Rouven Michels
rmichels.bsky.social
Rouven Michels
@rmichels.bsky.social
Post-Doc @TU Dortmund University
Working on Sports Analytics
Reposted by Rouven Michels
Our paper on #HMMs with periodically ⏰ varying transition probabilities is published! 🎉 @carlinafeldmann.bsky.social, Sina Mews, @rmichels.bsky.social @rolandlangrock.bsky.social

doi.org/10.1214/25-AOAS2107

We derive the periodically #stationary distribution and the implied dwell-time distribution
December 10, 2025 at 2:54 PM
Reposted by Rouven Michels
We're all looking forward to the #UEFA #WEURO2025 starting on tomorrow! ⚽

Do you want to know what is the likely course of the tournament and who probably wins? 🏆

Read our blog post: 📰

www.zeileis.org/news/weuro2025/
www.zeileis.org
July 1, 2025 at 7:22 AM
Reposted by Rouven Michels
Sachen gibt's: Wenn man die Skalierung der Achse ändert, ist auf einmal der Balken beim Linksextremismus länger.
June 10, 2025 at 11:40 AM
Reposted by Rouven Michels
I wrote about the defining story of the Premier League season. How Liverpool lost one of the best coaches in the history of the sport -- and immediately got better: www.espn.com/soccer/story...
Are Liverpool proof coaches don't matter? Or is Slot just better than Klopp?
Liverpool were supposed to struggle once Jurgen Klopp left. Instead, Arne Slot won the Premier League. Do coaches just not matter?
www.espn.com
May 13, 2025 at 1:30 PM
Reposted by Rouven Michels
Diese Realitätsverweigerung bei gleichzeitiger Behauptung, man würde die Realität aber viel besser sehen, ist schon dreist.
April 11, 2025 at 7:50 AM
Reposted by Rouven Michels
In this year‘s NFL Big Data Bowl 🏈 submission, @rmichels.bsky.social, Robert Bajons, and I employ hidden Markov models to uncover 🔎guarding assignments and use this additional information to improve the prediction of defensive strategies. 📊
#bigdatabowl #rstats
January 7, 2025 at 2:10 PM