R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
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rdbressler.bsky.social
R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
@rdbressler.bsky.social
Assistant Professor of Economics @BentleyU | Formerly Climate Staff Economist @WhiteHouseCEA, PhD @Columbia @SipaSusDev
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🚨"Heat disproportionally kills young people: Evidence from Wet-Bulb Temperature Exposure" My new paper co-lead with @ajsw.info is out today!

Using 20 years of nationwide mortality microdata + wet-bulb temperature, we uncovered fascinating new findings. Thread 👇

www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Heat disproportionately kills young people: Evidence from wet-bulb temperature in Mexico
Analysis of temperature exposure and microdata finds the majority of heat-related deaths are among people under 35 years old.
www.science.org
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
Should the carbon price be the same across countries and sectors?

Four kinds of imperfections call for differentiated carbon prices:
1. Different growth rates
2. Market power in trade
3. The presence of country- or sector-specific distorsive taxes
4. A constraint preventing cross-country transfers
September 8, 2025 at 5:51 PM
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
A lot of Americans like to blame the Reagan Administration for the rise of market power and oligopoly in the US. But markups have been rising globally (except in South America) since 1980. Seems likely that other causes were at play:

drive.google.com/file/d/1W7A9...
DLE_global.pdf
drive.google.com
August 11, 2025 at 7:14 PM
🚨New Paper🚨

Valuing statistical absences? Why benefit-cost analysis cannot avoid population ethics"

My new paper with regulatory legal scholar extraordinaire Andy Stawasz is out in Ecological Economics!
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Valuing statistical absences? Why benefit-cost analysis cannot avoid population ethics
Policies subject to BCA sometimes prevent premature deaths. If survivors would later have children, those policies not only prevent deaths; they cause…
www.sciencedirect.com
June 25, 2025 at 3:32 PM
We had an all-star group of job market candidates this year and an all-star job market coordinator @rmetcalfe.bsky.social . Great set of placements in a really tough year. Proud to be a part of this group!
Thrilled to share the fantastic placements of our eight Sustainable Development PhD job market candidates this year!

Anna Papp – Postdoc: MIT Econ | AP: UCSB Bren

Danny Bressler – AP: Bentley Econ

Gabriel Gonzalez Suntil – Economist: Amazon

Isabella Smythe – ML Engineer: Rhizome
May 1, 2025 at 10:03 PM
"The uncertainty that is baked into this crisis is all the more reason to take urgent and decisive action to address it."
Remember how Y2K was going to lead to blackouts, bank runs and worse?

Well, it didn't. We had a deadline. We invested somewhere from $300 to $500 billion(!), and things turned out fine.

Climate change has no Y2K deadline. That's what makes it even harder to deal with

www.salon.com/2025/05/01/c...
Chaos is the essence of climate change
The next climate disaster is sure to come. When and where is the question
www.salon.com
May 1, 2025 at 8:57 PM
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
NEW: Fossil fuel firms like Chevron and Exxon owe the world trillions of dollars. Today in @nature.com, @jsmankin.bsky.social and I show economic losses from rising heat waves directly traceable to these firms, providing scientific support for climate accountability.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Carbon majors and the scientific case for climate liability - Nature
A transparent and reproducible scientific framework is introduced to formalize how trillions in economic losses are attributable to the extreme heat caused by emissions from fossil fuel companies, whi...
www.nature.com
April 23, 2025 at 3:12 PM
Job Market Done ✅ I'm thrilled to announce that I will be an Assistant Professor in Economics at Bentley University this fall.

I'm excited to join a great group of colleagues and to move back to Boston!
April 21, 2025 at 8:32 PM
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
New preprint finding that eliminating US global health funding over the next fifteen years would cause:
- 15.2m deaths from AIDS
- 2.2m deaths from TB
- 7.9 additional child deaths
April 17, 2025 at 8:32 PM
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
Mississippi State Univ. is hiring a tenure-track Econ Assistant Prof w/ August start!

Open field; pref. for applied micro & teaching PhD Micro I & II (Micro II this fall).

Apply: MSU site & www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing.php?JOE_ID=2025-01_111475768

Please repost—it's an off-cycle search. Thanks!
March 21, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
There are days in life that shake you.

I’m shattered 💔 to share that I just found out that the US Government terminated my 2024 NIH Director’s Early Independence Award (~$2 million), threatening my long-promised assistant professor job at Columbia University
& academic career... 1/🧵
March 18, 2025 at 11:27 PM
Essential reading for folks interested in the economics of climate change. Check it out!
January 15, 2025 at 5:46 PM
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
Planning your climate or environment syllabus? I like to show short videos so students & I can visualize some of the things we're talking about. Here are some of the ones I like:
January 2, 2025 at 6:45 PM
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better.

All three statements are true at the same time. Understanding this is key to solving big global problems.

We believe data & research can help us understand both the problems we face & the progress that’s possible. 🧵
December 10, 2024 at 1:05 PM
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
What’s important about this piece is economic theory, when translated into practice, needs to overcorrect for the actual impacts to people’s lives that efficiency driven by theory create. It’s not “winners COULD compensate losers” it’s “winners DO compensate losers”.

www.nytimes.com/2024/12/23/o...
Opinion | What Economists Could Learn From George Costanza
Their economic models produced a disaster, but they doubled down.
www.nytimes.com
December 23, 2024 at 2:47 PM
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
Excited to announce a new @pnas.org publication on the Social Cost of Carbon. We integrate evidence from the literature and expert survey to provide an SCC distribution inclusive of both parametric and structural uncertainties. Our mean 2020 value is $283 per ton CO2
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Synthesis of evidence yields high social cost of carbon due to structural model variation and uncertainties | PNAS
Estimating the cost to society from a ton of CO2—termed the social cost of carbon (SCC)—requires connecting a model of the climate system with a re...
www.pnas.org
December 17, 2024 at 9:42 PM
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
Extreme heat is preferentially killing young adults and small children, finds a new study co-led by @rdbressler.bsky.social and @ajsw.info with Columbia Climate School's Radley Horton, @adamsobel.bsky.social, @ccivanovich.bsky.social (now NASAGISS), Jeffrey Shrader, and colleagues. Via CBS News.
Young people more susceptible to heat-related death, study finds
A new Columbia University Climate School study discovered that young people may be most at risk of heat-related deaths. CBS News environmental correspondent David Schechter reports.
www.cbsnews.com
December 12, 2024 at 7:02 PM
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
Save the date: 9th Conference on Econometric Models of Climate Change (EMCC) will be at the University of Victoria BC, Canada, Aug. 27-28, 2025.

Come if you want to learn about climate and econometrics (or just want to visit Vancouver Island...) Formal call for papers to follow in 2025. #EconSky
December 11, 2024 at 5:09 PM
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
🚨"Heat disproportionally kills young people: Evidence from Wet-Bulb Temperature Exposure" My new paper co-lead with @ajsw.info is out today!

Using 20 years of nationwide mortality microdata + wet-bulb temperature, we uncovered fascinating new findings. Thread 👇

www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Heat disproportionately kills young people: Evidence from wet-bulb temperature in Mexico
Analysis of temperature exposure and microdata finds the majority of heat-related deaths are among people under 35 years old.
www.science.org
December 6, 2024 at 10:09 PM
See below for a really nice writeup from @columbiaclimate.bsky.social on my recent @science.org article co-lead with @ajsw.info

Here is my thread summarizing the study: bsky.app/profile/rdbr...
Extreme heat is preferentially killing young adults and small children, finds new study on mortality in Mexico by Columbia PhD candidate @rdbressler.bsky.social and Columbia Climate School, Stanford, Montana State, UCLA, Boston University, CICESE colleagues: news.climate.columbia.edu/2024/12/06/h...
December 10, 2024 at 5:49 PM
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
Amazing to see this work dreamed up by Danny and I in the early years of our PhDs in its final form! By combining high resolution climate and mortality data, we paint a more complete picture of the evolving risk for temperature-related deaths in Mexico. Take a read!
🚨"Heat disproportionally kills young people: Evidence from Wet-Bulb Temperature Exposure" My new paper co-lead with @ajsw.info is out today!

Using 20 years of nationwide mortality microdata + wet-bulb temperature, we uncovered fascinating new findings. Thread 👇

www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Heat disproportionately kills young people: Evidence from wet-bulb temperature in Mexico
Analysis of temperature exposure and microdata finds the majority of heat-related deaths are among people under 35 years old.
www.science.org
December 10, 2024 at 4:17 PM
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
On Friday afternoon at #AGU24, I'll be presenting this new (and, frankly, worrying) work of ours on extreme heat and mortality. Come see it! Poster GC53C-0380.
December 4, 2024 at 4:05 PM
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
VSL, discounting and the SCC
What’s the most important choice in determining the social cost of carbon (SCC)?

My #EconJMP shows that because deaths from emitting CO2 are large and concentrated in poor countries, valuing lives is the most consequential choice in determining the SCC in latest-gen models, more than discounting 🧵👇
December 9, 2024 at 9:40 PM
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
What’s the most important choice in determining the social cost of carbon (SCC)?

My #EconJMP shows that because deaths from emitting CO2 are large and concentrated in poor countries, valuing lives is the most consequential choice in determining the SCC in latest-gen models, more than discounting 🧵👇
December 2, 2024 at 3:41 PM
Thread below on my new @science.org article with some interesting new findings that came out Friday with a great team of coauthors.

I'm the social media engagement genius who posted this on a Friday evening...check it out if you haven't seen it yet!
🚨"Heat disproportionally kills young people: Evidence from Wet-Bulb Temperature Exposure" My new paper co-lead with @ajsw.info is out today!

Using 20 years of nationwide mortality microdata + wet-bulb temperature, we uncovered fascinating new findings. Thread 👇

www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Heat disproportionately kills young people: Evidence from wet-bulb temperature in Mexico
Analysis of temperature exposure and microdata finds the majority of heat-related deaths are among people under 35 years old.
www.science.org
December 9, 2024 at 5:38 PM