🔸Is Erdogan testing to see how Europe 🇪🇺will act? EU needs Türkiye 🇹🇷 defence and Trump appears to have given green light. Most important is to watch world’s 3rd largest economy: what will Germany 🇩🇪🇪🇺 say?

[END].

🔸 But, often, politicians make choices for their own short-term political survival and personal-power. Open question: how will Türkiye 🇹🇷 respond: seculars, youths, opposition parties, Istanbulites and business?

. . . Continued

🔸US & Türkiye 🇺🇸🇹🇷 also appear to have deep structural differences: Israel 🇮🇱& Netanyahu, Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦, Horn of Africa, Green Energy versus Gas/Oil, Egypt, Caucasus and Central Asia, China 🇨🇳 policy and list goes on.

Continued . . .

🔸Numerically, Türkiye's 🇹🇷 economy, security and energy is European. This is easily demonstrated in trade, foreign investment, logistic connectivity & energy export market figures. US 🇺🇸🇹🇷 trade is less than 6% and EU 🇪🇺🇹🇷 trade is more than 45%.

. . . Continued

🔸Why? No geo-political analyst would say otherwise. All trade figures, infrastructure, CU, electricity grid, supply chains support this.

🔸”If 🇹🇷 choose a security/economic relationship with 🇺🇸 US . . . it would be short-lived gain; it 🇹🇷 would be shooting itself in foot.”

. . . Continued

. . .

Now, geo-politics, customs union and new security agenda are at play.

Paradoxically, EU-Türkiye 🇪🇺🇹🇷 relations have never been more relevant and fragile at the same time.

Read my article (2024) about #Türkiye in Europe’s New Security Architecture 🇪🇺🇹🇷 liberalforum.eu/wp-content/u...

. . .

Perhaps personal relationship of two leaders is lacking. Perhaps structural-divisions are too great between two of Europe’s leading powers.

Only time will tell.

What remains certain: 🇫🇷 popular misconceptions about 🇹🇷 and 🇫🇷 should be relegated to the past.

. . . (Continued)

. . .

Complex points of contention 🇫🇷🇹🇷👇

🔸Africa influence
🔸Caucasus & Central Asia
🔸Customs Union & EIB
🔸Security, Space & Defence
🔸Strategic Autonomy
🔸Eastern Mediterranean
🔸Cyprus territorial integrity
🔸Greek maritime
🔸Nuclear Plants
🔸Theology & Laicite
🔸Syria
🔸Migration

. . . (Continued)

. . .

@EmmanuelMacron.bsky.social should accept Erdoğan’s invitation to Ankara instead of always stalling.

@rterdogana.bsky.social personnel should privately propose something more concrete to Paris, instead of offering little concrete.

. . . (Continued)

. . . Continued

🔸#US 🇺🇸 gets closer to #Russia 🇷🇺 in order to fight #China 🇨🇳 at expense of 🇪🇺 Europe, including Türkiye 🇹🇷

🔸#Türkiye 🇹🇷 is an ally of Kiev 🇺🇦 & must be included in 🇫🇷🇩🇪🇪🇺 core European security architecture

Link 🔗 Turkish language Hürriyet 🇹🇷 hurriyet.com.tr/dunya/ukrayna-…

[END].

. . . Continued

🔸#US 🇺🇸 gets closer to #Russia 🇷🇺 in order to fight #China 🇨🇳 at expense of 🇪🇺 Europe, including Türkiye 🇹🇷

🔸#Türkiye 🇹🇷 is an ally of Kiev 🇺🇦 & must be included in 🇫🇷🇩🇪🇪🇺 core European security architecture

Link 🔗 Turkish language Hürriyet 🇹🇷 hurriyet.com.tr/dunya/ukrayna-…

[END].

. . .

Now, geo-politics, customs union and new security agenda are at play.

Paradoxically, EU-Türkiye 🇪🇺🇹🇷 relations have never been more relevant and fragile at the same time.

Read my article (2024) about #Türkiye in Europe’s New Security Architecture 🇪🇺🇹🇷 liberalforum.eu/wp-content/u...