Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
samueljsdv.bsky.social
Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
@samueljsdv.bsky.social
Director of European Neighbourhood Council | Author of Security Threats along EU’s 🇪🇺 Eastern Flanks (Palgrave: London) | #CentralAsia #Caucasus #Türkiye #MENA | Independence | Danish 🇩🇰🇪🇺 & Italian 🇮🇹🇪🇺|
New 🇪🇺🇹🇷 article by @news.dw.com is kind enough to quote my analysis.

Çok teşekkürler / Danke🙏

Topic: İmamoğlu imprisonment and Erdogan reach for power & international bargaining 🇺🇸🇪🇺👇

🔸”Türkiye's 🇹🇷 natural choice should be Europe, where it shares a common geography.”

. . . Continued
March 20, 2025 at 1:21 PM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
I wish I could have joined you in Rome 🇮🇹🇪🇺, Bucharest 🇷🇴🇪🇺, Belgrade 🇷🇸🇪🇺, Brussels 🇧🇪🇪🇺, Berlin 🇩🇪🇪🇺, Tbilisi 🇬🇪🇪🇺and many more cities this weekend for the #EuropeMarch.

I wore my 🇪🇺 jumper for a morning jog.

Viva L’Europa! 🙏

#UnitedInDiversity #StrongerTogether #ContinentalUnity
March 16, 2025 at 10:35 AM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
Thousands of people gathered in Bucharest, Romania to declare their solidarity with Europe and Ukraine, and to reject Russia and Trump's attempts to corrupt their democracy. #3E #RomaniaProtests
March 16, 2025 at 4:14 AM
I wish I could have joined you in Rome 🇮🇹🇪🇺, Bucharest 🇷🇴🇪🇺, Belgrade 🇷🇸🇪🇺, Brussels 🇧🇪🇪🇺, Berlin 🇩🇪🇪🇺, Tbilisi 🇬🇪🇪🇺and many more cities this weekend for the #EuropeMarch.

I wore my 🇪🇺 jumper for a morning jog.

Viva L’Europa! 🙏

#UnitedInDiversity #StrongerTogether #ContinentalUnity
March 16, 2025 at 10:35 AM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
#French 🇫🇷🇪🇺 #intelligence community publishes my views on considering #Türkiye 🇹🇷 in European security architecture 👇

Ex-senior-intelligence & military-industrial expert Alain Rodier adds my views in 2025 public article for ‘Centre Francais Recherche sur les Renseignement’👇

cf2r.org/actualite/quel…
March 10, 2025 at 5:19 PM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
. . .

Now, geo-politics, customs union and new security agenda are at play.

Paradoxically, EU-Türkiye 🇪🇺🇹🇷 relations have never been more relevant and fragile at the same time.

Read my article (2024) about #Türkiye in Europe’s New Security Architecture 🇪🇺🇹🇷 liberalforum.eu/wp-content/u...
February 23, 2025 at 5:25 AM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
. . .

Perhaps personal relationship of two leaders is lacking. Perhaps structural-divisions are too great between two of Europe’s leading powers.

Only time will tell.

What remains certain: 🇫🇷 popular misconceptions about 🇹🇷 and 🇫🇷 should be relegated to the past.

. . . (Continued)
February 23, 2025 at 5:21 AM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
. . .

Complex points of contention 🇫🇷🇹🇷👇

🔸Africa influence
🔸Caucasus & Central Asia
🔸Customs Union & EIB
🔸Security, Space & Defence
🔸Strategic Autonomy
🔸Eastern Mediterranean
🔸Cyprus territorial integrity
🔸Greek maritime
🔸Nuclear Plants
🔸Theology & Laicite
🔸Syria
🔸Migration

. . . (Continued)
February 23, 2025 at 5:19 AM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
. . .

@EmmanuelMacron.bsky.social should accept Erdoğan’s invitation to Ankara instead of always stalling.

@rterdogana.bsky.social personnel should privately propose something more concrete to Paris, instead of offering little concrete.

. . . (Continued)
February 23, 2025 at 5:15 AM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
The fastest way for Europe to counter American threats is through 🇫🇷🇪🇺🇹🇷 Franco-Turkish rapprochement.

The question is whether 🇹🇷 Ankara and 🇫🇷Paris are willing to sacrifice or will instead out-rat/out-bid each other to Washington.

. . . (Continued)
February 23, 2025 at 5:12 AM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
No Elon Musk.

Europe does not need American 🇺🇸 and Russian 🇷🇺 foreign interference to make “Europe Great Again”.

Europe needs👇
🔸 EU Unity 🇪🇺
🔸 EU Defence 🚀
🔸 EU Bonds 💶
🔸 EU Nuclear ☢️
🔸 EU Technology & Social Media👨‍🔬
January 19, 2025 at 7:18 AM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
#Türkiye’s 🇹🇷 most read (top 3) newspaper @Hurriyet translated & reprinted my Op-Ed into Turkish languagefor domestic 🇹🇷 audience ⤵️

🇪🇺🇹🇷 Çok teşekkürler 🙏

Main points of Op-Ed 👇

🔸Trump 🇺🇸 #hypocrisy with Zelenskyy 🇺🇦

🔸#Nuclear France 🇫🇷🇪🇺 & German 🇩🇪🇪🇺#Eurobonds to replace Washington?

. . . Continued
March 5, 2025 at 6:26 AM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
. . . Continued

🔸#US 🇺🇸 gets closer to #Russia 🇷🇺 in order to fight #China 🇨🇳 at expense of 🇪🇺 Europe, including Türkiye 🇹🇷

🔸#Türkiye 🇹🇷 is an ally of Kiev 🇺🇦 & must be included in 🇫🇷🇩🇪🇪🇺 core European security architecture

Link 🔗 Turkish language Hürriyet 🇹🇷 hurriyet.com.tr/dunya/ukrayna-…

[END].
March 5, 2025 at 6:27 AM
#French 🇫🇷🇪🇺 #intelligence community publishes my views on considering #Türkiye 🇹🇷 in European security architecture 👇

Ex-senior-intelligence & military-industrial expert Alain Rodier adds my views in 2025 public article for ‘Centre Francais Recherche sur les Renseignement’👇

cf2r.org/actualite/quel…
March 10, 2025 at 5:19 PM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
“The general sentiment in the EU is that Turkey is more important than ever on security cooperation. That ranges from military procurement to Ukraine, energy, critical infrastructure, you name it," said @samueljsdv.bsky.social.

My latest for @turkeyrecap.bsky.social:
February 25, 2025 at 6:40 AM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
As doubts grow over US defense commitments to Ukraine and the EU, Ankara’s role in regional security is likely to expand due to its existing force and weapons production capacities.

@diegocupolo.bsky.social reports with comments by @samueljsdv.bsky.social, Daria Isachenko and @yoruk.bsky.social.
US policy shift on Ukraine boosts Turkey’s value as EU defense partner
ANKARA — On the third anniversary of the Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Russian FM Sergei Lavrov is in Turkey and the prospects for peace talks are in limbo amid the Trump administration’s o...
www.turkeyrecap.com
February 24, 2025 at 12:50 PM
#Türkiye’s 🇹🇷 most read (top 3) newspaper @Hurriyet translated & reprinted my Op-Ed into Turkish languagefor domestic 🇹🇷 audience ⤵️

🇪🇺🇹🇷 Çok teşekkürler 🙏

Main points of Op-Ed 👇

🔸Trump 🇺🇸 #hypocrisy with Zelenskyy 🇺🇦

🔸#Nuclear France 🇫🇷🇪🇺 & German 🇩🇪🇪🇺#Eurobonds to replace Washington?

. . . Continued
March 5, 2025 at 6:26 AM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
🎇 @Turkeyrecap.bsky.social Editor @DiegoCupolo.bsky.social kindly asked me to predict EU-Türkiye 🇪🇺🇹🇷 in 2025 🎇

5-points👇⤵️

1️⃣ #EU-#Türkiye 🇪🇺🇹🇷 relations in 2025 are fragile and very dependent on 🇺🇸 Donald Trump.

. . . 👇
January 12, 2025 at 11:55 AM
The fastest way for Europe to counter American threats is through 🇫🇷🇪🇺🇹🇷 Franco-Turkish rapprochement.

The question is whether 🇹🇷 Ankara and 🇫🇷Paris are willing to sacrifice or will instead out-rat/out-bid each other to Washington.

. . . (Continued)
February 23, 2025 at 5:12 AM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
As HRVP @kajakallas.bsky.social arrives in Ankara, it’s worth reading my 🇪🇺🇹🇷 prediction 2025👇

EU-Türkiye 🇪🇺🇹🇷 matters. Regardless of whether you’re secular or religious, or whether you like EU or Erdogan. Deteriorating relations would be a huge strategic, economic & security loss for both sides👇
January 24, 2025 at 11:00 AM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
If you’re unsure why 🇹🇷🇪🇺 EU-Türkiye relations are important?

🔟-point-list 👇

————————

1️⃣ Germany’s 🇩🇪🇪🇺 economy (& by extension Europe) depends on 🇹🇷 Türkiye, and vice versa.

German 🇩🇪🇪🇺 supply-chains (not only trade) largely depend on China 🇨🇳, Poland 🇵🇱🇪🇺 and Türkiye

. . . Continued
January 30, 2025 at 1:10 PM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
5️⃣ Let’s not forget that a Turkish economy without 🇩🇪🇪🇺 Germany is weak, and vice versa, Germany can’t build cars without Europe’s biggest back office: 🇹🇷 Türkiye.

. . . 👇

[END].
January 12, 2025 at 12:00 PM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
4️⃣ Existing vulnerabilities will be exploited. 🇫🇷🇪🇺 #France’s geopolitical rivalry w 🇹🇷#Turkey in #Caucasus & #Africa & disagreements over 🇬🇷🇪🇺 Greek & 🇨🇾🇪🇺Cypriot maritime in East Med are targets of foreign superpowers to divide Europe. A crisis will exacerbate vulnerable 🇪🇺🇹🇷 Euro-Turkish ties.

. . . 👇
January 12, 2025 at 11:59 AM
Reposted by Samuel Doveri Vesterbye
3️⃣ Ankara 🇹🇷 and Berlin’s 🇩🇪🇪🇺 deep supply chains and economic relations will be seen with caution by 🇺🇸 Washington. That is because 🇺🇸 Trump, and Washington generally, see “the new great threat as 🇨🇳 #China”. It’s the opposite for Europe, which sees 🇷🇺 #Russia as the main threat.

. . . 👇
January 12, 2025 at 11:57 AM