The Cook Political Report
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Non-partisan analysis featuring the trusted voices of Amy Walter, David Wasserman, Jessica Taylor, Erin Covey and Matthew Klein. The right analysis for getting it right. Learn more: cookpolitical.com/subscribe
If Virginia joins California in adopting a Democratic gerrymander to eliminate GOP seats, Republicans’ push to redraw district lines for 2026 could yield them little to no net benefit.
Read this analysis from @redistrict.bsky.social:
Read this analysis from @redistrict.bsky.social:
Three GOP Seats at Severe Risk in Virginia Democrats’ Redistricting Push
Earlier this year, it looked like Republicans were poised to double or triple the size of their thin cushion in the House by launching a mid-decade redistricting war. But they may have had a blind spo...
www.cookpolitical.com
November 26, 2025 at 12:57 PM
If Virginia joins California in adopting a Democratic gerrymander to eliminate GOP seats, Republicans’ push to redraw district lines for 2026 could yield them little to no net benefit.
Read this analysis from @redistrict.bsky.social:
Read this analysis from @redistrict.bsky.social:
It’s been a busy month in the fight for America’s governorships. Here’s our read on the 2026 gubernatorial races that have seen the biggest candidate shakeups over the past few weeks.
November 2025 Governors Update: Who’s In and Who’s Out
It’s been a busy month in the fight for America’s governorships. Connecticut Gov. Ned Lamont and South Dakota Gov. Larry Rhoden both announced that they would pursue additional terms in office, fillin...
www.cookpolitical.com
November 26, 2025 at 2:31 AM
It’s been a busy month in the fight for America’s governorships. Here’s our read on the 2026 gubernatorial races that have seen the biggest candidate shakeups over the past few weeks.
We’re keeping this race in the Likely Republican column, but Democrats’ inherent edge in special elections this year will make it closer than it should be.
Read @erincovey.bsky.social on next week's special election in TN-07.
Read @erincovey.bsky.social on next week's special election in TN-07.
Will Republicans Stave Off More Bad News in Tennessee’s Special Election?
The once-sleepy special election in Tennessee’s 7th District has reached a fever pitch. Outside groups affiliated with both parties have spent hundreds of thousands of dollars on ads just in the past ...
www.cookpolitical.com
November 26, 2025 at 2:18 AM
We’re keeping this race in the Likely Republican column, but Democrats’ inherent edge in special elections this year will make it closer than it should be.
Read @erincovey.bsky.social on next week's special election in TN-07.
Read @erincovey.bsky.social on next week's special election in TN-07.
Reposted by The Cook Political Report
On The Odd Years with 🐐 @cookpolitical.com’s Amy Walter! Evolving political journalism beyond polls and ideological buckets, not remaking The Run-Up, and my World Cup favorites (Argentina, Spain)
How can political journalism meet the moment? Astead Herndon has ideas.
open.spotify.com
November 25, 2025 at 8:38 PM
On The Odd Years with 🐐 @cookpolitical.com’s Amy Walter! Evolving political journalism beyond polls and ideological buckets, not remaking The Run-Up, and my World Cup favorites (Argentina, Spain)
NEW pod! How can political journalism meet the moment? Astead Herndon has ideas.
Listen: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/h...
Listen: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/h...
November 25, 2025 at 12:19 PM
NEW pod! How can political journalism meet the moment? Astead Herndon has ideas.
Listen: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/h...
Listen: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/h...
Reposted by The Cook Political Report
The TN-07 congressional election between Rep. Aftyn Behn and Matt Van Epps is defying gerrymandered expectations, with some polls calling it a 6-point race. Matthew Klein from @cookpolitical.com joins us to share his outside analysis as we head towards Election Day Dec. 2:
Why This Nashville Congressional Election is Getting National Attention - City Cast Nashville
Last week, the nonpartisan Cook Political Report moved Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District from “Strong Republican” to “Likely Republican.” Matt...
nashville.citycast.fm
November 24, 2025 at 5:51 PM
The TN-07 congressional election between Rep. Aftyn Behn and Matt Van Epps is defying gerrymandered expectations, with some polls calling it a 6-point race. Matthew Klein from @cookpolitical.com joins us to share his outside analysis as we head towards Election Day Dec. 2:
NEW pod! What's something that's not on people's radar right now, but could be surprising next year?
Listen: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/l...
Listen: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/l...
November 24, 2025 at 2:05 PM
NEW pod! What's something that's not on people's radar right now, but could be surprising next year?
Listen: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/l...
Listen: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/l...
Even as the prospects for Democrats flipping control of the House have improved, their ceiling for gains remains low, simply due to a shrinking playing field.
House Democrats Are Ascendant, but They’re Still Likely To Hit a Low Ceiling
Democrats have every reason to be in a good mood these days. But even as their prospects for flipping control of the House have improved even since the beginning of this month, their ceiling for gains...
www.cookpolitical.com
November 20, 2025 at 11:12 PM
Even as the prospects for Democrats flipping control of the House have improved, their ceiling for gains remains low, simply due to a shrinking playing field.
Texas Dems have the rare chance to take advantage of a potentially damaged GOP nominee next year and flip a Senate seat blue for the first time in nearly four decades.
Read this analysis from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
Read this analysis from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
The Potential Senate Paths for a Trio of Texas Democrats
Texas Democrats have the rare chance to take advantage of a potentially damaged GOP nominee next year and flip a Senate seat blue for the first time in nearly four decades.But Democrats could whiff on...
www.cookpolitical.com
November 20, 2025 at 10:46 PM
Texas Dems have the rare chance to take advantage of a potentially damaged GOP nominee next year and flip a Senate seat blue for the first time in nearly four decades.
Read this analysis from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
Read this analysis from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik could face a primary in her already uphill quest to unseat New York Gov. Kathy Hochul.
Stefanik’s Uphill New York Governor Bid May Get Even Steeper
After Rep. Elise Stefanik’s nomination to be United Nations ambassador was suddenly pulled by President Donald Trump in March, the Republican pivoted to a New York gubernatorial bid under the assumpti...
www.cookpolitical.com
November 19, 2025 at 11:11 PM
Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik could face a primary in her already uphill quest to unseat New York Gov. Kathy Hochul.
Following Democrats' resounding wins up and down the ballot earlier this month, we make four House race ratings changes in Virginia and New Jersey.
Read this from @erincovey.bsky.social:
Read this from @erincovey.bsky.social:
Four House Ratings Move Towards Dems in Virginia and New Jersey
Following their resounding wins up and down the ballot earlier this month, it’s clear that momentum is on Democrats’ side. President Donald Trump’s approval rating — and voters’ opinions of his handli...
www.cookpolitical.com
November 18, 2025 at 10:10 PM
Following Democrats' resounding wins up and down the ballot earlier this month, we make four House race ratings changes in Virginia and New Jersey.
Read this from @erincovey.bsky.social:
Read this from @erincovey.bsky.social:
Reposted by The Cook Political Report
The @cookpolitical.com Report digs into the numbers from the latest American Communities Project survey of 5,400 Americans.The nation's great uniter: Inflation concerns. www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/nat...
November 17, 2025 at 6:27 PM
The @cookpolitical.com Report digs into the numbers from the latest American Communities Project survey of 5,400 Americans.The nation's great uniter: Inflation concerns. www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/nat...
Despite the country’s deep divisions, a new survey from the American Communities Project finds one place of broad agreement: Americans overwhelmingly view inflation as the most important issue facing their communities and the nation.
Anxiety Over Inflation May Be the Only Thing Uniting the Country Right Now
It’s not as simple as “all politics is local” anymore.It’s no revelation that we live in a political and media environment so bifurcated that a pair of next-door neighbors may have radically different...
www.cookpolitical.com
November 17, 2025 at 6:22 PM
Despite the country’s deep divisions, a new survey from the American Communities Project finds one place of broad agreement: Americans overwhelmingly view inflation as the most important issue facing their communities and the nation.
NEW podcast! All Elections Are Special. Some Are More Special Than Others with @jessicataylor.bsky.social, @erincovey.bsky.social & Amy Walter.
Listen on Subtack: thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/p/all-electi...
Listen on Subtack: thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/p/all-electi...
November 17, 2025 at 2:37 PM
NEW podcast! All Elections Are Special. Some Are More Special Than Others with @jessicataylor.bsky.social, @erincovey.bsky.social & Amy Walter.
Listen on Subtack: thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/p/all-electi...
Listen on Subtack: thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/p/all-electi...
Texas Sen. John Cornyn still remains the incumbent most in danger of losing renomination this cycle.
Read @jessicataylor.bsky.social's look at the Republican side of this race.
Read @jessicataylor.bsky.social's look at the Republican side of this race.
Hunt Complicates Cornyn’s Path in Three-Way Texas Senate Tussle
Texas Sen. John Cornyn once looked like a dead man walking in his GOP primary fight, down by double digits just this summer to a conservative — but deeply flawed — challenger in Ken Paxton.With less t...
www.cookpolitical.com
November 13, 2025 at 10:44 PM
Texas Sen. John Cornyn still remains the incumbent most in danger of losing renomination this cycle.
Read @jessicataylor.bsky.social's look at the Republican side of this race.
Read @jessicataylor.bsky.social's look at the Republican side of this race.
As Republicans fret about low base enthusiasm, the special election in #TN07 shifts from Solid to Likely Republican.
Read more from Matthew Klein:
Read more from Matthew Klein:
2026 Tennessee House Analysis: Music City Mayhem
Three years after Republicans used redistricting to split Nashville across several seats, the party is getting its first real test of how Tennessee’s gerrymander will withstand an unfriendly cycle. Th...
www.cookpolitical.com
November 13, 2025 at 3:33 PM
As Republicans fret about low base enthusiasm, the special election in #TN07 shifts from Solid to Likely Republican.
Read more from Matthew Klein:
Read more from Matthew Klein:
Democrats should take from last week’s results that affordability — not the shutdown — won the day for their candidates.
Read Amy Walter's latest column.
Read Amy Walter's latest column.
Democrats Lost the Shutdown Battle, but They’re Still Winning the Affordability War
We spend a lot of time focused on how President Donald Trump has reshaped the Republican Party, but we often gloss over how much his ascent to political power has reconfigured the Democratic Party as ...
www.cookpolitical.com
November 12, 2025 at 2:20 AM
Democrats should take from last week’s results that affordability — not the shutdown — won the day for their candidates.
Read Amy Walter's latest column.
Read Amy Walter's latest column.
Under a new court-ordered map, Utah’s 1st District moves from Solid Republican to Solid Democrat.
Read this from @erincovey.bsky.social
Read this from @erincovey.bsky.social
Court-Ordered Utah Map Hands Democrats an Easy Flip
Democrats notched another win in the mid-decade redistricting wars late Monday night, when a district judge approved a new congressional map in Utah that creates a solidly blue district in Salt Lake C...
www.cookpolitical.com
November 11, 2025 at 8:59 PM
Under a new court-ordered map, Utah’s 1st District moves from Solid Republican to Solid Democrat.
Read this from @erincovey.bsky.social
Read this from @erincovey.bsky.social
Join our analysts as they discuss all things midterms! This briefing is exclusive to Cook Political Report Monthly and Annual subscribers. **Use the code CPR25Social for 10% off an annual subscription- you won’t want to miss this!**
Register here: cookpolitical.com/CPR-access/e...
Register here: cookpolitical.com/CPR-access/e...
November 11, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Join our analysts as they discuss all things midterms! This briefing is exclusive to Cook Political Report Monthly and Annual subscribers. **Use the code CPR25Social for 10% off an annual subscription- you won’t want to miss this!**
Register here: cookpolitical.com/CPR-access/e...
Register here: cookpolitical.com/CPR-access/e...
NEW podcast! California, Here We Come: Prop 50, Pelosi and Newsom's Future. Amy Walter talks with CPR's very own @erincovey.bsky.social & LA Times columnist @markzbarabak.bsky.social.
Listen: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
Listen: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
November 11, 2025 at 12:28 PM
NEW podcast! California, Here We Come: Prop 50, Pelosi and Newsom's Future. Amy Walter talks with CPR's very own @erincovey.bsky.social & LA Times columnist @markzbarabak.bsky.social.
Listen: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
Listen: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
The blue wave that crested over Tuesday’s off-year elections has Democrats newly hopeful about their chances a year from now in the 2026 midterm elections.
Read this from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
Read this from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
Measuring the Fight for the Senate After Tuesday’s Democratic Victories
The blue wave that crested over Tuesday’s off-year elections has Democrats newly hopeful about their chances a year from now in the 2026 midterm elections.A decent swell is enough to swing the narrow ...
www.cookpolitical.com
November 7, 2025 at 2:56 PM
The blue wave that crested over Tuesday’s off-year elections has Democrats newly hopeful about their chances a year from now in the 2026 midterm elections.
Read this from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
Read this from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
Following Rep. Jared Golden's retirement announcement this week, we move ME-02 from Toss Up -> Likely Republican.
Read this from @erincovey.bsky.social:
Read this from @erincovey.bsky.social:
Golden’s Exit Moves ME-02 from Toss Up to Likely Republican
For the past seven years, Rep. Jared Golden has held the reddest district of any House Democrat in the country. One of the few members of Congress in recent years who has been willing to break with th...
www.cookpolitical.com
November 7, 2025 at 2:40 AM
Following Rep. Jared Golden's retirement announcement this week, we move ME-02 from Toss Up -> Likely Republican.
Read this from @erincovey.bsky.social:
Read this from @erincovey.bsky.social:
Nancy Pelosi's retirement unleashes San Francisco’s pent-up political floodgates and kicks off what is certain to become one of the most sensational primaries of the 2026 cycle.
Progressives Eye a Long-Awaited Opening as Pelosi Steps Aside
Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi, a liberal icon who led House Democrats for 20 years, announced Thursday that she would retire after nearly four decades in Congress. Her decision unleashes San Francisco’...
www.cookpolitical.com
November 6, 2025 at 9:20 PM
Nancy Pelosi's retirement unleashes San Francisco’s pent-up political floodgates and kicks off what is certain to become one of the most sensational primaries of the 2026 cycle.
Join our analysts as they discuss all things midterms! This briefing is exclusive to Cook Political Report Monthly and Annual subscribers.
*Use the code CPR25Social for 10% off an annual subscription- you won’t want to miss this!*
Register here: www.cookpolitical.com/CPR-access/e...
*Use the code CPR25Social for 10% off an annual subscription- you won’t want to miss this!*
Register here: www.cookpolitical.com/CPR-access/e...
November 6, 2025 at 6:24 PM
Join our analysts as they discuss all things midterms! This briefing is exclusive to Cook Political Report Monthly and Annual subscribers.
*Use the code CPR25Social for 10% off an annual subscription- you won’t want to miss this!*
Register here: www.cookpolitical.com/CPR-access/e...
*Use the code CPR25Social for 10% off an annual subscription- you won’t want to miss this!*
Register here: www.cookpolitical.com/CPR-access/e...
A blue wave is building; the only question now is whether it can be sustained for another twelve months.
Read our analysis from Amy Walter, Matthew Klein, @jessicataylor.bsky.social & @erincovey.bsky.social:
Read our analysis from Amy Walter, Matthew Klein, @jessicataylor.bsky.social & @erincovey.bsky.social:
A Blue Wave Is Building: What We Learned From Election Night 2025
It’s not 2024 anymore. In fact, Tuesday’s elections showed that the current political environment is more akin to the 2018 cycle, when huge Democratic turnout — spurred by an unpopular President Donal...
www.cookpolitical.com
November 5, 2025 at 1:21 PM
A blue wave is building; the only question now is whether it can be sustained for another twelve months.
Read our analysis from Amy Walter, Matthew Klein, @jessicataylor.bsky.social & @erincovey.bsky.social:
Read our analysis from Amy Walter, Matthew Klein, @jessicataylor.bsky.social & @erincovey.bsky.social: