Robert Marsiglio
@robsiglio.bsky.social
Dad. Husband. Blue Jays. Sports. GTA Real Estate. Educational Charts. RE Threads 🧵 |
Realtor - Valery Real Estate Inc., Brokerage
#TORE
Realtor - Valery Real Estate Inc., Brokerage
#TORE
IN SUMMARY:
1. MOI has set a new YTD high.
2. Rate of sales has slowed in August 2025, especially compared to 2024.
3. Active listings below 30k for the first time since May.
8/8
1. MOI has set a new YTD high.
2. Rate of sales has slowed in August 2025, especially compared to 2024.
3. Active listings below 30k for the first time since May.
8/8
August 25, 2025 at 2:31 PM
IN SUMMARY:
1. MOI has set a new YTD high.
2. Rate of sales has slowed in August 2025, especially compared to 2024.
3. Active listings below 30k for the first time since May.
8/8
1. MOI has set a new YTD high.
2. Rate of sales has slowed in August 2025, especially compared to 2024.
3. Active listings below 30k for the first time since May.
8/8
For the first time since my May 12 reading, GTA active listings are back under the 30,000 mark.
One more drop next week before the (potential?) fall inventory flood.
7/8
One more drop next week before the (potential?) fall inventory flood.
7/8
August 25, 2025 at 2:31 PM
For the first time since my May 12 reading, GTA active listings are back under the 30,000 mark.
One more drop next week before the (potential?) fall inventory flood.
7/8
One more drop next week before the (potential?) fall inventory flood.
7/8
Lastly, active inventory continued it's drop.
TO Free: 3,738 (🔻72 or 1.89%)
TO Condo: 7,350 (🔻145 or 1.93%)
Durham: 2,981 (🔻160 or 5.09%)
York: 6,075 (🔻69 or 1.12%)
Peel: 6,016 (🔻126 or 2.05%)
Halton: 3,234 (🔻110 or 3.29%)
6/8
TO Free: 3,738 (🔻72 or 1.89%)
TO Condo: 7,350 (🔻145 or 1.93%)
Durham: 2,981 (🔻160 or 5.09%)
York: 6,075 (🔻69 or 1.12%)
Peel: 6,016 (🔻126 or 2.05%)
Halton: 3,234 (🔻110 or 3.29%)
6/8
August 25, 2025 at 2:31 PM
Lastly, active inventory continued it's drop.
TO Free: 3,738 (🔻72 or 1.89%)
TO Condo: 7,350 (🔻145 or 1.93%)
Durham: 2,981 (🔻160 or 5.09%)
York: 6,075 (🔻69 or 1.12%)
Peel: 6,016 (🔻126 or 2.05%)
Halton: 3,234 (🔻110 or 3.29%)
6/8
TO Free: 3,738 (🔻72 or 1.89%)
TO Condo: 7,350 (🔻145 or 1.93%)
Durham: 2,981 (🔻160 or 5.09%)
York: 6,075 (🔻69 or 1.12%)
Peel: 6,016 (🔻126 or 2.05%)
Halton: 3,234 (🔻110 or 3.29%)
6/8
Here is the year-over-year comparison of rate of sales.
2025 has seen a slow down that 2024 didn't.
5/8
2025 has seen a slow down that 2024 didn't.
5/8
August 25, 2025 at 2:31 PM
Here is the year-over-year comparison of rate of sales.
2025 has seen a slow down that 2024 didn't.
5/8
2025 has seen a slow down that 2024 didn't.
5/8
Here is the GTA wide picture that really highlights the slow down in rate of sales.
It's down about 900 in the last three weeks.
4/8
It's down about 900 in the last three weeks.
4/8
August 25, 2025 at 2:31 PM
Here is the GTA wide picture that really highlights the slow down in rate of sales.
It's down about 900 in the last three weeks.
4/8
It's down about 900 in the last three weeks.
4/8
The big driver for the MOI spike has been the slow down in sales through August.
TO Free: 741 (🔻62 or 7.72%)
TO Condo: 978 (🔻38 or 3.74%)
Durham: 662 (🔻35 or 5.02%)
York: 944 (🔻13 or 1.36%)
Peel: 886 (🔻30 or 3.28%)
Halton: 620 (🔻13 or 2.05%)
3/8
TO Free: 741 (🔻62 or 7.72%)
TO Condo: 978 (🔻38 or 3.74%)
Durham: 662 (🔻35 or 5.02%)
York: 944 (🔻13 or 1.36%)
Peel: 886 (🔻30 or 3.28%)
Halton: 620 (🔻13 or 2.05%)
3/8
August 25, 2025 at 2:31 PM
The big driver for the MOI spike has been the slow down in sales through August.
TO Free: 741 (🔻62 or 7.72%)
TO Condo: 978 (🔻38 or 3.74%)
Durham: 662 (🔻35 or 5.02%)
York: 944 (🔻13 or 1.36%)
Peel: 886 (🔻30 or 3.28%)
Halton: 620 (🔻13 or 2.05%)
3/8
TO Free: 741 (🔻62 or 7.72%)
TO Condo: 978 (🔻38 or 3.74%)
Durham: 662 (🔻35 or 5.02%)
York: 944 (🔻13 or 1.36%)
Peel: 886 (🔻30 or 3.28%)
Halton: 620 (🔻13 or 2.05%)
3/8
In the last three weeks, MOI across the GTA has jumped to a new YTD high (for my weekly readings).
Expect a drop next week when we get the month end expiries roll through.
2/8
Expect a drop next week when we get the month end expiries roll through.
2/8
August 25, 2025 at 2:31 PM
In the last three weeks, MOI across the GTA has jumped to a new YTD high (for my weekly readings).
Expect a drop next week when we get the month end expiries roll through.
2/8
Expect a drop next week when we get the month end expiries roll through.
2/8
IN SUMMARY:
1. August 2025 has seen rate of sales slow drastically compared to August 2024.
2. Active inventory is holding steady.
3. MOI has shot up to the second highest levels we have seen all year.
7/7
1. August 2025 has seen rate of sales slow drastically compared to August 2024.
2. Active inventory is holding steady.
3. MOI has shot up to the second highest levels we have seen all year.
7/7
August 18, 2025 at 9:35 PM
IN SUMMARY:
1. August 2025 has seen rate of sales slow drastically compared to August 2024.
2. Active inventory is holding steady.
3. MOI has shot up to the second highest levels we have seen all year.
7/7
1. August 2025 has seen rate of sales slow drastically compared to August 2024.
2. Active inventory is holding steady.
3. MOI has shot up to the second highest levels we have seen all year.
7/7
GTA wide, active listings stayed above the 30,000 mark for the 14th straight week.
Does it dip below next week?
6/7
Does it dip below next week?
6/7
August 18, 2025 at 9:35 PM
GTA wide, active listings stayed above the 30,000 mark for the 14th straight week.
Does it dip below next week?
6/7
Does it dip below next week?
6/7
Active listings fell across the board, but more drastically in the 416.
TO Free: 3,810 (🔻117 or 2.98%)
TO Condo: 7,495 (🔻146 or 1.91%)
Durham: 3,141 (🔻3 or 0.10%)
York: 6,144 (🔻66 or 1.06%)
Peel: 6,142 (🔻4 or 0.07%)
Halton: 3,344 (🔻29 or 0.86%)
5/7
TO Free: 3,810 (🔻117 or 2.98%)
TO Condo: 7,495 (🔻146 or 1.91%)
Durham: 3,141 (🔻3 or 0.10%)
York: 6,144 (🔻66 or 1.06%)
Peel: 6,142 (🔻4 or 0.07%)
Halton: 3,344 (🔻29 or 0.86%)
5/7
August 18, 2025 at 9:35 PM
Active listings fell across the board, but more drastically in the 416.
TO Free: 3,810 (🔻117 or 2.98%)
TO Condo: 7,495 (🔻146 or 1.91%)
Durham: 3,141 (🔻3 or 0.10%)
York: 6,144 (🔻66 or 1.06%)
Peel: 6,142 (🔻4 or 0.07%)
Halton: 3,344 (🔻29 or 0.86%)
5/7
TO Free: 3,810 (🔻117 or 2.98%)
TO Condo: 7,495 (🔻146 or 1.91%)
Durham: 3,141 (🔻3 or 0.10%)
York: 6,144 (🔻66 or 1.06%)
Peel: 6,142 (🔻4 or 0.07%)
Halton: 3,344 (🔻29 or 0.86%)
5/7
August 2024 was all about the rate of sales holding steady.
August 2025 has given us the biggest two week drop of the year.
Does this indicate that we are in for a slower fall market?
4/7
August 2025 has given us the biggest two week drop of the year.
Does this indicate that we are in for a slower fall market?
4/7
August 18, 2025 at 9:35 PM
August 2024 was all about the rate of sales holding steady.
August 2025 has given us the biggest two week drop of the year.
Does this indicate that we are in for a slower fall market?
4/7
August 2025 has given us the biggest two week drop of the year.
Does this indicate that we are in for a slower fall market?
4/7
The big driver of the MOI jump is a falling rate of sales.
TO Free: 803 (🔻105 or 11.56%)
TO Condo: 1,016 (🔻63 or 5.84%)
Durham: 697 (🔻70 or 9.13%)
York: 957 (🔻33 or 3.33%)
Peel: 916 (🔻100 or 9.84%)
Halton: 633 (🔻51 or 7.46%)
3/7
TO Free: 803 (🔻105 or 11.56%)
TO Condo: 1,016 (🔻63 or 5.84%)
Durham: 697 (🔻70 or 9.13%)
York: 957 (🔻33 or 3.33%)
Peel: 916 (🔻100 or 9.84%)
Halton: 633 (🔻51 or 7.46%)
3/7
August 18, 2025 at 9:35 PM
The big driver of the MOI jump is a falling rate of sales.
TO Free: 803 (🔻105 or 11.56%)
TO Condo: 1,016 (🔻63 or 5.84%)
Durham: 697 (🔻70 or 9.13%)
York: 957 (🔻33 or 3.33%)
Peel: 916 (🔻100 or 9.84%)
Halton: 633 (🔻51 or 7.46%)
3/7
TO Free: 803 (🔻105 or 11.56%)
TO Condo: 1,016 (🔻63 or 5.84%)
Durham: 697 (🔻70 or 9.13%)
York: 957 (🔻33 or 3.33%)
Peel: 916 (🔻100 or 9.84%)
Halton: 633 (🔻51 or 7.46%)
3/7
The regional jumps mean that the GTA is sitting at the highest MOI we have seen since late January.
Durham Region is the only market that set a YTD high this week. In fact, it is the highest weekly reading I have recorded in the 3+ years I've been tracking.
2/7
Durham Region is the only market that set a YTD high this week. In fact, it is the highest weekly reading I have recorded in the 3+ years I've been tracking.
2/7
August 18, 2025 at 9:35 PM
The regional jumps mean that the GTA is sitting at the highest MOI we have seen since late January.
Durham Region is the only market that set a YTD high this week. In fact, it is the highest weekly reading I have recorded in the 3+ years I've been tracking.
2/7
Durham Region is the only market that set a YTD high this week. In fact, it is the highest weekly reading I have recorded in the 3+ years I've been tracking.
2/7
IN SUMMARY:
1. Summer sales slow down continues.
2. July inventory decline signals we've seen our spring/summer peak for active listings.
3. MOI stayed flat GTA-wide. Up in 3 markets, down in 3 markets.
7/7
1. Summer sales slow down continues.
2. July inventory decline signals we've seen our spring/summer peak for active listings.
3. MOI stayed flat GTA-wide. Up in 3 markets, down in 3 markets.
7/7
July 28, 2025 at 3:03 PM
IN SUMMARY:
1. Summer sales slow down continues.
2. July inventory decline signals we've seen our spring/summer peak for active listings.
3. MOI stayed flat GTA-wide. Up in 3 markets, down in 3 markets.
7/7
1. Summer sales slow down continues.
2. July inventory decline signals we've seen our spring/summer peak for active listings.
3. MOI stayed flat GTA-wide. Up in 3 markets, down in 3 markets.
7/7
Active listings are still outpacing 2024 by ~26.9%, but the July trend is different.
2024 saw a slow build while 2025 has seen a slow drop.
630 active listings have an expiry date between now and July 31, so expect a further drop in next week's reading.
6/7
2024 saw a slow build while 2025 has seen a slow drop.
630 active listings have an expiry date between now and July 31, so expect a further drop in next week's reading.
6/7
July 28, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Active listings are still outpacing 2024 by ~26.9%, but the July trend is different.
2024 saw a slow build while 2025 has seen a slow drop.
630 active listings have an expiry date between now and July 31, so expect a further drop in next week's reading.
6/7
2024 saw a slow build while 2025 has seen a slow drop.
630 active listings have an expiry date between now and July 31, so expect a further drop in next week's reading.
6/7
Active listing inventory fell across all six market segments.
TO Free: 4,173 (🔻103 or 2.41%)
TO Condo: 8,018 (🔻125 or 1.54%)
Durham: 3,187 (🔻22 or 0.69%)
York: 6,504 (🔻15 or 0.23%)
Peel: 6,422 (🔻26 or 0.40%)
Halton: 3,488 (🔻73 or 2.05%)
5/7
TO Free: 4,173 (🔻103 or 2.41%)
TO Condo: 8,018 (🔻125 or 1.54%)
Durham: 3,187 (🔻22 or 0.69%)
York: 6,504 (🔻15 or 0.23%)
Peel: 6,422 (🔻26 or 0.40%)
Halton: 3,488 (🔻73 or 2.05%)
5/7
July 28, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Active listing inventory fell across all six market segments.
TO Free: 4,173 (🔻103 or 2.41%)
TO Condo: 8,018 (🔻125 or 1.54%)
Durham: 3,187 (🔻22 or 0.69%)
York: 6,504 (🔻15 or 0.23%)
Peel: 6,422 (🔻26 or 0.40%)
Halton: 3,488 (🔻73 or 2.05%)
5/7
TO Free: 4,173 (🔻103 or 2.41%)
TO Condo: 8,018 (🔻125 or 1.54%)
Durham: 3,187 (🔻22 or 0.69%)
York: 6,504 (🔻15 or 0.23%)
Peel: 6,422 (🔻26 or 0.40%)
Halton: 3,488 (🔻73 or 2.05%)
5/7
While rate of sales has slowed through July, the drop off is not nearly as significant as what we witnessed in 2024.
2025 -🔻9.7%
2024 -🔻21.6%
4/7
2025 -🔻9.7%
2024 -🔻21.6%
4/7
July 28, 2025 at 3:03 PM
While rate of sales has slowed through July, the drop off is not nearly as significant as what we witnessed in 2024.
2025 -🔻9.7%
2024 -🔻21.6%
4/7
2025 -🔻9.7%
2024 -🔻21.6%
4/7
One month ago, the TO Freehold market was the most active from a rate of sales perspective. Not anymore.
TO Free: 956 (🔻44 or 4.40%)
TO Condo: 1,113 (⬆️23 or 2.11%)
Durham: 783 (🔻14 or 1.76%)
York: 966 (🔻29 or 2.91%)
Peel: 946 (⬆️4 or 0.42%)
Halton: 647 (🔻1 or 0.15%)
3/7
TO Free: 956 (🔻44 or 4.40%)
TO Condo: 1,113 (⬆️23 or 2.11%)
Durham: 783 (🔻14 or 1.76%)
York: 966 (🔻29 or 2.91%)
Peel: 946 (⬆️4 or 0.42%)
Halton: 647 (🔻1 or 0.15%)
3/7
July 28, 2025 at 3:03 PM
One month ago, the TO Freehold market was the most active from a rate of sales perspective. Not anymore.
TO Free: 956 (🔻44 or 4.40%)
TO Condo: 1,113 (⬆️23 or 2.11%)
Durham: 783 (🔻14 or 1.76%)
York: 966 (🔻29 or 2.91%)
Peel: 946 (⬆️4 or 0.42%)
Halton: 647 (🔻1 or 0.15%)
3/7
TO Free: 956 (🔻44 or 4.40%)
TO Condo: 1,113 (⬆️23 or 2.11%)
Durham: 783 (🔻14 or 1.76%)
York: 966 (🔻29 or 2.91%)
Peel: 946 (⬆️4 or 0.42%)
Halton: 647 (🔻1 or 0.15%)
3/7