PredictIt
@predictit.bsky.social
The Stock Market for Politics. Buy and sell shares on political outcomes with real money.
PSAs:
- 95% ≠ Certainty
- Forecasts ≠ Future
- Turnout = Outcome
PSAs:
- 95% ≠ Certainty
- Forecasts ≠ Future
- Turnout = Outcome
On this week’s episode of #ThePredictItPod, Jacob sits down with Bradley Tusk and discusses everything from mobile voting to 2028’s Democratic nomination. Check out this clip where they discuss Gavin Newsom’s chances of being the nominee.
February 2, 2026 at 8:27 PM
On this week’s episode of #ThePredictItPod, Jacob sits down with Bradley Tusk and discusses everything from mobile voting to 2028’s Democratic nomination. Check out this clip where they discuss Gavin Newsom’s chances of being the nominee.
It may be chilly in New York, but our new markets on the Democratic primary in New York's Twelfth Congressional District are hot. Trade our newest markets and #PredictIt now 👇
January 29, 2026 at 12:48 AM
It may be chilly in New York, but our new markets on the Democratic primary in New York's Twelfth Congressional District are hot. Trade our newest markets and #PredictIt now 👇
Odds of a government shutdown have shot up over the weekend.
Think we’re going to see a second shutdown in Trump’s second term?
Think we’re going to see a second shutdown in Trump’s second term?
January 26, 2026 at 8:02 PM
Odds of a government shutdown have shot up over the weekend.
Think we’re going to see a second shutdown in Trump’s second term?
Think we’re going to see a second shutdown in Trump’s second term?
Today's Daily #NewMarkets Drop features a #PredictIt classic: mention markets! Get in on the action and trade them now ⬇️
January 23, 2026 at 2:12 AM
Today's Daily #NewMarkets Drop features a #PredictIt classic: mention markets! Get in on the action and trade them now ⬇️
TACO 🐔 or the perfect plan? 🎯
The “battle for Greenland” has taken a sharp turn and the markets are watching. Trade it now on #PredictIt: shorturl.at/99ly9
The “battle for Greenland” has taken a sharp turn and the markets are watching. Trade it now on #PredictIt: shorturl.at/99ly9
January 23, 2026 at 1:36 AM
TACO 🐔 or the perfect plan? 🎯
The “battle for Greenland” has taken a sharp turn and the markets are watching. Trade it now on #PredictIt: shorturl.at/99ly9
The “battle for Greenland” has taken a sharp turn and the markets are watching. Trade it now on #PredictIt: shorturl.at/99ly9
Next up is how many times he will say "pretext": shorturl.at/oQfFl
January 22, 2026 at 6:51 PM
Next up is how many times he will say "pretext": shorturl.at/oQfFl
First up is how many times Powell will say "threat" in his speech: shorturl.at/hJkcV
January 22, 2026 at 6:51 PM
First up is how many times Powell will say "threat" in his speech: shorturl.at/hJkcV
Bloomberg: Trump’s Fed Chair Hunt Becomes Search for Elusive Unicorn www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
January 20, 2026 at 8:20 PM
Bloomberg: Trump’s Fed Chair Hunt Becomes Search for Elusive Unicorn www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Today's Daily #NewMarkets Drop is global! From Wisconsin to Portugal to Iran, you can trade the world's largest political and financial events and #PredictIt now ⬇️
January 15, 2026 at 11:57 PM
Today's Daily #NewMarkets Drop is global! From Wisconsin to Portugal to Iran, you can trade the world's largest political and financial events and #PredictIt now ⬇️
I’d hate to say it… but the market already did. All predictions are obvious after they happen, so prove you knew it before with #PredictIt 📈🦖 #Itoldyousaurus
January 15, 2026 at 11:50 PM
I’d hate to say it… but the market already did. All predictions are obvious after they happen, so prove you knew it before with #PredictIt 📈🦖 #Itoldyousaurus
January 15, 2026 at 12:15 AM
January 13, 2026 at 9:03 PM
A little birdie told us that the sequel to our tweet markets is here 🐥 Trade how many "truths" Trump will post this week in our newest market now: shorturl.at/u0J88 #PredictIt
January 13, 2026 at 8:23 PM
A little birdie told us that the sequel to our tweet markets is here 🐥 Trade how many "truths" Trump will post this week in our newest market now: shorturl.at/u0J88 #PredictIt
Traders seem to think the likelihood is increasing given the rise in share price, but "Yes" is still trading low at 24¢.
January 13, 2026 at 5:02 PM
Traders seem to think the likelihood is increasing given the rise in share price, but "Yes" is still trading low at 24¢.
Comes fully equipped with hindsight, strong opinions, and a strong urge to say “told you so.” Trade hot takes with real stakes at #PredictIt (but maybe not hotter than an asteroid...) 🦖📈 #Itoldyousaurus
January 10, 2026 at 12:13 AM
Comes fully equipped with hindsight, strong opinions, and a strong urge to say “told you so.” Trade hot takes with real stakes at #PredictIt (but maybe not hotter than an asteroid...) 🦖📈 #Itoldyousaurus
Cold place, hot questions. Five new Greenland markets are now live on #PredictIt
January 9, 2026 at 9:41 PM
Cold place, hot questions. Five new Greenland markets are now live on #PredictIt
For millions of years, people have claimed they saw it coming—asteroids, financial crashes, global pandemics, elections.
Now, insight beats hindsight. If you think you know what happens next, don’t just say “I told you so.” #PredictIt 🦖📈 #Itoldyousaurus
Now, insight beats hindsight. If you think you know what happens next, don’t just say “I told you so.” #PredictIt 🦖📈 #Itoldyousaurus
January 8, 2026 at 9:22 PM
For millions of years, people have claimed they saw it coming—asteroids, financial crashes, global pandemics, elections.
Now, insight beats hindsight. If you think you know what happens next, don’t just say “I told you so.” #PredictIt 🦖📈 #Itoldyousaurus
Now, insight beats hindsight. If you think you know what happens next, don’t just say “I told you so.” #PredictIt 🦖📈 #Itoldyousaurus