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The Cook Political Report
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Non-partisan analysis featuring the trusted voices of Amy Walter, David Wasserman, Jessica Taylor, Erin Covey and Matthew Klein. The right analysis for getting it right. Learn more: cookpolitical.com/subscribe
As long as Republican voters continue to support the way Trump has conducted U.S. foreign policy, there’s little reason to believe that Republican members of Congress will push back on the president.

Read Amy Walter's latest column:
Why Are Republicans in Congress Sticking With Trump on Greenland? The Numbers Tell the Story.
As President Donald Trump continues to up the ante on Greenland, threatening to levy additional tariffs on European countries that oppose his demands to take control of the country, many in the chatte...
www.cookpolitical.com
January 21, 2026 at 8:01 PM
In a state with a history of rough-and-tumble politics, the crowded race for South Carolina governor is already shaping up to be a brawl.

Read this from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
South Carolina Set for Rowdy GOP Primary for Governor
In a state with a history of rough-and-tumble politics, the crowded race for South Carolina governor is already shaping up to be a brawl.The top four Republicans fighting in the June 9 primary to succ...
www.cookpolitical.com
January 21, 2026 at 2:12 AM
As long as Republican voters continue to support the way Trump has conducted U.S. foreign policy, there’s little reason to believe that Republican members of Congress will push back on the president.

Read Amy Walter's latest column:
Why Are Republicans in Congress Sticking With Trump on Greenland? The Numbers Tell the Story.
As President Donald Trump continues to up the ante on Greenland, threatening to levy additional tariffs on European countries that oppose his demands to take control of the country, many in the chatte...
www.cookpolitical.com
January 21, 2026 at 12:15 AM
NEW podcast! We Moved 18 House Races Towards Democrats. Here's Why. - with @redistrict.bsky.social, @erincovey.bsky.social & Matthew Klein.

Listen on Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/w...
January 20, 2026 at 6:04 PM
State Superintendent Megan Degenfelder is favored to win Wyoming’s governorship after landing President Trump’s endorsement.
‘MAGA Megan’ Makes Her Mark in Wyoming Gubernatorial Primary
Just as Wyoming’s gubernatorial contest started to heat up, President Donald Trump froze the field in its tracks. His decision to endorse state Superintendent of Public Instruction Megan Degenfelder e...
www.cookpolitical.com
January 16, 2026 at 12:41 AM
The Cook Political Report moves 18 House races in Democrats' direction.
Eighteen House Ratings Shift Toward Democrats
Ten months out from Election Day, it’s increasingly clear that Democrats are in a strong position to win control of the House this November.
www.cookpolitical.com
January 15, 2026 at 5:19 PM
It’s hard to know which of the many news events of the year will impact the midterms. Instead, the answer to these three questions are more likely to define the outcome of 2026.

Read Amy Walter's latest column:
Three Key Questions for 2026
We are barely two weeks into 2026, and we’ve already been hit by a tsunami of significant news events — from the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, to widespread protests in Iran, to the ...
www.cookpolitical.com
January 14, 2026 at 8:54 PM
🎧NEW podcast: Peltola's Run in Alaska Changes the Map for Senate Dems with Amy Walter and @jessicataylor.bsky.social.

Listen on Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/p...
January 12, 2026 at 6:44 PM
Senate Dems have landed another key recruit in their battle for the Senate majority, convincing former Alaska Rep. Mary Peltola to challenge Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan. We move this race from Solid -> Lean R.

Read more from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
With Peltola Announcement, Alaska Senate Moves to Lean Republican
Senate Democrats have landed another key recruit in their battle for the Senate majority, convincing former Alaska Rep. Mary Peltola to challenge Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan.With Peltola’s announceme...
www.cookpolitical.com
January 12, 2026 at 1:17 PM
Now that the election year is upon us, it’s worth revisiting how the various factors driving the midterms are similar or different to those that defined 2018.

Read David Wasserman's latest: www.cookpolitical.com/analys...
Five Ways 2026 Looks Like 2018 — and Five Ways It Doesn’t
For all the ways in which Trump 2.0 has blown past the bounds of Trump 1.0 — expanded use of emergency tariffs, divisive stepped-up ICE crackdowns, National Guard deployments and now the extraction and detention of a South American head of state — 2026 is still on track to follow the patterns of previous midterm elections, in which a dissatisfied electorate turns down the thermostat on the president’s agenda and penalizes the party in power.
www.cookpolitical.com
January 9, 2026 at 3:40 PM
The more it looks as if Trump is more interested in spreading the “Donroe Doctrine” than in tackling the economy, the harder it will be for GOP members in 2026 to battle Democrats’ affordability attacks.

Read Amy Walter's latest column:
The ‘Donroe Doctrine’ Is Here. What Does it Mean for 2026?
For a candidate who spent his 2024 campaign focused on domestic policy, the first year of President Donald Trump’s second term has been defined as much by brash and consequential foreign policy action...
www.cookpolitical.com
January 6, 2026 at 9:30 PM
Even with retirement and recruitment breaks, Democrats remain the underdogs to Republicans given a challenging midterm map. Here's @jessicataylor.bsky.social on four questions in the battle for the Senate:
Four Questions in the Battle for the Senate Heading into 2026
Democrats are undeniably entering 2026 with a better chance of retaking the Senate than they were at the outset of the year. But even with retirements and recruitments breaking their way, they remain ...
www.cookpolitical.com
January 1, 2026 at 5:29 PM
CPR's Redistricting Tracker is following developments in every state taking up redistricting, or considering it, over the next several months — as well as the gains that each party could make under redrawn maps.
December 31, 2025 at 3:42 PM
Following Wyoming Republican Cynthia Lummis’s retirement announcement earlier this month, at-large Rep. Harriet Hageman is poised to succeed her in the Senate.

Read this from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
With Trump Endorsement, Hageman Is the Clear Early Favorite to Succeed Lummis
Following Wyoming Republican Cynthia Lummis’s retirement announcement earlier this month, at-large Rep. Harriet Hageman is poised to succeed her in the Senate.Hageman, 63, launched her campaign on Dec...
www.cookpolitical.com
December 30, 2025 at 8:57 PM
Rep. Elise Stefanik’s withdrawal from the New York governor race reflects an increasingly obvious reality: Republicans are not in a position to flip the state next year.

The race shifts from Likely D to Solid D.
Stefanik’s Out, but Sour Environment Shifts New York Governor Into Solid Democrat
Rep. Elise Stefanik’s roller coaster of a year has finally reached its end. The Republican pulled out of the race for New York governor — and also passed on a reelection bid — on Dec. 19, explicitly a...
www.cookpolitical.com
December 30, 2025 at 12:39 PM
🙌 Just launched! CPR's new “Find A Race” tool. 🙌

Search and filter House, Senate, and Governor races by state, race type, CPR Race Rating, and more. Track the races that matter to you, in real time.

Check it out now: cookpolitical.com/races
December 29, 2025 at 2:44 PM
When it comes to politics, Gen Z generally hates everyone and everything. But they may still be primed to deliver for Democrats in 2026.

Read Carrie Dann on @harvardiop.bsky.social's Youth Poll:
Young Americans Hate Both Parties. They May Still Pick Democrats in 2026.
When it comes to politics, Gen Z generally hates everyone and everything. But they may still be primed to deliver for Democrats in 2026.A new national poll of 18-to 29-year-olds, conducted by the Inst...
www.cookpolitical.com
December 26, 2025 at 3:24 PM
From battleground races to member-on-member matchups, the Lone Star State is chock-full of action-packed House districts this cycle.

Read this mammoth overview from @erincovey.bsky.social & Matthew Klein:
2026 Texas House Analysis: The Ramifications of Redistricting
Despite initial resistance from Texas’ congressional delegation, President Donald Trump successfully pressured Texas Republicans into redrawing their state’s congressional map, giving the party an opp...
www.cookpolitical.com
December 24, 2025 at 1:32 PM
Even with retirement and recruitment breaks, Democrats remain the underdogs to Republicans given a challenging midterm map.

Here's @jessicataylor.bsky.social on four questions in the battle for the Senate:
Four Questions in the Battle for the Senate Heading into 2026
Democrats are undeniably entering 2026 with a better chance of retaking the Senate than they were at the outset of the year. But even with retirements and recruitments breaking their way, they remain ...
www.cookpolitical.com
December 23, 2025 at 1:36 PM
🙌 Just launched! CPR's new “Find A Race” tool. 🙌

Search and filter House, Senate, and Governor races by state, race type, CPR Race Rating, and more. Track the races that matter to you, in real time.

🔓 Check it now: cookpolitical.com/races
December 22, 2025 at 2:35 PM
Rep. Elise Stefanik’s withdrawal from the New York governor race reflects an increasingly obvious reality: Republicans are not in a position to flip the state next year.

The race shifts from Likely D to Solid D.
Stefanik’s Out, but Sour Environment Shifts New York Governor Into Solid Democrat
Rep. Elise Stefanik’s roller coaster of a year has finally reached its end. The Republican pulled out of the race for New York governor — and also passed on a reelection bid — on Dec. 19, explicitly a...
www.cookpolitical.com
December 21, 2025 at 2:16 AM
From battleground races to member-on-member matchups, the Lone Star State is chock-full of action-packed House districts this cycle.

Read this overview from @erincovey.bsky.social & Matthew Klein:
2026 Texas House Analysis: The Ramifications of Redistricting
Despite initial resistance from Texas’ congressional delegation, President Donald Trump successfully pressured Texas Republicans into redrawing their state’s congressional map, giving the party an opp...
www.cookpolitical.com
December 19, 2025 at 1:18 PM
Even with retirement and recruitment breaks, Democrats remain the underdogs to Republicans given a challenging midterm map.

Here's @jessicataylor.bsky.social on four questions in the battle for the Senate:
Four Questions in the Battle for the Senate Heading into 2026
Democrats are undeniably entering 2026 with a better chance of retaking the Senate than they were at the outset of the year. But even with retirements and recruitments breaking their way, they remain ...
www.cookpolitical.com
December 18, 2025 at 2:13 PM
🎧 NEW podcast! 🎧

Redistricting Roundup: What Indiana's Drama Means for 2026 with @erincovey.bsky.social, Amy Walter & Matthew Klein.

Listen to our latest Editors Roundtable on Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/r...
December 16, 2025 at 4:24 PM
🙌 Just launched! CPR's new “Find A Race” tool. 🙌

Search and filter House, Senate, and Governor races by state, race type, CPR Race Rating, and more. Track the races that matter to you, in real time.

🔓 Check it now: www.cookpolitical.com/races
December 12, 2025 at 3:30 PM