PredictIt
@predictit.bsky.social
The Stock Market for Politics. Buy and sell shares on political outcomes with real money.
PSAs:
- 95% ≠ Certainty
- Forecasts ≠ Future
- Turnout = Outcome
PSAs:
- 95% ≠ Certainty
- Forecasts ≠ Future
- Turnout = Outcome
Reposted by PredictIt
#NEW: The Virginia redistricting case is now before the Supreme Court of Virginia on appeal.
You can track it through the court’s Appellate Case Management System using SCV Record No. 260127.
You can track it through the court’s Appellate Case Management System using SCV Record No. 260127.
February 10, 2026 at 10:45 PM
#NEW: The Virginia redistricting case is now before the Supreme Court of Virginia on appeal.
You can track it through the court’s Appellate Case Management System using SCV Record No. 260127.
You can track it through the court’s Appellate Case Management System using SCV Record No. 260127.
On this week’s episode of #ThePredictItPod, Jacob sits down with Bradley Tusk and discusses everything from mobile voting to 2028’s Democratic nomination. Check out this clip where they discuss Gavin Newsom’s chances of being the nominee.
February 2, 2026 at 8:27 PM
On this week’s episode of #ThePredictItPod, Jacob sits down with Bradley Tusk and discusses everything from mobile voting to 2028’s Democratic nomination. Check out this clip where they discuss Gavin Newsom’s chances of being the nominee.
The odds of a shutdown have jumped since today's opening to 72¢ as of 3:09pm ET after today’s failed Senate vote.
Prices have dropped since the initial announcement. Will this continue, or will prices rise as the clock counts down? #PredictIt now: shorturl.at/veca5
Prices have dropped since the initial announcement. Will this continue, or will prices rise as the clock counts down? #PredictIt now: shorturl.at/veca5
PredictIt
shorturl.at
January 29, 2026 at 8:27 PM
The odds of a shutdown have jumped since today's opening to 72¢ as of 3:09pm ET after today’s failed Senate vote.
Prices have dropped since the initial announcement. Will this continue, or will prices rise as the clock counts down? #PredictIt now: shorturl.at/veca5
Prices have dropped since the initial announcement. Will this continue, or will prices rise as the clock counts down? #PredictIt now: shorturl.at/veca5
It may be chilly in New York, but our new markets on the Democratic primary in New York's Twelfth Congressional District are hot. Trade our newest markets and #PredictIt now 👇
January 29, 2026 at 12:48 AM
It may be chilly in New York, but our new markets on the Democratic primary in New York's Twelfth Congressional District are hot. Trade our newest markets and #PredictIt now 👇
January 26, 2026 at 9:07 PM
Odds of a government shutdown have shot up over the weekend.
Think we’re going to see a second shutdown in Trump’s second term?
Think we’re going to see a second shutdown in Trump’s second term?
January 26, 2026 at 8:02 PM
Odds of a government shutdown have shot up over the weekend.
Think we’re going to see a second shutdown in Trump’s second term?
Think we’re going to see a second shutdown in Trump’s second term?
Today's Daily #NewMarkets Drop features a #PredictIt classic: mention markets! Get in on the action and trade them now ⬇️
January 23, 2026 at 2:12 AM
Today's Daily #NewMarkets Drop features a #PredictIt classic: mention markets! Get in on the action and trade them now ⬇️
TACO 🐔 or the perfect plan? 🎯
The “battle for Greenland” has taken a sharp turn and the markets are watching. Trade it now on #PredictIt: shorturl.at/99ly9
The “battle for Greenland” has taken a sharp turn and the markets are watching. Trade it now on #PredictIt: shorturl.at/99ly9
January 23, 2026 at 1:36 AM
TACO 🐔 or the perfect plan? 🎯
The “battle for Greenland” has taken a sharp turn and the markets are watching. Trade it now on #PredictIt: shorturl.at/99ly9
The “battle for Greenland” has taken a sharp turn and the markets are watching. Trade it now on #PredictIt: shorturl.at/99ly9
We're bringing back a #PredictIt classic with not one but two mentions markets. Think you know what Fed Chair Powell is going to say at his January press conference? Put your knowledge to the test 👇
January 22, 2026 at 6:51 PM
We're bringing back a #PredictIt classic with not one but two mentions markets. Think you know what Fed Chair Powell is going to say at his January press conference? Put your knowledge to the test 👇
Reposted by PredictIt
Breaking News: The Supreme Court seems poised to reject President Trump’s bid to immediately remove Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve Board, with key justices expressing concern about undermining the longstanding independence of the central bank.
Live Updates: Supreme Court Considers Trump's Attempt to Fire Lisa Cook from Fed
During arguments Wednesday, key justices appeared concerned that president’s efforts to oust Lisa Cook could imperil the central bank’s independence.
nyti.ms
January 21, 2026 at 5:35 PM
Breaking News: The Supreme Court seems poised to reject President Trump’s bid to immediately remove Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve Board, with key justices expressing concern about undermining the longstanding independence of the central bank.
On this week's episode of #ThePredictItPod, Jacob and Garth provide a guide to the March primary elections: TX Senate races, interesting House races, and Illinois' Dem. primary for Dick Durbin's seat: www.youtube.com/watch?v=EKYx...
Check the comments for links to listen along and #PredictIt now ⬇️
Check the comments for links to listen along and #PredictIt now ⬇️
Guide to the March Primaries
YouTube video by PredictIt Official
www.youtube.com
January 21, 2026 at 5:53 PM
On this week's episode of #ThePredictItPod, Jacob and Garth provide a guide to the March primary elections: TX Senate races, interesting House races, and Illinois' Dem. primary for Dick Durbin's seat: www.youtube.com/watch?v=EKYx...
Check the comments for links to listen along and #PredictIt now ⬇️
Check the comments for links to listen along and #PredictIt now ⬇️
Bloomberg: Trump’s Fed Chair Hunt Becomes Search for Elusive Unicorn www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
January 20, 2026 at 8:20 PM
Bloomberg: Trump’s Fed Chair Hunt Becomes Search for Elusive Unicorn www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Has Kevin Hassett kissed his chance at chairman of the Fed goodbye? Let us know what you think ⬇️
January 16, 2026 at 7:13 PM
Has Kevin Hassett kissed his chance at chairman of the Fed goodbye? Let us know what you think ⬇️
Reposted by PredictIt
#NEW: The Virginia redistricting constitutional amendment has passed the Virginia General Assembly.
The amendment now advances to a statewide vote, expected in April. lis.virginia.gov/bill-d…
The amendment now advances to a statewide vote, expected in April. lis.virginia.gov/bill-d…
January 16, 2026 at 6:29 PM
#NEW: The Virginia redistricting constitutional amendment has passed the Virginia General Assembly.
The amendment now advances to a statewide vote, expected in April. lis.virginia.gov/bill-d…
The amendment now advances to a statewide vote, expected in April. lis.virginia.gov/bill-d…
@ercovey: "If the election were held today, Republicans would need to win roughly three-quarters of the Toss Up races to keep control of the House.... Though that’s not impossible, it looks increasingly difficult.” Do you agree? Drop your takes below👇
January 16, 2026 at 5:23 PM
@ercovey: "If the election were held today, Republicans would need to win roughly three-quarters of the Toss Up races to keep control of the House.... Though that’s not impossible, it looks increasingly difficult.” Do you agree? Drop your takes below👇
Today's Daily #NewMarkets Drop is global! From Wisconsin to Portugal to Iran, you can trade the world's largest political and financial events and #PredictIt now ⬇️
January 15, 2026 at 11:57 PM
Today's Daily #NewMarkets Drop is global! From Wisconsin to Portugal to Iran, you can trade the world's largest political and financial events and #PredictIt now ⬇️
I’d hate to say it… but the market already did. All predictions are obvious after they happen, so prove you knew it before with #PredictIt 📈🦖 #Itoldyousaurus
January 15, 2026 at 11:50 PM
I’d hate to say it… but the market already did. All predictions are obvious after they happen, so prove you knew it before with #PredictIt 📈🦖 #Itoldyousaurus
January 15, 2026 at 12:15 AM
Prediction markets are only going to continue to grow, and Wall Street recognizes its potential. Stay ahead of the curve with #PredictIt: www.ft.com/content/4e1a...
Wall Street groups hire traders to wade into prediction markets
Big financial companies expand beyond traditional securities to arbitrage event contracts in sport and politics
www.ft.com
January 14, 2026 at 9:59 PM
Prediction markets are only going to continue to grow, and Wall Street recognizes its potential. Stay ahead of the curve with #PredictIt: www.ft.com/content/4e1a...
January 13, 2026 at 9:03 PM
A little birdie told us that the sequel to our tweet markets is here 🐥 Trade how many "truths" Trump will post this week in our newest market now: shorturl.at/u0J88 #PredictIt
January 13, 2026 at 8:23 PM
A little birdie told us that the sequel to our tweet markets is here 🐥 Trade how many "truths" Trump will post this week in our newest market now: shorturl.at/u0J88 #PredictIt
Will the government shut down by February 2? #PredictIt now: shorturl.at/2HB7M
January 13, 2026 at 5:02 PM
Will the government shut down by February 2? #PredictIt now: shorturl.at/2HB7M
Will Bill Clinton or Hillary Clinton testify publicly before Congress by June 30? #PredictIt now: shorturl.at/1yCMl
January 13, 2026 at 4:36 PM
Will Bill Clinton or Hillary Clinton testify publicly before Congress by June 30? #PredictIt now: shorturl.at/1yCMl
Comes fully equipped with hindsight, strong opinions, and a strong urge to say “told you so.” Trade hot takes with real stakes at #PredictIt (but maybe not hotter than an asteroid...) 🦖📈 #Itoldyousaurus
January 10, 2026 at 12:13 AM
Comes fully equipped with hindsight, strong opinions, and a strong urge to say “told you so.” Trade hot takes with real stakes at #PredictIt (but maybe not hotter than an asteroid...) 🦖📈 #Itoldyousaurus