Pax Lusitanica
@paxlusitanica.bsky.social
OSINT enthusiast and armchair strategist. Reading the news, looking at maps.
🇩🇰 expatriate in 🇵🇹, married to a 🇹🇼 and closely following events in 🇺🇦.
Still on Twitter, but only active here now.
🇩🇰 expatriate in 🇵🇹, married to a 🇹🇼 and closely following events in 🇺🇦.
Still on Twitter, but only active here now.
He could just make an AI video of himself playing football with Ronaldo!
November 20, 2025 at 5:04 PM
He could just make an AI video of himself playing football with Ronaldo!
Imports from Russia of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) are particularly important. The EU is however phasing them out, with bans on short-term contracts from April 2026 and long-term contracts from January 2027.
bsky.app/profile/paxl...
bsky.app/profile/paxl...
Some countries - from India to the US - have lately gotten a lot of flak for continuing to buy Russian goods. But we Europeans are not totally innocent ourselves.
To provide an example, let us have a look at what Portugal still imports from Russia. 1/9
www.essential-business.pt/2023/02/27/b...
To provide an example, let us have a look at what Portugal still imports from Russia. 1/9
www.essential-business.pt/2023/02/27/b...
Business as usual? - Despite sanctions Portuguese companies are trading with Russia - Essential Business
Regardless of morality issues of right and wrong, 650 Portuguese companies are doing or have continued to do business with the Russian Federation despite sanctions and after the world marks the first ...
www.essential-business.pt
November 20, 2025 at 12:23 PM
Imports from Russia of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) are particularly important. The EU is however phasing them out, with bans on short-term contracts from April 2026 and long-term contracts from January 2027.
bsky.app/profile/paxl...
bsky.app/profile/paxl...
"The person of a diplomatic agent shall be inviolable. (...) The receiving State shall treat him with due respect and shall take all appropriate steps to
prevent any attack on his person, freedom or dignity".
1961 Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations, Article 29.
prevent any attack on his person, freedom or dignity".
1961 Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations, Article 29.
November 20, 2025 at 12:13 PM
"The person of a diplomatic agent shall be inviolable. (...) The receiving State shall treat him with due respect and shall take all appropriate steps to
prevent any attack on his person, freedom or dignity".
1961 Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations, Article 29.
prevent any attack on his person, freedom or dignity".
1961 Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations, Article 29.
Uzbekistan has no ports on the Caspian Sea. But cotton pulp is highly flammable so look out for consignments being intercepted somewhere within Russia.
November 20, 2025 at 10:00 AM
Uzbekistan has no ports on the Caspian Sea. But cotton pulp is highly flammable so look out for consignments being intercepted somewhere within Russia.
I can tell you that I have never seen my Portuguese colleagues cringe so hard before. They are not happy with this.
November 20, 2025 at 9:23 AM
I can tell you that I have never seen my Portuguese colleagues cringe so hard before. They are not happy with this.
"We don't really care about the Europeans".
Yeah, we knew that. Those MAGA people do not even care about the Americans.
Yeah, we knew that. Those MAGA people do not even care about the Americans.
November 19, 2025 at 2:14 PM
"We don't really care about the Europeans".
Yeah, we knew that. Those MAGA people do not even care about the Americans.
Yeah, we knew that. Those MAGA people do not even care about the Americans.
Buyan-M-class missile corvettes were, once more, involved in the attacks against Ukraine last night.
I hope Storm Shadows are headed for the naval base in Novorossiysk. Local anti-air defences have recently been weakened and the sinking of a couple of warships there is long overdue.
I hope Storm Shadows are headed for the naval base in Novorossiysk. Local anti-air defences have recently been weakened and the sinking of a couple of warships there is long overdue.
November 19, 2025 at 12:48 PM
Buyan-M-class missile corvettes were, once more, involved in the attacks against Ukraine last night.
I hope Storm Shadows are headed for the naval base in Novorossiysk. Local anti-air defences have recently been weakened and the sinking of a couple of warships there is long overdue.
I hope Storm Shadows are headed for the naval base in Novorossiysk. Local anti-air defences have recently been weakened and the sinking of a couple of warships there is long overdue.
To the best of my knowledge, Martin Baltimores were never delivered to the USSR. The Soviets evaluated a single Martin B-10 and operated comparable light bombers like the Douglas A-20 Havoc - but never made use of the Baltimore.
I am afraid that is a dead end.
I am afraid that is a dead end.
November 19, 2025 at 12:33 PM
To the best of my knowledge, Martin Baltimores were never delivered to the USSR. The Soviets evaluated a single Martin B-10 and operated comparable light bombers like the Douglas A-20 Havoc - but never made use of the Baltimore.
I am afraid that is a dead end.
I am afraid that is a dead end.
I remember discussing this matter on that other (now Nazi-infested) social media platform back in 2022-23. Long story short - nobody knows.
As Global Security writes, concisely yet accurately, "the origins of this name seem to have been lost".
www.globalsecurity.org/military/wor...
As Global Security writes, concisely yet accurately, "the origins of this name seem to have been lost".
www.globalsecurity.org/military/wor...
Voronezh / Baltimor Airfield
www.globalsecurity.org
November 19, 2025 at 10:35 AM
I remember discussing this matter on that other (now Nazi-infested) social media platform back in 2022-23. Long story short - nobody knows.
As Global Security writes, concisely yet accurately, "the origins of this name seem to have been lost".
www.globalsecurity.org/military/wor...
As Global Security writes, concisely yet accurately, "the origins of this name seem to have been lost".
www.globalsecurity.org/military/wor...
The Ryazanskaya GRES is the second-largest non-nuclear thermal power plant in European Russia and the fifth (or sixth) largest in the entire country. Ouch.
ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A0%...
ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A0%...
Рязанская ГРЭС — Википедия
ru.wikipedia.org
November 19, 2025 at 10:06 AM
The Ryazanskaya GRES is the second-largest non-nuclear thermal power plant in European Russia and the fifth (or sixth) largest in the entire country. Ouch.
ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A0%...
ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A0%...
That is at least the fourth time that Ilsky has been hit by the Ukrainians.
It is the westernmost of a small cluster of refineries in southern Russia that also counts Afipsky, Krasnodar and arguably Tuapse.
Not the most distant target, but a relevant one.
It is the westernmost of a small cluster of refineries in southern Russia that also counts Afipsky, Krasnodar and arguably Tuapse.
Not the most distant target, but a relevant one.
November 18, 2025 at 11:38 PM
That is at least the fourth time that Ilsky has been hit by the Ukrainians.
It is the westernmost of a small cluster of refineries in southern Russia that also counts Afipsky, Krasnodar and arguably Tuapse.
Not the most distant target, but a relevant one.
It is the westernmost of a small cluster of refineries in southern Russia that also counts Afipsky, Krasnodar and arguably Tuapse.
Not the most distant target, but a relevant one.
Two days ago, temperatures in Voronezh Oblast dropped below zero for the first time this season. And today "adverse weather conditions" with strong gusts of wind have been reported.
It would be a suitable time to hit electrical and heating facilities.
It would be a suitable time to hit electrical and heating facilities.
November 18, 2025 at 12:26 PM
Two days ago, temperatures in Voronezh Oblast dropped below zero for the first time this season. And today "adverse weather conditions" with strong gusts of wind have been reported.
It would be a suitable time to hit electrical and heating facilities.
It would be a suitable time to hit electrical and heating facilities.
What a nice idea. In 2024, "the US still imported $3 billion worth of goods from Russia".
edition.cnn.com/2025/08/14/e...
edition.cnn.com/2025/08/14/e...
The US and Europe are still doing business with Russia despite years of war | CNN
US President Donald Trump is threatening tariffs on other countries that buy Russian oil, in an attempt to pressure Moscow to end the war in Ukraine. But the United States and Europe themselves are st...
edition.cnn.com
November 17, 2025 at 10:23 AM
What a nice idea. In 2024, "the US still imported $3 billion worth of goods from Russia".
edition.cnn.com/2025/08/14/e...
edition.cnn.com/2025/08/14/e...
I guess a correct prediction with a belated outcome is a correct prediction nonetheless.
Anyway, Veshkayma is an important electrical infrastructure target. I hope they do Novobryanskaya next.
bsky.app/profile/paxl...
Anyway, Veshkayma is an important electrical infrastructure target. I hope they do Novobryanskaya next.
bsky.app/profile/paxl...
Looks like Kazan is in the crosshairs tonight. Or perhaps it is a return run against the previously targeted Arzamasskaya and/or Veshkayma 500 kV electrical substations.
November 17, 2025 at 9:21 AM
I guess a correct prediction with a belated outcome is a correct prediction nonetheless.
Anyway, Veshkayma is an important electrical infrastructure target. I hope they do Novobryanskaya next.
bsky.app/profile/paxl...
Anyway, Veshkayma is an important electrical infrastructure target. I hope they do Novobryanskaya next.
bsky.app/profile/paxl...
Bayterek District is in northwestern Kazakhstan, adjacent to Ozinsky District in Saratov Oblast, Russia.
The Telegram RUMINT seems to indicate that some Ukrainian drones may have strayed into Kazakh air space.
If true, they are probably headed for Orenburg, Salavat or Sterlitamak.
The Telegram RUMINT seems to indicate that some Ukrainian drones may have strayed into Kazakh air space.
If true, they are probably headed for Orenburg, Salavat or Sterlitamak.
November 15, 2025 at 11:28 PM
Bayterek District is in northwestern Kazakhstan, adjacent to Ozinsky District in Saratov Oblast, Russia.
The Telegram RUMINT seems to indicate that some Ukrainian drones may have strayed into Kazakh air space.
If true, they are probably headed for Orenburg, Salavat or Sterlitamak.
The Telegram RUMINT seems to indicate that some Ukrainian drones may have strayed into Kazakh air space.
If true, they are probably headed for Orenburg, Salavat or Sterlitamak.
Well, the BSF's backup facility at Ochamchire in Abkhazia remains unfinished, unprotected and still in range of Ukrainian drones.
The Buyan-Ms can be evacuated through the Volga-Don Canal, but larger vessels, like the BSF's Admiral Grigorovich-class frigates, are effectively stuck in Novorossiysk.
The Buyan-Ms can be evacuated through the Volga-Don Canal, but larger vessels, like the BSF's Admiral Grigorovich-class frigates, are effectively stuck in Novorossiysk.
November 15, 2025 at 8:56 PM
Well, the BSF's backup facility at Ochamchire in Abkhazia remains unfinished, unprotected and still in range of Ukrainian drones.
The Buyan-Ms can be evacuated through the Volga-Don Canal, but larger vessels, like the BSF's Admiral Grigorovich-class frigates, are effectively stuck in Novorossiysk.
The Buyan-Ms can be evacuated through the Volga-Don Canal, but larger vessels, like the BSF's Admiral Grigorovich-class frigates, are effectively stuck in Novorossiysk.
Moribund.
(Which is also a good way to describe Russia's military, economy and demographic situation.)
(Which is also a good way to describe Russia's military, economy and demographic situation.)
November 15, 2025 at 7:11 PM
Moribund.
(Which is also a good way to describe Russia's military, economy and demographic situation.)
(Which is also a good way to describe Russia's military, economy and demographic situation.)
Weakening Novorossiysk's hitherto strong air defences could pave the way for an attack against the Black Sea Fleet (BSF), most of which remains holed up in the port.
Kalibr-missiles from their Buyan-M missile corvettes have rained down destruction on Ukraine for many months. Time to address that.
Kalibr-missiles from their Buyan-M missile corvettes have rained down destruction on Ukraine for many months. Time to address that.
November 15, 2025 at 3:32 PM
Weakening Novorossiysk's hitherto strong air defences could pave the way for an attack against the Black Sea Fleet (BSF), most of which remains holed up in the port.
Kalibr-missiles from their Buyan-M missile corvettes have rained down destruction on Ukraine for many months. Time to address that.
Kalibr-missiles from their Buyan-M missile corvettes have rained down destruction on Ukraine for many months. Time to address that.
There are several examples of similar shoot-down incidents involving Venezuelan Air Force aircraft - even in the same area.
theaviationist.com/2013/10/14/n...
theaviationist.com/2013/10/14/n...
This is what happens when a Narcos plane meets some armed F-16 fighter jets
According to Vladimir López Padrino, commander of the Ceofanb, the Comando Estratégico Operational de la Fuerza Armada Nacional Bolivariana (Venezuelan
theaviationist.com
November 14, 2025 at 7:54 PM
There are several examples of similar shoot-down incidents involving Venezuelan Air Force aircraft - even in the same area.
theaviationist.com/2013/10/14/n...
theaviationist.com/2013/10/14/n...
It happened two days ago in San Fernando de Apure in west-central Venezuela. The downed aircraft was a small Cessna C-210, not a US warplane or anything of the sort.
It might even have been an actual drug smuggling operation that was intercepted.
noticiasdeaqui.co/2025/11/13/f...
It might even have been an actual drug smuggling operation that was intercepted.
noticiasdeaqui.co/2025/11/13/f...
FANB interceptó e inutilizó aeronave no autorizada en Apure
La Fuerza Armada Nacional Bolivariana (FANB) interceptó e inutilizó una aeronave modelo C-210 tras detectar su ingreso no autorizado al espacio aéreo venezolano, específicamente sobre la localidad …
noticiasdeaqui.co
November 14, 2025 at 7:46 PM
It happened two days ago in San Fernando de Apure in west-central Venezuela. The downed aircraft was a small Cessna C-210, not a US warplane or anything of the sort.
It might even have been an actual drug smuggling operation that was intercepted.
noticiasdeaqui.co/2025/11/13/f...
It might even have been an actual drug smuggling operation that was intercepted.
noticiasdeaqui.co/2025/11/13/f...
Reposted by Pax Lusitanica
That is - or rather was - the Sudzhukskaya Lighthouse, located right at the entrance to Novorossiysk Bay.
Although hardly a critical structure, it still used to help vessels safely navigate the Penayskiye Banks area.
ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A1%...
Although hardly a critical structure, it still used to help vessels safely navigate the Penayskiye Banks area.
ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A1%...
November 14, 2025 at 3:12 PM
That is - or rather was - the Sudzhukskaya Lighthouse, located right at the entrance to Novorossiysk Bay.
Although hardly a critical structure, it still used to help vessels safely navigate the Penayskiye Banks area.
ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A1%...
Although hardly a critical structure, it still used to help vessels safely navigate the Penayskiye Banks area.
ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A1%...
I would also have expected some more news about targets hit in Crimea, which took quite a pummelling last night. But perhaps details are still forthcoming.
bsky.app/profile/did:...
bsky.app/profile/did:...
Belbek is just the tip of the iceberg. The 'Crimean Wind' Telegram channel reports multiple explosions in Sevastopol in particular, but also in Simferopol and Krasnoperekopsk.
No details on targets yet - but the two former cities host Crimea's largest power plants and the latter a vital substation.
No details on targets yet - but the two former cities host Crimea's largest power plants and the latter a vital substation.
November 14, 2025 at 10:17 AM
I would also have expected some more news about targets hit in Crimea, which took quite a pummelling last night. But perhaps details are still forthcoming.
bsky.app/profile/did:...
bsky.app/profile/did:...
Exactly. The Proletariy Cement Factory usually shows up on FIRMS, so the red splotches there are almost certainly unrelated to last night's attacks.
November 14, 2025 at 8:42 AM
Exactly. The Proletariy Cement Factory usually shows up on FIRMS, so the red splotches there are almost certainly unrelated to last night's attacks.
*Sheskharis
(In my post, I somehow managed to misspell the name thrice, in two different ways. Time to go hide in shame.)
(In my post, I somehow managed to misspell the name thrice, in two different ways. Time to go hide in shame.)
November 13, 2025 at 11:40 PM
*Sheskharis
(In my post, I somehow managed to misspell the name thrice, in two different ways. Time to go hide in shame.)
(In my post, I somehow managed to misspell the name thrice, in two different ways. Time to go hide in shame.)