Reposted
This graphic shows the difference from the 1981-2010 baseline. Add about 0.60°C to get the anomaly above the 1850-1900 IPCC pre-industrial baseline.
In other words, an anomaly over pre-industrial above 1.80°C is likely in the next few days.
www.karstenhaustein.com/climate
In other words, an anomaly over pre-industrial above 1.80°C is likely in the next few days.
www.karstenhaustein.com/climate
November 19, 2025 at 2:42 PM
This graphic shows the difference from the 1981-2010 baseline. Add about 0.60°C to get the anomaly above the 1850-1900 IPCC pre-industrial baseline.
In other words, an anomaly over pre-industrial above 1.80°C is likely in the next few days.
www.karstenhaustein.com/climate
In other words, an anomaly over pre-industrial above 1.80°C is likely in the next few days.
www.karstenhaustein.com/climate
Reposted
Here are the latest global temperature anomalies:
November 18, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Here are the latest global temperature anomalies:
Reposted
For those keeping track, as of the latest data release from CERES, the 12-month running average for the Earth energy imbalance has the planet once again heating at a rate of 10 Hiroshimas per second.
ceres-tool.larc.nasa.gov/ord-tool/jsp...
ceres-tool.larc.nasa.gov/ord-tool/jsp...
November 18, 2025 at 1:25 PM
For those keeping track, as of the latest data release from CERES, the 12-month running average for the Earth energy imbalance has the planet once again heating at a rate of 10 Hiroshimas per second.
ceres-tool.larc.nasa.gov/ord-tool/jsp...
ceres-tool.larc.nasa.gov/ord-tool/jsp...
Reposted
Monday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the *2nd* lowest on record (JAXA data)
• about 740,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,390,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 2,030,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,490,000 km² below the 1980s mean
More zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...
• about 740,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,390,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 2,030,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,490,000 km² below the 1980s mean
More zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...
November 17, 2025 at 1:34 PM
Monday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the *2nd* lowest on record (JAXA data)
• about 740,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,390,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 2,030,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,490,000 km² below the 1980s mean
More zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...
• about 740,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,390,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 2,030,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,490,000 km² below the 1980s mean
More zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...
Reposted
November 17, 2025 at 1:38 PM
Reposted
The ongoing Arctic heat anomaly is forecast to peak around November 20th. I will be watching to see if Arctic sea-ice hits a new daily record low (since records began in 1979).
Meanshile, the Climate 8-ball is building a bunker in New Zealand.
www.karstenhaustein.com/climate
Meanshile, the Climate 8-ball is building a bunker in New Zealand.
www.karstenhaustein.com/climate
November 15, 2025 at 10:01 PM
The ongoing Arctic heat anomaly is forecast to peak around November 20th. I will be watching to see if Arctic sea-ice hits a new daily record low (since records began in 1979).
Meanshile, the Climate 8-ball is building a bunker in New Zealand.
www.karstenhaustein.com/climate
Meanshile, the Climate 8-ball is building a bunker in New Zealand.
www.karstenhaustein.com/climate
Reposted
And now average temperature departures by month in the #Arctic since the year 1940.
Data from @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social ERA5 reanalysis. More views at zacklabe.com/arctic-tempe....
Data from @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social ERA5 reanalysis. More views at zacklabe.com/arctic-tempe....
November 15, 2025 at 1:41 AM
And now average temperature departures by month in the #Arctic since the year 1940.
Data from @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social ERA5 reanalysis. More views at zacklabe.com/arctic-tempe....
Data from @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social ERA5 reanalysis. More views at zacklabe.com/arctic-tempe....
Reposted
The November ENSO forecast was just released yesterday by NOAA, and by early summer, 2026, the next El Nino may be underway.
Will there be an El Nino next year? Will 1.5°C be history? Will we solve for x?
The Climate 8-Ball has one hand in its pocket.
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana...
Will there be an El Nino next year? Will 1.5°C be history? Will we solve for x?
The Climate 8-Ball has one hand in its pocket.
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana...
November 14, 2025 at 9:40 PM
The November ENSO forecast was just released yesterday by NOAA, and by early summer, 2026, the next El Nino may be underway.
Will there be an El Nino next year? Will 1.5°C be history? Will we solve for x?
The Climate 8-Ball has one hand in its pocket.
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana...
Will there be an El Nino next year? Will 1.5°C be history? Will we solve for x?
The Climate 8-Ball has one hand in its pocket.
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana...
Reposted
Once upon a time in the Arctic, a long long time ago, there was this magical substance called ice ...
November 10, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Once upon a time in the Arctic, a long long time ago, there was this magical substance called ice ...
Reposted
Breaking News!
Code UFB!!!
The three-year running mean for the global surface temperature anomaly now exceeds 1.50°C over the pre-industrial baseline, as of November 8, 2025.
Are you there, COP 30? It's me, the Paris Agreement.
Code UFB!!!
The three-year running mean for the global surface temperature anomaly now exceeds 1.50°C over the pre-industrial baseline, as of November 8, 2025.
Are you there, COP 30? It's me, the Paris Agreement.
November 10, 2025 at 5:02 PM
Breaking News!
Code UFB!!!
The three-year running mean for the global surface temperature anomaly now exceeds 1.50°C over the pre-industrial baseline, as of November 8, 2025.
Are you there, COP 30? It's me, the Paris Agreement.
Code UFB!!!
The three-year running mean for the global surface temperature anomaly now exceeds 1.50°C over the pre-industrial baseline, as of November 8, 2025.
Are you there, COP 30? It's me, the Paris Agreement.
Glacier Thwaites en Antarctique occidental
November 9, 2025 at 12:50 AM
Glacier Thwaites en Antarctique occidental
Reposted
For all the denier ducks who quack loudly but carry a small stick, Antarctic sea-ice extent is 3rd lowest on record for the date, as of November 6th.
Will a new record low daily extent be set this year? The Climate 8-ball is seeking professional help.
Will a new record low daily extent be set this year? The Climate 8-ball is seeking professional help.
November 7, 2025 at 1:55 PM
For all the denier ducks who quack loudly but carry a small stick, Antarctic sea-ice extent is 3rd lowest on record for the date, as of November 6th.
Will a new record low daily extent be set this year? The Climate 8-ball is seeking professional help.
Will a new record low daily extent be set this year? The Climate 8-ball is seeking professional help.
Les moyennes du jour, date de réalisation: 6 novembre 2025
November 6, 2025 at 3:50 PM
Les moyennes du jour, date de réalisation: 6 novembre 2025
Reposted
I've got that 'above the trendline' feeling this morning, and haven't even had a cup of coffee yet.
Here's the latest on the 3-year running average for global sea-ice extent.
Here's the latest on the 3-year running average for global sea-ice extent.
November 6, 2025 at 2:08 PM
I've got that 'above the trendline' feeling this morning, and haven't even had a cup of coffee yet.
Here's the latest on the 3-year running average for global sea-ice extent.
Here's the latest on the 3-year running average for global sea-ice extent.
Moyenne de l'année 2023-2024-2025: +1.492°C
Date de réalisation: 5 novembre 2025
Anomalies de température du 2023-01-01 au 2025-11-03 (Année 2023-2024-2025)
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
Date de réalisation: 5 novembre 2025
Anomalies de température du 2023-01-01 au 2025-11-03 (Année 2023-2024-2025)
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
November 5, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Moyenne de l'année 2023-2024-2025: +1.492°C
Date de réalisation: 5 novembre 2025
Anomalies de température du 2023-01-01 au 2025-11-03 (Année 2023-2024-2025)
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
Date de réalisation: 5 novembre 2025
Anomalies de température du 2023-01-01 au 2025-11-03 (Année 2023-2024-2025)
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
Moyenne de l'année 2025: +1.447°C
Date de réalisation: 5 novembre 2025
Anomalies de température du 2025-01-01 au 2025-11-03 (Année 2025)
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
Date de réalisation: 5 novembre 2025
Anomalies de température du 2025-01-01 au 2025-11-03 (Année 2025)
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
November 5, 2025 at 4:26 PM
Moyenne de l'année 2025: +1.447°C
Date de réalisation: 5 novembre 2025
Anomalies de température du 2025-01-01 au 2025-11-03 (Année 2025)
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
Date de réalisation: 5 novembre 2025
Anomalies de température du 2025-01-01 au 2025-11-03 (Année 2025)
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
Moyenne des 30 derniers jours: 1.553°C
Anomalies de température du 2025-10-05 au 2025-11-03 (Derniers 30 jours)
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
Date de réalisation: 5 novembre 2025
Anomalies de température du 2025-10-05 au 2025-11-03 (Derniers 30 jours)
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
Date de réalisation: 5 novembre 2025
November 5, 2025 at 4:11 PM
Moyenne des 30 derniers jours: 1.553°C
Anomalies de température du 2025-10-05 au 2025-11-03 (Derniers 30 jours)
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
Date de réalisation: 5 novembre 2025
Anomalies de température du 2025-10-05 au 2025-11-03 (Derniers 30 jours)
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
Date de réalisation: 5 novembre 2025
Reposted
Here are the daily color stripes for 1940-2025, with 2025 now updated through November 1.
What will the future bring? The Climate 8-ball sings: "It's not easy being green."
What will the future bring? The Climate 8-ball sings: "It's not easy being green."
November 4, 2025 at 1:42 PM
Here are the daily color stripes for 1940-2025, with 2025 now updated through November 1.
What will the future bring? The Climate 8-ball sings: "It's not easy being green."
What will the future bring? The Climate 8-ball sings: "It's not easy being green."
Reposted
The median date for global sea-ice extent to hit its annual maximum is November 2nd. That was yesterday.
It's looking like 2025 may end up with the second lowest global sea-ice maximum since records began in 1988, behind only 2024. And 2016 is just barely higher.
Stay tuned!
It's looking like 2025 may end up with the second lowest global sea-ice maximum since records began in 1988, behind only 2024. And 2016 is just barely higher.
Stay tuned!
November 3, 2025 at 4:29 PM
The median date for global sea-ice extent to hit its annual maximum is November 2nd. That was yesterday.
It's looking like 2025 may end up with the second lowest global sea-ice maximum since records began in 1988, behind only 2024. And 2016 is just barely higher.
Stay tuned!
It's looking like 2025 may end up with the second lowest global sea-ice maximum since records began in 1988, behind only 2024. And 2016 is just barely higher.
Stay tuned!
(Année 2023-2024-2025) Anomalies de température du 2023-01-01 au 2025-10-31
Moyenne de l'année 2023-2024-2025: +1.491°C
Date de réalisation: 2 novembre 2025
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
Moyenne de l'année 2023-2024-2025: +1.491°C
Date de réalisation: 2 novembre 2025
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
November 2, 2025 at 1:38 PM
(Année 2023-2024-2025) Anomalies de température du 2023-01-01 au 2025-10-31
Moyenne de l'année 2023-2024-2025: +1.491°C
Date de réalisation: 2 novembre 2025
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
Moyenne de l'année 2023-2024-2025: +1.491°C
Date de réalisation: 2 novembre 2025
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
(Année 2025) Anomalies de température du 2025-01-01 au 2025-10-31
Moyenne de l'année 2025: +1.445°C
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
Date de réalisation: 2 novembre 2025
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
Moyenne de l'année 2025: +1.445°C
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
Date de réalisation: 2 novembre 2025
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
November 2, 2025 at 1:18 PM
(Année 2025) Anomalies de température du 2025-01-01 au 2025-10-31
Moyenne de l'année 2025: +1.445°C
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
Date de réalisation: 2 novembre 2025
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
Moyenne de l'année 2025: +1.445°C
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
Date de réalisation: 2 novembre 2025
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
(Mois d'octobre au complet) Anomalies de température du 2025-10-01 au 2025-10-31
Moyenne du mois d'octobre: 1.543°C
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
Accord de Paris: 1.5°C
Date de réalisation: 2 novembre 2025
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
Moyenne du mois d'octobre: 1.543°C
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
Accord de Paris: 1.5°C
Date de réalisation: 2 novembre 2025
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
November 2, 2025 at 1:03 PM
(Mois d'octobre au complet) Anomalies de température du 2025-10-01 au 2025-10-31
Moyenne du mois d'octobre: 1.543°C
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
Accord de Paris: 1.5°C
Date de réalisation: 2 novembre 2025
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
Moyenne du mois d'octobre: 1.543°C
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
Accord de Paris: 1.5°C
Date de réalisation: 2 novembre 2025
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
Reposted
Is atmospheric CO2 concentration accelerating? Are humans the primary cause of this acceleration? Does more CO2 directly cause more planetary heating?
The Climate 8-ball is lost in River City.
The Climate 8-ball is lost in River City.
November 1, 2025 at 4:03 PM
Is atmospheric CO2 concentration accelerating? Are humans the primary cause of this acceleration? Does more CO2 directly cause more planetary heating?
The Climate 8-ball is lost in River City.
The Climate 8-ball is lost in River City.
Les dernières journées ont été chaudes sur la planète pour le réchauffement climatique.
Ce sont les données de Copernicus.
Ce sont les données de Copernicus.
October 31, 2025 at 1:05 PM
Les dernières journées ont été chaudes sur la planète pour le réchauffement climatique.
Ce sont les données de Copernicus.
Ce sont les données de Copernicus.
Moyenne des 30 derniers jours: 1.54°C
Anomalies de température du 2025-09-30 au 2025-10-29 (Derniers 30 jours)
Date de réalisation: 31 octobre 2025
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
Anomalies de température du 2025-09-30 au 2025-10-29 (Derniers 30 jours)
Date de réalisation: 31 octobre 2025
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
October 31, 2025 at 1:04 PM
Moyenne des 30 derniers jours: 1.54°C
Anomalies de température du 2025-09-30 au 2025-10-29 (Derniers 30 jours)
Date de réalisation: 31 octobre 2025
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...
Anomalies de température du 2025-09-30 au 2025-10-29 (Derniers 30 jours)
Date de réalisation: 31 octobre 2025
Anomalie quotidienne par rapport à la climatologie de référence 1991‑2020 (ERA5, Copernicus)
sites.ecmwf.int/data/climate...