Shaun Ratcliff
@shaunratcliff.bsky.social
Pollster, political scientist and applied data scientist, Accent Research. Sometimes lecturer, The University of Sydney.
Both inferences are likely correct. If they got anywhere near that share of the vote, it would get messy in a few places, and One Nation would probably win at least a couple of HoR seats
November 17, 2025 at 4:49 AM
Both inferences are likely correct. If they got anywhere near that share of the vote, it would get messy in a few places, and One Nation would probably win at least a couple of HoR seats
One Nation also leads as the best party to handle immigration
Read more about the results here tinyurl.com/3tac6c3m
Read more about the results here tinyurl.com/3tac6c3m
November 17, 2025 at 12:19 AM
One Nation also leads as the best party to handle immigration
Read more about the results here tinyurl.com/3tac6c3m
Read more about the results here tinyurl.com/3tac6c3m
The Labor primary is up 4 points, at 38%, and it leads on 2pp at 56%
The other major beneficiary of the Coalition collapse is One Nation, which has seen its primary vote triple to 18% since the election.
The other major beneficiary of the Coalition collapse is One Nation, which has seen its primary vote triple to 18% since the election.
November 17, 2025 at 12:19 AM
The Labor primary is up 4 points, at 38%, and it leads on 2pp at 56%
The other major beneficiary of the Coalition collapse is One Nation, which has seen its primary vote triple to 18% since the election.
The other major beneficiary of the Coalition collapse is One Nation, which has seen its primary vote triple to 18% since the election.
In this survey of 1,011 Australian voters (collected 7-13 Nov), Labor continues to dominate: leading on the two-party preferred vote, the preferred prime minister, and as the best party to deal with four of the six policy areas we asked about.
November 17, 2025 at 12:19 AM
In this survey of 1,011 Australian voters (collected 7-13 Nov), Labor continues to dominate: leading on the two-party preferred vote, the preferred prime minister, and as the best party to deal with four of the six policy areas we asked about.
Possibly reflecting the geographic distribution of those who participated, but the WA Liberals are far too low considering how they’ve managed to trash the public perception of the party in a state where they long had a major advantage
October 25, 2025 at 6:44 AM
Possibly reflecting the geographic distribution of those who participated, but the WA Liberals are far too low considering how they’ve managed to trash the public perception of the party in a state where they long had a major advantage
Most Australians believe there is a housing crisis
Half say home ownership is possible if people work hard and save money
Just 22 per cent agree rising house prices are a good thing.
Very few voters (16 per cent) are satisfied with the governments’ performance on housing.
Half say home ownership is possible if people work hard and save money
Just 22 per cent agree rising house prices are a good thing.
Very few voters (16 per cent) are satisfied with the governments’ performance on housing.
October 23, 2025 at 1:23 AM
Most Australians believe there is a housing crisis
Half say home ownership is possible if people work hard and save money
Just 22 per cent agree rising house prices are a good thing.
Very few voters (16 per cent) are satisfied with the governments’ performance on housing.
Half say home ownership is possible if people work hard and save money
Just 22 per cent agree rising house prices are a good thing.
Very few voters (16 per cent) are satisfied with the governments’ performance on housing.
Hi Ben. We asked a few questions about Trump. We also had an open ended questions requiring voters to list the three issues most influencing their vote, and what shifted their opinions on parties and leaders. Trump was only mentioned sporadically.
May 6, 2025 at 8:29 AM
Hi Ben. We asked a few questions about Trump. We also had an open ended questions requiring voters to list the three issues most influencing their vote, and what shifted their opinions on parties and leaders. Trump was only mentioned sporadically.
I’ve been describing Trump as background radiation when talking about his impact on our election. There was clearly an influence, but it wasn’t a first order effect
May 6, 2025 at 5:38 AM
I’ve been describing Trump as background radiation when talking about his impact on our election. There was clearly an influence, but it wasn’t a first order effect
possibly. a lot of firms were also using 2022 vote in their weights, though. including YG.
May 6, 2025 at 3:24 AM
possibly. a lot of firms were also using 2022 vote in their weights, though. including YG.
vote recall is error prone, though; and gets worse over time. you want to be very careful using it for weights and quotas
May 6, 2025 at 1:59 AM
vote recall is error prone, though; and gets worse over time. you want to be very careful using it for weights and quotas
voting on election day? rookie mistake.
May 3, 2025 at 3:29 AM
voting on election day? rookie mistake.
Thanks Josh, appreciated. What you guys pulled together also works really well
May 1, 2025 at 9:32 PM
Thanks Josh, appreciated. What you guys pulled together also works really well