Sunset Shazz
banner
sunsetshazz.bsky.social
Sunset Shazz
@sunsetshazz.bsky.social
Football, decision theory, and economics. Model pluralist.
In 2025, I don’t believe there are any juggernauts. Every team is flawed. It’s wide open in front of them.
December 17, 2025 at 7:49 PM
Of course. Every season is different. This is not 2017 or 2024, but neither is it 2023.
December 17, 2025 at 7:48 PM
Fair enough. The future of sport is more precise calibration of minutes (inputs) and cardiovascular and muscular exertion (outputs). Load management will be more precise and pervasive.
December 17, 2025 at 3:51 AM
I think this is a wild take. The only place where load management doesn’t exist is the San Francisco 49ers. Every other team in every major sport manages minutes and monitors exertion on the practice field/ice and during games.
December 17, 2025 at 2:51 AM
Fran, presumably the team is hard at work designing the motivational t-shirt for diehards:

SUSTAINABLE MEDIOCRITY
December 15, 2025 at 11:47 PM
The TD pass over the middle to AJ Brown was a thing of beauty. As Greg Olsen pointed out, an offense where the run is married to the pass in terms of consistency of looks is harder on the defense. More, please.
December 15, 2025 at 4:18 PM
Throw it downfield! Maybe a completion, maybe a flag, maybe an INT, but come on, even with the latter, there is little time left and an arm punt isn’t a catastrophe.
December 14, 2025 at 7:27 PM
Pass it more over the middle, buddy. That third and 16 pass to Devonta is so beautiful, let's remind both Jalen and the coaches of what he can do. You're Jalen f'ing Hurts, Super Bowl MVP: grip it and rip it!
December 11, 2025 at 8:55 PM
December 4, 2025 at 12:24 AM
When they were 2-0 and had just raised a banner, I was complaining to a Raiders fan at work about the Eagles. He looked at me like I was saying “well the Dom Perignon was insufficiently chilled and the service was overly familiar”.
December 4, 2025 at 12:22 AM
Oh absolutely. My other pet peeve is when people use “worst case scenario” to mean “downside case”. It can get much worse than what you imagine. The actual worst case scenario is annihilation of humanity by natural or man-made global catastrophe (I’ve been told not to say that in front of clients).
December 4, 2025 at 12:04 AM
I’m still worried, man. I rely upon the great Fran Duffy to help me form conclusions, and I think his work shows that we should be worried.
December 3, 2025 at 11:48 PM
In finance people paraphrase Mark Twain: “it doesn’t repeat but it rhymes”. But each market cycle is a bit different from prior ones, and it is money-losing to assume history will repeat precisely.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Represe...
Representativeness heuristic - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
December 3, 2025 at 11:43 PM
Though I am worried that this season is about to enter a very ugly phase, it will be a 2025 collapse, not a 2023 collapse. Each season is different, and the temptation to overdetermine using past years is a form of the representativeness heuristic.
December 3, 2025 at 11:42 PM
I know you’re #TeamContent, but Cliff is still one of us! This advice is important to fans who root for the most miserable 8-4 team in league history. Thank you, Cliff!
December 2, 2025 at 5:22 PM