecasting with bioindicators.
If me and the boy’s group chat leaked it would just be talking about how I we love non-parametric statistical tests for Neurobehavioral data due to their robustness and relatively fewer assumptions driven
October 15, 2025 at 11:57 PM
Reposted by Thomas Henning
That’s a wrap for #SNE2025! Grateful for the chance to share some of our recent work as a spotlight this year and thankful to the society for supporting me as one of this year’s travel award winners along with @gloriawfeng.bsky.social, @jaehyungwoo.bsky.social, Laura Globig, and Minho Hwang)!
October 6, 2025 at 5:58 PM
Reposted by Thomas Henning
If Cook had done the very same thing in 2023, after her public service began, it still would not be obvious to me that an error on a mortgage application would constitute “cause” for these purposes. Would a traffic violation? An adverse finding on a tax audit?

open.substack.com/pub/petercon...
Can Trump fire Cook?
Part 2 in a series on the Trump Administration's efforts to remove sitting central bankers
open.substack.com
August 27, 2025 at 4:15 AM
Reposted by Thomas Henning
A new paper by Nobel Prize-winning economist Claudia Goldin has found that countries where men take on more of the household labor and child care — in other words, those who buck traditionalism’s standards of the provider husband and homemaker wife — have higher fertility rates.
To raise fertility rates, it’s not women who need to step up — it’s men
New research found that countries where men do more housework and child care have higher fertility rates.
19thnews.org
August 26, 2025 at 5:38 PM
Why is dollar cost averaging so popular. It makes no sense. EV in the market is highest right now!

Unless you believe in market timing (you shouldnt unless you sit in a big Bank/HF and have access to all “public wink wink” data, you should invest what you plan to DCA right away! With few exceptions
August 4, 2025 at 6:30 PM
Becoming increasingly clear to me that LLM have an “effect bias”. When you ask about the relationship between two things, it defaults to stating there is some relationship (regardless of truth) much more often than stating there is no relationship.
July 24, 2025 at 3:54 AM
Hearing many American students are now looking abroad for grad school, something never really seen in prior years.

We are watching a brain drain from our country in real time; what an unforced error that will have generationally long reprecussions.
July 11, 2025 at 2:59 AM
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, the best defensive lineman in the world players power forward for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Thinking back on Julius Peppers career and contrasting it with Williamson; does Peppers focus on basketball full time with today’s NBA salaries?

Incentives matter!
July 9, 2025 at 6:44 PM
Every year I get more and more teary eyed during commencement. Seeing the culmination of years of work done by your bf colleagues and mentees (and mentors) is a deeply moving feeling.

So proud of the entire Caltech class of 2025 both graduates and undergraduates!
June 13, 2025 at 9:58 PM
Anything interesting going on today?
June 5, 2025 at 8:52 PM
Reposted by Thomas Henning
We’re fixing Atlantic Avenue! This is what a comprehensive community-led rezoning looks like 🏠
May 29, 2025 at 9:52 PM
Flying into LA after traveling is always depressing; LA should be one of the greatest cities on the planet and instead it’s a destitute suburb.

America needs to revitalize and modernize our cities, it’s embarrassing.
April 29, 2025 at 11:31 PM
Giving a poster presentation Sunday at the Financial AI workshop @ ICLR! Check out the work and give me your suggestions!

We find that LLMs (we test 6 models) tend to trade around fundamental value in a fixed FV experimental market; compared to humans who generally create bubbles!
LLM Trading: Analysis of LLM Agent Behavior in Experimental Asset Markets: Thomas Henning; Siddhartha M. Ojha; Ross Spoon; Jiatong Han; Colin F. Camerer
NEP/RePEc link
to paper
d.repec.org
April 25, 2025 at 2:34 PM
Reposted by Thomas Henning
On my reading list (by @thomashenning.bsky.social). Very interesting.
LLM Trading: Analysis of LLM Agent Behavior in Experimental Asset Markets: Thomas Henning; Siddhartha M. Ojha; Ross Spoon; Jiatong Han; Colin F. Camerer
NEP/RePEc link
to paper
d.repec.org
April 24, 2025 at 8:09 AM
Nice article written up about a working paper we just submitted!

Check it out!

www.ai-street.co/p/ai-as-an-o...
AI as an Operating System? 🖥️
AI evolves from standalone product to operating system: Insights into transformative tech trends, emerging AI companies, and the shifting landscape of technological innovation.
www.ai-street.co
March 14, 2025 at 12:33 AM
Reposted by Thomas Henning
@thomashenning.bsky.social is neuro-decoding how we respond to real vs. AI generated images @cfcamerer.bsky.social #cfcfc 2/10
February 1, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Might be presenting a poster to some Nobel Laureates today; gonna make sure to get a wicked chest pump first.
January 31, 2025 at 6:58 PM
Should we find this at all surprising? Knowledge is building on top of eachother. As we go deeper the pre-requisites increase.

This is like saying Calculus is harder than Algebra; frontier math is getting harder to understand!
Over the past 80 years, academic writing has become substantially harder to read 📉🧪 www.economist.com/science-and-... I analysed 350k PhD thesis abstracts and found that they've become more complex in every discipline, especially the humanities and social sciences
December 27, 2024 at 11:14 AM
It’s hard to visit Asia and not come away thinking that American cities are dinosaurs.

We need to be so much better.
December 27, 2024 at 11:12 AM
Just touched down in Seoul and instantly started arguing about housing policy with a friend on instagram. How cooked am I?
December 6, 2024 at 6:03 PM
It’s power law distributions all the way down.
December 4, 2024 at 3:40 PM
Not sure what it is about ML but I always tend to spend an inordinate amount of time focusing on the theory/math of a model;

And not nearly enough time playing around with the model.

I’d like to switch to the latter form of learning, but it’s proven to be difficult mental process to escape
November 22, 2024 at 12:18 AM
Anyone have a good example of a pre-registration document? Ideally something in the Cognitive sciences/Neuro but open to any.

Also let me know if there’s a good resource to find a few.
November 20, 2024 at 7:21 PM
Always amazed at the opportunities and benefits that open up just from being a good and willing story teller!
November 20, 2024 at 4:23 PM
This place needs group chats; and I’d be on here exclusively over Twitter.
November 19, 2024 at 3:34 PM