Stephan Maurer
@stephanmaurer.bsky.social
Economist by day, Civil War historian by night. University of Edinburgh, UPF-BSM, and CEP. Author of "Die Schlacht von Gettysburg": amzn.eu/d/epEJdVz
Personal webpage: https://sites.google.com/site/stephanernstmaurer/
Personal webpage: https://sites.google.com/site/stephanernstmaurer/
Congratulations! Super cool project!
November 11, 2025 at 12:25 PM
Congratulations! Super cool project!
Reposted by Stephan Maurer
Is your child texting about econometrics?
BRB = Biased Regression, Bro
LMAO = Linear Models Are Ok
SMH = Structural Model Hypothesis
YOLO = You Obviously Lack Observations
IMHO = Instrumental Methods Help OLS
LOL = Lots of Lags
GOAT = GLS Occasionally Addresses This
WTF = Wald Test Failed
BRB = Biased Regression, Bro
LMAO = Linear Models Are Ok
SMH = Structural Model Hypothesis
YOLO = You Obviously Lack Observations
IMHO = Instrumental Methods Help OLS
LOL = Lots of Lags
GOAT = GLS Occasionally Addresses This
WTF = Wald Test Failed
July 14, 2025 at 1:05 PM
Is your child texting about econometrics?
BRB = Biased Regression, Bro
LMAO = Linear Models Are Ok
SMH = Structural Model Hypothesis
YOLO = You Obviously Lack Observations
IMHO = Instrumental Methods Help OLS
LOL = Lots of Lags
GOAT = GLS Occasionally Addresses This
WTF = Wald Test Failed
BRB = Biased Regression, Bro
LMAO = Linear Models Are Ok
SMH = Structural Model Hypothesis
YOLO = You Obviously Lack Observations
IMHO = Instrumental Methods Help OLS
LOL = Lots of Lags
GOAT = GLS Occasionally Addresses This
WTF = Wald Test Failed
Malvern Hill I think
November 10, 2025 at 6:45 PM
Malvern Hill I think
Not only do general trends confound the observational analysis, losing something you never had (but could have) also does not feel as bad I guess.
November 10, 2025 at 5:54 PM
Not only do general trends confound the observational analysis, losing something you never had (but could have) also does not feel as bad I guess.
I think the even more fundamental issue is that estimates relative to a counterfactual are very hard to explain to voters. It's hard to dispel "the economy grew by 15% over nine years, so it can't have been that bad" by "it would likely have grown by 21 -23%".
November 10, 2025 at 5:54 PM
I think the even more fundamental issue is that estimates relative to a counterfactual are very hard to explain to voters. It's hard to dispel "the economy grew by 15% over nine years, so it can't have been that bad" by "it would likely have grown by 21 -23%".
Fast forward to citing paper: "But Matranga said they were ambitious, and Matranga is an honourable man."
November 10, 2025 at 9:47 AM
Fast forward to citing paper: "But Matranga said they were ambitious, and Matranga is an honourable man."
Hope there are enough clusters in every pack!
November 7, 2025 at 11:19 AM
Hope there are enough clusters in every pack!
Reposted by Stephan Maurer
A spicier opinion is that academia taking back publishing is not necessarily a path to innovation and efficiency. Do you associate universities with efficiency? The problem with for-profit publishing is not the profit, it's the oligopoly power of major publishers. Anti-trust in our lifetime?
November 6, 2025 at 9:33 AM
A spicier opinion is that academia taking back publishing is not necessarily a path to innovation and efficiency. Do you associate universities with efficiency? The problem with for-profit publishing is not the profit, it's the oligopoly power of major publishers. Anti-trust in our lifetime?
The other half is arguing that you are at least slightly different from the existing literature.
November 5, 2025 at 8:03 AM
The other half is arguing that you are at least slightly different from the existing literature.
I needed the hint this time, but then I remembered, actually a very fun scenario to play.
October 28, 2025 at 8:10 AM
I needed the hint this time, but then I remembered, actually a very fun scenario to play.
Neither did Lookout Mountain a couple of weeks earlier...
October 26, 2025 at 6:06 PM
Neither did Lookout Mountain a couple of weeks earlier...
Lafayette Road is very conspicuous- but I'm also currently reading this:
October 26, 2025 at 5:57 PM
Lafayette Road is very conspicuous- but I'm also currently reading this:
Tricky one, maybe a user-generated version of Fort Henry?
October 24, 2025 at 7:15 PM
Tricky one, maybe a user-generated version of Fort Henry?