Prof. Eliot Jacobson
@climatecasino.net
Retired professor of mathematics and computer science, casino consultant, author of 4 books: 3 on casino games & 1 poetry book. Now I volunteer, walk a lot & feed local critters.
Climate blog: climatecasino.net
Casino blog: advancedadvantageplay.com
Climate blog: climatecasino.net
Casino blog: advancedadvantageplay.com
Your 'bonus moment of doom' for today ~ Yes, and?
"Without action to draw down atmospheric carbon, the climate system will likely move into an era of accelerated warming that may be impossible to halt. Overshoot will be permanent."
www.motherjones.com/politics/202...
"Without action to draw down atmospheric carbon, the climate system will likely move into an era of accelerated warming that may be impossible to halt. Overshoot will be permanent."
www.motherjones.com/politics/202...
There may be no turning back this climate crisis
As warming breaches a critical threshold, scientists fear cascading consequences.
www.motherjones.com
February 8, 2026 at 7:25 PM
Your 'bonus moment of doom' for today ~ Yes, and?
"Without action to draw down atmospheric carbon, the climate system will likely move into an era of accelerated warming that may be impossible to halt. Overshoot will be permanent."
www.motherjones.com/politics/202...
"Without action to draw down atmospheric carbon, the climate system will likely move into an era of accelerated warming that may be impossible to halt. Overshoot will be permanent."
www.motherjones.com/politics/202...
Your 'moment of doom' for Feb. 8, 2026 ~ Hothouse Africa.
"Once regions in Africa enter a state of almost continuous heatwaves, the human body will have no window of time to recover."
theconversation.com/heat-with-no...
"Once regions in Africa enter a state of almost continuous heatwaves, the human body will have no window of time to recover."
theconversation.com/heat-with-no...
Heat with no end: climate model sets out an unbearable future for parts of Africa
By the end of this century, parts of Africa could face heatwaves for 250-300 days a year, which will make it difficult for people to survive.
theconversation.com
February 8, 2026 at 3:33 PM
Your 'moment of doom' for Feb. 8, 2026 ~ Hothouse Africa.
"Once regions in Africa enter a state of almost continuous heatwaves, the human body will have no window of time to recover."
theconversation.com/heat-with-no...
"Once regions in Africa enter a state of almost continuous heatwaves, the human body will have no window of time to recover."
theconversation.com/heat-with-no...
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
The 36-month running average for total column precipitable water just hit a new record high ... for the 15-th consecutive month!
The Climate 8-ball is moving to higher ground.
Code Yikes!
The 36-month running average for total column precipitable water just hit a new record high ... for the 15-th consecutive month!
The Climate 8-ball is moving to higher ground.
February 8, 2026 at 3:22 PM
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
The 36-month running average for total column precipitable water just hit a new record high ... for the 15-th consecutive month!
The Climate 8-ball is moving to higher ground.
Code Yikes!
The 36-month running average for total column precipitable water just hit a new record high ... for the 15-th consecutive month!
The Climate 8-ball is moving to higher ground.
Your 'hope porn' quote for today:
"Hopefully, the next generation will hear more elaborate songs from nature, know better ways to repair and share, and find a more sumptuous and intertwined way of being."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/not-too-la...
"Hopefully, the next generation will hear more elaborate songs from nature, know better ways to repair and share, and find a more sumptuous and intertwined way of being."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/not-too-la...
Not Too Late: Changing the Climate Story... book
Buy a cheap copy of Not Too Late: Changing the Climate Story... book. An energizing case for hope about the climate, from Rebecca Solnit (the voice of the resistance--New York Times), climate activist...
www.thriftbooks.com
February 8, 2026 at 3:13 PM
Your 'hope porn' quote for today:
"Hopefully, the next generation will hear more elaborate songs from nature, know better ways to repair and share, and find a more sumptuous and intertwined way of being."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/not-too-la...
"Hopefully, the next generation will hear more elaborate songs from nature, know better ways to repair and share, and find a more sumptuous and intertwined way of being."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/not-too-la...
February 7, 2026 at 2:59 PM
Your 'moment of doom' for Feb. 7, 2026 ~ Albedo alert!
"[Arctic] snow cover has been shrinking by about half a million square kilometers per decade, an area comparable to half the size of Canada’s most populous province."
scitechdaily.com/why-scientis...
"[Arctic] snow cover has been shrinking by about half a million square kilometers per decade, an area comparable to half the size of Canada’s most populous province."
scitechdaily.com/why-scientis...
Why Scientists Are Rethinking 60 Years of Arctic Snow Data
Decades of advances in satellite observation made it seem as though Arctic snow cover was growing, when in reality satellites were simply becoming better at detecting smaller and shrinking amounts of ...
scitechdaily.com
February 7, 2026 at 2:39 PM
Your 'moment of doom' for Feb. 7, 2026 ~ Albedo alert!
"[Arctic] snow cover has been shrinking by about half a million square kilometers per decade, an area comparable to half the size of Canada’s most populous province."
scitechdaily.com/why-scientis...
"[Arctic] snow cover has been shrinking by about half a million square kilometers per decade, an area comparable to half the size of Canada’s most populous province."
scitechdaily.com/why-scientis...
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"For the sixth extinction, however, we do know the culprit. We are."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/the-sixth-...
"For the sixth extinction, however, we do know the culprit. We are."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/the-sixth-...
The Sixth Extinction: Patterns of Life... book by Roger Lewin
Buy a cheap copy of The Sixth Extinction: Patterns of Life... book by Roger Lewin. Richard Leakey, One Of The World's Foremost Experts On Man's Evolutionary Past, Now Turns His Eye To The Future And D...
www.thriftbooks.com
February 7, 2026 at 2:12 PM
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"For the sixth extinction, however, we do know the culprit. We are."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/the-sixth-...
"For the sixth extinction, however, we do know the culprit. We are."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/the-sixth-...
The 3-year running mean for the global surface temperature anomaly is now at 1.53°C above the 1850-1900 IPCC pre-industrial baseline.
Meanwhile, the Climate 8-ball is snookered again.
Meanwhile, the Climate 8-ball is snookered again.
February 7, 2026 at 2:03 PM
The 3-year running mean for the global surface temperature anomaly is now at 1.53°C above the 1850-1900 IPCC pre-industrial baseline.
Meanwhile, the Climate 8-ball is snookered again.
Meanwhile, the Climate 8-ball is snookered again.
On July 30, 2022, I wrote the article below, where I concluded:
"What appears to be the case from these recent articles is that it’s not the sources that are driving this rise, it’s the degraded hydroxyl radical sink and loss of other natural sinks."
climatecasino.net/2022/07/is-t...
"What appears to be the case from these recent articles is that it’s not the sources that are driving this rise, it’s the degraded hydroxyl radical sink and loss of other natural sinks."
climatecasino.net/2022/07/is-t...
Is the Methane Catastrophe Happening Right Now?
Methane (CH₄) has been in the news a lot lately, mostly because the monthly numbers released by NOAA continue to skyrocket into record territory, while simultaneously increasing year-over-year by rec...
climatecasino.net
February 6, 2026 at 9:03 PM
On July 30, 2022, I wrote the article below, where I concluded:
"What appears to be the case from these recent articles is that it’s not the sources that are driving this rise, it’s the degraded hydroxyl radical sink and loss of other natural sinks."
climatecasino.net/2022/07/is-t...
"What appears to be the case from these recent articles is that it’s not the sources that are driving this rise, it’s the degraded hydroxyl radical sink and loss of other natural sinks."
climatecasino.net/2022/07/is-t...
Breaking Methane News!
It was the hydroxyl radicals after all!
"During 2020–2021, however, hydroxyl radicals levels around the world dropped. This is because the ingredients needed to make them were reduced when human activity slowed down."
www.esa.int/Applications...
It was the hydroxyl radicals after all!
"During 2020–2021, however, hydroxyl radicals levels around the world dropped. This is because the ingredients needed to make them were reduced when human activity slowed down."
www.esa.int/Applications...
February 6, 2026 at 5:04 PM
Breaking Methane News!
It was the hydroxyl radicals after all!
"During 2020–2021, however, hydroxyl radicals levels around the world dropped. This is because the ingredients needed to make them were reduced when human activity slowed down."
www.esa.int/Applications...
It was the hydroxyl radicals after all!
"During 2020–2021, however, hydroxyl radicals levels around the world dropped. This is because the ingredients needed to make them were reduced when human activity slowed down."
www.esa.int/Applications...
Your 'hope porn' quote for today:
"Yes is still possible. But yes, like love, needs to be a verb, our best and only hope. Let yes guide your aim. Then let it loose."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/deep-green...
"Yes is still possible. But yes, like love, needs to be a verb, our best and only hope. Let yes guide your aim. Then let it loose."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/deep-green...
Deep Green Resistance: Strategy to Save... book by Derrick Jensen
Buy a cheap copy of Deep Green Resistance: Strategy to Save... book by Derrick Jensen. For years, Derrick Jensen has asked his audiences, Do you think this culture will undergo a voluntary transformat...
www.thriftbooks.com
February 6, 2026 at 2:30 PM
Your 'hope porn' quote for today:
"Yes is still possible. But yes, like love, needs to be a verb, our best and only hope. Let yes guide your aim. Then let it loose."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/deep-green...
"Yes is still possible. But yes, like love, needs to be a verb, our best and only hope. Let yes guide your aim. Then let it loose."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/deep-green...
Your 'moment of doom' for Feb. 6, 2026 ~ Dead or dying.
"However, toxicity increased considerably in much of Africa, India, the US, Brazil and Russia. Chile is the only country on track to meet the UN target of reducing pesticide risk by 50% by 2030..."
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
"However, toxicity increased considerably in much of Africa, India, the US, Brazil and Russia. Chile is the only country on track to meet the UN target of reducing pesticide risk by 50% by 2030..."
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
‘Stark warning’: pesticide harm to wildlife rising globally, study finds
Toxicity from farm chemicals increased for most species groups between 2013 and 2019, with insects worst affected
www.theguardian.com
February 6, 2026 at 2:26 PM
Your 'moment of doom' for Feb. 6, 2026 ~ Dead or dying.
"However, toxicity increased considerably in much of Africa, India, the US, Brazil and Russia. Chile is the only country on track to meet the UN target of reducing pesticide risk by 50% by 2030..."
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
"However, toxicity increased considerably in much of Africa, India, the US, Brazil and Russia. Chile is the only country on track to meet the UN target of reducing pesticide risk by 50% by 2030..."
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Breaking News!
Y-axis alert!
For the first time on record, the 3-year running average for the mean rate of atmospheric CO2 growth broke 8.00 ppm per 3 years, reaching a new record high growth rate of 8.06 ppm per 3 years.
And that dip in the early 1990's was Mt. Pinatubo.
Y-axis alert!
For the first time on record, the 3-year running average for the mean rate of atmospheric CO2 growth broke 8.00 ppm per 3 years, reaching a new record high growth rate of 8.06 ppm per 3 years.
And that dip in the early 1990's was Mt. Pinatubo.
February 5, 2026 at 10:15 PM
Breaking News!
Y-axis alert!
For the first time on record, the 3-year running average for the mean rate of atmospheric CO2 growth broke 8.00 ppm per 3 years, reaching a new record high growth rate of 8.06 ppm per 3 years.
And that dip in the early 1990's was Mt. Pinatubo.
Y-axis alert!
For the first time on record, the 3-year running average for the mean rate of atmospheric CO2 growth broke 8.00 ppm per 3 years, reaching a new record high growth rate of 8.06 ppm per 3 years.
And that dip in the early 1990's was Mt. Pinatubo.
Breaking News!
Code La Nina!!!
The method for computing the ENSO cycle (La Nina/El Nino) changed as of Feb. 2, 2026. NOAA is now using RONI, the Relative Oceanic Nino Index.
Even with all the recent record heat, since 2020 it's been mostly La Nina!
www.weather.gov/media/notifi...
Code La Nina!!!
The method for computing the ENSO cycle (La Nina/El Nino) changed as of Feb. 2, 2026. NOAA is now using RONI, the Relative Oceanic Nino Index.
Even with all the recent record heat, since 2020 it's been mostly La Nina!
www.weather.gov/media/notifi...
February 5, 2026 at 6:02 PM
Breaking News!
Code La Nina!!!
The method for computing the ENSO cycle (La Nina/El Nino) changed as of Feb. 2, 2026. NOAA is now using RONI, the Relative Oceanic Nino Index.
Even with all the recent record heat, since 2020 it's been mostly La Nina!
www.weather.gov/media/notifi...
Code La Nina!!!
The method for computing the ENSO cycle (La Nina/El Nino) changed as of Feb. 2, 2026. NOAA is now using RONI, the Relative Oceanic Nino Index.
Even with all the recent record heat, since 2020 it's been mostly La Nina!
www.weather.gov/media/notifi...
The Climate Casino composed a little limerick:
There once was a planet in strife,
Where the climate disrupted all life.
With record highs and record lows,
Droughts, heat, ice and snows,
Survival became a roll of the dice.
There once was a planet in strife,
Where the climate disrupted all life.
With record highs and record lows,
Droughts, heat, ice and snows,
Survival became a roll of the dice.
February 5, 2026 at 5:32 PM
The Climate Casino composed a little limerick:
There once was a planet in strife,
Where the climate disrupted all life.
With record highs and record lows,
Droughts, heat, ice and snows,
Survival became a roll of the dice.
There once was a planet in strife,
Where the climate disrupted all life.
With record highs and record lows,
Droughts, heat, ice and snows,
Survival became a roll of the dice.
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
Current global sea surface temperatures now rank 3rd hottest on record, as of Feb. 4, 2026, or about 4.36 standard deviations above the 1982-2011 mean (first 30 years of data).
The Climate 8-ball says, "F&%kery ahead!"
Code Yikes!
Current global sea surface temperatures now rank 3rd hottest on record, as of Feb. 4, 2026, or about 4.36 standard deviations above the 1982-2011 mean (first 30 years of data).
The Climate 8-ball says, "F&%kery ahead!"
February 5, 2026 at 3:50 PM
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
Current global sea surface temperatures now rank 3rd hottest on record, as of Feb. 4, 2026, or about 4.36 standard deviations above the 1982-2011 mean (first 30 years of data).
The Climate 8-ball says, "F&%kery ahead!"
Code Yikes!
Current global sea surface temperatures now rank 3rd hottest on record, as of Feb. 4, 2026, or about 4.36 standard deviations above the 1982-2011 mean (first 30 years of data).
The Climate 8-ball says, "F&%kery ahead!"
Your 'moment of doom' for Feb. 5, 2026 ~ Faster than expected is expected.
"I think the big takeaway here is that we found significantly more warming on land in this region than you would expect from theory."
www.earth.com/news/parts-o...
"I think the big takeaway here is that we found significantly more warming on land in this region than you would expect from theory."
www.earth.com/news/parts-o...
Parts of the tropics will heat up much faster than expected
Sediment records from the Andes suggest tropical land where millions live could heat up faster than expected as greenhouse gases rise.
www.earth.com
February 5, 2026 at 2:28 PM
Your 'moment of doom' for Feb. 5, 2026 ~ Faster than expected is expected.
"I think the big takeaway here is that we found significantly more warming on land in this region than you would expect from theory."
www.earth.com/news/parts-o...
"I think the big takeaway here is that we found significantly more warming on land in this region than you would expect from theory."
www.earth.com/news/parts-o...
Your 'almighty we' quote for today:
"If we can do this to fight COVID, surely we can bring the same kind of resolve and effort into the fight against climate change, which poses a much greater risk to our existence here on Earth."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/a-brief-hi...
"If we can do this to fight COVID, surely we can bring the same kind of resolve and effort into the fight against climate change, which poses a much greater risk to our existence here on Earth."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/a-brief-hi...
A Brief History of the Earth's Climate:... book by Steven Earle
Buy a cheap copy of A Brief History of the Earth's Climate:... book by Steven Earle. I love it. Earle understands the big climate picture and paints it with exceptional clarity. -- JAMES HANSEN, direc...
www.thriftbooks.com
February 5, 2026 at 2:18 PM
Your 'almighty we' quote for today:
"If we can do this to fight COVID, surely we can bring the same kind of resolve and effort into the fight against climate change, which poses a much greater risk to our existence here on Earth."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/a-brief-hi...
"If we can do this to fight COVID, surely we can bring the same kind of resolve and effort into the fight against climate change, which poses a much greater risk to our existence here on Earth."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/a-brief-hi...
The current 1-year running mean for the temperature anomaly is just under 1.45°C.
According to the Climate 8-Ball, the 1-year running mean should bottom out at about 1.40°C by early Summer before making a sharp turn back up later this year, finishing the year above 1.52°C.
According to the Climate 8-Ball, the 1-year running mean should bottom out at about 1.40°C by early Summer before making a sharp turn back up later this year, finishing the year above 1.52°C.
February 4, 2026 at 2:42 PM
The current 1-year running mean for the temperature anomaly is just under 1.45°C.
According to the Climate 8-Ball, the 1-year running mean should bottom out at about 1.40°C by early Summer before making a sharp turn back up later this year, finishing the year above 1.52°C.
According to the Climate 8-Ball, the 1-year running mean should bottom out at about 1.40°C by early Summer before making a sharp turn back up later this year, finishing the year above 1.52°C.
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"Never before have people been so infantilized, made so dependent on the machine for everything; as the earth rapidly approaches its extinction due to technology, our souls are shrunk and flattened by its pervasive rule."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/future-pri...
"Never before have people been so infantilized, made so dependent on the machine for everything; as the earth rapidly approaches its extinction due to technology, our souls are shrunk and flattened by its pervasive rule."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/future-pri...
Future Primitive: And Other Essays (New... book by John Zerzan
Buy a cheap copy of Future Primitive: And Other Essays (New... book by John Zerzan. Zerzan's writing is sharp, uncompromising, and tenacious. -- Derrick Jensen John Zerzan's importance does not only c...
www.thriftbooks.com
February 4, 2026 at 2:33 PM
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"Never before have people been so infantilized, made so dependent on the machine for everything; as the earth rapidly approaches its extinction due to technology, our souls are shrunk and flattened by its pervasive rule."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/future-pri...
"Never before have people been so infantilized, made so dependent on the machine for everything; as the earth rapidly approaches its extinction due to technology, our souls are shrunk and flattened by its pervasive rule."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/future-pri...
Your 'moment of doom' for Feb. 4, 2026 ~ Dark black truths.
“The scale of the buildout is staggering. In 2025 alone, China commissioned more coal power capacity than India did over the entire past decade.”
www.euronews.com/green/2026/0...
“The scale of the buildout is staggering. In 2025 alone, China commissioned more coal power capacity than India did over the entire past decade.”
www.euronews.com/green/2026/0...
'Staggering' rise in coal plants in China despite clean energy gains
More than 50 large coal units were commissioned in 2025, up from fewer than 20 a year over the previous decade.
www.euronews.com
February 4, 2026 at 2:28 PM
Your 'moment of doom' for Feb. 4, 2026 ~ Dark black truths.
“The scale of the buildout is staggering. In 2025 alone, China commissioned more coal power capacity than India did over the entire past decade.”
www.euronews.com/green/2026/0...
“The scale of the buildout is staggering. In 2025 alone, China commissioned more coal power capacity than India did over the entire past decade.”
www.euronews.com/green/2026/0...
If we assume long-term accelerated warming, then we'll be breaking the Paris limit of 1.5°C before the year is out.
February 3, 2026 at 2:52 PM
If we assume long-term accelerated warming, then we'll be breaking the Paris limit of 1.5°C before the year is out.
Your 'moment of doom' for Feb. 3, 2026 ~ Been good to know you.
"This failure should make us reflect on whether current scientific approaches are fit-for-purpose to inform overshoot policy and avoid inadvertent support for target backsliding."
phys.org/news/2026-02...
"This failure should make us reflect on whether current scientific approaches are fit-for-purpose to inform overshoot policy and avoid inadvertent support for target backsliding."
phys.org/news/2026-02...
Climate enters the overshoot era—science and policy need to react
The International Court of Justice reiterated in 2025 that the 1.5°C limit is the countries' primary agreed target under the Paris Agreement. With record-high global temperatures in recent years, the ...
phys.org
February 3, 2026 at 2:36 PM
Your 'moment of doom' for Feb. 3, 2026 ~ Been good to know you.
"This failure should make us reflect on whether current scientific approaches are fit-for-purpose to inform overshoot policy and avoid inadvertent support for target backsliding."
phys.org/news/2026-02...
"This failure should make us reflect on whether current scientific approaches are fit-for-purpose to inform overshoot policy and avoid inadvertent support for target backsliding."
phys.org/news/2026-02...
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"The time we've been thrown into is one of alarming and bewildering change—the breakup of the post-1945 global order, a multispecies mass extinction, and the beginning of the end of civilization as we know it."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/were-doome...
"The time we've been thrown into is one of alarming and bewildering change—the breakup of the post-1945 global order, a multispecies mass extinction, and the beginning of the end of civilization as we know it."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/were-doome...
We're Doomed. Now What? Essays on War... book by Roy Scranton
Buy a cheap copy of We're Doomed. Now What? Essays on War... book by Roy Scranton. An American Orwell for the age of Trump, Roy Scranton faces the unpleasant facts of our day with fierce insight and h...
www.thriftbooks.com
February 3, 2026 at 1:55 PM
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"The time we've been thrown into is one of alarming and bewildering change—the breakup of the post-1945 global order, a multispecies mass extinction, and the beginning of the end of civilization as we know it."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/were-doome...
"The time we've been thrown into is one of alarming and bewildering change—the breakup of the post-1945 global order, a multispecies mass extinction, and the beginning of the end of civilization as we know it."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/were-doome...
My latest: The Tyranny of "We" (2026 Update)
"The late Michael Dowd referred to this usage of the word 'we' as invoking 'The Almighty We.' It’s the 'we' of 'us and them.' It’s the “'we' of 'you’re either with us or against us.'"
climatecasino.net/2026/02/the-...
"The late Michael Dowd referred to this usage of the word 'we' as invoking 'The Almighty We.' It’s the 'we' of 'us and them.' It’s the “'we' of 'you’re either with us or against us.'"
climatecasino.net/2026/02/the-...
The Tyranny of "We" (2026 Update)
(This is an update of the original by the same title, published Feb. 3, 2022.)
From the 1985 hit, “We are the World, We are the Children,” to Martin Luther King’s famous “we as a people will get to t...
climatecasino.net
February 2, 2026 at 7:47 PM
My latest: The Tyranny of "We" (2026 Update)
"The late Michael Dowd referred to this usage of the word 'we' as invoking 'The Almighty We.' It’s the 'we' of 'us and them.' It’s the “'we' of 'you’re either with us or against us.'"
climatecasino.net/2026/02/the-...
"The late Michael Dowd referred to this usage of the word 'we' as invoking 'The Almighty We.' It’s the 'we' of 'us and them.' It’s the “'we' of 'you’re either with us or against us.'"
climatecasino.net/2026/02/the-...