Robert Marsiglio
robsiglio.bsky.social
Robert Marsiglio
@robsiglio.bsky.social
Dad. Husband. Blue Jays. Sports. GTA Real Estate. Educational Charts. RE Threads 🧵 |

Realtor - Valery Real Estate Inc., Brokerage

#TORE
It happened again...

I represented one of three offers in an offer presentation yesterday.

Seller decided to terminate and list for $300k more.

GTA real estate in 2025 in a nutshell.
October 7, 2025 at 3:34 PM
Monday months of #TORE resale housing inventory 🧵

(change from last week)

TO Free: 5.04 (⬆️0.30 or 6.32%)
TO Condo: 7.52 (⬆️0.14 or 1.88%)
Durham: 4.50 (🔻0.01 or 0.08%)
York: 6.44 (⬆️0.02 or 0.24%)
Peel: 6.79 (⬆️0.08 or 1.27%)
Halton: 5.22 (🔻0.07 or 1.26%)

1/8
August 25, 2025 at 2:31 PM
Quick Oshawa update:

Showed a bungalow this past weekend. Listed low ($599k) with an offer night strategy.

Most recent comps on the street sold for mid/high $800s.

This one needed some work, but I had it pegged as low to mid $700s.

Sold firm before offer night for $650k.
August 19, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Monday months of #TORE resale housing inventory. 🧵

(change from last week)

TO Free: 4.74 (⬆️0.42 or 9.71%)
TO Condo: 7.38 (⬆️0.30 or 4.17%)
Durham: 4.51 (⬆️0.41 or 9.94%)
York: 6.42 (⬆️0.15 or 2.35%)
Peel: 6.71 (⬆️0.66 or 10.84%)
Halton: 5.28 (⬆️0.35 or 7.13%)

1/7
August 18, 2025 at 9:35 PM
Since the start of August, there have been 890 detached home sales reported in the GTA.

1 in 20 sold for 90% of the list price or lower.

Buyers - don't be afraid to throw a Hail Mary.
August 13, 2025 at 6:43 PM
In the past 2 months, I've experienced:

1. A seller reneging on multiple verbal agreements
2. A seller getting a haircut in the home during an inspection
3. A seller failing to vacate the home in time for closing
4. A seller taking the keys to the home with them when they moved

That's 1 deal
August 1, 2025 at 3:55 PM
Is the tide starting to turn when it comes to GTA home sales?

July 2025 is shaping up to be the busiest July in terms of reported sales since 2021.

Freehold sales are projected to outpace 2017.

The doors are by no means being blow off, but have we hit the bottom for volume?
July 29, 2025 at 6:40 PM
Monday months of #TORE resale housing inventory 🧵

(change from last week)

TO Free: 4.37 (⬆️0.09 or 2.08%)
TO Condo: 7.20 (🔻0.27 or 3.57%)
Durham: 4.07 (⬆️0.04 or 1.09%)
York: 6.73 (⬆️0.18 or 2.77%)
Peel: 6.79 (🔻0.06 or 0.82%)
Halton: 5.39 (🔻0.10 or 1.90%)

1/7
July 28, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Q2 2025 saw the lowest sales as a percentage of new listings across the GTA in the last 10 years.

By this metric, 416 and 905 markets have been in buyer's market territory for the last 6+ months.

416 has been in a balanced to buyers market for the past 3 years.

1/3
July 23, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Monday months of #TORE resale housing inventory

(change from last week)

TO Free: 4.28 (⬆️0.11 or 2.61%)
TO Condo: 7.47 (⬆️0.04 or 0.50%)
Durham: 4.03 (🔻0.09 or 2.25%)
York: 6.55 (🔻0.01 or 0.16%)
Peel: 6.85 (⬆️0.14 or 2.03%)
Halton: 5.50 (⬆️0.25 or 4.80%)

1/7
July 21, 2025 at 1:43 PM
Have GTA home sales taken off this July?

My charts say no, although 2025 is outperforming 2024 through two full weeks of July.

July 1-14, 2025
Freehold: 1,705
Condo: 878
Total: 2,583

July 1-14, 2024
Freehold: 1,502
Condo: 892
Total: 2,394

*per Toronto MLS
July 17, 2025 at 8:26 PM
Monday months of #TORE resale housing inventory (on a Tuesday)

(change from last week)

TO Free: 4.17 (⬆️0.16 or 4.02%)
TO Condo: 7.43 (⬆️0.13 or 1.72%)
Durham: 4.12 (⬆️0.13 or 3.36%)
York: 6.56 (⬆️0.32 or 5.20%)
Peel: 6.71 (⬆️0.15 or 2.33%)
Halton: 5.24 (⬆️0.10 or 1.98%)

1/8
July 15, 2025 at 1:10 PM
In June, 66% of all freehold homes sold in the GTA went for less than asking.

Here is a breakdown by municipality/area and a comparison to 2024 and 2021.

Let me know if you have a neighbourhood in mind that you want this breakdown for! #TORE
July 9, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Check out 2024 vs 2025 MOI.

2025 has been a slow creep versus the big run up we saw in 2024.

Will we continue to see incremental growth in 2025, or a big jump through the summer? #TORE
July 7, 2025 at 8:14 PM
Monday months of #TORE resale housing inventory 🧵

(change from last week)

TO Free: 4.01 (⬆️0.14 or 3.75%)
TO Condo: 7.31 (🔻0.09 or 1.19%)
Durham: 3.99 (⬆️0.04 or 1.13%)
York: 6.24 (NO CHANGE)
Peel: 6.56 (⬆️0.50 or 8.23%)
Halton: 5.14 (⬆️0.16 or 3.26%)

1/8
July 7, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Since June 2019 (last June pre covid) active inventory across TRREB per Market Watch is up by 61%.

Downtown Toronto condo inventory is up by 211%.
July 4, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Monday months of resale #TORE housing inventory

(change from last week)

TO Free: 3.86 (⬆️0.01 or 0.30%)
TO Condo: 7.40 (⬆️0.04 or 0.52%)
Durham: 3.94 (⬆️0.05 or 1.33%)
York: 6.24 (🔻0.05 or 0.82%)
Peel: 6.06 (⬆️0.07 or 1.25%)
Halton: 4.98 (⬆️0.30 or 6.40%)

1/7
June 30, 2025 at 3:37 PM
What does months of inventory look like across the price spectrum heading into the summer?

I'm glad you asked!

Here are freehold properties under $2 million.

1/4
June 26, 2025 at 4:30 PM
June 2025 sales continue to lag 2024, but I think we will see 2025 come out on top when all is said and done.

This is in large part because June 2025 has one extra week day than June 2024.

#TORE

1/3
June 24, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Monday months of #TORE resale housing inventory 🧵

(change from last week)

TO Free: 3.85 (🔻0.12 or 3.13%)
TO Condo: 7.36 (🔻0.20 or 2.70%)
Durham: 3.89 (🔻0.07 or 1.71%)
York: 6.29 (🔻0.14 or 2.18%)
Peel: 5.98 (🔻0.32 or 5.12%)
Halton: 4.68 (🔻0.21 or 4.21%)

1/7
June 23, 2025 at 4:23 PM
1.2% of all active listings in Durham Region are sold conditionally with an escape clause right now.

#TORE
June 16, 2025 at 2:45 PM
Monday months of #TORE resale housing inventory 🧵

(change from last week)

TO Free: 3.97 (🔻0.01 or 0.08%)
TO Condo: 7.56 (🔻0.11 or 1.46%)
Durham: 3.96 (NO CHANGE)
York: 6.43 (🔻0.09 or 1.48%)
Peel: 6.31 (⬆️0.08 or 1.26%)
Halton: 4.89 (⬆️0.06 or 1.13%)

1/7
June 16, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Will June 2025 reported home sales surpass June 2024?

Through one full week, 2025 is trailing 2024 by 1.3%.

Here is how each month looked through one week YTD.

#TORE
June 10, 2025 at 3:25 PM
Monday months of #TORE resale housing inventory 🧵

(change from last week)

TO Free: 3.98 (⬆️0.09 or 2.26%)
TO Condo: 7.67 (NO CHANGE)
Durham: 3.96 (⬆️0.07 or 1.81%)
York: 6.52 (🔻0.04 or 0.54%)
Peel: 6.23 (⬆️0.04 or 0.67%)
Halton: 4.83 (⬆️0.16 or 3.33%)

1/7
June 10, 2025 at 12:54 AM
How's the GTA pre construction housing market doing?

I saw at least two builders trying to sell projects at the Spring Fair today.

So, yeah, it's good!
June 8, 2025 at 9:01 PM